Expert Insights for 154th Open Championship

154th Open Championship

Royal Birkdale Golf Club

Southport, Merseyside, England

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseRoyal Birkdale
Yards (per official scorecard):7,233 yards.
Par:70 (34-36).
Greens:Fescue and browntop Bentgrass; 5,250 square feet.
Stimpmeter:10.5 feet.
Rough:Dense fescue, dune scrub
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play123 bunkers. Hole No. 5 has a pond.
Architect(s):George Lowe (1897); Mackenzie & Ebert (2023).
Defending Champion (event):Scottie Scheffler (Royal Portrush).
Defending Champions (course):Jordan Spieth (-12; 2017).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Padraig Harrington (2007-08)
Previous Winners at BirkdaleSpieth 2017, Harrington 2008.
Course Record62; Branden Grace (Round 3, 2017).
72 Hole Tournament Record (course):-14; Lee Trevino (1971).
Fact of the Week:Royal Birkdale is hosting for the 11th time. Only St. Andrews has hosted more Open Championships.

Notes:

  • Field of 156 players.
  • All 50 of the OWGR entered.
  • Top SEVENTY and ties play the weekend.
  • The winner receives $3.2 million USD, the Claret Jug, the Gold Medal, and 750 FedExCup points.

Recent Winners – The Open Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Scottie SchefflerWon his first Open Championship at Royal Portrush and his second major of the 2025 season (PGA Championship).
2024Xander SchauffeleWon his first Open Championship at Royal Troon and his second major of the 2024 season (PGA Championship).
2023Brian HarmanWon his first major championship at Royal Liverpool (Hoylake) in a runaway.
2022Cameron SmithPosted 20-under-par, the lowest total ever at St. Andrews, to win.
2021Collin MorikawaPicked up his second major championship in his FIRST START at the Open Championship at Royal St. George’s.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick
Cadillac ChampionshipCameron Young (2)
Truist ChampionshipKristoffer Reitan (first-time winner)
108th PGA ChampionshipAaron Rai
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonWyndham Clark
Charles Schwab ChallengeRussell Henley
Memorial TournamentJT Poston
RBC Canadian OpenBud Cauley (first-time winner)
United States OpenWyndham Clark
Travelers ChampionshipViktor Hovland
John Deere ClassicChris Gotterup (3)
Genesis Scottish OpenTom Kim

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSShane Lowrymc0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000
Cadillac ChampionshipGary WoodlandT3872,182
Truist ChampionshipRory McIlroyT19242,100
108th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauMC0
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonSi Woo Kim2nd1,122,700
Charles SchwabJ.J. SpaunT3322,987
Memorial TournamentJordan SpiethMC0
RBC Canadian OpenZach BauchouMC0
United States OpenXander SchauffeleT11405,862
Travelers ChampionshipBrian HarmanT24154,500
John Deere ClassicJT PostonT5121,358
Genesis Scottish OpenMatt FitzpatrickT3431,887

Last WEEK – Genesis Scottish Open

THE CHOICE: Matt Fitzpatrick

Even when I hit the podium, I share it with 290842 others.

This Week – The Open Championship

The Choice: Tyrrell Hatton

If you need some guidance, keep scrolling.

I will point out the winner’s check/purse is not on the level of the three FedExCup Playoff events.

Combined with the unstable weather in this part of the world, I would NOT waste my biggest guns this week.

Royal Birkdale has identified big-time players over the years. Stick in a UK/Euro player and take your chances.

Majors StreakNo.
(cuts made) 
Xander Schauffele18
Scottie Scheffler17
Aaron Rai10
Brian Harman10
Matt Fitzpatrick9
Sam Burns9
Sam Stevens8
Maverick McNealy7
  
Open ChampionshipNo.
(cuts made) 
Jordan Speith12
Xander Schauffele8
Robert MacIntyre6
Scottie Scheffler5

Betting Angles: RBC Canadian Open

Returning for 2027

RBC Canadian Open

TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley

North Course

Caledon, Ontario

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Mike Glassscott’s Odds Outlook

Mike Glasscott’s DraftKings Prop Bets – SCROLL TO BOTTOM

Expert Picks

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Rob Bolton’s Sleepers

Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseTPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Yards (per official scorecard):7,389 yards.
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:Bent/Poa mix; 6,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:12 feet.
Rough:Kentucky Bluegrass at 4 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play48/3/3.
Architect(s):Doug Carrick (2001); Ian Andrew (2023).
Defending Champion (event):Ryan Fox (-18) defeated Sam Burns in a playoff in the inaugural event at TPC Osprey Valley.
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Jhonattan Vegas (2016-17) at Glen Abbey.
Course Record (latest):61; Thorbjorn Olesen (2025).
72 Hole Tournament Record (course):262 (-18); Ryah Fox and Sam Burns (2025). First event at TPC Osprey Valley.
Fact of the Week:Second consecutive season playing the second-longest running PGA TOUR event (non-major) at TPC Osprey Valley.

Notes:

  • Field of 147 players.
  • 14 of the top 50 OWGR; 17 of the top 50 FedExCup Points.
  • Top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.8 million – $1.764 million – 500 FedExCup Points

Recent Winners – RBC Canadian Open

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Ryan Fox (-18)Defeated Sam Burns in a four-hole playoff to win for the second time in 2025.
2024Robert MacIntyreEarned his first PGA TOUR victory at Hamilton Golf & CC.
2023Nick TaylorHoled a 72-foot eagle putt in a playoff to become the first Canadian winner since 1954 (Pat Fletcher).
2022Rory McIlroyAfter two years without an event (COVID-19); McIlroy successfully defended his 2019 championship at St George’s Golf & CC.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick
Cadillac ChampionshipCameron Young (2)
Truist ChampionshipKristoffer Reitan (first-time winner)
108th PGA ChampionshipAaron Rai
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonWyndham Clark
Charles Schwab ChallengeRussell Henley
Memorial TournamentJT Poston

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSShane Lowrymc0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000
Cadillac ChampionshipGary WoodlandT3872,182
Truist ChampionshipRory McIlroyT19242,100
108th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauMC0
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonSi Woo Kim2nd1,122,700
Charles SchwabJ.J. SpaunT3322,987
Memorial TournamentJordan SpiethMC0

Last WEEK – Memorial Tournament

The Pick – Jordan Spieth – MC

A second round 79 after posting 1-under on Thursday was very SPIETHIAN.

