Betting Angles: The Memorial Tournament

The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday

Muirfield Village Golf Club

Dublin, Ohio

*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseMuirfield Village Golf Club
Yards (per official scorecard):7,569 yards.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:L93-007 Bentgrass; 5,000 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13 feet and up.
Rough:Kentucky Bluegrass, Ryegrass, and fescue at 4 inches and growing.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play68/13/13.
Architect(s):Jack Nicklaus and Desmond  Muirhead (1974); Jack Nicklaus (2020).
Defending Champion (event):Scottie Scheffler (-10). 
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Scheffler (2024-25); Patrick Cantlay (2021, 2019).
Course Record (latest):61; John Huston (1996)
72 Hole Tournament Record:268; Tom Lehman (1994).
Fact of the Week:Hideki Matsuyama (2014) is the only player to win this event on debut (minus the first edition in 1976).

Notes:

  • Field of 72 players.
  • 18 of the top 20 OWGR.
  • Top FIFTY and ties play the weekend.
  • $20 million – $4 million – 700 FedExCup Points

Recent Winners – Memorial Tournament

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Scottie Scheffler (-10)Became the first player since Tiger Woods to successfully defend. Won by four (Ben Griffin).
2024Scottie Scheffler (-8)Defeated Collin Morikawa (not entered) by a shot.
2023Viktor Hovland (-7)*Needed a playoff to beat Denny McCarthy. Scheffler missed the playoff by a shot.
2022Billy Horschel (-13)Won by four shots to become the oldest winner (35) in the last eight events. All the other winners in their 20s.
2021Patrick Cantlay (-13)Knocked out Morikawa in a playoff to win for the second time.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Houston OpenGary Woodland
Valero Texas OpenJ.J. Spaun
Masters TournamentRory McIlroy
RBC HeritageMatt Fitzpatrick (2)
Zurich ClassicMatt Fitzpatrick (3); Alex Fitzpatrick
Cadillac ChampionshipCameron Young (2)
Truist ChampionshipKristoffer Reitan (first-time winner)
108th PGA ChampionshipAaron Rai
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonWyndham Clark
Charles Schwab ChallengeRussell Henley

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSShane Lowrymc0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987
Valero Texas OpenSudarshan YellamarajuT14159,250
MastersJon RahmT38101,250
RBC HeritageRussell HenleyT30142,750
Zurich ClassicAlex FitzpatrickWIN1,375,000
Cadillac ChampionshipGary WoodlandT3872,182
Truist ChampionshipRory McIlroyT19242,100
108th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauMC0
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonSi Woo Kim2nd1,122,700
Charles SchwabJ.J. SpaunT3322,987

Last WEEK – Charles Schwab Challenge

The Pick – J.J. Spaun – T3

He had an excellent week hitting it while fighting the putter. Back-to-back podium finishes and I’m still going nowhere. Sad!

This Week – Memorial Tournament

The Pick – Jordan Spieth

This time of year, I start glancing at the calendar to see what is left.

After this week, you will get the U.S. Open, Travelers, Scottish, The Open and two FedExCup Playoff events. Plus, you gotta save somebody for The TOUR Championship, right?

Others to consider if you are chasing:

$4 million first place = It’s biggest winner’s check left, you know what to do.

Horses for Courses

OWGRCuts MadeNotes
72 playersEvents 
bold – sponsor’s exemptions  
   
01 Scottie Scheffler5/5WIN-WIN-3RD; 3rd L4 apps
02 Rory McIlroy11/13T15-T7-T18-T18 L4 apps
03 Cameron Young3/4T25 2025 best and only top 50
04 Matt Fitzpatrick5/7T31-T5-T9-MC-MC L5
05 Justin Rose11/16T44-MC last 2; 2010 winner
   
no Collin Morikawa 
no Viktor Hovland  
   
07 Tommy Fleetwood2/4T16-T20 Last 2 years; others pre-2018
08 Xander Schauffele7/87/8 T25; T8 2024 best
09 JJ Spaun1/4T30 2023; MC 2025
10 Chris Gotterup0/2Best is 73 twice
   
