Preview: 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Not a bunch to love this week but we’ve tried to pan for some gold.

The Bob Hope, The Andy Williams and now the Bing Crosby!

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2022

Pebble Beach Golf Links (host)

Pebble Beach, California

Host CoursePebble Beach Golf Links
Yards (per official scorecard):6,972
Par:72 (36-36)
Greens:Poa annua; 3,500 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:10.5′
Rough:Ryegrass at Pro-Am height.
Bunkers/Water Hazards:118/1 (water in play on 18th hole).
Architect(s):Jack Neville & Douglas Grant (1919).
Purse:$8.7 million ($1.566 winner) plus 500 FedExCup points.
Defending Champion:Daniel Berger (-18).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Brandt Snedeker (2015, 2013); Davis Love III (2003, 2001).
72 Hole Tournament Record:265; Brandt Snedeker (2015); also set the record in 2013.
Course Record (last):62; Patrick Cantlay (Round 1, 2021).
Youngest Winners:22; Jordan Spieth, John Cook
Oldest Winner:48; Phil Mickelson
Fact of the Week:Canadian Nick Taylor (2020) became just the fourth international winner.
Fact of the Week II:No European has ever won the event.
Fact of the Week III:DA Points (2011) is the last, first-time winner on TOUR at the event.
Fact of the Week IV:Brett Ogle (1993) is the last winner to win in his first appearance.
  
Spyglass Hill 
Yards (per official scorecard):7,041
Par:72 (36-36)
Greens:Poa annua; 5,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:10.5′
Rough:Poa annua, Ryegrass, 2″.
Bunkers/Water Hazards:62/4; water in play on four holes.
Architect(s):Robert Trent Jones, Sr., (1966).
  
Monterrey Peninsula CC 
Yards (per official scorecard):6,957
Par:71 (34-37)
Greens:Poa annua; 6,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:12′
Rough:Ryegrass, 1.75″.
Bunkers/Water Hazards:Water in play on five holes.
Architect(s):Robert Baldock (1960); Mike Stranz (2003).

Notes:

  • Field of 156.
  • Play each course once; top 60 and ties play Pebble Beach on Sunday.
  • Top 25 Pro-Am teams play Sunday.
  • Site of the US Open 2019.
  • Monterrey Peninsula Country Club and Pro-Am return this year.

2021-2022 Season Winners

EventWinner
Fortinet ChampionshipMax Homa
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSam Burns
Shriners Children’s OpenSungjae Im
CJ CUP @ SUMMITRory McIlroy
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPHideki Matsuyama
Bermuda ChampionshipLucas Herbert (first TOUR win)
Mayakoba ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Hewlett Packard Houston OpenJason Kokrak
The RSM ClassicTalor Gooch (first TOUR win)
Sentry Tournament of ChampionsCameron Smith
Sony Open in HawaiiHideki Matsuyama (2)
The American ExpressHudson Swafford
Farmers Insurance OpenLuke List (first TOUR win)

Check out HORSES FOR COURSES for more details on those who play well here.

Event Winners:

Year/Player/Score * – PlayoffNotes
2021 Daniel Berger (-18)  Eagle at the last secured his third top 10 in three visits.
2020 Nick Taylor   (-19)Boat raced the field as he won by four and only three other players were 11-under or better!
2019 Phil Mickelson (-18)Fired 65 to win by 3 and become the oldest champion at 48; won for the fifth time (not entered this week).
2018 Ted Potter, Jr., (-17)*Beat 2x champion Dustin Johnson (not entered) heads up by three shots in the final group to win.
2017 Jordan Spieth (-19)Led by six after 54 holes and won by four in a route.
2016 Vaughn Taylor (-17)Trailed Mickelson by SIX after 54 but shot 65 to win by a shot.
2015 Brandt Snedeker (-22)Broke his own tournament record from 2013 in picking up his second win.

Last Time – Farmers Insurance Open

Thoughts on Chalk (My plays will be obvious)

Jon Rahm (+700): I’m not sure which is crazier: 6-1 on him last week in THAT field or 7-1 this week in THIS field??? This is his spiritual home and he plays like it. If I’m going to bet a favorite, it’s this guy, this week. So I will. Win ticket. Shared the 36 hole lead and missed a playoff by a shot with less than his best. Sigh. T3.

Justin Thomas (+1600): Banging out top 10s for fun as he does, he returns here for the first time since 2015 (MC). His T10 debut in 2014 feels like 20098208 years ago but his T19 at the US Open might be a clue as to why he added it to his schedule. T20 after sharing the 36 hole lead.