And very GLASSIAN in OAD.

No money at THE PLAYERS, PGA Championship, or Jack’s Place.

What a stupid I am.

This Week – RBC Canadian Open

Wyndham Clark, Sam Burns, or Nick Taylor.

Flip a three-headed Canadian coin to find your answer.

I would hate to endorse one and ruin your chances!

THE CHOICE: Zach Bauchou

There, you’re welcome!

DraftKings Prop Bets for the RBC Canadian Open

Winners Without Fleetwood, Matt Fitzpatrick, Wyndham Clark, and Sam Burns

The first edition at TPC Osprey Valley, a Par-70 layout playing 7,389 yards, featured a shoot-out with 18-under-par 262 necessary to qualify for a playoff. The top 35 players signed for just four rounds over 70 for the week, and each round of the tournament featured a score of 63 OR BETTER!

Eliminating the four players above knocks out the three top finishers from the Memorial last week (Clark -3rd, Fleetwood and Burns, T4) and the only three-time winner on the PGA TOUR this season in Matt Fitzpatrick.

Kristoffer Reitan (+2150) made his name on the DP World Tour in 2025 with three victories. After an unsurprisingly slow start to his PGA TOUR season, he has been electric after the calendar turned to April. The Norwegian has not missed the cut in his last seven events and picked up his first victory on TOUR at the Truist Championship, a Signature Event. He arrives 40 miles outside Toronto after playing his final 54 holes at the Memorial Tournament in 11-under-par for T6, including 65 during the marathon Sunday final round. Strong off the tee, his power will put him in premium positions to attack flags and rack up birdies. On a course where there is very little trouble off the fairways and surrounding the larger-than-average greens, he can press SEND all week.

I will add the other finisher at Memorial who shared sixth place, Alex Fitzpatrick (+3400), to this play. Also a winner on TOUR in 2026, the Englishman won the Zurich Classic of New Orleans with his brother, listed above, and has not looked back. After his breakthrough win, he shared ninth at the Cadillac Championship before earning a solo fourth place at the Truist Championship. Playing his sixth event of the season, his only finish OUTSIDE OF THE TOP 10 was T75 at the PGA Championship.

My long shot is Aldrich Potgieter (+6800). The South African won the 2025 Rocket Classic at a similar parkland-style course with few hazards last summer. Quietly, he has picked off paydays in his last four and five of his last six, including for at T35 or better. He leads the TOUR in Driving Distance, however you measure it, and sits in the middle of the pack in GIR. Knowing he will have the freedom to fire away off the tee should pique his interest, but he will need his putter to pass through customs!

Top 10 (including ties) – Same Game Parlay – (+700)

Red-hot Wyndham Clark arrives after closing with 60 to win THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson and a solo third at a more demanding Memorial Tournament last week. His only finish outside T21 in his previous six events was an MC at the PGA Championship. This week, he returns to TPC Osprey Valley, where he made 20 birdies in 2025 but finished T59. I am pairing him with the 2025 playoff runner-up, Sam Burns. Making his fifth trip to Canada, he owns three top-10 paydays regardless of the course used for the national open. On a run of eight consecutive weekends, his next step is getting it over the finish line. He closed with 62 last year and circled 22 birdies and one eagle for the week. He would be on my short list for First Round Leader (depending on tee times, morning preference) as well!

Canadian Power Play – Top 20 (including ties) – Same Game Parlay (+750)

At the 2023 RBC Canadian Open at Oakdale Golf & CC, Nick Taylor became the first Canadian winner since 1954 when he sank THAT EAGLE PUTT to knock out Fleetwood in a playoff. Now a five-time winner on TOUR, he returns for his second go-around at TPC Osprey Valley and will attempt to improve on four rounds in the 60s and a T13 payday. He enters the week making the cut in seven consecutive events and has opened with a round in the 60s in his last five. I am pairing him with Taylor Pendrith, another GIR machine who cashed T27 here in 2025. The Richmond Hill, Ontario, native has not produced a top 20 result since the first event of the season, T6 at the Sony Open in Hawaii. The inspiration of his home open should be the tonic to kick him into gear. He has not missed the cut in his last five events on TOUR. Now it’s time to finish!

Whoa, Canada! Top 20 (including ties) – Same Game Parlay (+1400)

I have listed the veterans above; now it is time to get in on the new generation of PGA TOUR players from The Great White North. Sudarshan Yellamaraju and A.J. Ewart, both under 30, have forced their way into the conversation in their national open. In a perfect world, I would prefer this in a Top 40 market, but let’s gamble! Yellamaraju, 24, plays from Mississauga, Canada, and cashed 13 times in his previous 16 starts. Balanced throughout his bag, he doesn’t have a problem giving it a knock off the tee (21st Driving Distance) or making birdies (18th; 4.25 per round). Ewart, who is 27, cashed T19 at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson and T17 the next week at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He’s hot! Making the cut 10 times in 14 events, eight of his paydays are T30 or better. Remember, at DraftKings, you can mix and match old and new, or whatever you would like!

Good Luck!

Betting Angles: Charles Schwab Challenge

80th Charles Schwab Challenge

Colonial Country Club

Fort Worth, Texas

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*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com (Rob is out 05/27/2026)

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Expert Picks

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Rob Bolton’s Sleepers

Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseColonial Country Club
Yards (per official scorecard):7,289 yards.
Par:70 (30-35).
Greens:007 XL Bentgrass; 5,000 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13 feet.
Rough:TifTuff Bermuda 2.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play64/4/6.
Architect(s):Perry Maxwell & John Bredemus (1936); Gil Hanse & Jim Wagner (2023 summer).
Defending Champion (event):Ben Griffin.  
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record (latest):61; Kevin Na (not eligible), 2018.
72 Hole Tournament Record:259 (-21); Zach Johnson, 2010.
Fact of the Week:Sergio Garcia is the last player to win this event on debut.

