WM Phoenix Open Betting Angles 2026

February 4, 2026 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

WM Phoenix Open

TPC Scottsdale

Stadium Course

Field

Scottsdale, Arizona

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NOW PLAYING:

Host Course (Since 1987)	The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,261.
Par:	71 (35-36).
Greens:	Poa trivialis, creeping Bentgrass, perennial Ryegrass; 7,100 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:	12 feet.
Rough:	Overseeded Rye and Fine Fescue at 3.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	67/3/6.
Architect(s):	Tom Weiskopf & Jay Morrish (1986); Tom Weiskopf (2014 renovation for 2015 event).
Defending Champion (event):	Thomas Detry, -24 (tournament scoring record; no longer eligible for the PGA TOUR).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	Scottie Scheffler (2022-23), Brooks Koepka (2015, 2021), and Hideki Matsuyama (2016-17).
Course Record:	60; Nick Taylor, Round 1 (2024).
72 Hole Tournament Record (post-2014 renovation)	24-under 261 (Thomas Detry, 2025).
Fact of the Week:	Only five international players (six wins) have lifted the trophy this century, including the last two winners.
Fact of the Week II:	Only two players have won on debut this century.

Notes:

Field of 123.
The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
The OWGR is represented by 32 of the top 50.
$9.6 million – $1.728 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry, PLAYERS, and Masters ticket punched.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	No Event
Sony Open in Hawaii	Chris Gotterup
The American Express	Scottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance Open	Justin Rose

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at Vidanta	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
Puerto Rico Open	Karl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
88^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Ben Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One Flight	Ryan Fox
106^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
The 50^th Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
124^th United States Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
ISCO Championship	William Mouw (first time)
152^nd Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda Championship	Ryan Gerard (first time)
3M Open	Kurt Kitayama
Wyndham Championship	Cameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Justin Rose
BMW Championship	Scottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR Championship	Tommy Fleetwood (first time)

FedEx Cup Fall
Procore Championship	Scottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms Championship	Steven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert Championship	Michael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent Championship	Xander Schauffele
World Wide Technology Champ	Ben Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda Champ	Adam Schenk (first time)
The RSM Classic	Sami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – WM Phoenix Open

Italics – not entered this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2025	Thomas Detry (-24)	Smoked the field by seven shots to become the first champion to win by more than two strokes since the 2014 renovation. No longer eligible for the PGA TOUR.
2024	Nick Taylor (-21)	Held off Charley Hoffman to become the sixth winner in the last nine to need extra holes. The duo established the new tournament scoring record.
2023	Scottie Scheffler (-19)	Tied the tournament scoring record defending his title. Won by two shots over Nick Taylor. Third place was five back.
2022	Scottie Scheffler (-16)	Defeated Patrick Cantlay in a playoff to win for the first time on TOUR.
2021	Brooks Koepka (-19)	Matched the tournament scoring mark while holding off KH Lee and Xander Schauffele by a shot.
2020	Webb Simpson (-17)	Defeated Tony Finau in a playoff.
2019	Rickie Fowler (-19)	Sat 20-under after 54 holes before eventually winning by two shots in cool, rainy, conditions.
2018	Gary Woodland (-18)	Defeated Chez Reavie in a playoff; Circled 26 birdies.
2017	Hideki Matsuyama (-17)	Successfully defended his title knocking out Webb Simpson in a playoff.
2016	Hideki Matsuyama (-14)	Won in his third attempt, defeating Rickie Fowler in a playoff.
2015	Brooks Koepka (-15)	First win on TOUR on debut; defeated a trio of players, including Hideki Matsuyama, by a shot.

Notables

The highest winning total since 2015 is 14-under par, from 2016.
The last three champions have set the tournament scoring record.
Eight of the last nine winners have ranked eighth or better in Ball-Striking.
Detry, Taylor, and Matsuyama joined Aaron Baddeley (2007) and Vijay Singh (2003) as the only international winners this century.
Only two players won on debut this century, including 23-year-old J.B. Holmes (not entered) in 2006, and none since Koepka in 2015.
Holmes and Matsuyama are the youngest winners at 23.
Kenny Perry (not entered) is the oldest winner at 48 in 2009.
Tom Weiskopf designs features on TOUR at TPC Craig Ranch and Black Desert Golf Club, where Michael Brennan (2025) and Matt McCarty both broke their maidens.
Every winner in the last decade ranked T13 or better in Greens in Regulation.

Thoughts on WM Phoenix Open

Pay the “Winner without Scheffler” Tax.

Perfect weather = golf ball gonna go and conditions will be ideal for scoring.

Leave the kids at home. Only two players this century, as noted above, have won on debut here. Detry’s masterclass in 2025 is all it took to become a first-time TOUR winner at this event. His numbers were Scheffler-ian. Good luck finding a repeat of that.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

LAST WEEK – Farmers Insurance Open

My Choice: Jason Day (T38)

WE ARE GOING THE WRONG WAY.

I picked the wrong “old” one-time major champion with great course history.

Shit happens.

He played the weekend in four-under-par, but that’s of no consolation when the winner posted 22-under. He had a fantastic week with his approach play, but was in the bottom 10 in putting. That was NOT the combination I envisioned.

Sigh.

Event	Selection	Place	Earnings

Sony Open in Hawaii	Robert MacIntyre	T4	409,500
The American Express	Ben Griffin	T24	81,420
Farmers Insurance	Jason Day	T38	41,760

THIS WEEK – WM Phoenix Open

Although I’m disappointed with my last three weeks, this game will be won and lost at THE PLAYERS, the four major championships, and the first two events of the FedExCup Playoffs.

Getting it right for those events, plus the Signature Events, remains the main thing.

MY CHOICE: Sahith Theegala

The 54-hole leader, or co-leader, twice in four years, enters the week off back-to-back top-10 paydays and looks to have found his early-season groove.

I’m going to let Koepka get comfortable. Matsuyama was a tough lay-down here, but he also loves Riviera. Scheffler? No chance. Majors or THE PLAYERS. Remember when nobody won THE PLAYERS back-to-back? Yeah, no chance I’m writing him off for three straight.

Others to consider:

Cameron Young – big hitter, GREAT putter, hotter than a match.

Si Woo Kim – As long as his pal Scheffler is nowhere near him on Sunday, he has desert bonafides.

Maverick McNealy – Back-to-back Top 10s here.

Jake Knapp – Another who can overpower the angles and roll the rock.

Chris Gotterup – Free as a bird and should love this environment.

Pierceson Coody – Closed with 65 last week at Torrey Pines and led the TOUR in SG: Off the Tee in 2025.

Horses for Courses

Player	Top	Scoring	Top	Notes
(cuts made/starts)	10	Avg	25
Scottie Scheffler (5/6)	4	67.25	5	2x winner; T3 2024.
Nick Taylor (7/11)	2	69.83	3	T25-WIN-T2 last 3 = best 3.
Hideki Matsuyama (11/12)	3	68.24	9	T29 or better in 10 of 11.
Rickie Fowler (11/17)	5	69.09	7	WD/MC 4 of last 5; 2019 WIN, 2016 2^nd.
Brooks Koepka (5/5)	3	68.15	3	T3 last visit ’22.
Jordan Spieth (7/9)	6	68.50	6	T6 or better 4 of last 5; 3 straight T6>.
Gary Woodland (11/16)	3	69.52	5	Win 2018; T7 defense; T21 2025.
Xander Schauffele (6/6)	4	67.92	6	3 straight top 10; worst is T17; 1st start since 2023.
Daniel Berger (7/10)	4	68.94	5	T2 2025; T9 2020.
Sam Burns (4/7)	2	69.05	3	T49-T3-T6 last 3.

Sahith Theegala (4/4)	2	68.56	2	See above.
Cameron Young (4/4)	1	69.19	2	T12-T8 (-26) last 2 years; 4 straight paydays.
Maverick McNealy (2/3)	2	68.44	2	T9-T6 (-28) last 2 years.
Matt Fitzpatrick (3/4)	1	68.93	2	MC-T15-T29-T10 last 4.
Corey Conners (6/6)	0	69.83	1	T17 best; 7th straight year.

Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Betting Insights

January 28, 2026 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

Farmers Insurance Open

Torrey Pines Golf Club

South Course (host)

North Course

La Jolla, California

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NOW PLAYING:

Host Course	South Course
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,765.
Par:	72 (36-36).
Greens:	Poa annua; 5,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:	13 feet plus.
Rough:	Overseeded ryegrass at FOUR inches and growing.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	82/1/1. Pond in front of Par-5 No. 18.
Architect(s):	William P. Bell (1957) & William F Bell (1957); Rees Jones (2001, 2019).
Defending Champion (event):	Harris English (-8).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	Jason Day (2018, 2015); Brandt Snedeker (2016, 2012).
Course Record (last):	62; Tiger Woods (1999).
72 Hole Tournament Record:	22-under; Tiger Woods (1999; last).
Fact of the Week:	One round on each course before the top 65 and ties return to the South Course for the final 36 holes.
Fact of the Week II:	Playoff hole is 18 on repeat.
Fact of the Week III:	Cut was 1-OVER par in 2025, the first time in forever it was above par (weather issues).

Notes:

Field of 147.
Second of three multi-course events in four weeks.
The OWGR is represented by 27 of the top 50.
$9.6 million – $1.728 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.
Points available for the Aon Next 5 for Pebble Beach qualification.

Prop Bets

Top 5 (Including Ties)

Brooks Koepka (+970) makes his first PGA TOUR appearance, major championships notwithstanding, since 2022. While Koepka has not fared well in four visits to the Farmers Insurance Open, he did cash T4 at the 2021 U.S. Open on the South Course. His return to action should have his game ready to go as if it were a major championship. If this is too bold, sprinkle him for a Top 10 or Top 20 just in case.