12 Russell Henley6/9T5-T27-T16 L3Y
13 Ludvig Aberg2/2T16-T5 L2Y
14 Aaron Rai1/3T26 2022; MC last 2
15 Robert MacIntyre1/1T20 debut 2025; 71 best
16 Justin Thomas7/1112 straight appearance; T31 best in L4Y
17 Ben Griffin1/3Solo second last year; 1 round of 10 in red
18 Sepp Straka5/6TRENDING BEAUTIFULLY 3rd-T5-T16-T45
19 Si Woo Kim9/108 straight; 4th 2023 best
20 Hideki Matsuyama10/1238th-T16-T8 last 3; only debut winner
   
21 Alex Noren5/7T39-T22-T52 L3Y
22 Harris English5/7T12 last year; 2 of last 4 MC
24 Jacob Bridgeman1/1T31 debut 2025; 71 best
25 Kristoffer Reitan  
26 Akshay Bhatia2/3T16-T22-mc; T16 with an 80 last year
28 Nicolai Hojgaard0/177-75 mc
29 Kurt Kitayama0/35 of 6 rounds 75 or WORSE
30 Min Woo Lee1/2T49-mc; 71 best
   
   
33 Patrick Cantlay8/92x winner; 4 top 4s;
34 Maverick McNealy1/2T5 2025; 3 round under par
35 Keegan Bradley10/15T7 2025 best; 4 straight
36 Sam Burns5/6t12-T15-T16-T50 last 4; TRENDING
37 Ryan Gerard1/1T23 2025
38 Rickie Fowler11/16T7-MC-T9 last 3; T11 or better 3 of last 5
39 Jake Knapp0/178-72 has not played on TOUR in a while
   
40 Shane Lowry7/95 straight
41 Alex Smalley0/273 best
42 Jason Day10/15only 2 top 25s on home course
43 Daniel Berger3/5T5 2022; 81-72 mc 2025
44 Wyndham Clark3/6T12 2023 only top 35
46 Jordan Spieth11/139 top 25; 2017 T18 or better when make cut
47 Gary Woodland9/13First app since 2023;
48 Michael Kim1/4T44 2025 best; 71 best
49 Matt McCarty  
50 Adam Scott15/1611 straight
   
51 Nico Echavarria0/1mc 2023 78-72
52 Sam Stevens2/2T31-T41; 4 of 8 rounds par or better
53 Corey Conners6/7T25-T20-mc-T13 last 4; 4 top 25s
54 Andrew Novak1/1T51 2025 debut; 3 rounds 75 or worse
55 Brian Harman7/11T18 2022 only top 25
57 Ryan Fox2/3T20, T30 L2V
59 Ryo Hisatsune  
61 Nick Taylor4/64th last year; T27-T42 2 before TRENDING
63 Harry Hall  
67 Bud Cauley7/8T39 in his return 2025; 3 straight
68 Sungjae Im5/74 straight; T16-T8-T41-T10
   
77 Patrick Rodgers5/9It’s his US Open; sponsor’s exemption
79 Sahith Theegala4/5T32 or better in four of five
82 Alex Fitzpatrick  
85 JT Poston5/73 of 24 rounds in the 60s
87 Taylor Pendrith3/3T12-T33-T60; Trending
98 Lucas Glover12/21MC last 3; 1 top 25 in 21 years
99 Denny McCarthy5/6T5 2022, P2 2023; 4 straight
   
100 Tom Hoge4/7T7-T45-65th last 3 years
103 Tony Finau8/9T31-T8-T32-8th-MC
   
111 Brian Campbell  
114 Mark Hubbard3/4T30 best
130 Billy Horschel8/116 top 25; 4 top 15 in his last 6
131 Johnny Vegas  
133 Brandt Snedeker  
   
Last 4 In  
   
Eric Cole3/3HEATER
Pierceson Coody  
Matt Kuchar17/202011 winner, former 2nd place; 7 top 10s
Mac Meissner  

The Memorial Tournament, played annually at Jack Nicklaus’ Muirfield Village Golf Club outside Columbus, Ohio, is the seventh of eight Signature Events in the 2026 season. It is the final Signature Event featuring a 36-hole cut. There are multiple markets to attack the field of 72 players at DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s dive in!

Winners Without Scottie Scheffler

Scheffler won his opening tournament of the season, The American Express, but has not won in 10 subsequent starts. He returns to Muirfield Village as the two-time defending champion who has been beaten by a total of FOUR PLAYERS in his previous four events outside the Ohio capital city. If there is an event where the No. 1 player in the OWGR is going to find his way back to the winner’s circle, this may be the place. I’m buying insurance this week!