Notes:

  • Field of 132 players.
  • 15 players from the OWGR Top 50 entered.
  • Top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.9 million – $1,782,000 – 500 FedExCup Points

Recent Winners – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Ben Griffin (-12)Co-led after 36 and 54 holes; Won by one stroke over Matti Schmid (not entered).
2024Davis Riley (-14)Won by five shots to win for the second time on TOUR. First event after Hanse’s renovation.
2023Emiliano Grillo (-8)Defeated Adam Schenk in a playoff in the final event before the renovation.
2022Sam Burns (-9)Defeated Scottie Scheffler in a playoff.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick
Cadillac ChampionshipCameron Young (2)
Truist ChampionshipKristoffer Reitan (first-time winner)
108th PGA ChampionshipAaron Rai
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonWyndham Clark

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSShane Lowrymc0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000
Cadillac ChampionshipGary WoodlandT3872,182
Truist ChampionshipRory McIlroyT19242,100
108th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauMC0
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonSi Woo Kim2nd1,122,700

Last WEEK – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

The Pick – Si Woo Kim (Solo 2nd)    

I would have EASILY settled for a three-shot lead heading into Sunday, 33 birdies, and a final round 65 before the week started.

Little did I know that Wyndham Clark would be five shots better.

This Week – Charles Schwab Challenge

The Pick – J.J. Spaun

Right, he’s not in my lineup at PGATOUR.COM Fantasy Golf, but he fits what I have left and what I need to leave. He’s not going to win the U.S. Open back-to-back, right? RIGHT?!?!?! While putting is important here, I’ll take my chances with a guy who can keep it in play off the tee and pepper greens in regulation.

I was saving this spot for Jordan Spieth, but he’s a DNS this week.

Bummer.

Spaun was trending nicely (T24, T14, T5) after missing the cut at the Masters. He also missed at Aronimink. This isn’t a major, so let’s ride!

Others to consider, if you are chasing

Justin Thomas, Rickie Fowler, Alex Smalley, Brian Harman, Tony Finau, or Harry Hall

Betting Angles – 108th PGA Championship

108th PGA Championship

Aronimink Golf Club 

Newtown Square, Pennsylvania

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*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com

PGATOUR.com Links

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Expert Picks

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Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseAronimink Golf Club
Yards (per official scorecard):7,394.
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:A1-A4 Bentgrass; 8,200 square feet.
Stimpmeter:Championship speed.
Rough:Fine Fescue and Poa annua at 3.25 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play180/3/2. Water is in play on Holes 11 and 17.
Architect(s):Donald Ross (1928); Gil Hanse and Jim Wagner (2016).
Defending Champion (event):Scottie Scheffler
Defending Champion (course):Gary Player, 1962.
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Brooks Koepka (3), Justin Thomas (2), Rory McIlroy (2).
Course Record (latest):62; Multiple players in 2018, including Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy, and Tommy Fleetwood, TWICE.
72 Hole Tournament Record (to Par):Xander Schauffele (-21; 2024 Valhalla).

Philly Special

Merion. Philadelphia Cricket Club. Aronimink.

Classic American courses.

Donald Ross won’t bother too many off the tee. The massive greens, unsurprisingly, are the defense. The ability to spin wedges and hold shots on the proper shelves are the first steps to success. Putting from the wrong side of ridges and getting up and down will test the patience of the world’s best players.

After four consecutive weeks of Poa Trivialis overseeding, slick Bentgrass covers the putting surfaces.

Bomb and gouge? Better be able to spin it out of the rough.

The hardest holes (Nos. 11, 15, 17, and 18) are on the inward nine and will determine the champion. A trio of Par-3 holes stretches over 215 yards each. There are only two Par-5 opportunities.

Notes:

  • Field of 156 players.
  • There are no amateurs in the field.
  • 97 of the top 100 in the OWGR are playing.
  • Top SEVENTY and ties play the weekend.
  • The purse will be announced later in the week, but the winner takes home 750 FedExCup points.

Recent Winners of the PGA Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Scottie Scheffler (-11)Wins by five shots at Quail Hollow over Bryson DeChambeau, Harris English, and Davis Riley.
2024Xander Schauffele   (-21)At Valhalla, he won his first major championship by one shot over Bryson DeChambeau. Viktor Hovland was third.
2023Brooks Koepka (-9)Picked up his third Wanamaker Trophy since 2018 at Oak Hill.
2022Justin Thomas (-5)Defeated Will Zalatoris in a playoff at Southern Hills for his second victory.
2021Phil Mickelson (-6)Defeated Brooks Koepka by two shots to become the oldest major champion (50).
2020Collin Morikawa (-13)Joined Keegan Bradley as the only players this century to win on debut (TPC Harding Park).

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick
Cadillac ChampionshipCameron Young (2)
Truist ChampionshipKristoffer Reitan (first-time winner)

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000
Cadillac ChampionshipGary WoodlandT3872,182
Truist ChampionshipRory McIlroyT19242,100

Last WEEK – Truist Championship

Rory McIlroy – T19

He won this event four times and hit the top 10 eight times.

If you have already burned him, you will need a bomber to cover the big ballpark in wet conditions. Schauffele (T60) has run second here the previous two events, but he’s my man for Shinnecock Hills. Ludvig Aberg (T8) would have to be the third choice. A sneaky play might be Adam Scott, Rickie Fowler, or Justin Thomas. Those who are desperate might consider red-hot Alex Smalley or Akshay Bhatia.

Adam Scott – T24

Rickie Fowler – T2

Justin Thomas – 13th

This Week – 108th PGA Championship

The Pick – Bryson DeChambeau

He won on Donald Ross’s Pinehurst. He’s won in this part of the world at Winged Foot. It’s this week or the U.S. Open.

Others: Ludvig Aberg, Brooks Koepka, Matt Fitzpatrick, J.J. Spaun, and Rickie Fowler.

Betting Angles – Truist Championship

The conclusion of The Green Mile

Truist Championship

Quail Hollow Club     

Charlotte, North Carolina

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseQuail Hollow Club
Yards (per official scorecard):7,583.
Par:71 (35-36).
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda with Poa Trivialis overseed; 6,578 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13 feet and up.
Rough:Rye grass overseeded at 2.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play61/4/7
Architect(s):George Cobb (1959)
Defending Champion (event):Sepp Straka
Defending Champion (course):Rory McIlroy (2024).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Rory McIlroy (4)
Course Record (latest):61; Rory McIlroy.
72 Hole Tournament Record (to Par):Rory McIlroy (-21).
Fact of the Week:The 2025 event was played at the Wissahickon Course at the Philadelphia Cricket Club. That data is of no use this week.
Fact of the Week II:The event was NOT played at this course in 2017, 2022, and 2025. Please do not use those results when determining course history.