Jake Knapp (+730) is a former UCLA player who grew up in Costa Mesa. After missing the cut as an amateur in 2015, he returned in 2023 to share fourth, and added T32 in 2025. He opened the season with a T11 payday at the Sony Open and can absolutely send it off the tee. Oh, he also ranked 17^th in SG: Putting. Nice combo.

Winner Without Xander Schauffele, Si Woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Cameron Young, and Ludvig Aberg

Jason Day (+2600) has won this event twice, both times in a playoff, and owns five top-five paydays. Coming off a T2 last week, I do not have to wait for him to find form. The Australian’s short game was on point in the desert, and not many know this layout better.

Wyndham Clark (+3900) lit up the Stadium Course at La Quinta for 64, the second-lowest round of the week, before he stalled out with 72 on Sunday for T13. He took only three bogeys for the week, but two were doubles. Without any hazards to worry about this week, minus the pond fronting No. 18, he can whale away off the tee and continue to wield a hot putter. The U.S. Open winner at LACC, he should feel comfortable in the big ballpark this week.

Top 10 (Including Ties)

Red-Hot Ryan Gerard (+405) cashed T2, second, and P2 in his last three worldwide starts. On debut at Torrey Pines in 2025, he grinded out a T15 result in difficult scoring conditions. Already a winner on California grass at the Barracuda Championship last summer, he won’t be bothered by Poa annua on the putting surfaces. I can’t imagine he is short on confidence, either.

Andrew Novak (+730) was the only player to cash a check inside the top 15 in both events held at Torrey Pines in 2025. Playing from the final group with eventual champion Harris English at the Farmers Insurance Open, he posted 74 and finished third. Returning for The Genesis Invitational, he posted three of four rounds in the red and earned T13.

I felt Sahith Theegala (+690) was priced for pouncing last week at The American Express. Not even an opening round of 71 could keep him out of the top 10 (T8). Another week in his native California, he will attempt to build on his five-from-five record at Torrey Pines, which includes T4 in 2023, plus T17 from The Genesis Invitational in 2025, where he closed 69-68.

Top 20 (Including Ties)

Max Homa (+225) continues to knock on the door of a breakthrough. Over his last five starts on TOUR, he has five results of T40 or better, including three at T19 or better. He opened 2026 by posting T27 with four rounds in the 60s at The American Express. The 2023 Farmers Insurance Open winner cashed four T19 or better paydays in his last six starts at Torrey Pines.

Haotong Li (+315) squared only three bogeys at The American Express and cashed T8 in his second start of the season (T55 Sony Open). Ranking second in SG: Tee to Green, he was a beast off the tee, and into the greens. He gained the second most shots on the field on the South Course, the most difficult of the three courses in play. The recipe at Torrey Pines is not complicated. Smash it, find it, and smash it again.

S.H. Kim (+430) cashed in this category last week after closing with 66 for T18. In fact, this was his seventh consecutive payday where he earned T18 or better in his last seven worldwide events. This is a recording.

Par-4 Winner

History shows that eight of the last nine winners have finished the week T7 or better in this category. Three of those winners have led the field in this category, including 2025 champion Harris English, and one ended up second overall. Instead of plucking out one of the top Par-4 performers from the 2025 season-ending stats, I would marry this play to your champion and try to double-dip. The conservative play would be the former. I will ride with Jason Day (+4100), who ranked T27 in 2025.

Will there be a playoff?

Yes (+400)

No (-650)

There has been only one playoff required in the last seven events and just two since Jason Day won a four-man shootout in 2015. The 18^th hole is a Par-5 with water proteccting the perched final green. A perfect drive means TIME TO GO for the green in regulation. There is plenty of room to bail out long, right, and left, but pressure does funny things to even the best players. With the forecast suggesting PERFECT scoring conditions, I am going to ride the drama angle. Let’s gamble!

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	No Event
Sony Open in Hawaii	Chris Gotterup
The American Express	Scottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance Open

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at Vidanta	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
Puerto Rico Open	Karl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
88^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Ben Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One Flight	Ryan Fox
106^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
The 50^th Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
124^th United States Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
ISCO Championship	William Mouw (first time)
152^nd Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda Championship	Ryan Gerard (first time)
3M Open	Kurt Kitayama
Wyndham Championship	Cameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Justin Rose
BMW Championship	Scottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR Championship	Tommy Fleetwood (first time)

FedEx Cup Fall
Procore Championship	Scottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms Championship	Steven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert Championship	Michael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent Championship	Xander Schauffele
World Wide Technology Champ	Ben Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda Champ	Adam Schenk (first time)
The RSM Classic	Sami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Farmers Insurance Open

Italics – not entered this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2025	Harris English (-8)	Gusty conditions in three of the four rounds made for difficult scoring. English won for the fifth time on TOUR, holding off Sam Stevens by a shot.
2024	Mattieu Pavon (-13)	First TOUR victory in just his third start with a card; 11^th TOUR start. First appearance.
2023	Max Homa (-13)	Defeated Keegan Bradley by two shots.
2022	Luke List (-15)	Shot 66 on Sunday and then defeated Will Zalatoris in a playoff. First TOUR win.
2021	Patrick Reed (-14)	Won by five shots.
2020	Marc Leishman (-15)	Won by a shot.
2019	Justin Rose (-21)	Missed tying the course record by a shot.
2018	Jason Day (-10)	Knocked out Ryan Palmer (not entered) and Alex Noren in a playoff for his second win and second in a playoff.
2017	Jon Rahm (-13)	Won by three shots on debut and secured his first TOUR win.
2016	Brandt Snedeker (-6)	Extreme weather turned the event upside down. Snedeker won for the second time without having to play the final day.

Angles

The South Course is annually one of the toughest tracks on TOUR.

The North Course scores almost 2.5 shots easier on average.

Power players, elite short game artists, and grinders thrive.

The last 11 winners ranked in the top 10 for Bogey Avoidance.

The cut has never been worse than EVEN over the last decade until 2025.

Gaining strokes tee to green and on the greens will go a long way.

Only Snedeker posted a round in the 70s on the North Course and went on to win.

South Course – take your medicine, attack when given the chance, try to get up-and-down on the Par-5 holes.

North Course – Time to score!

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

LAST WEEK – The American Express

MY CHOICE: Ben Griffin – T24

After opening with 63, I was #Excited.

After finishing bogey, bogey, I was #NotExcited and out an additional 80k.

We move on.

Event	Selection	Place	Earnings

Sony Open in Hawaii	Robert MacIntyre	T4	409,500
The American Express	Ben Griffin	T24	81,420
Farmers Insurance

THIS WEEK – Farmers Insurance Open

The script flips entirely as the TOUR moves from the resort courses of the California desert to a major championship venue on the La Jolla coast.

The contenders this week will not be able to spray it all over the property and still circle birdies.

Nobody hits the fairways here, and not many more find GIR. The farther it goes with the driver, the more loft into the small greens. Then it’s time to putt on Poa annua in three of the four rounds (Bentgrass on the North).

I’m leaning on power players with excellent short game.

MY CHOICE: Jason Day

With six podium paydays, including two victories, the Australian knows the way home at Torrey Pines. Sharing second last week, I do not have to worry about him rounding into form or searching for confidence. His template is the model here. Smash it, chip it, and hole it. Both of his wins came in extra holes.

Day did not factor into my plans in the majors or Signature Events, so he takes the bullet this week. Ludvig Aberg does.

Others to consider

Max Homa, Taylor Pendrith, Akshay Bhatia, Sam Stevens, Tony Finau

Longshots– Andrew Novak, Beau Hossler, Patrick Rodgers, Pierceson Coody

Horses for Courses

Keegan Bradley – 8 straight weekends

Tony Finau – 5 of last 7 Top 10, including Genesis Invitational

Luke List – 9 straight weekends, former champion

Hideki Matsuyama – 9 straight weekends, only one top-10 payday

Taylor Pendrith – 3 of 4 T16 or better, never missed a cut in four

Adam Scott – T10 and 2^nd in two visits

Andrew Novak – 3^rd and T13 last year

The 67th American Express

January 21, 2026 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

The American Express

The Stadium Course at PGA West (Host)

Nicklaus Tournament Course

La Quinta Country Club

La Quinta, CA

Odds Outlook

DraftKings Markets

Expert Picks

Rob Bolton’s Power Rankings

Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

Rob Bolton joins me each Wednesday at 4pm on TheZoneBloomington.com

Course rotation & tee times →

@theamexgolf

R1) Stadium; R2) La Quinta; R3) Nick Tourney

R1) La Quinta; R2) Nick Tourney; R3) Stadium

R1) Nick Tourney; R2) Stadium; R3) La Quinta

NOW PLAYING:

Host Course	Stadium Course at PGA West
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,210
Par:	72 (36-36).
Greens:	Overseeded Poa annua (TifEagle); 7,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:	11 feet.
Rough:	Overseed at 1 inch. Dormant Tifgreen Bermuda at 2 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	Over 90 bunkers, seven holes with water in play.
Architect(s):	Pete Dye (1986).
Defending Champion (event):	Sepp Straka (-23).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	None.
Course Record (last):	61; Justin Thomas (Round 3, 2024), Patrick Cantlay (Round 4, 2021).
72 Hole Tournament Record (2016-current rotation):	259; Nick Dunlap (-29).
Fact of the Week:	Only seven international winners from the previous 66 events.
Fact of the Week II:	Johnny Miller is the only player to defend the title (1975-76).

Notes:

Field of 156.
First multi-course event of 2026 and first pro-am.
The OWGR is represented by 27 of the top 50.
Top 65 and ties will make the cut and play the weekend after 54 holes (play each course once).
$9.2 million – $1.656 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.

