Betting Angles – FedEx St. Jude Championship

FedEx St. Jude Championship

TPC Southwind

Memphis, Tennessee

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Host CourseTPC Southwind
Yards (per official scorecard):7,288 yards.
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:TifEagle Bermudagrass; 4,300 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:12.5 feet.
Rough:419 Bermudagrass at 3 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play75/11/11
Architect(s):Ron Pritchard (1988); Renovation 2024/2025.
Defending Champion:Justin Rose.
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:61; Justin Rose (Round 3, 2023).
72 Hole Tournament Record (event):263 (-17); Hideki Matsuyama 2024.
Fact of the Week:All FedExCup Playoff events do NOT have a cut.

Notes:

  • Field of 69 players. The top 70 players qualified, but Daniel Berger did not enter.
  • 19 of the top 20 OWGR are entered.
  • The top 50 players on the FedExCup standings after four rounds will advance to the BMW Championship in St. Louis next week at Bellerive Country Club.
  • $20 million – $3.6 million to the winner plus 750 FedEx Cup points.

Recent Winners – FedEx St. Jude Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Justin Rose (-16)Defeated J.J. Spaun in a playoff to win his second career FedEx Cup Playoff event (2011 BMW Championship).
2024Hideki Matsuyama       (-17)Set the FedExCup Playoffs scoring record at TPC Southwind; vanquished Xander Schauffele and Viktor Hovland by two shots.
2023Lucas Glover (-15)Knocked out Patrick Cantlay in a playoff to win for the second consecutive week on TOUR.
2022Will Zalatoris (-15)Defeated Sepp Straka in a playoff in the first FedExCup Playoffs event at TPC Southwind.
2021Abraham Ancer       (-16)Held off Sam Burns and Hideki Matsuyama in a playoff to win the WGC-BI.
2020Justin Thomas (-13)One of only six players to post 10-under or better.
2019Brooks Koepka (-16)One of only seven players to post 10-under or better.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick
Cadillac ChampionshipCameron Young (2)
Truist ChampionshipKristoffer Reitan (first-time winner)
108th PGA ChampionshipAaron Rai
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonWyndham Clark
Charles Schwab ChallengeRussell Henley
Memorial TournamentJT Poston
RBC Canadian OpenBud Cauley (first-time winner)
United States OpenWyndham Clark
Travelers ChampionshipViktor Hovland
John Deere ClassicChris Gotterup (3)
Genesis Scottish OpenTom Kim
The 154th Open ChampionshipRyan Fox
3M OpenJackson Koivun (first-time winner)
Rocket ClassicMichael Thorbjornsen (first-time winner)
Wyndham ChampionshipMichael Brennan

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSShane Lowrymc0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000
Cadillac ChampionshipGary WoodlandT3872,182
Truist ChampionshipRory McIlroyT19242,100
108th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauMC0
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonSi Woo Kim2nd1,122,700
Charles SchwabJ.J. SpaunT3322,987
Memorial TournamentJordan SpiethMC0
RBC Canadian OpenZach BauchouMC0
United States OpenXander SchauffeleT11405,862
Travelers ChampionshipBrian HarmanT24154,500
John Deere ClassicJT PostonT5121,358
Genesis Scottish OpenMatt FitzpatrickT3431,887
The Open ChampionshipTyrrell HattonT6940,800
3M OpenPierceson CoodyMC0
Rocket ClassicHideki MatsuyamaT5370,000
Wyndham ChampionshipRyan GerardMC0

Last WEEK – Wyndham Championship

The Choice: Ryan Gerard

Missed the cut. #OnBrand.

This Week – FedEx St. Jude Championship

I can see the finish line from here!

Those of you who have saved your bullets for the biggest occasion, it is time to fire them at will.

The hottest player (non-winners division): Matsuyama

The hottest player (Lucas Glover division): Michael Brennan

The chalkiest player (MC last time out division): Matt Fitzpatrick

The Horse for Course (non-winners division): Scheffler, Fleetwood, Cantlay

The Horses for Courses: Matsuyama, Justin Thomas

The Horses for Courses (longshot): Harris English

Thoughts on Chalkiest Chalk:

Scheffler: If he wins this week, he surely can win again at East Lake!

McIlroy: Can’t play him and Scheffler at East Lake!

Young: There isn’t a bad week.

Fitzpatrick: Three top-6 paydays in Memphis.

Clark: Will win or finish last.

Gotterup: BMW, where he can give it a ride.

Morikawa: Memphis has the smallest greens, tight fairways…

I have the following left in my stable of shite:

03 Cameron YoungEast Lake
04 Wyndham ClarkFESJC or BMW
06 Collin MorikawaBMW
08 Sam BurnsBermudagrass
10 Ludvig AbergBMW
14 Akshay BhatiaMC in 3 of his last 5
17 Min Woo Lee1 top-10 since the Masters
18 Kristoffer ReitanAll good, first-timer
22 Ryan FoxClaret Jug AF
23 Viktor HovlandChaser’s dream
24 Justin RoseNow or never
25 Alex SmalleyNope
26 Tom KimIf you’re chasing…
27 Gary WoodlandOr desperate
28 Rickie FowlerOr insane
29 Adam ScottOr a romantic
39 Justin ThomasOh, hey, lookie here!

The Choice: Justin Thomas

The SMART play is probably Burns on his preferred surface, or Clark for his boom/bust upside.

I am way past the “smart” point of the proceedings…

After all his close calls this season, Burns is a tough laydown, and Aberg is not too far behind. As usual, I default to my upbringing, Horses for Courses, and will ride with the 2020 winner on this track of the WGC-BI. Burns or Aberg will be the choice next week, unless Hovland pops back into one of his ridiculous heaters.

Thomas, who has not won since 2025 Harbour Town, currently resides at No. 38 and needs a big finish this week or next to force his way into the Top 30. The 16-time winner shouldn’t have any scar tissue to worry about if he is in the fight on Sunday afternoon in Memphis.

For those of you with Matsuyama in the stable, time to get the saddle on!

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