From The Blue Monster to The Green Mile

Like Doral last week, Quail Hollow Club provides a demanding finish. The final three holes annually rank as one of the toughest trios on TOUR.

Unlike Doral, there are only three Par-5 holes, but a pair of short, possibly drivable Par-4 challenges.

With storms in the forecast for Thursday, a long, arduous walk becomes even longer for those who don’t bomb it. The good news? If wet, the fairways, some of the toughest to hit on TOUR, expand with the balls not rolling out.

Quail Hollow Club hosted the PGA Championship in 2017 (Justin Thomas) and 2025 (Scottie Scheffler – not entered this week), plus the Presidents Cup in 2022.

It will be earned, not given – shout out to Curt Cignetti – this week.

Notes:

  • Field of 72 players
  • NO CUT
  • $20 million – $3.6 million – 700 FedExCup points

Recent Winners at Quail Hollow Club

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2024Rory McIlroy (-17)Oops, he did it again. His fourth victory came with a five-shot win over Xander Schauffele.
2023Wyndham Clark (-19)Earned his first win on TOUR by knocking off Schauffele by four shots.
2021Rory McIlroy (-10)The only player to reach 10-under, he earned his third victory in Charlotte.
2019Max Homa (-15)Won by three shots to earn his first PGA TOUR victory; only three players finished 10-under or better, including Justin Rose (3rd).
2018Jason Day (-12)Won by two shots and was one of three players to post 10-under or better.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick
Cadillac ChampionshipCameron Young (2)

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000
Cadillac ChampionshipGary WoodlandT3872,182

Last WEEK – Cadillac Championship

The Pick: Jake Knapp (WD)

Now, it’s back to work. The obvious choice this week is Scottie Scheffler against a perceived “weakened” field.

I completely buy that angle, especially after finishing second in his previous two outings.

Why would you wait to use Scheffler in an event with McIlroy, Fitzpatrick, MacIntyre, Aberg, Schauffele, Cantlay, Rahm, or DeChambeau playing? For an additional 400k at Memorial? Ok, he’s won the last two there, I won’t argue, much.

As Steve Miller once remarked: Go on, take the money and run.

If you are like me, I hope not, panicked, and took Scheffler already, there are choices below.

Not many have played multiple or any tournament rounds here. There is no course history to provide an angle. I’ll remind you that Adam Scott and Justin Rose won here in their mid-30s. I will also remind you that Rose won at Torrey Pines THIS year. Funny old game…

Others at Doral

Cameron Young, Sepp Straka, Jake Knapp, Chris Gotterup (n/a), Viktor Hovland, Akshay Bhatia, Adam Scott

Guess I should have used my “others”. Young won, Straka and Scott both shared fourth. Gary Woodland, my flippant backup selection, which I never expected to use, blew a tire on Saturday and never recovered.

When you suck, you just suck.

This Week – Truist Championship

Rory McIlroy has won this event four times and hit the top 10 eight times.

If you have already burned him, you will need a bomber to cover the big ballpark in wet conditions. Schauffele has run second here the previous two events, but he’s my man for Shinnecock Hills. Ludvig Aberg would have to be the third choice. A sneaky play might be Adam Scott, Rickie Fowler, or Justin Thomas. Those who are desperate might consider red-hot Alex Smalley or Akshay Bhatia.

Betting Angles 2026 Cadillac Championship

Cadillac Championship

Trump National Doral

Blue Monster

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseThe Blue Monster
Yards (per official scorecard):7,739.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; above average in size.
Stimpmeter:12 + feet.
Rough:419 Bermudagrass at three inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play115/10/10
Architect(s):Dick Wilson & Robert von Hagge (1961); Gil Hanse (2014).
Defending Champion (event):-NEW EVENT-
Defending Champion (course):Adam Scott won the last event here in 2016. Justin Rose won the 2012 edition.
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Tournament Scoring Record:19-under; Tiger Woods (2013); Phil Mickelson (2009).
Course Record:62; J.B. Holmes (Round 1, 2015).
Fact of the Week:Doral hosted an event from 1962 through 2016 before this season.
Fact of the Week II:This is the fifth of eight Signature Events on TOUR.

The Blue Monster

At 7,739 yards, the Blue Monster ranks second to Torrey Pines (South Course) for the longest track on TOUR in 2026. Unlike Torrey Pines, Doral has water on over half of the holes and twice as many sand penalty areas.

There is plenty of water and sand, but also room to work the golf ball from tee to green.

Green speeds will be a manageable 12 feet plus on the Stimpmeter, due to persistent ocean breezes in South Florida.

Hot and steamy conditions will make the golf ball fly. The weather should not be a factor until the final round on Sunday.

Notes:

  • Field of 72 players
  • NO CUT
  • $20 million – $3.6 million – 700 FedExCup points

Recent Winners at The Blue Monster

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2016Adam Scott (-12)Won by a shot; Rickie Fowler T8; Harris English 10th.
2015Dustin Johnson (-9)Won by a shot; Adam Scott T4.
2014Patrick Reed (-4)Only three players broke par; Harris English & Gary Woodland T16.
2013Tiger Woods (-19)Adam Scott T3; Keegan Bradley 7th; Justin Rose T8; Alex Noren T20.
2012Jusitn Rose (-16)Keegan Bradley T8; Adam Scott T13; Jason Day T20.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000

Last WEEK – Zurich Classic

THE CHOICE: Alex Fitzpatrick (WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER)

If there are 200 guys in the league, I would expect 197 to play him this week.

The pressure of getting his younger brother over the finish line on Sunday did not bother the older brother. The wobbly back nine was completed in style on the Par-5 finishing hole. Matt’s greenside bunker shot gave younger brother Alex a tap-in for 2.5 years of PGA TOUR status and his first win in 11 starts on TOUR. Both brothers had won in their previous start. Occam’s Razor and all that.

This Week – Cadillac Championship

The Pick: Jake Knapp

Now, it’s back to work. The obvious choice this week is Scottie Scheffler against a perceived “weakened” field.

I completely buy that angle, especially after finishing second in his previous two outings.

Why would you wait to use Scheffler in an event with McIlroy, Fitzpatrick, MacIntyre, Aberg, Schauffele, Cantlay, Rahm, or DeChambeau playing? For an additional 400k at Memorial? Ok, he’s won the last two there, I won’t argue much.