Recent Winners

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	No Event
Sony Open in Hawaii	Chris Gotterup
The American Express
Farmers Insurance Open

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at Vidanta	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
Puerto Rico Open	Karl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
88^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Ben Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One Flight	Ryan Fox
106^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
The 50^th Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
124^th United States Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
ISCO Championship	William Mouw (first time)
152^nd Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda Championship	Ryan Gerard (first time)
3M Open	Kurt Kitayama
Wyndham Championship	Cameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Justin Rose
BMW Championship	Scottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR Championship	Tommy Fleetwood (first time)

FedEx Cup Fall
Procore Championship	Scottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms Championship	Steven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert Championship	Michael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent Championship	Xander Schauffele
World Wide Technology Champ	Ben Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda Champ	Adam Schenk (first time)
The RSM Classic	Sami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – The American Express

Italics – not entered this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2025	Sepp Straka (-23)	Bogeyed two of the last three holes to win by two. Cake walk.
2024	Nick Dunlap (-29)	First amateur to win on TOUR since 1991; First TOUR start (sponsor’s exemption); Tournament scoring record.
2023	Jon Rahm (-27)	Played in the final group with Davis Thompson and beat him by a shot to win for the second time.
2022	Hudson Swafford (-23)	Defeated Tom Hoge by two shots to win for the second time.
2021	Si Woo Kim (-23)	Only made two bogeys for the week on the SC/NT rotation to win by one.
2020	Andrew Landry (-26)	Tied the tournament scoring record winning by two.
2019	Adam Long (-26)	Became the first rookie to win since Jhonattan Vegas (2011).
2018	Jon Rahm (-22)	Needed a playoff to knock off Andrew Landry.
2017	Hudson Swafford (-20)	Wet, windy weekend produced the highest winning total to date in the new rota.
2016	Jason Dufner (-25)	Saw off David Lingmerth in a playoff in the first iteration of Stadium Course, Nicklaus Tournament Course and LQCC

Angles

The Nicklaus Tournament Course plays to Par-72 and 7,210 yards. Playing 7,000 square feet on average, the Overseeded Poa annua greens are the largest of the three courses. Dylan Wu (2023) and Will Zalatoris (2022) have posted 61 here.

La Quinta Country Club is known for premium putting surfaces and plays the easiest of the trio. All three courses have minimal rough and green speeds that won’t exceed 11 feet. Playing to Par-72 and 7,060 yards, it is one of the easiest tracks on TOUR annually. Adam Hadwin posted 59 in Round 3 in 2017.

All 10 winners have posted 20-under or better to win, and nine of 10 champions ranked in the top 10 in Par-4 and Par-5 scoring.

The HIGHEST cut in this rotation in the last three editions was 7-under. The LOWEST cut in this rotation was 13-UNDER-PAR in 2024.

First tournament with overseeded Poa annua greens.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

LAST WEEK – The Sony Open in Hawaii

MY CHOICE: Robert MacIntyre – T4

The Scotsman

Event	Selection	Place	Earnings

Sony Open in Hawaii	Robert MacIntyre	T4	409,500
The American Express
Farmers Insurance

THIS WEEK – The American Express

Back to the mainland this week for the first Pro-Am and multi-course event of the year.

20-under is the worst winning score on this three-course rotation, which began in 2016.

I’m looking for guys who are hot and make a shit ton of birdies.

MY CHOICE: Ben Griffin

The last time there was a shootout on the PGA TOUR, Griffin posted 29-under to win the WorldWide Technology Championship at Los Cabos. He ranked in the top 15 in Birdies and Eagles in 2025 and painted the top 10 on his last two visits.

The last thing I need to do in the second event of the year is overthink it.

Others to consider

J.T. Poston, Si Woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Harry Hall, Max Greyserman

Longshot – Alex Smalley

Sony Open in Hawaii Scoop

January 14, 2026 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

First event of the year, let’s roll!

Sony Open in Hawaii

Waialae Country Club

Honolulu, Oahu, Hawaii

NOW PLAYING:

Host Course	Waialae Country Club.
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,044.
Par:	70 (35-35)
Greens:	TifEagle Bermuda; 7,100 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:	12 feet.
Rough:	Celebration Bermuda; three inches and growing.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	83/4/5.
Architect(s):	Seth Raynor (1927).
Defending Champion (event):	Nick Taylor (-16; 264).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	None. Only five multiple winners since 1965 (Last: Jimmy Walker).
Course Record (last):	59; Justin Thomas (Round 1, 2017).
72 Hole Tournament Record (last):	253 (-27); Justin Thomas (2017).
Fact of the Week:	Waialae CC has been the only course to host this event. There was no event in 1970.
Fact of the Week II:	The last player to win on debut was Russell Henley in 2013. Experience matters, gang.

Notes:

Field of 120.
The OWGR is represented by 20 of the top 50.
Top 65 and ties will make the cut and play the weekend.
$9.1 million – $1.638 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.

Recent Winners

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at Vidanta	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
Puerto Rico Open	Karl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
88^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Ben Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One Flight	Ryan Fox
106^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
The 50^th Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
124^th United States Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
ISCO Championship	William Mouw (first time)
152^nd Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda Championship	Ryan Gerard (first time)
3M Open	Kurt Kitayama
Wyndham Championship	Cameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Justin Rose
BMW Championship	Scottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR Championship	Tommy Fleetwood (first time)

FedEx Cup Fall
Procore Championship	Scottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms Championship	Steven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert Championship	Michael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent Championship	Xander Schauffele
World Wide Technology Champ	Ben Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda Champ	Adam Schenk (first time)
The RSM Classic	Sami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Sony Open in Hawaii

Italics – not entered this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2025	Nick Taylor (-16)	Defeated Nico Echavarria on the first playoff hole for his fifth win on TOUR. 54-hole leader J.J. Spaun finished one shot out of a playoff.
2024	Grayson Murray (-17)	Knocked out Byeong Hun An and Keegan Bradley with a 48-foot birdie on the first playoff hole. May he rest in peace.
2023	Si Woo Kim (-18)	Shot 64 on Sunday to make up a three-shot deficit and knock out 54-hole leader Hayden Buckley by a shot.
2022	Hideki Matsuyama (-23)	Won a playoff over 54-hole leader and 2013 winner Russell Henley.
2021	Kevin Na (-21)	Shot 61 in Round 3 and held on to beat Chris Kirk by one.
2020	Cameron Smith (-11)	Matched the second highest winning score since 2000. Rain and windy conditions all weekend.
2019	Matt Kuchar (-22)	Won comfortably by four over Andrew Putnam.
2018	Patton Kizzire (-17)	Needed a playoff to win in just his second visit.

Angles

Waialae Country Club stretches to just 7,044 yards, one of the shortest courses on TOUR, and plays to Par-70.

Par-70 was established for the 1999 edition, the only tournament to produce a single-digit winning score (-9). The two highest winning scores since are 11-under in 2005 and 2020.

Bermudagrass fairways, rough, and greens are in play again this week, just like The RSM Classic to end 2025.

With greens averaging 7,100 square feet, the putting surfaces at Waialae are well-above average for the PGA TOUR.

Experienced players flourished in this event from 1997 through 2019. All but three winners were under the age of 30. Over the last five years, four winners have been 30 or younger.

The course record, 59, was set in 2017 by Justin Thomas (not entered), in Round 1. He would go on to win and smash the tournament scoring record by three shots as he posted 253 (-27).

Five of the last six winners previously represented the International team in the Presidents Cup.

Six of the last seven champions needed four prior starts before cracking the code.

10 of the last 11 winners have registered in the top 10 in Par-4 Scoring.

Taylor is the only winner in 11 not to register in the top 20 in Proximity (25^th). None were in the top 10 of Driving Accuracy.

Four of the last five and six of the previous 10 events have required a playoff to determine a champion.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Event	Selection	Earnings
Sony Open in Hawaii
The American Express
Farmers Insurance Open

THIS WEEK – Sony Open in Hawaii

The Opening Drive in Hawaii takes the TOUR to a familiar stop. Waialae has hosted the event since 1965 and has not changed the par or yardage since 2007.

The first of 30-odd events in Spotter’s game, Sony gives us a chance to grind on our first at bat.

I will remind you that finishing on the podium in a signature event and/or major championship is about the same haul as winning a “normal” TOUR stop these days.

YOU WILL NOT win the war by winning the battle this week, but $1.6 million will not hurt the bottom line.

Saving guys for down the road also brings headaches into play. Injury, caddie firings, slumps, and babies being born are just some of the REAL-LIFE CHALLENGES we must navigate from January to August.

My approach is more art than science.

There’s an old saying that guys peak for six to eight weeks per year, usually around the big events for the biggest of players.

Remember, Scottie Scheffler won just about everything last year. Just make sure you pick him during one of the weeks when he does win! By all accounts, you should have a handful of chances not to screw it up!

MY CHOICE: Robert MacIntyre

The red-hot Scot racked up a win and a pair of top-10 results in the DP World Tour portion of the fall. A world star who finished second at the U.S. Open and the BMW Championship, I will ride him in a breezy, coastal set-up.

