Preview: 3M Open

Wildly wide open this week.

Have fun, get out of your lane for a minute.

Enjoy plenty of Par Breakers as well!

3M Open

TPC Twin Cities

Blaine, Minnesota

Yards (per official scorecard):7,468
Par:71 (35-36)
Greens:Bentgrass; 6,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:12.5 feet.
Rough:Bluegrass and fescue at 3.5 inches.
Architects:Arnold Palmer (2000): PGATOUR (Steve Wenzloff, 2018).
Purse:$6.6 million and $1.188 million (winner); 500 FedExCup points.
Defending Champion (event):Michael Thompson, -19.
Fact of the Week:Just the third edition.
Fact of the Week II:Follow The Open for the second time (2019).

Notes:

  • 156 players; Top 70 make the cut.

2020-21 Winners

** – first time winner on TOUR

EventWinner
Safeway OpenStewart Cink
120th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Corales Punta Cana ChampionshipHudson Swafford
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSergio Garcia
Shriners Hospitals for ChildrenMartin Laird (playoff)
CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEKJason Kokrak**
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPPatrick Cantlay
Bermuda ChampionshipBrian Gay
Vivint Houston OpenCarlos Oritz**
84th Masters TournamentDustin Johnson
The RSM ClassicRobert Streb
Mayakoba Golf ClassicViktor Hovland**
Sentry TOCHarris English
Sony Open in HawaiiKevin Na
The American ExpressSi Woo Kim
Farmers Insurance OpenPatrick Reed
Waste Management Phoenix OpenBrooks Koepka
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmDaniel Berger
The Genesis InvitationalMax Homa
WGC – Championship at The ConcessionCollin Morikawa
Arnold Palmer InvitationalBryson DeChambeau (2)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipJustin Thomas
The Honda ClassicMatt Jones
WGC- Match PlayBilly Horschel
Corales PuntacanaJoel Dahmen**
Valero Texas OpenJordan Spieth
85th Masters TournamentHideki Matsuyama
RBC HeritageStewart Cink (2)
Zurich Classic of New OrleansCameron Smith/Marc Leishman
Valspar ChampionshipSam Burns**
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy
AT&T Byron NelsonKH Lee**
103rd PGA ChampionshipPhil Mickelson
Charles Schwab ChallengeJason Kokrak (2)
Memorial TournamentPatrick Cantlay (2)
Palmetto Championship (Congaree)Garrick Higgo**
121st US OpenJon Rahm
Travelers ChampionshipHarris English (2)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis**
John Deere ClassicLucas Glover
149th Open ChampionshipCollin Morikawa (2)
Barbasol ChampionshipSeamus Power**

Event Winners:

YearPlayerNotes
2020Michael Thompson 19-underWon by two shots for his second TOUR win; age 35.
2019Matthew Wolff 21-underMade eagle at the final hole in the final group to win on his just his third start as a pro on TOUR.

Facts and Figures:

Course Record:62; Four players including Matthew Wolff (2019) and Scott Piercy (2019), both entered this week.
Tournament Record:263 (-21); Wolff, 2019.
Recent Defending Champion(s):N/A.
Multiple Winners (entered)N/A.
Oldest  Winner:Thompson, 35.
Youngest Winner:Wolff, 20.
First Time TOUR:Wolff.
First Time EVENT:Wolff (inaugural).
Odd Fact:TOUR returned to Minnesota for the first time since 1969 when this event was created in 2019.

Quick Thoughts

Have fun this week.

It’s very similar to the JDC and Rocket Mortgage where anybody from anywhere at any time can challenge and/or win.

I’m heading on vacation tomorrow so there won’t be any Olympics preview or guide, sorry.

I’m blending heat with a few long shots but leaving the chalk alone. Guys with enough money in the bank and FedExCup points are just checking another box before the WGC-FESJC and the FedExCup Playoffs begin next month.

Let’s recap last week first:

Last Week – 149th Open Championship

Chalk

Jon Rahm (+800): Prohibitive favorite and it’s not hard to explain why so I won’t. Winning back-to-back majors doesn’t happen every week but there’s no question he has the game and temperament to do so. With wind, humps, bumps, bunkers and an elite field, I’ll sit this possibly historic occasion out. Too many variables and too high of a price. T3, fantastic recovery after opening 1-over. Leeeeeeeeeegit.

Brooks Koepka (+1600): Double Rahm? For 3 more majors? Last 3 of 4 top 5 including Torrey and Kiawah. Hates the course. Hates his three ball. Hates Bryson. Looks like he’s ready to pop. Yes please, first win ticket, plus Top 10 and Top 20. T6 collects and Top 10 and Top 20 but puts the first L on the board.

Xander Schauffele (+1800): Too many examples to ignore in big events. Dropped the arm lock putter this week just like he picked it up before a top 10 at Torrey. T26 and that was with 65 on Sunday. Not happening right now. Wait for East Lake where he dominates.

Justin Thomas (+1800): Not much evidence in this event to run him to the front of the line. T40 reinforces the struggle.

Jordan Spieth (+1800): Too much form to ignore as he’s rattling off T20 or better for fun, just like the old days. Last Open in England he won at Birkdale. Super short game and ability to grind in wind doesn’t hurt either. Solo second after a very good week. Great to see this happening again.