As Steve Miller once remarked: Go on, take the money and run.

If you are like me, I hope not, panicked, and took Scheffler already, there are choices below.

Not many have played multiple rounds or any tournament rounds here. There is no course history to provide an angle. I’ll remind you that Adam Scott and Justin Rose won here in their mid-30s. I will also remind you that Rose won at Torrey Pines THIS year. Funny old game…

Others

Cameron Young, Sepp Straka, Jake Knapp, Chris Gotterup (n/a), Viktor Hovland, Akshay Bhatia, Adam Scott

Horses for Courses – returns next week at Quail Hollow Club for the Truist Championship, which was won by Sepp Straka at the Philadelphia Cricket Club, while QHC prepared for the PGA Championship. Right? Right.

Betting Angles – RBC Heritage

Welcome to the fourth Signature Event of 2026.

RBC Heritage

Harbour Town Golf Links

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina

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Mike Glasscott’s DraftKings Prop Bets – coming soon

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Rob Bolton’s Sleepers

Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseHarbour Town Golf Links
Yards (per official scorecard):7,243 (three new tee boxes for 2026).
Par:71 (36-35).
Greens:Poa Trivialis overseed; 3,700 square feet.
Stimpmeter:11.5 feet.
Rough:Ryegrass Overseeded at 1.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play51/18/18
Architect(s):Pete Dye (1969)
Defending Champion (event):Justin Thomas (-17)
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record (latest):61; Justin Thomas (Round 1, 2025).
72 Hole Tournament Record (Spring):264 (-20); Brian Gay, 2009.
Fact of the Week:The last SIX winners are all major champions.
Fact of the Week II:This will be the third consecutive event at Harbour Town without a 36-hole cut.

Harbour Town

Pete Dye is back!

Small greens. Small targets off the tee. Big penalty areas.

This is the week for veterans and patience.

The driver will not be the required club on most holes.

Score when you can, make par when you cannot.

The weather annually dictates the scoring.

This week, the forecast is perfect. Winds from the Southwest all four days. Go low, my friends!

Notes:

  • Field of 82
  • $20 million – $3.6 million – 700 FedExCup points.

Notables

  • The field of 82 players includes 41 of the top 50 from the Official World Golf Rankings.
  • The winners from 2024 and 2023 both posted 63 in Round 3. Last year, Thomas tied the course record in Round 1.
  • In 2024, Scottie Scheffler joined Bernhard Langer as the only two players to win this event after donning the green jacket the week prior. That streak will continue as Rory McIlroy is not in the field.
  • Boo Weekley (2007-2008) was the last player to win back-to-back events.
  • Wesley Bryan (2017) is the only native South Carolinian to win the event.
  • Thomas is the only winner in the last five years to rank inside the top 20 (3rd) in SG: Putting.
  • The scoring averages of 69.351 in 2024 and 69.368 are the two lowest April totals since the putting surfaces were regrassed in 2016.
  • Extra holes were required to determine three of the last four winners.
  • There is not a 36-hole cut this week.

Recent Winners – RBC Heritage

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Justin Thomas (-17*)Defeated Andrew Novak in a playoff to win in his seventh attempt.
2024Scottie Scheffler (-19)Won by three shots to become the second player to win the Masters and the RBC Heritage in back-to-back weeks.
2023Matt Fitzpatrick (-17)Knocked out reigning champion Jordan Spieth in a playoff.
2022Jordan Spieth (-13)Eliminated Patrick Cantlay in a playoff. He is the last winner to not play from the final group.
2021Stewart Cink (-19)At 47, just missed becoming the oldest winner. Won for the THIRD time.
2020Webb Simpson (-22)June event due to COVID-19. Easiest conditions in memory.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Texas Children’s Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250

Last WEEK – Masters

Welcome aboard to all the top 50 players in the OWGR!

Time to break glass in case of an emergency!

THE CHOICE: Jon Rahm – T38

He looks pissed. He sounds pissed. He probably is pissed that he’s stuck in the desert while the rest of the guys head back to civilization.

I hope he takes it out on the field.

He opened with 78. The end.

Unbelievable.

Who knew that Tyrrell Hatton was the best player over there?

This Week – RBC Heritage

Since I sacrificed Cantlay on the other coast with small greens, it’s back to the drawing board this week.

Yogi Berra once remarked, “It’s getting late early”, and I feel that with OAD.

This season has been nothing short of a dumpster fire. If I charged you to read this, which I don’t, I would probably provide a refund. PROBABLY.

Whatever.

The pick this week is Russell Henley.

My God have mercy on his soul.

Others

Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, Jacob Bridgeman, Brian Harman

Horses for Courses

Patrick Cantlay – T13-T3-3rd-2nd L4Y

Brian Harman – T3-T12-T7 L3Y

J.T. PostonWorst payday from four weekends is T11

Sepp Straka – T13-T5-MC-T3 L4Y

Denny McCarthy – Cashed in five straight

Tony Finau – Cashed in five straight

Tom Hoge – T18 on last two visits

Si Woo Kim – 54-hole leader in 2025; lost a big lead in 2018 (P2)

Maverick McNealy – Two T4 or better since 2021

Valero Texas Open Betting Angles

Brian Harman returns to defend his 2025 title at The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio via @ValeroTXOpen

Valero Texas Open

TPC San Antonio (The Oaks Course)

San Antonio, Texas

*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com

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Extra Players to watch for Top 10, Top 20, Top 30, and Top 40

You do you. Stick ‘em wherever. Not listed in my columns above.

Bronson Burgoon, Ryo Hisatsune, Thorbjorn Olesen, Rico Hoey, Carson Young

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseTPC San Antonio – The Oaks Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,438.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:Overseeded Poa Trivialis; 6,400 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at 3 inches (up from 2.25” in 2025).
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play64/3/3
Architect(s):Greg Norman (2010).
Defending Champion (event):Brian Harman (-9).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:62; Trey Mullinax, Round 3, 2018.
72 Hole Tournament Record:268; Akshay Bhatia & Denny McCarthy (2024); Corey Conners (2019).
Fact of the Week:The event has been the week before the Masters since 2019.
Fact of the Week II:The four Par-5 holes rank, as a group, one of the hardest quartets on TOUR.
Fact of the Week III:The last two winners have been left-handed wind specialists.