Horses for Courses

All Time Money List	Top	Top	Notes
(cuts made/starts)	10	25

Russell Henley (10/13)	4	7	Won on 2013 debut; T10, T4, T32, and 2nd last four years; T17 > 7x
Chris Kirk (10/15)	5	6	MC 2025; T18-3rd-T27-2nd before; 4 top 5 career
Nick Taylor (7/9)	3	4	Win-T7-T7-T11 last 4 years; 5 straight
Si Woo Kim (6/8)	2	3	2023 winner; 4th on debut 2016; MC 2025
Hideki Matsuyama (9/12)	1	4	2022 winner; 9 consecutive cuts made; 5 of last 6 T30 or better
Webb Simpson (14/15)	4	9	T16 2025; T4 2021, T3 2020 recent bests
Keegan Bradley (9/13)	2	5	T6-T2 last 2; T12 or better 4 of last 6
Nico Echavarria (3/3)	1	2	P2-T66-T12 Last 3 years
Gary Woodland (6/10)	3	5	T16 in 5 of 6 weekends
Brian Harman (12/14)	1	6	6 straight; 11 of 12
Corey Conners (6/7)	1	4	4x T12 or better; T3 best

JJ Spaun (3/8)	1	2	T3, MC 2024, T12 2023
Zac Blair (6/6)	2	2	NEVER missed in 6 tries
Keith Mitchell (6/8)	1	4	T30 or better in four of last 5.
Eric Cole (3/3)	1	2	5th-T13-T61

2025	2024	2023
Nick Taylor (-16)	Grayson Murray (-17)	Si Woo Kim (-18)
wins by Playoff (Echavaarria)	wins by 1 (Bradley, An)	wins by 1 (Buckley)
Par 70 – 7,044 yds	Par 70 – 7,044 yds	Par 70 – 7,044 yds

P2 Nico Echavarrria	P2 Ben An	03 Chris Kirk -15
T3 JJ Spaun -15	P2 Keegan Bradley	T4 David Lipsky
05 Eric Cole -14	T4 Russell Henley -16	T7 Maverick McNealy
T6 Adam Schenk -13	06 JT Poston -15	T7 Nick Taylor
T6 Keegan Bradley	T7 Nick Taylor -14	T12 Corey Conners -12
T10 Russell Henley -12	T7 Emiliano Grillo	T12 Nico Echavarria
T10 Nick Dunlap	T10 Harris English -13	T12 Austin Eckroat
T10 Harry Hall	T10 Taylor Pendrith	T12 Ben Griffin
T10 Lee Hodges	T10 Andrew Putnam	T12 JJ Spaun

Sony Open in Hawaii 2026

January 14, 2026 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

Welcome back, Golf Fans!

It’s a bummer we missed Kapalua, but here we are on Oahu at Waialae.

Let’s get started!

Odds Outlook – My thoughts on the chalk at the top of the board for PGATOUR.COM.

DraftKings Markets – My thoughts on alternate angles outside of straight win tickets.

Shout out to my brother, Rob Bolton, and his fantastic Power Rankings.

Rob will join me most Wednesdays at TheZoneBloomington.com at 4pm ET to talk shit, set lineups, and fill out your betting cards. Listen live at the link or download the app (98.7 The Zone) from your store to listen along.

I am no longer writing Horses for Courses for the website, so I will list my heavy-hitters here.

I am not actively participating in One and Done this year, but I will provide hints in this column each Wednesday, when I do not forget.

Good luck in 2026, subscribe, and keep reading!

Thank you, as always,

Glass

Procore Championship

September 10, 2025 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

FedExCup Fall – Procore Championship

Silverado Resort

North Course

Napa, California

Head to Golfbet for all our content each week.

Quick Links:

Odds Outlook

Mike Glasscott: Procore Championship tips

It’s a different field in Napa Valley in 2025 with 10 of the 12 USA Ryder Cup players teeing it up.

The rank and file will use this week and six more to establish playing privileges for the 2026 TOUR season, which begins in January. Remember, only the top 100 are guaranteed a full schedule for 2026. Read more about it here.

NOW PLAYING: Procore Championship

Host Course	Silverado Resort – North Course
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,138 (up 15 yards from 2024; new professional tee on No. 15).
Par:	72 (35-37).
Greens:	Bentgrass/Poa annua; 5,400 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:	11.5 feet and up.
Rough:	Bluegrass/Rye at 2.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	55/2/2
Architect(s):	Ben Harmon (1955); Robert Trent Jones, Sr., (1966); Johnny Miller (2011).
Defending Champion (event):	Patton Kizzire (-20).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	Max Homa (2022, 2021).
Multiple Champions (course):	Max Homa, Brendan Steele (not entered).
Fact of the Week:	The first 11 events produced nine unique winners and five were native Californians.

Procore Championship

The opening event to the wrap-around season from years past transitioned into the opening event for the FedExCup Fall in 2023.

The last six winners have posted 16-under or better, and four of the previous five champions have posted the lowest winning totals.

Theegala is the only winner in the last seven editions not to register in the top three in SG: Tee to Green (T6). Kizzire was fourth in 2024.

In his first victory in 2021, Max Homa is the only winner in the last six years to finish outside the top seven in Scrambling (T42). Kizzire was first in 2024.

Former champions in the field this week also include Cameron Champ (2019) and Emiliano Grillo (2015).

Recent PGA TOUR Winners

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorld	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy (2)
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
89^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (3)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Andrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
ONEFLIGHT Myrtle Beach	Ryan Fox
107^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
CS Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
125^th U.S. Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
The Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)
3M Open	Kurt Kitayama
Wyndham Championship	Cameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Justin Rose (oldest modern Euro)
BMW Championship	Scottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR Championship	Tommy Fleetwood (first time)

Recent Winners – Procore Championship

Italics – not entered/qualified this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2024	Patton Kizzire (-20)	Won by five shots to set the tournament record for margin of victory. First win 6+ years.
2023	Sahith Theegala (-21)	California native won for the first time on TOUR and tied the tournament scoring record.
2022	Max Homa (-16)	Successfully defended his 2021 title by defeating 2016 Masters champion Danny Willett by a shot.
2021	Max Homa (-19)	Closing with 65, he beat Maverick McNealy by a shot to pick up his first top 10 since June.
2020	Stewart Cink (-21)	Became the oldest winner at 47 while setting the tournament scoring record.
2019	Cameron Champ (-17)	Sacramento native held off Adam Hadwin to win by one.
2018	Kevin Tway (-14)	Posting the highest winning total, Tway needed a playoff to win for the first time on TOUR.

Horses for Courses – Procore Championship

The FedExCup Fall harvest begins at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa Valley, launching the first of seven events of the back half of 2025. Returning to Silverado for the 12th consecutive season, the Par-72, stretched to 7,138 yards, welcomes a field of 144 players highlighted by defending champion Patton Kizzire (+30000) and 10 of the 12 players representing the USA at the Ryder Cup in two weeks at Bethpage Black in New York.

Winning by five shots in the fall of 2024, Kizzire set the tournament record for margin of victory in his third win on TOUR. Posting 20-under-par, he missed equaling the tournament record – matched by Sahith Theegala (+4000) in 2023 – by a shot. He led the field in SG: Putting and Scrambling, plus ranked fourth in SG: Tee to Green. Kizzire had previous success in Wine Country. He finished second on debut in the 2016 edition and will return for the ninth time. He is one of only two non-California champions since 2019.

Orange, California, native Sahith Theegala (+4000) returns to the site of his first victory on TOUR. Surrounded by friends and family, he matched the tournament scoring record of 21-under-par 265 in 2023 and added his third consecutive top-10 payday with T7 in defense last year. He cashed four T14 or better paydays from five weekend performances and owns a scoring average of 68.80.

The only two-time winner at the North Course to enter this week, Californian Max Homa (+4500), owns four top-10 results from nine attempts. The Southern California native, who attended school in the East Bay at Cal-Berkeley, won the event in 2021 and 2022 before a T7 payday in 2023 wiped out his attempt at a three-peat. He fell short of the weekend by one shot in 2024 but has made the cut in seven of nine visits. A victory would see him become the only three-time winner in event history.

2025 Ryder Cup Players

Players listed below are competing this week; Odds presented by FanDuel Sportsbook;

Keegan Bradley sends 10 of his 12 players to the first tee at Silverado.

Player	Rounds	Top 10	Avg	Odds
Scottie Scheffler (first appearance)	0	0	0	+210
Russell Henley	8	0	70.88	+1600
Justin Thomas	21	4	69.19	+1600
J.J. Spaun	30	1	70.53	+2500
Collin Morikawa	6	1	70.00	+2500
Harris English	22	1	70.95	+2700
Ben Griffin	2	0	73.00	+2500
Cameron Young	2	0	74.00	+2000
Patrick Cantlay	16	0	70.44	+1800
Sam Burns	6	1	69.50	+2000

Sacramento native Cameron Champ (+10000) won the 2019 tournament after signing for T25 in 2018. He is one of four winners (six events) from the state of California in the previous 11 events. If he qualifies for the weekend in 2025, it would be his first shot at the final 36 holes in five years. He has missed the cut on his previous four visits.

Emiliano Grillo (+8000), the last player to win on debut at Silverado, lifted the trophy in 2015, and is one of two international champions. The Argentinian was playing in his first PGA TOUR event with a TOUR card and needed a playoff, one of only two in history, to win. His total of 15-under equals the highest winning score in 11 events. Teeing it up for the ninth time, he owns five paydays of T29 or better and enters for the first time since the 2023 event.

SG: Putting

Rank	Player	Odds
1	Sam Burns	+2000
3	Taylor Montgomery	+17500
4	Sam Ryder	+17500
6	Cameron Young	+2000
7	Nico Echavarria	+10000
9	Brandt Snedeker	+50000
10	Sami Valimaki	+10000
11	Andrew Putnam	+12500
16	Thorbjorn Olesen	+8000
17	Justin Thomas	+1600
18	Harris English	+2700
20	Scottie Scheffler	+210

The North Course at Silverado Resort plays only 7,138 yards to Par-72 but has the toughest fairways to hit on TOUR. The 2024 event saw less than half, 46.81 percent, of drives find the short grass. The other major defense of the track, most recently renovated for the arrival of the TOUR in 2014, is the putting surfaces. The Bent/Poa annua greens flummox the best players on TOUR with their nuance and slope. Only Torrey Pines and Detroit Golf Club were more difficult to navigate inside 10 feet in 2024. The last two champions finished first and second in SG: Putting, while the last five winners ranked in the top 15. The course has played under-par in the 11 previous events, and the 36-hole cut has been two-under or BETTER the last six years.