Rory McIlroy (+2200): Ok, I’ll bite. Again. Said he found something on the range over the weekend. Of his last five visits, four are top 5s. Hard to ignore, especially when he’s not the favorite. His record after MC is something as well. Win ticket. This is a ME PROBLEM, not a him problem. I’m the sucker. Lick me. L.

Dustin Johnson (+2500): Went close here in 2011 but that bad news that’s his best of the bunch. Nice bounce this week as he cashed T8 after showing exactly zero form leading in.

Louis Oosthuizen (+3000): 2nd and 2nd in the last two majors. 2010 winner also lost in a playoff in 2015 (both at St Andrews). Perfect demeanor for the uncertainty of links golf. Win, Top 10 and Top 20. T3 adds two more winning tickets but another L.

Viktor Hovland (+3000): First Open. No question about the talent or pedigree. The short game is always in the back of my mind. T12. Can’t and won’t stop.

Next Wave

Patrick Reed (+3300): Scrambling and grinding always sticks him out in difficult events. Starting to figure it out in this event as well after 10th at Royal Portrush. Finally crashed and burned. Didn’t expect it this week. MC.

Patrick Cantlay (+3300): Solid, two-win season and excellent thru the bag. Name the last USA player to win their first major at The Open. Cink then Curtis. Tough. MC.

Tyrrell Hatton (+3300): Crowd will help but not sure if his temperament is ready if it turns a bit sideways. MC.

Bryson DeChambeau (+3300): Way too many “ifs” this week. Gusting winds don’t help maths. Neither does waist-high fescue. Pass.  Hoo boy that was some week and it included closing with 65 for T33. What a circus.

Shane Lowry (+3500): Fell in love with him before Torrey, where he WASN’T the defending champion. Look where that got me haha. T12 in a very credible defense.

Collin Morikawa (+3500): Fearless but will need to hole putts and that’s the biggest concern. Nobody questions it tee to green. Nobody. Nibble. Maybe I should have taken a bigger bite.

Tommy Fleetwood (+3500): It’s his home country, his style of golf and he’s trending in the event. He might be the most comfortable this week. If he was, he didn’t show it. Damp fart.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+4000): Thrives on hitting fairways but not sure anybody is doing that this week. T26.

Scottie Scheffler (+4500): Tougher the better and this qualifies. Texan won’t mind a bit of blowing wind either. Get it. Hope you got it. T8 for another major top 10. Fantastic.

Branden Grace (+5000): Excellent form, already has won this season, just one thing left! And that one thing was NOT back-to-back MC on links courses…

Sergio Garcia (+6000): Might be another 40-something to add to the collection. T20 or better in 3 straight world wide. T20 or better this week as well. T19 and another winner. Barely.

Funny Money

Robert MacIntyre (+7500) – T8

Ian Poulter (+7500) – T26

Jason Day (+9000) – MC

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+9500) – T53

Phil Mickelson (+10000) – MC

Francesco Molinari (+14000) – MC

Kevin Kisner (+15000) – 73rd

Andy Sullivan (+20000) – T26

Jason Scrivener (+22500) – MC

Aaron Rai (+25000) – T19

Ryan Fox (+30000) – T67

This Week – 3M Open

Chalk

Dustin Johnson (+7500): Solid week last week will entice some but I’ll pass. He’s a beast in Memphis and that’s my next focus.

Louis Oosthuizen (+1600): His only TOUR win is the 2010 Open Championship. That feels weird to type.

Tony Finau (+1600): His only TOUR win is the 2015 Puerto Rico Open. That feels weird to type.

Patrick Reed (+2000): Prefer him on more difficult courses and bigger events. You gotta do you. Save him for Governor’s Island.

Matthew Wolff (+2800): His course form sets this number, not his recent play. Beware or jump on the HORSE FOR COURSE. I’ll pass.

Emiliano Grillo (+3300): Hitting every green won’t matter if you two-putt all of them. Wonderfully erratic weekly.

Next Wave

Cameron Tringale (+3500): Sign up for your Top 20 and cash late on Sunday.

Robert MacIntyre (+3500): Playing with house money as he’s inside the OWGR Top 50. Just might be free enough to not care and win. I’ll take a nibble that he does just that. Win ticket.

Sergio Garcia (+3500): T20 or better in four straight. I like a streak. Make it five. Top 20.

Keegan Bradley (+3500): MC in three of his last four but when he cashes it’s top 20. So I’m in, Top 20.

Bubba Watson (+3500): Interesting he returned after MC last year. I’ll let you read between the lines with your cash tho.

Hank Lebioda (+4500): It’s now three straight in the top 10 for the lefty so I’m going to jump on one final time. It’s not like the courses are getting more difficult or the fields much deeper. Top 10 and Top 20.

Doug Ghim (+4500): He’ll need at least two days of above average putting this week to contend. Not ridiculous.

Lucas Herbert or Luke List (both +5500): Maybe on both. Both are in uncharted territory, careful.

Patrick Rodgers (+6000): We’ve been waiting. 6 straight and the last four have trended into T5. I’m down. Across the board Win, Top 10 and Top 20.

Funny Money

Jhonattan Vegas (+6000)

Ryan Moore (+6000)

Patton Kizzire (+7000)

Brandon Hagy (+9500)

Brian Stuard (+10000)

Beau Hossler (+11000)

Adam Schenk (+11000)

Ryan Armour (+14000)

Brice Garnett (+20000)

Kevin Tway (+225000)

Mark Anderson (+30000)

If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to reach out through Twitter or email me mikeglasscott@gmail.com.

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