Notes:

  • Field of 132.
  • No significant course changes for 2026.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.8 million – $1.764 million – 500 FedExCup points.
  • For those not already qualified for Augusta National next week, the only way to book a tee time is to win.

Notables

  • The last three champions owned the outright lead after 18 holes.
  • The last six winners T4 or BETTER in Par-4 Scoring.
  • TPC San Antonio has played under par just twice in 16 previous events.
  • The ryegrass/fescue fairways average 25 to 30 yards in the landing area.
  • Poa Trivialis overseeded greens average 6,400 square feet and will not run more than 11.5 feet on the Stimpmeter (wind).
  • The course tips at 7,438 yards for the fifth consecutive season.
  • The Official World Golf Ranking is represented by 15 of the top 50 players, led by No. 4 Tommy Fleetwood, the highest-ranked player in the field this week.

Stat of the Week: Putting: Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage

The previous 10 champions have all ranked T10 or better in this category. Once GIR are found, it’s time to cash in! Birdies are NOT plentiful here; Take advantage of the opportunities presented.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Texas Children’s Houston OpenGary Woodland

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Valero Texas Open

Italics – not entered this week;

YearWinnerNotes
2025Brian Harman (-9)Shot 72-75 on the weekend and still defeated Ryan Gerard by THREE shots. Rough weather muted scoring.
2024Akshay Bhatia (-20)Knocked off Denny McCarthy in a playoff. Both matched the tournament scoring record and were NINE SHOTS CLEAR of third place.
2023Corey Conners (-15)Defeated Sam Stevens by one shot to become the first two-time winner at The Oaks Course.
2022J.J. Spaun (-13)Won by two shots to earn his first PGA TOUR victory.
2021Jordan Spieth (-18)Circled 24 birdies and won by two.
2019Corey Conners (-20)Monday Qualifier won for the first time on the PGA TOUR.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987

Last WEEK – Texas Children’s Houston Open

There’s no reason to save Chris Gotterup.

With two victories already, he won’t be playing many courses, if any, from this point forward, where he can black out and just pump driver all day.

He can this week!

THE CHOICE: Chris Gotterup – T6

Others to consider:

Any of the European ball-strikers who were in it last week at Valspar.

Nicolai Hojgaard (2nd), Jake Knapp (T6), Sam Burns (T21), Wyndham Clark (MC)

I guess MY SECOND GUESS was better than my first! Too bad Gotterup didn’t WD!

Sigh.

Congrats to the Woodland Mafia on their incredible win. Is it dusty in here???

THIS Week – Valero Texas Open

What a mess.

WHERE IS COREY CONNERS WHEN YOU NEED HIM?????

Imagine winning this event twice since 2019, yet not playing!

The last two winners are left-handed players, right?

Let’s make it three in a row!

THE CHOICE: Sudarshan Yellamaraju

He wasn’t bothered by Pete Dye’s mind games against the deepest field in golf at TPC Sawgrass (T5).

A bit of length, 7,475 yards, last week in Houston didn’t slow him down (T6).

I am not sure he cares about what’s at stake this week with a win.

Hot golf is hot golf, and I’m riding the hottest player in the field.

I will save the top players for rainier days.

Others to consider:

Michael Thorbjornsen, Sepp Straka, Johnny Keefer, Denny McCarthy

Horses for Courses

Elder statesmen Charley Hoffman and Matt Kuchar are the top money winners entered.

Jordan Spieth owns four top-10s from eight starts.

Andrew Novak has a pair of top-10 paydays from the last three.

Here are the top finishers from the last three years:

202520242023
Brian Harman (-9)Akshay Bhatia (-20)Corey Conners (-15)
wins by 3 (Gerard)wins PLAYOFF (McCarthy)wins by 1 (Stevens)
Par 72 – 7,438 ydsPar 72 – 7,438 ydsPar 72 – 7,438 yds
   
02 Ryan Gerard -6P2 Denny McCarthy -20 02 Sam Stevens -14
T3 Maverick McNealy -504 Russell Henley -10T3 Matt Kuchar -13
T3 Andrew NovakT5 Adam Schenk -9T3 Sam Ryder -13
T5 Bud Cauley -4T5 Brendon Todd05 Patrick Rodgers -11
T5 Patrick FishburnT7 Hideki Matsuyama -8T6 Lee Hodges -10
T5 Thorbjorn OlesenT7 Tommy Fleetwood09 Andrew Novak -9
T5 Ryo HisatsuneT10 Jordan Spieth -6T10 Chris Kirk -8
T5 Chad RameyT10 Mac MeissnerT10 Rickie Fowler
T5 Tom HogeT14 Ludvig Aberg -5T15 Hideki Matsuyama -7
T12 Jordan Spieth -3T14 Andrew PutnamT15 Nick Taylor
T12 Alejandro TostiT14 Sam StevensT15 Alex Noren
T12 Keith MitchellT14 Alex NorenT15 SH Kim
T12 Sami ValimakiT14 Keith MitchellT22 JJ Spaun -6
T18 Doug Ghim -2T14 SH KimT22 Sepp Straka
T18 Chandler PhillipsT14 T B OT22 Peter Malnati
T18 Matt KucharT14 Rico HoeyT22 Charley Hoffman
T18 Emiliano GrilloT25 Brian Harman -4 
T18 Corey ConnersT25 Max Homa 
T18 Denny McCarthyT25 Lucas Glover 
T26 Matt Wallace -1T25 Corey Conners 
T26 Eric ColeT25 Mark Hubbard 
T26 JT Poston T25 Justin Lower 
T26 Harry Hall  

Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Betting Insights

Farmers Insurance Open

Torrey Pines Golf Club

South Course (host)

North Course

La Jolla, California

** ROB BOLTON – LIVE 4PM ET WEDNESDAYS TheZoneBloomington.com **

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseSouth Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,765.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:Poa annua; 5,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:13 feet plus.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at FOUR inches and growing.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play82/1/1. Pond in front of Par-5 No. 18.
Architect(s):William P. Bell (1957) & William F Bell (1957); Rees Jones (2001, 2019).
Defending Champion (event):Harris English (-8).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Jason Day (2018, 2015); Brandt Snedeker (2016, 2012).
Course Record (last):62; Tiger Woods (1999).
72 Hole Tournament Record:22-under; Tiger Woods (1999; last).
Fact of the Week:One round on each course before the top 65 and ties return to the South Course for the final 36 holes.
Fact of the Week II:Playoff hole is 18 on repeat.
Fact of the Week III:Cut was 1-OVER par in 2025, the first time in forever it was above par (weather issues).