More than 50 percent of approach shots will come from the rough, and missing the greens will challenge the best of scramblers. Getting it close from bunkers, closely mown areas, and bluegrass/ryegrass around the greens isn’t cut and dry. Silverado ranked fifth-most difficult in approach around the greens in 2024.

Excellent wedge players and putters should thrive.

Oddsmaker’s Extras

Justin Thomas (+1600): No matter which stage of his career he was currently navigating, Thomas has flourished in Napa Valley. He missed the weekend in 2014 as an up-and-comer but returned in 2015 to hit the podium (T3), beginning a run of 15 of 16 rounds at par or better. Securing T8 in 2016, he did not return until the 2019 event. He added four rounds of 71 or better, including 64 in Round 2, and collected T4 money. After a four-year hiatus, he played in the final group in 2023 and hit the top five (solo fifth), his fourth top-10 result in six visits.

Matt Kuchar (+10000): The veteran has cashed in five of six, including his last four visits over the previous four seasons. Four of those paydays are T21 or better, including the last three years (T13-T7-T12). Making the cut in 2025 would run his streak to five straight at Silverado.

Tom Hoge (+25000): Although not in the best form currently, Hoge is on a run of four straight appearances and six of his last seven. Racking up T7 in 2024, followed by T12 in 2023, and 15 of his last 16 are par or better.

Justin Lower (+30000): Another longer shot, Lower collected T4 in 2022 and T7 in 2024 and is on a run of three straight.

Mark Hubbard (+8000): The former San Jose State player has not cracked the top 10 but has posted four of his last six paydays between T13 and T21.

Maverick McNealy (+2500): The runner-up to Homa in his first victory, he missed the cut the year before and the two events following. Careful.

September is Responsible Gaming Education Month. For more information on how to put together your sports betting game plan, visit haveagameplan.org/pgatour.

2025 TOUR Championship

August 20, 2025 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

Yep, he’s the man to beat this week and every week!

FedEx Cup Playoffs – Event No. 3

TOUR Championship

East Lake Golf Club

Atlanta, Georgia

Head to PGATOUR.COM for all our content each week.

Thoughts on Chalk (odds via Bet365.com)

Scottie Scheffler (+162): He’s never been the medalist at this event. That’s all I got. That’s his new conquest.

Rory McIlroy (+700): Circled 17 birdies and an eagle last week, plenty. Squared eight bogeys and FOUR doubles, plenty in the wrong direction. Once again, he will be paired with Scheffler for the first round. LET’S GET READY TO RUMBLE.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1200): He’ll need to keep it close enough for one of his 63s on Sunday. We know he doesn’t hold the lead well.

Ludvig Aberg (+1600): With three top-10 paydays in his last four, all big events, I’d suggest he makes it four out of five in his second start at East Lake.

Russell Henley (+1800): On Bermuda. Yes.

Viktor Hovland (+2200): If it is all going to come together, this would be the week, and course, for it to happen.

Sam Burns (+2500): Only one of three players to hit 10-under the last two seasons (gross).

Cameron Young (+2800): No let down after his first win on TOUR at Wyndham. Next stop is solidifying a Captain’s Pick. When does the water get too deep?

Collin Morikawa (+2800): Posted 22-under to win the gross last year. Has not contended since Detroit.

Justin Thomas (+2800): Four straight outside T20. Loves it here. Keep reading.

Patrick Cantlay (+2800): Didn’t catch the spark at Caves Valley.

Others for Top 5 and Top 10 action are mentioned in Prop Bets (Odds Outlook) at PGATOUR.com

Seven players make their debut.

Six players have won the FedExCup Championship.

NOW PLAYING:

Host Course	East Lake Golf Club
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,440.
Par:	70 (35-35).
Greens:	TifEagle Bermudagrass; 6,600 square feet.
Stimpmeter:	12 feet and up.
Rough:	Tifway 419 Bermudagrass at 3.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	78/5/8
Architect(s):	Tom Bendelow (1904); Donald Ross (1913); George Cobb (1959); Rees Jones (multiple); Andrew Green (2023-24).
Tournament Record (2007-25)	257; Tiger Woods (Bentgrass) 2007.
Course record (last):	60; Zach Johnson (2007, Bentgrass); 61; Collin Morikawa (2023, Bermudagrass).
Defending Champion (net):	Scottie Scheffler (-30).
Defending “Champion” (gross):	Collin Morikawa (-22).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	Rory McIlroy (2016, 2019, 2022).
Facts of the Week:	East Lake returns to a Par-70 for 2025 and STARTING STROKES no longer exist.

Recent Winners – TOUR Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2024	Scottie Scheffler (-30)	Didn’t win the gross, but they handed out the trophy for net. Won by four shots over Morikawa.
2023	Viktor Hovland (-27)	Backed up his BMW Championship with a commanding five-shot victory.
2022	Rory McIlroy (-21)	Held off Scheffler by a shot to win for the third time.
2021	Patrick Cantlay (-21)	Lost the gross by four shots but won the war by one.

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorld	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy (2)
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
89^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (3)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Andrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
ONEFLIGHT Myrtle Beach	Ryan Fox
107^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
CS Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
125^th U.S. Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
The Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)
3M Open	Kurt Kitayama
Wyndham Championship	Cameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Justin Rose (oldest modern Euro)
BMW Championship	Scottie Scheffler (5)

2024 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Chris Kirk
Sony Open in Hawaii	Grayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American Express	Nick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance Open	Matthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble Beach	Wyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix Open	Nick Taylor
The Genesis Invitational	Hideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at Vidanta	Jake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant Classic	Austin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Scottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar Championship	Peter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Stephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Akshay Bhatia
88^th Masters Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Heritage	Scottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich Classic	Rory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Taylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo Championship	Rory McIlroy (2)
106^th PGA Championship	Xander Schauffele
Charles Schwab Challenge	Davis Riley
RBC Canadian Open	Robert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49^th Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (5)
124^th United States Open	Bryson DeChambeau
Travelers Championship	Scottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Cam Davis
John Deere Classic	Davis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish Open	Robert MacIntyre (2)
152^nd Open Championship	Xander Schauffele (2)
3M Open	Jhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris Olympics	Scottie Scheffler (7)
3M Open	Jhonattan Vegas
Wyndham Championship	Aaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Hideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW Championship	Keegan Bradley
The TOUR Championship	Scottie Scheffler (8)

FedEx Cup Fall
Procore Championship	Patton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms Championship	Kevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert Championship	Matt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s Open	JT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP	Nico Echavarria
World Wide Technology Champ	Austin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda Champ	Rafa Campos (first time)
The RSM Classic	Maverick McNealy (first time)

Horses for Courses – TOUR Championship

All roads end at the TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club outside Atlanta for the top 30 players in the FedExCup Playoffs. Since 2007, East Lake Golf Club has been the exclusive host to determine the winner of the most lucrative prize on the PGA TOUR.

For the fourth consecutive season, Scottie Scheffler (+150) arrives at the top of the FedExCup Playoffs points table. In 2024, the World No. 1 paid off his Starting Strokes lead of 10-under and won the FedExCup Championship for the first time in five tries. This year, Starting Strokes are no longer in use. The entire field will make a run at the reigning champion from even par. Scheffler owns four T6 or better paydays in five starts, including posting 20-under (264) in his 2024 victory.

Year	To Par (total)	Gross Finish	Net Finish
2024	-20 (264)	2^nd	WIN
2023	-1 (279)	T21	T6
2022	-10 (270)	T13	T2
2021	-2 (278)	T17	T22
2020	-12 (268)	2nd	T5

With a win this week, Scheffler would be the first player to win the event in consecutive seasons. It would also be the first time finishing with the lowest gross total.

Scheffler’s biggest rival this week is three-time champion Rory McIlroy (+850). Making his 12^th start at East Lake, the host for the 19^th consecutive season, the World No. 2 owns nine top-10 results, which include titles in 2022 (-17; 263), 2019 (-13; 267), and 2016 (-12; 268). In his last eight starts, he finished outside the top 10 once (T14, 2021) and is one of six previous winners in the field. In 44 career loops, he has posted a round in the 60s 33 times. Not bad.

Scoring Average – TOUR Championship

Select players listed below are competing this week; Odds presented by FanDuel Sportsbook; Minimum eight rounds played.

There are seven players in the field of 30 on debut this week.

Rank	Player	Rounds	Avg	Odds
1	Viktor Hovland	20	67.40	+2700
2	Justin Thomas	32	67.81	+2500
3	Scottie Scheffler	20	67.95	+150
T4	Russell Henley	16	68.00	+2000
T4	Collin Morikawa	20	68.00	+3000
6	Rory McIlroy	44	68.11	+850
7	Sepp Straka	12	68.42	+3500
8	Sam Burns	16	68.69	+3000
9	Tommy Fleetwood	16	68.94	+1400
10	Justin Rose	40	69.05	+5500

Viktor Hovland (+2700) pulverized the previous Par-70 in the 2023 edition. The Norwegian posted 19-under (261), which included rounds of 64 and a closing round of 63, to win the FedExCup TOUR Championship for the first time. Making his sixth consecutive start, he has signed for 20 rounds all at par or better (see above). He also shared fifth place in 2021.