Bryson DeChambeau (+2000): Played here twice and MC before blowing up on the final nine holes of the US Open. This number is PUBLIC DRIVEN, not golf driven as he struggled at WIDE OPEN Kapalua and didn’t factor at the Hero. Crooked this week won’t work again no matter how far you hit it #Kikuyu. MC and wrist and back issues.

Xander Schauffele (+2000): No top 10 in his last four anywhere but hard to ignore T2 here last year followed by T7 US Open. I don’t like guys as much at home (too many distractions) as much as others. T34 and quiet stretch of golf continues. Noted.

Hideki Matsuyama (+2200): No past history at Sony? No problem, winner. No history at Farmers (one top 10 from eight), no problem? Top 10 ticket for a HEAT CHECK. T30 and back to our regularly scheduled programming. L.

Dustin Johnson (+2500): Oh, hey, welcome back! Haven’t seen him since CJ CUP AT SUMMIT (T42). Hasn’t played here since 2017 and his only top 10 in nine starts was 2011. Interesting place to start the season. T25 as he made nothing as he is to wont.

Sam Burns (+2500): T21 in his last nine starts worldwide. Not much happening here with T18 the best from four tries and a MC at the US Open. Careful. Yeah, MC.

Tony Finau (+2500): If Rahm wasn’t in the field this would be the no-brainer selection for me. He’s never finished worse than T24 here and in his last five starts it is T6 or better in four. His part of the world and his strength: Tee to green with power over precision. 3 way action. 3 way action = MC MC MC killed every trend this week. Finau, since his win at TNT has been VERY quiet. Not even the friendly confines could spark him. Yikes.

Daniel Berger (+2500): Every week we have a course form versus current form argument. STEP RIGHT UP, DANIEL! Hasn’t played here since 2019 ended a 3 straight MC run but returned for T7 at the US Open. Since the US Open 5 of 8 have gone for top 10s. Better nibble a top 10 just to make sure I’m not left out. T20 and more cash down the drain. Led the field in Fairways.

Scottie Scheffler (+2800): Top 10s at Harding Park and Torrey Pines makes him appealing this week as he’s not bothered on this coast. Has all the tools to make noise again this week. Top 10. Nope, T20 as he led the field in GIR! US Open course suggests ALL FACETS of the game are required, eh?

33-1 or Worse Select Opinions

Brooks Koepka (+3500): It’s soooooooooooooooo tempting every week, isn’t it? Save him for Scottsdale where he defends and will be the center of attention, just as he likes it. MC, no surprise here.

Marc Leishman (+3500): Course horse, his time of year with three top 10s in his last six, Ben Everill loves him as well! T27 or better in nine of 11 paydays in 12 starts. Top 10. T16. Imagine if I just would have stuck all these guys Top 20 instead hahaha. IT’S NOT FUNNY!

Will Zalatoris (+3500): 6 rounds here and nothing worse than 72. Proper grinder on a proper grinder’s course. T6 last week. THIS close to winning for the first time but lost in a playoff, P2. Out with Covid this week.

Patrick Reed (+5000): His short game has to be perfect if he’s spraying it all over the shop. Only Phil and Tiger have defended this century so that’ a bit much for me. T46 and a solid lay down.

Jordan Spieth (+5000): Last victory was on a difficult Valero Texas Open track. Best result here is T19 in 2014 but he’s back for a fourth consecutive season. Weird. 78 in Round 2 on the South Course was a bit tough to watch. MC

Max Homa (+6600): Big tracks (Quail) and Poa (Riviera) don’t bother him much. Last two T18-T9 here suggest he’s close. 3 way action. 68-74 to miss by a shot and add to my morose. MC on the number.

Lanto Griffin (+7000): Course form meets current form. Top 10s in three of his last five and T7 and T12 here in three starts in the last four years. Ride it! Top 10, Top 20. T30 as his closing 65 suggested he wasn’t close the rest of the week. Pummeled again.

Francesco Molinari (+8000): T6 last week and was in the fight late plus T13 US Open = Top 20 at least. Not even 66 to open could spark him on. T62.

Ryan Palmer (+8000): Favorite sub-100 play this week as he brings it here annually. 62 on the North, 2nd round leader or co-leader, playoff loser, etc. He’s done everything but win! Top 10. Another T16 hahahaha. Stumbled to the finish line after beginning the final round T8. Sigh.

Funny Money

Mackenzie Hughes (+10000): Final group of the US Open, right? MC

Jason Day (+10000): For the brand HFC! HOLY SHIT WE GOT SOMETHING TO BRAG ABOUT. T3.