Notes:

  • Field of 147.
  • Second of three multi-course events in four weeks.
  • The OWGR is represented by 27 of the top 50.
  • $9.6 million – $1.728 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.
  • Points available for the Aon Next 5 for Pebble Beach qualification.

Prop Bets

Top 5 (Including Ties)

Brooks Koepka (+970) makes his first PGA TOUR appearance, major championships notwithstanding, since 2022. While Koepka has not fared well in four visits to the Farmers Insurance Open, he did cash T4 at the 2021 U.S. Open on the South Course. His return to action should have his game ready to go as if it were a major championship. If this is too bold, sprinkle him for a Top 10 or Top 20 just in case.

Jake Knapp (+730) is a former UCLA player who grew up in Costa Mesa. After missing the cut as an amateur in 2015, he returned in 2023 to share fourth, and added T32 in 2025. He opened the season with a T11 payday at the Sony Open and can absolutely send it off the tee. Oh, he also ranked 17th in SG: Putting. Nice combo.

Winner Without Xander Schauffele, Si Woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Cameron Young, and Ludvig Aberg

Jason Day (+2600) has won this event twice, both times in a playoff, and owns five top-five paydays. Coming off a T2 last week, I do not have to wait for him to find form. The Australian’s short game was on point in the desert, and not many know this layout better.

Wyndham Clark (+3900) lit up the Stadium Course at La Quinta for 64, the second-lowest round of the week, before he stalled out with 72 on Sunday for T13. He took only three bogeys for the week, but two were doubles. Without any hazards to worry about this week, minus the pond fronting No. 18, he can whale away off the tee and continue to wield a hot putter. The U.S. Open winner at LACC, he should feel comfortable in the big ballpark this week.

Top 10 (Including Ties)

Red-Hot Ryan Gerard (+405) cashed T2, second, and P2 in his last three worldwide starts. On debut at Torrey Pines in 2025, he grinded out a T15 result in difficult scoring conditions. Already a winner on California grass at the Barracuda Championship last summer, he won’t be bothered by Poa annua on the putting surfaces. I can’t imagine he is short on confidence, either.

Andrew Novak (+730) was the only player to cash a check inside the top 15 in both events held at Torrey Pines in 2025. Playing from the final group with eventual champion Harris English at the Farmers Insurance Open, he posted 74 and finished third. Returning for The Genesis Invitational, he posted three of four rounds in the red and earned T13.

I felt Sahith Theegala (+690) was priced for pouncing last week at The American Express. Not even an opening round of 71 could keep him out of the top 10 (T8). Another week in his native California, he will attempt to build on his five-from-five record at Torrey Pines, which includes T4 in 2023, plus T17 from The Genesis Invitational in 2025, where he closed 69-68.

Top 20 (Including Ties)

Max Homa (+225) continues to knock on the door of a breakthrough. Over his last five starts on TOUR, he has five results of T40 or better, including three at T19 or better. He opened 2026 by posting T27 with four rounds in the 60s at The American Express. The 2023 Farmers Insurance Open winner cashed four T19 or better paydays in his last six starts at Torrey Pines.

Haotong Li (+315) squared only three bogeys at The American Express and cashed T8 in his second start of the season (T55 Sony Open). Ranking second in SG: Tee to Green, he was a beast off the tee, and into the greens. He gained the second most shots on the field on the South Course, the most difficult of the three courses in play. The recipe at Torrey Pines is not complicated. Smash it, find it, and smash it again.

S.H. Kim (+430) cashed in this category last week after closing with 66 for T18. In fact, this was his seventh consecutive payday where he earned T18 or better in his last seven worldwide events. This is a recording.

Par-4 Winner

History shows that eight of the last nine winners have finished the week T7 or better in this category. Three of those winners have led the field in this category, including 2025 champion Harris English, and one ended up second overall. Instead of plucking out one of the top Par-4 performers from the 2025 season-ending stats, I would marry this play to your champion and try to double-dip. The conservative play would be the former. I will ride with Jason Day (+4100), who ranked T27 in 2025.

Will there be a playoff?

Yes (+400)

No (-650)

There has been only one playoff required in the last seven events and just two since Jason Day won a four-man shootout in 2015. The 18th hole is a Par-5 with water proteccting the perched final green. A perfect drive means TIME TO GO for the green in regulation. There is plenty of room to bail out long, right, and left, but pressure does funny things to even the best players. With the forecast suggesting PERFECT scoring conditions, I am going to ride the drama angle. Let’s gamble!

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance Open 

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Farmers Insurance Open

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Harris English (-8)Gusty conditions in three of the four rounds made for difficult scoring. English won for the fifth time on TOUR, holding off Sam Stevens by a shot.
2024Mattieu Pavon (-13)First TOUR victory in just his third start with a card; 11th TOUR start. First appearance.
2023Max Homa (-13)Defeated Keegan Bradley by two shots.
2022Luke List (-15)Shot 66 on Sunday and then defeated Will Zalatoris in a playoff. First TOUR win.
2021Patrick Reed (-14)Won by five shots.
2020Marc Leishman (-15)Won by a shot.
2019Justin Rose (-21)Missed tying the course record by a shot.
2018Jason Day (-10)Knocked out Ryan Palmer (not entered) and Alex Noren in a playoff for his second win and second in a playoff.
2017Jon Rahm (-13)Won by three shots on debut and secured his first TOUR win.
2016Brandt Snedeker (-6)Extreme weather turned the event upside down. Snedeker won for the second time without having to play the final day.

Angles

  • The South Course is annually one of the toughest tracks on TOUR.
  • The North Course scores almost 2.5 shots easier on average.
  • Power players, elite short game artists, and grinders thrive.
  • The last 11 winners ranked in the top 10 for Bogey Avoidance.
  • The cut has never been worse than EVEN over the last decade until 2025.
  • Gaining strokes tee to green and on the greens will go a long way.
  • Only Snedeker posted a round in the 70s on the North Course and went on to win.
  • South Course – take your medicine, attack when given the chance, try to get up-and-down on the Par-5 holes.
  • North Course – Time to score!