Justin Thomas (+2500) broke his streak of seven consecutive top-10 paydays at East Lake when he failed to qualify for the FedExCup Playoffs in 2023. Returning in 2024, he posted 14-under but cashed outside the top 10 for the first time (T14). Thomas does have another current streak to protect. Over his last four visits to East Lake, he produced a gross total in double-digits under par. He is second in the field this week in Scoring Average at East Lake.

Collin Morikawa (+3000) set the Bermudagrass greens tournament scoring record of 22-under-par in 2024, missing tying Tiger Woods’ 2007 record (Bentgrass greens) by a shot. He “beat” Scheffler by two shots but finished second due to Starting Strokes. In the 2023 edition, he opened with 61 to set the Bermudagrass COURSE record. He followed with 64 to set the 36-hole tournament scoring record before fading with 73-72 on the weekend (T4, gross). Making his sixth start, he owns three top-seven gross finishes.

SG: Tee to Green

Rank	Player	Odds
1	Scottie Scheffler	+150
2	Tommy Fleetwood	+1400
3	Collin Morikawa	+3000
6	J.J. Spaun	+2700
7	Russell Henley	+2000
8	Keegan Bradley	+4000
10	Sepp Straka	+3500
11	Shane Lowry	+7000
12	Rory McIlroy	+850
14	Viktor Hovland	+2700

The 2025 scorecard reduction from Par-71 to Par-70 includes shrinking hole No. 14 from 580 yards to 530 yards. The Par-5 now plays to a Par-4. The renovations before the 2024 event opened sightlines and increased the size of the greens, among other things. The new grass on the greens should be settled and conditions should play firmer and faster than in 2024. A putting contest is not going to decide who wins the first-place payday of $10 million from the $40 million prize purse. Load up on the players who find fairways and greens.

Oddsmaker’s Extras

Patrick Cantlay (+2500): The Californian failed to qualify for the 2020 edition but returned in style to win the 2021 event, but did not produce the lowest gross total. After failing to break par over 72 holes in each of his first three visits, his victory in 2021 kicked off a run of three straight seasons at eight-under-par or better, all resulting in top-10 paychecks. His seven-under gross total in 2024 paid T17 money.

Russell Henley (+2000): After cashing T3 in the 2017 edition, the Georgia native did not return until the 2023 event. A fantastic player on all strains of Bermudagrass, he opened with 65 and closed with 66 to post 6-under for the week, good for a top-half finish of T14. Last year, he stormed home on Sunday with 62, one off the course record, and posted 17-under-par 267 for the fourth-best gross total.

Sam Burns (+3000): The Louisiana native, making his fifth consecutive appearance, does not mind hot and humid conditions this time of the year! He joins Hovland and Morikawa as the only players entered to post double-digits under-par in the last two events at East Lake (T12, T9).

Hideki Matsuyama (+4000): Finishing tied for ninth in 2024, the Japanese star continued his wonderful all-or-nothing paydays at East Lake. In his last six starts, half resulted in paydays inside the top 10 while the other three were T11 or worse. His best results are T4 in 2018 and fifth in 2016.

Justin Rose (+5500): Like Matsuyama, the Englishman’s best days were in the 2010s, including six consecutive top-10 results over six events spanning 2012-2018. Rose returns to East Lake for the first time since 2019.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy gets kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

Event	Selection	Place	Earnings
The Sentry	Sungjae Im	3^rd	$1,360,000
Sony Open in Hawaii	Russell Henley	T10	195,025
The American Express	Adam Hadwin	MC
Farmers Insurance	Jason Day	T32	52,080
AT&T Pebble Beach	Ludvig Aberg	WD
WM Phoenix Open	Rasmus Hojgaard	T12	195,500
Genesis Invitational	Will Zalatoris	T24	168,857
Mexico Open	Patrick Rodgers	T25	59,350
Cognizant Classic	Daniel Berger	T25	73,721
Arnold Palmer	Keegan Bradley	T5	800,000
THE PLAYERS	Collin Morikawa	T10	656,250
Valspar Championship	Sepp Straka	T28	55,844
Houston Open	Aaron Rai	MC
Valero Texas Open	Corey Conners	T18	113,050
89^th Masters	Rory McIlroy	WIN	4,200,000
RBC Heritage	Scottie Scheffler	T8	540,000
Zurich Classic	Kurt Kitayama	MC
Byron Nelson	Si Woo Kim	T15	136,719
Truist Championship	Tommy Fleetwood	T4	826,667
107^th PGA Championship	Bryson DeChambeau	T2	1,418,667
CS Challenge	Jordan Spieth	T36	42,344
Memorial	Hideki Matsuyama	38^th	94,000
RBC Canadian Open	Taylor Pendrith	T27	64,353
United States Open	Jon Rahm	T7	615,786
Travelers	Brian Harman	8^th	620,000
Rocket Classic	Cam Young	T46	27,091
John Deere Classic	Denny McCarthy	T11	174,300
Scottish Open	Robert MacIntyre	T65	19,800
The Open Championship	Shane Lowry	T40	68,340
3M Open	Wyndham Clark	T12	186,900
Wyndham Champ	Ben Griffin	T11	198,850
FedEx St. Jude Champ	Xander Schauffele	T22	186,666
BMW Championship	Justin Thomas	T33	119,666

LAST WEEK – BMW Championship

THE CHOICE: Justin Thomas – T33

I could have used Viktor Hovland or Patrick Cantlay here, both event champions over the last five years. Instead, I’m running out the biggest winner in the pile who won this event in Chicago in 2019. Chasing with Chris Gotterup or J.J. Spaun is desperate, but I like it.

Well, gang, Hovland would have been the better choice!

I finished the season in 22^nd place and took home REAL MONEY!

Individual Standings

FINAL RESULTS

Place	PWC	Team	Owner	Earnings	Scorecard
1st	10	Brandon Smith	Brandon Smith	$18,552,543	Season
2nd	1	Scotties Cellmates	Scott Reese	$18,214,045	Season
3rd	1	Long Shank Champion	Gary McGee	$17,454,748	Season
4th	—	Far From Par	Nick Luisi	$17,375,704	Season
5th	2	Josh Veith	Josh Veith	$16,976,992	Season
6th	1	Jesper Parnepicks	Jamie Larner	$16,965,779	Season
7th	1	FairwaysNGreens	Steve Duperrieu	$16,868,533	Season
8th	1	Dave’s Super Heroes	David Lawlor	$16,741,371	Season
9th	1	HKlein	Howie Klein	$15,961,935	Season
10th	—	Myers	Mike Myers	$15,507,933	Season
11th	3	Strikes And Gutters	Rob Carpenter	$15,315,402	Season
12th	3	Harmonators	Gearoid Harmon	$15,193,031	Season
13th	3	Sandy’s Surf Shack	Sanford Moore	$15,009,166	Season
14th	1	Dcharns	Don Charnley	$14,998,476	Season
15th	3	Out Of Bounds/Balls	Mick McDonnell	$14,986,687	Season
16th	3	Avid 3 Putters	Tyler Boyd	$14,986,456	Season
17th	—	KOD	Kevin O’Dea	$14,370,779	Season
18th	3	Where Eagles Dare	Ian Kevan	$13,995,447	Season
19th	1	Swingers Club	Matt Needham	$13,959,271	Season
20th	—	D Dot Sacco	Dan Sacco	$13,656,466	Season
21st	2	Eye Off The Tiger	Patrick Kelly	$13,619,556	Season
22nd	—	Glassholes	Mike Glasscott	$13,298,800	Season
23rd	1	Bellerive Bulldog	Michael Kaiser	$13,242,928	Season
24th	1	Lokeness Monsters	Joshua Lokey	$13,099,780	Season
25th	3	A Gusta Wind	Craig Lambert	$12,784,134	Season

I hope you beat me!

Thanks for reading!

FedExCup Playoffs Event 2

August 13, 2025 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

BMW Championship

This week at the 2025 #BMWCHAMPS

8.12 🏌️ Practice Round
8.13 ⛳ Gardner Heidrick Pro-Am
8.14 👆 Round One
8.15 ✌️ Round Two
8.16 📦 Moving Day
8.17 🏆 Final Round pic.twitter.com/BjQAN4FKEj
— BMW Championship (@BMWchamps) August 11, 2025

FedEx Cup Playoffs – Event No. 2

BMW Championship

Caves Valley Golf Club

Owings Mills, Maryland

Head to PGATOUR.COM for all our content each week.

Thoughts on Chalk (odds via Bet365.com)

Scottie Scheffler (+220): With 20 fewer golfers in the field, his odds drop to a season-low figure, and that’s with Rory McIlroy playing. The book has determined this to be a two-horse race. Saddle up correctly! The ONLY note of bother is Ted Scott WILL NOT be on the bag this week.

Rory McIlroy (+750): The rest is over. The roar is over about him missing the event last week. His Ryder Cup place is sealed, and he will NOT be a playing captain in the future. His problem lies just above. There is only one focus this week.

Xander Schauffele (+1800): He’s No. 43 in the standings. The top 30 qualify for East Lake. He will need T21 or better to advance. Sounds pretty straight forward!

Ludvig Aberg (+2500): Now, we’re talking! T23 or better in his last three includes a pair of top-10 paydays. Gaining strokes off the tee is a massive deal this week and next.

Patrick Cantlay (+2000): HE PLAYS WELL WHERE HE PLAYS WELL. Loading up on Top 20 and Top 10 plays too after T9 last week.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500): Too much golf course for me. Too much scar tissue as well. It would be one hell of a story, but it is an extra 300-plus yards he didn’t have to deal with last week.

Cameron Young (+2200): He is on a serious heater! After closing with 64, the round of the day Sunday in Memphis, he picked up solo fifth after winning for the first time at the Wyndham Championship. Bomber’s course and he qualifies.