Tom Hoge (+10000): Another with recent heat and a bit of success here. Water gets deeper this week after solo second in the desert. MC

Brandt Snedeker (+12500): Does he have enough to cover 7,800 yards three out of four days? His current form is better than Day’s! MC

Joseph Bramlett (+17500): Hitting it great and won’t need to worry about putting his socks off this week. T34

Aaron Rai (+22500): Should be around for the weekend. I’d say! Played in the final group T6.

JJ Spaun (+27500): Making more cuts than he’s missing and he’s local. T34

Sahith Theegala (+30000): Pepperdine. SoCal. T25

Nick Taylor (+30000): Gut pick. Hey, everyone is allowed one! T30

This Week – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Bill Murray! His antics! Oh my!

Not my favorite event by a long shot, but I will tune in for the vistas and allegedly perfect weather that Gym Pantz has promised for the week!

3 courses are back after just Pebble and Spyglass last year.

And so are the amateur players. I get they raise a SHIT LOAD of money but I don’t need their takes on golf, their swing thoughts or their plug for their upcoming projects. I GET IT. I don’t have to LIKE IT.

Courses on the cards are a bit longer than previous editions but nothing to change my card.

MPCC is the easiest of the three usually and most winners will make some hay over those 6,900 yards. Spyglass usually plays the toughest so anything in the 60s there will be a bonus.

Pebble Beach is defended by small putting surfaces, Poa annua greens and wind. If wind isn’t in the equation, this course can be had.

The last 10 winners have been in the top 10 GIR and that shouldn’t change this week. Proximity numbers on the smallest greens shouldn’t be of concern but putting on Poa annua will be.

Perfect weather means SCORING conditions so keeping bogeys off  the card won’t hurt either.

Good luck.

Thoughts on Chalk (My plays will be obvious)

Patrick Cantlay (+700): Same number as Rahm last week in a much shallower field is interesting. Winning golf tournaments is difficult but he hasn’t had much problem doing that recently. Tied the Pebble course record last year finishing T3.

Daniel Berger (+1200): Hit it great off the tee last week and has previously defended a title. Since his win last year he’s racked up 12 T20 or better paydays. In form.

Jordan Spieth (+2200): Co-third choice after 70-78 MC last week tells you what you need to know about the depth this week. Fantastic record here and AT&T brand guy so it’s comfortable for him.

Jason Day (+2200): Hasn’t won since Quail Hollow in 2018 but his worst finish here in five years is T7 last year.  He was tied for the lead on the back nine last week so that shouldn’t hurt his confidence either. Top 10 ticket and enjoy the show.

Maverick McNealy (+2500): Not bad for a guy who’s never won before! Can’t ignore the local after second and T5 the last two years. His other big finish is in Napa Valley and Harbour Town, another place with very small greens. Top 10 again for home court advantage and a light win ticket.

Cameron Tringale (+2800): Another looking for the breakthrough victory! T7 last year was his first top 10 in 10 tries here. Podium last week will have folks interested but the recent trend suggests otherwise. Read my OAD column for more details.

Justin Rose (+2800): Very steady T6 last week highlights a very steady run of cuts made. T6 was the best of the bunch in the last six. Remember T9 at Hero is nice but only 20 guys played…

Seamus Power (+2800): Kicked off 2022 T14-T3-T15. Oh and he closed 2021 T4. Maybe the fifth time is the charm here… Top 10 and Top 20.

33-1 or Worse Select Opinions

Matt Fitzpatrick (+3500): I get it. No English. No Europeans. Right. Short courses for an annoyingly straight hitter and great putter who finished 12th at the 2019 US Open? I’ll bite. 3 way action.

Kevin Kisner (+5000): Short tracks get his attention. Shame these greens aren’t Bermuda. 1 top 25 (T10 2017)    in eight visits.

Kevin Streelman (+5500): All you can get. T17 or better in six straight as he plays with former NFL stud Larry Fitzgerald. 3 way action!

Mito Pereira (+6000): If you buy ONE stat this week, it’s GIR. He hits plenty of them. Top 20.

Michael Thompson (+6000): I’m riding the beard. Top 20.

Aaron Rai (+8000): Links win under his belt and had a very solid week on Poa last week (T6).

Russell Knox (+8000): Falls into that Ted Potter-Vaughn Taylor angle.

Andrew Putnam (+9000): T27 Sony, T14 AMEX… Top 10, Top 20.

Funny Money

Chez Reavie (+10000): You could do MUCH worse.

Matthew NeSmith (+11000): Make a putt already.

Sahith Theegala (+11000): More Poa…

Joseph Bramlett (+15000): Top 20.

JJ Spaun (+17500): I’ll hit one of these weeks haha!

Kevin Chappell (+27500): Top 20

If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to reach out through Twitter or email me mikeglasscott@gmail.com.

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