Ben Griffin (+3200) navigated a long, arduous Trump National Doral for a podium finish (solo third) to end April. Defending his championship last week at the Charles Schwab Challenge, he produced four rounds in the 60s, including 65 on Sunday to hit the podium (T3) again. Making his fourth start at Muirfield Village, he was the 18 and 36-hole leader in 2025 and played in the final group with Scheffler on Sunday before cashing solo second, four shots back.

Alex Smalley (+4800) made his first bogey of the week at Colonial on his 38th hole. He added just three more and cashed T3, his fourth top-10 payday in his previous five starts on TOUR. He was co-runner-up at the PGA Championship at Aronimink three weeks ago. Quietly ranked 11th in Strokes Gained: Total, his full bag and recent form makes him a perfect outsider this week in a field containing 18 of the 20 players in the OWGR.

Top 10 (including ties) – Same Game Parlay – (+650)

Russell Henley (+150) and Patrick Cantlay (+196)

Henley arrives smoldering after circling birdies on his final three holes to force, then win, a playoff Sunday at the Charles Schwab Challenge. In the 2025 event, he posted two-under 286 to share fifth and cash inside the top 30 for the third consecutive season at Muirfield Village. In April at the Masters, he picked up his first podium of the season, sharing third place.

Cantlay is one of two multiple winners in the field this week. The champion in 2021 and 2019 shared third in 2022 and was the 54-hole leader in 2018 before he cashed T4. Only Scheffler, Tiger Woods, and Jon Rahm (not eligible) have better career scoring averages at Muirfield Village.

Top 20 (including ties) – Same Game Parlay – (+480)

Scottie Scheffler (-850), Jordan Spieth (+124), and Sam Burns (+126)

Spieth enters Ohio on a run of 12 consecutive cuts made on TOUR, including four of his last six T19 or better. At Muirfield Village, the “Augusta of the North”, he qualified for the weekend 11 times in 13 attempts and signed for T19 or better a whopping nine times. His last three visits resulted in T7-MC-T5. He owns a career scoring average of 71.40.

Making his seventh start, Burns produced the best three results in his previous three visits. In 2023, his even-par total was good enough for T16. He shared 15th place in 2024 on two-over. Last year, a second-round 65 tied for the lowest round of the week and helped to reach T12. He enters the week on seven consecutive cuts made, all T38 or better, and his previous top 10 was T7 at the Masters.

Top 30 – Familiar Territory – Same Game Parlay – (+400)

Veterans Si Woo Kim (-255), Shane Lowry (-102), and Adam Scott (-125) all have plenty of weekend experience at Muirfield Village. Kim owns nine paydays from 10 starts, including a current run of eight in a row. During his current run, seven results have paid T31 or better. The Korean was the 36 and 54-hole leader at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson before finishing third in his previous start on TOUR. Lowry has five consecutive cuts made with results T32 or better in four of his last five. Scott is also streaking with 11 weekends and counting, including a pair of top-10 paydays in his last five visits. He also cashed in 15 of 16 career visits. Before missing the weekend at the PGA Championship, the Australian rattled off four consecutive paydays of T24 or better. Lowry’s current form isn’t as bright, but he has played every weekend on his own ball since falling short at THE PLAYERS.

The Ladder – Top 5, Top 10, Top 20 (all including ties) – Same Game Parlay – (+2000)

Scottie Scheffler (-150) lost to FOUR PLAYERS at this event in his last four tournaments. That’s the list. Half of the list is not in the field this week. The two-time defending champion cashed solo third in 2023 and solo third in 2021.

Akshay Bhatia (+455) missed the weekend on his 2023 debut but earned T22 money the following season and cashed T16 in 2025 with an 80 on the card. The three-time winner on TOUR already knocked out a Signature Event win at a very demanding Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. He flashed 67-65 to open at the Charles Schwab Challenge last week before fading to T28.

Rickie Fowler (+116) racked up three consecutive top-10 paydays before fading on the weekend at Aronimink to T60. He missed the cut last week at Colonial Country Club, but six of his previous nine paydays at the Memorial are T14 or better, including T7-MC-T9 over the last three years.

Good Luck!

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