Justin Thomas (+2500): Only Young put together a better round last Sunday in Memphis. He’s close.

J.J. Spaun (+2800): Only shows up in BIG EVENTS, apparently! What a story! Californian riding a SERIOUS wave!

Others for Top 5 and Top 10 action are mentioned in Prop Bets (Odds Outlook) at PGATOUR.com

Quick note, Hovland did NOT make a hole-in-one here in 2021. It was the following season in Delaware. My mistake (thanks Gator!).

NOW PLAYING:

Host Course	Caves Valley Golf Club
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,601. Longest Par-70 on TOUR in 2025 and third-longest overall.
Par:	70 (35-35).
Greens:	Pure distinction Bentgrass; 5,200 square feet.
Stimpmeter:	12 feet.
Rough:	4 inches of Bluegrass and Tall Fescue.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	N/A.
Architect(s):	Tom Fazio (1990); Logan Fazio (2020). Tom Fazio (2023).
Tournament Record:	261 (-27); Patrick Cantlay & Bryson DeChambeau (ineligible), 2021.
Course record (last):	60; DeChambeau.
Defending Champion (course):	Cantlay.
Defending Champion (event):	Keegan Bradley (2).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	Cantlay (2021, 2022); Bradley (2018, 2024).
Facts of the Week:	Better watch the video below before falling in love with the results and history of 2021!

Recent Winners – BMW Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2024	Keegan Bradley (-12)	Wins by two over Aberg and Burns at The International outside Denver.
2023	Viktor Hovland (-17)	Wins by two over Scheffler and Fitzpatrick at Olympia Fields (North Course).
2022	Patrick Cantlay (-14)	Knocked off Scott Stallings by one shot at the Wilmington CC.
2021	Patrick Cantlay (-27)	Needed a six-hole playoff to beat DeChambeau after trashing the field with 31 birdies.

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorld	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy (2)
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
89^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (3)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Andrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
ONEFLIGHT Myrtle Beach	Ryan Fox
107^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
CS Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
125^th U.S. Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
The Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)
3M Open	Kurt Kitayama
Wyndham Championship	Cameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Justin Rose (oldest modern Euro)

2024 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Chris Kirk
Sony Open in Hawaii	Grayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American Express	Nick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance Open	Matthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble Beach	Wyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix Open	Nick Taylor
The Genesis Invitational	Hideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at Vidanta	Jake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant Classic	Austin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Scottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar Championship	Peter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Stephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Akshay Bhatia
88^th Masters Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Heritage	Scottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich Classic	Rory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Taylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo Championship	Rory McIlroy (2)
106^th PGA Championship	Xander Schauffele
Charles Schwab Challenge	Davis Riley
RBC Canadian Open	Robert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49^th Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (5)
124^th United States Open	Bryson DeChambeau
Travelers Championship	Scottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Cam Davis
John Deere Classic	Davis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish Open	Robert MacIntyre (2)
152^nd Open Championship	Xander Schauffele (2)
3M Open	Jhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris Olympics	Scottie Scheffler (7)
3M Open	Jhonattan Vegas
Wyndham Championship	Aaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Hideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW Championship	Keegan Bradley
The TOUR Championship	Scottie Scheffler (8)

FedEx Cup Fall
Procore Championship	Patton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms Championship	Kevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert Championship	Matt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s Open	JT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP	Nico Echavarria
World Wide Technology Champ	Austin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda Champ	Rafa Campos (first time)
The RSM Classic	Maverick McNealy (first time)

Horses for Courses

The BMW Championship returns to Caves Valley Golf Club outside of Baltimore for the second time since 2021 and for the second time in the history of the event. Identifying the champion is the first order of business. The second is shaving the field of 49 down to the 30 players who will advance to the FedExCup Playoffs TOUR Championship next week in Atlanta. Patrick Cantlay (+2500), the course defending champion and two-time winner of the BMW Championship, highlights a field of 49 players. Sepp Straka withdrew from the event on Monday.

Cantlay put on a master class with the flatstick to produce 27-under 261 on the Par-72 in the 2021 championship. Gaining 3.644 strokes against the field on the greens, he still needed a six-hole playoff to close the deal. The 2025 edition will play and feel brand-new tee-to-green and on the putting surfaces. The Par-72 has been reduced to a Par-70 but has been expanded by almost 60 yards to 7,601 yards, an increase from 7,542 yards in 2021. Watch the changes here. The owner of four top-10 paydays at the BMW Championship, seven of eight registered T15 or better.

Keegan Bradley (+4500) joins Cantlay as the other two-time BMW Championship winner playing this week. The 2025 Ryder Cup captain is also the defending champion of the event, held outside Denver in 2024. Bradley also knocked off Justin Rose in a playoff in the 2018 edition at Aronimink Golf Club in Philadelphia, his first of two top-10 paychecks from 12 attempts.

Top Finishers – 2021 BMW Championship

Players listed below are competing this week; Odds presented by FanDuel Sportsbook

Position	Player	Odds
1	Patrick Cantlay	+2500
3	Sungjae Im	+8000
4	Rory McIlroy	+750
8	Sam Burns	+3500
T17	Viktor Hovland	+3500
T22	Scottie Scheffler	+220
T22	Corey Conners	+4500
T22	Justin Thomas	+2500
T26	Harris English	+5000
T26	Daniel Berger	+125000
T26	Shane Lowry	+7000
T29	Brian Harman	+8000
T29	Si Woo Kim	+6000

Rory McIlroy (+750) is making his 15th career start and owns seven top-10 finishes, including a victory in 2012. Finishing fourth in 2021, he was one of six players who topped 20-under-par for the week in the first event at Caves Valley. The World No. 2 owns six FedExCup Playoffs victories, including three FedExCup championships at East Lake Golf Club, another demanding Par-70 layout measuring over 7,400 yards. The Northern Irishman feasts this time of year, owning finishes of T19 in 11 of 14 career events.

Sitting at No. 43 entering the week, Xander Schauffele (+1800) also enjoys the last two events of the FedExCup Playoffs. Searching for his first victory, he will enjoy the new-look layout at Caves Valley. In eight BMW Championships, he collected seven paydays of T20 or better, including top-10 paychecks over the last three editions. The only outlier? T49 in 2021 at Caves Valley.

Sungjae Im (+8000), conversely, wishes Caves Valley had produced a carbon-copy layout in 2025. The Korean posted four rounds of 67 or better to post 23-under and occupy solo third. Making his seventh trip to the BMW Championship, he owns five T15 or better finishes and a pair of results inside the top seven.

SG: Off the Tee

Entered this week

Rank	Player	Odds
1	Scottie Scheffler	+220
3	Rory McIlroy	+750
7	Chris Gotterup	+3500
8	Taylor Pendrith	+8000
10	Ludvig Aberg	+2200
11	Kurt Kitayama	+3500
12	Collin Morikawa	+3500
19	Daniel Berger	+12500
20	Corey Conners	+4500

Caves Valley has tightened up the fairways, pinched in bunkers, and increased the length of the rough upwards of four inches. Gaining shots on the field off the tee and attacking from the short grass will set the foundation for the week. The 2021 edition produced seven players in the top 11 spots on the final leaderboard from this category. Length and accuracy, now on a scorecard measuring 7,601 yards, will always play.

Oddsmaker’s Extras

Scottie Scheffler (+280): After podium paydays of T2 in 2023 and T3 in 2022, the favorite this week and every week, will look to improve on his T22 result in 2021.

Justin Rose (+4500): The 2011 winner and runner-up in 2017 and 2018, the Englishman looks to add to his four top-10 paydays. He did not qualify for the 2021 edition.

Justin Thomas (+3000): The winner in 2019 outside Chicago at Medinah No. 3, it is his only top-10 result.

Sam Burns (+4500): Cashing solo eighth place in 2021, the Louisiana native owns four T19 or better finishes.

Tommy Fleetwood (+3500): The Englishman shared fifth in 2024 and continued his streak of four consecutive results T25 or better.

Corey Conners (+4000): Half of his six starts have paid off in the top 10. The Canadian led the field in Fairways in 2021 and cashed T22.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy gets kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

Event	Selection	Place	Earnings
The Sentry	Sungjae Im	3^rd	$1,360,000
Sony Open in Hawaii	Russell Henley	T10	195,025
The American Express	Adam Hadwin	MC
Farmers Insurance	Jason Day	T32	52,080
AT&T Pebble Beach	Ludvig Aberg	WD
WM Phoenix Open	Rasmus Hojgaard	T12	195,500
Genesis Invitational	Will Zalatoris	T24	168,857
Mexico Open	Patrick Rodgers	T25	59,350
Cognizant Classic	Daniel Berger	T25	73,721
Arnold Palmer	Keegan Bradley	T5	800,000
THE PLAYERS	Collin Morikawa	T10	656,250
Valspar Championship	Sepp Straka	T28	55,844
Houston Open	Aaron Rai	MC
Valero Texas Open	Corey Conners	T18	113,050
89^th Masters	Rory McIlroy	WIN	4,200,000
RBC Heritage	Scottie Scheffler	T8	540,000
Zurich Classic	Kurt Kitayama	MC
Byron Nelson	Si Woo Kim	T15	136,719
Truist Championship	Tommy Fleetwood	T4	826,667
107^th PGA Championship	Bryson DeChambeau	T2	1,418,667
CS Challenge	Jordan Spieth	T36	42,344
Memorial	Hideki Matsuyama	38^th	94,000
RBC Canadian Open	Taylor Pendrith	T27	64,353
United States Open	Jon Rahm	T7	615,786
Travelers	Brian Harman	8^th	620,000
Rocket Classic	Cam Young	T46	27,091
John Deere Classic	Denny McCarthy	T11	174,300
Scottish Open	Robert MacIntyre	T65	19,800
The Open Championship	Shane Lowry	T40	68,340
3M Open	Wyndham Clark	T12	186,900
Wyndham Champ	Ben Griffin	T11	198,850
FedEx St. Jude Champ	Xander Schauffele	T22	186,666

LAST WEEK – FedEx St. Jude Championship

THE CHOICE: Xander Schauffele

As I wrote last week, you can’t have rounds in the 70s here and contend unless you have a super-special loop. Posting 65 on Saturday after 72 on Friday wasn’t the tonic. He found only 31 of 56 Fairways, good for T56 in a field of 69. T38 GIR didn’t inspire, either. Needing only 103 putts, he’s ready for East Lake Bermuda in two weeks.