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

LAST WEEK – The American Express

MY CHOICE: Ben Griffin – T24

After opening with 63, I was #Excited.

After finishing bogey, bogey, I was #NotExcited and out an additional 80k.

We move on.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers Insurance   

THIS WEEK – Farmers Insurance Open

The script flips entirely as the TOUR moves from the resort courses of the California desert to a major championship venue on the La Jolla coast.

The contenders this week will not be able to spray it all over the property and still circle birdies.

Nobody hits the fairways here, and not many more find GIR. The farther it goes with the driver, the more loft into the small greens. Then it’s time to putt on Poa annua in three of the four rounds (Bentgrass on the North).

I’m leaning on power players with excellent short game.

MY CHOICE: Jason Day

With six podium paydays, including two victories, the Australian knows the way home at Torrey Pines. Sharing second last week, I do not have to worry about him rounding into form or searching for confidence. His template is the model here. Smash it, chip it, and hole it. Both of his wins came in extra holes.

Day did not factor into my plans in the majors or Signature Events, so he takes the bullet this week. Ludvig Aberg does.

Others to consider

Max Homa, Taylor Pendrith, Akshay Bhatia, Sam Stevens, Tony Finau

Longshots– Andrew Novak, Beau Hossler, Patrick Rodgers, Pierceson Coody

Horses for Courses

Keegan Bradley – 8 straight weekends

Tony Finau – 5 of last 7 Top 10, including Genesis Invitational

Luke List – 9 straight weekends, former champion

Hideki Matsuyama – 9 straight weekends, only one top-10 payday

Taylor Pendrith – 3 of 4 T16 or better, never missed a cut in four

Adam Scott – T10 and 2nd in two visits

Andrew Novak – 3rd and T13 last year

The 67th American Express

Read more: The 67th American Express

The American Express

The Stadium Course at PGA West (Host)

Nicklaus Tournament Course

La Quinta Country Club

La Quinta, CA

Odds Outlook

DraftKings Markets

Expert Picks

Rob Bolton’s Power Rankings

Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

Rob Bolton joins me each Wednesday at 4pm on TheZoneBloomington.com

Course rotation & tee times →

@theamexgolf

R1) Stadium; R2) La Quinta; R3) Nick Tourney

R1) La Quinta; R2) Nick Tourney; R3) Stadium

R1) Nick Tourney; R2) Stadium; R3) La Quinta

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseStadium Course at PGA West
Yards (per official scorecard):7,210
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:Overseeded Poa annua (TifEagle); 7,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11 feet.
Rough:Overseed at 1 inch. Dormant Tifgreen Bermuda at 2 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-PlayOver 90 bunkers, seven holes with water in play.
Architect(s):Pete Dye (1986).
Defending Champion (event):Sepp Straka (-23).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record (last):61; Justin Thomas (Round 3, 2024), Patrick Cantlay (Round 4, 2021).
72 Hole Tournament Record (2016-current rotation):259; Nick Dunlap (-29).
Fact of the Week:Only seven international winners from the previous 66 events.
Fact of the Week II:Johnny Miller is the only player to defend the title (1975-76).

Notes:

  • Field of 156.
  • First multi-course event of 2026 and first pro-am.
  • The OWGR is represented by 27 of the top 50.
  • Top 65 and ties will make the cut and play the weekend after 54 holes (play each course once).
  • $9.2 million – $1.656 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.

Recent Winners

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American Express 
Farmers Insurance Open 

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – The American Express

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Sepp Straka (-23)Bogeyed two of the last three holes to win by two. Cake walk.
2024Nick Dunlap (-29)First amateur to win on TOUR since 1991; First TOUR start (sponsor’s exemption); Tournament scoring record.
2023Jon Rahm (-27)Played in the final group with Davis Thompson and beat him by a shot to win for the second time.
2022Hudson Swafford      (-23)Defeated Tom Hoge by two shots to win for the second time.
2021Si Woo Kim (-23)Only made two bogeys for the week on the SC/NT rotation to win by one.
2020Andrew Landry (-26)Tied the tournament scoring record winning by two.
2019Adam Long (-26)Became the first rookie to win since Jhonattan Vegas (2011).
2018Jon Rahm (-22)Needed a playoff to knock off Andrew Landry.
2017Hudson Swafford      (-20)Wet, windy weekend produced the highest winning total to date in the new rota.
2016Jason Dufner (-25)Saw off David Lingmerth in a playoff in the first iteration of Stadium Course, Nicklaus Tournament Course and LQCC

Angles

  • The Nicklaus Tournament Course plays to Par-72 and 7,210 yards. Playing 7,000 square feet on average, the Overseeded Poa annua greens are the largest of the three courses. Dylan Wu (2023) and Will Zalatoris (2022) have posted 61 here.
  • La Quinta Country Club is known for premium putting surfaces and plays the easiest of the trio. All three courses have minimal rough and green speeds that won’t exceed 11 feet. Playing to Par-72 and 7,060 yards, it is one of the easiest tracks on TOUR annually. Adam Hadwin posted 59 in Round 3 in 2017.
  • All 10 winners have posted 20-under or better to win, and nine of 10 champions ranked in the top 10 in Par-4 and Par-5 scoring.
  • The HIGHEST cut in this rotation in the last three editions was 7-under. The LOWEST cut in this rotation was 13-UNDER-PAR in 2024.
  • First tournament with overseeded Poa annua greens.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

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LAST WEEK – The Sony Open in Hawaii

MY CHOICE: Robert MacIntyre – T4

The Scotsman

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American Express   
Farmers Insurance   

THIS WEEK – The American Express

Back to the mainland this week for the first Pro-Am and multi-course event of the year.

20-under is the worst winning score on this three-course rotation, which began in 2016.

I’m looking for guys who are hot and make a shit ton of birdies.

MY CHOICE: Ben Griffin

The last time there was a shootout on the PGA TOUR, Griffin posted 29-under to win the WorldWide Technology Championship at Los Cabos. He ranked in the top 15 in Birdies and Eagles in 2025 and painted the top 10 on his last two visits.

The last thing I need to do in the second event of the year is overthink it.

Others to consider

J.T. Poston, Si Woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Harry Hall, Max Greyserman

Longshot – Alex Smalley