Sigh.

THIS Week – BMW Championship

THE CHOICE: Justin Thomas

I could have used former event winners Viktor Hovland or Patrick Cantlay. Instead, I’m running out the biggest winner in the pile who won this event in Chicago in 2019. Chasing with Chris Gotterup or J.J. Spaun is desperate, but I like it.

For resources to overcome a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER today.

FedEx St. Jude Championship

August 6, 2025 / mikeglasscott

3M Open

July 23, 2025 / mikeglasscott / Leave a comment

3M Open

TPC Twin Cities

Blaine, Minnesota

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Thoughts on Chalk (odds via Bet365.com)

Sam Burns (+1600): This is a steep number for a fella who has not won since 2023 and in an event where four previous winners have been 100-1 or better. Burns owns T7 and T12 on this track and never missed the weekend.

Maverick McNealy (+1800): T3 in 2024 after T16 on debut in 2021. Six top-10 results in 2025. Solid through the bag.

Chris Gotterup (+2500): Doubled his career earnings in a fortnight across the pond. Led the field in Par-5 scoring at Royal Portrush. The Par-71 at TPC Twin Cities will provide three more Par-5 chances, but these are 593 yards or more.

Wyndham Clark (+2500): T17-T11-T4 in his last three suggests he’s in the mood. T5 in 2019.

Michael Thorbjornsen (+2800): T4-T21-T14 in his last three on TOUR. If Detroit is the comparison, he ran T4 in the Motor City. He eats off the tee and that plays this week. The only non-winner at the top of the board.

Akshay Bhatia (+3000): The last time he found the top 10 was another water-logged layout, TPC Sawgrass (T3). Making his second visit, he sits 16^th in SG: Approach and 21^st SG: Putting. Nice combo.

Jake Knapp (+3000): T27 or better, including T4 at Detroit, in his last four. DNS Open Championship.

I’m digging deeper this week. Find a ball-striker who is 100-1 or worse and take a chance. This event rarely makes sense!

Others for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action not mentioned in my columns (Odds Outlook & Horses for Courses) at PGATOUR.com

Tony Finau (+4000) flashed early last week at Royal Portrush and absolutely eats at TPC Twin Cities. … Kevin Yu (+5000) continues to chop wood. … Sam Stevens (+6600) and Alex Noren (+8000) are an interesting duo who can handle the breeze. … Tom Hoge (+8000) is a North Dakota native and has won plenty in the state of Minnesota. … Henrik Norlander and Max Herendeen should be around for the weekend. … Chan Kim went close in Kentucky. … Philip Knowles perhaps.

NOW PLAYING:

Host Course	TPC Twin Cities
Yards (per official scorecard):	7,431 yards.
Par:	71 (36-35).
Greens:	Bentgrass/Poa; 6,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:	12 feet.
Rough:	4 inches of Bluegrass/Fescue off fairways averaging 36 yards across.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play	72/27/15.
Architect(s):	Arnold Palmer (2000); Steve Wenzloff (2018).
Tournament Record:	260 (-24); Lee Hodges, 2023
Course record (last):	62; Beau Hossler (Round 4, 2023).
Defending Champion:	Jhonattan Vegas (-17).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:	None.
Facts of the Week:	This is the penultimate event to qualify for the FedExCup playoffs. Vegas is the only winner to sign for a score ABOVE par.

Recent Winners – 3M Open

Italics – not entered this week.

Year	Winner	Notes
2024	Jhonattan Vegas (-17)	At 39, he became the oldest winner of six in history. Won by one shot over Max Greyserman.
2023	Lee Hodges (-24)	Won for the first time on the PGA TOUR. Just the second first-time winner. Tournament record total.
2022	Tony Finau (-17)	Owns the biggest come-from-behind win (5 shots) in event history.
2021	Cameron Champ (-15)	Picked up his third victory on TOUR by posting the highest winning total in the event.

2025 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Hideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in Hawaii	Nick Taylor
The American Express	Sepp Straka
Farmers Insurance Open	Harris English
AT&T Pebble Beach	Rory McIlroy
WM Phoenix Open	Thomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis Invitational	Ludvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorld	Brian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant Classic	Joe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Russell Henley
THE PLAYERS Championship	Rory McIlroy (2)
Valspar Championship	Viktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Min Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Brian Harman
89^th Masters Tournament	Rory McIlroy (3)
RBC Heritage	Justin Thomas
Zurich Classic	Andrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Scottie Scheffler
Truist Championship	Sepp Straka (2)
ONEFLIGHT Myrtle Beach	Ryan Fox
107^th PGA Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
CS Challenge	Ben Griffin (2)
Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian Open	Ryan Fox (2)
125^th U.S. Open	J.J. Spaun
Travelers Championship	Keegan Bradley
Rocket Classic	Aldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere Classic	Brian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish Open	Chris Gotterup
The Open Championship	Scottie Scheffler (4)

2024 Season Winners

Event	Winner
The Sentry	Chris Kirk
Sony Open in Hawaii	Grayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American Express	Nick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance Open	Matthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble Beach	Wyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix Open	Nick Taylor
The Genesis Invitational	Hideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at Vidanta	Jake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant Classic	Austin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Scottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS Championship	Scottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar Championship	Peter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston Open	Stephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas Open	Akshay Bhatia
88^th Masters Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Heritage	Scottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich Classic	Rory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson	Taylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo Championship	Rory McIlroy (2)
106^th PGA Championship	Xander Schauffele
Charles Schwab Challenge	Davis Riley
RBC Canadian Open	Robert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49^th Memorial Tournament	Scottie Scheffler (5)
124^th United States Open	Bryson DeChambeau
Travelers Championship	Scottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Cam Davis
John Deere Classic	Davis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish Open	Robert MacIntyre (2)
152^nd Open Championship	Xander Schauffele (2)
3M Open	Jhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris Olympics	Scottie Scheffler (7)
3M Open	Jhonattan Vegas
Wyndham Championship	Aaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude Championship	Hideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW Championship	Keegan Bradley
The TOUR Championship	Scottie Scheffler (8)

FedEx Cup Fall
Procore Championship	Patton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms Championship	Kevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert Championship	Matt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s Open	JT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP	Nico Echavarria
World Wide Technology Champ	Austin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda Champ	Rafa Campos (first time)
The RSM Classic	Maverick McNealy (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy gets kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

Event	Selection	Place	Earnings
The Sentry	Sungjae Im	3^rd	$1,360,000
Sony Open in Hawaii	Russell Henley	T10	195,025
The American Express	Adam Hadwin	MC
Farmers Insurance	Jason Day	T32	52,080
AT&T Pebble Beach	Ludvig Aberg	WD
WM Phoenix Open	Rasmus Hojgaard	T12	195,500
Genesis Invitational	Will Zalatoris	T24	168,857
Mexico Open	Patrick Rodgers	T25	59,350
Cognizant Classic	Daniel Berger	T25	73,721
Arnold Palmer	Keegan Bradley	T5	800,000
THE PLAYERS	Collin Morikawa	T10	656,250
Valspar Championship	Sepp Straka	T28	55,844
Houston Open	Aaron Rai	MC
Valero Texas Open	Corey Conners	T18	113,050
89^th Masters	Rory McIlroy	WIN	4,200,000
RBC Heritage	Scottie Scheffler	T8	540,000
Zurich Classic	Kurt Kitayama	MC
Byron Nelson	Si Woo Kim	T15	136,719
Truist Championship	Tommy Fleetwood	T4	826,667
107^th PGA Championship	Bryson DeChambeau	T2	1,418,667
CS Challenge	Jordan Spieth	T36	42,344
Memorial	Hideki Matsuyama	38^th	94,000
RBC Canadian Open	Taylor Pendrith	T27	64,353
United States Open	Jon Rahm	T7	615,786
Travelers	Brian Harman	8^th	620,000
Rocket Classic	Cam Young	T46	27,091
John Deere Classic	Denny McCarthy	T11	174,300
Scottish Open	Robert MacIntyre	T65	19,800
The Open Championship	Shane Lowry	T40	68,340

LAST WEEK – The Open Championship

THE CHOICE: Shane Lowry – T40

Bad plan. Bad execution.

Whiffed on Schauffele and Hatton.

Last four weeks have knocked me out of contention!

THIS Week – 3M Open

THE CHOICE: Wyndham Clark

I have an embarrassment of riches for the last three events. Imagine not using Sam Burns, Viktor Hovland, Xander Schauffele, or Justin Thomas! Or Chris Gotterup, Maverick McNealy, Tony Finau, or Harris English.

Others for ME to consider: See above, haha!

Glass Houses

Fantasy Golf Only

WM Phoenix Open Betting Angles 2026

Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Betting Insights

The 67th American Express

Sony Open in Hawaii Scoop

Sony Open in Hawaii 2026

Procore Championship

Horses for Courses – Procore Championship

2025 TOUR Championship

FedExCup Playoffs Event 2

FedEx St. Jude Championship

3M Open

Horses for Courses – Procore Championship

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