Fantasy Golf: OAD TTC Long Form

09-21-16

Plenty of acronyms rocking in that title!

The TOUR Championship wraps up the 2015-16 PGA TOUR season and our final One-and-Done stop of the year.

Until the new season starts in three weeks.

Then we’ll start over and do it all again!

 

One left in the OAD leaves most of our hands tied behind our backs but remember one thing:

YOU DID THIS TO YOURSELF.

Nobody forced you to burn Dustin Johnson at Riviera or Jason Day at Augusta.

Nobody forced you to play Jordan Spieth at Oakmont or Rory McIlroy at Royal Troon.

IT’S ALL YOUR FAULT.

Before next season starts, I’m going to rate EVERYONE in the top 100 in the OWGR and list their best course forms to give you and me a better shot at cracking the code in 2016-17. Don’t forget that we’ll need a bit of luck as well and they don’t sell that over-the-counter.

Fachts:

  • The only player to win the FEC twice is Tiger Woods. Only Jordan Spieth, Brandt Snedeker and Phil Mickelson have a chance to join him this week
  • The only players that have defended their FEC titles at East Lake are Woods, Snedeker and Spieth.
  • Nobody has successfully defended their FEC championship since the invention in 2007.
  • Nobody has ever won TTC or a FEC event as their first victory.

History Lessons:

Since the advent of the FEC Playoffs in 2007, there have been a few fellas win multiple events.

  • Tiger Woods, 3
  • Dustin Johnson, 3
  • Rory McIlroy, 3*
  • Vijay Singh, 2*
  • Camilo Villegas, 2*
  • Steve Stricker, 2
  • Henrik Stenson, 2*
  • Billy Horschel, 2*
  • Jason Day, 2*

*same season

Only Woods, Stricker and Johnson have won titles over multiple years.

Only DJ was won titles in CONSECUTIVE years.

There has been a multiple winner in the last FOUR YEARS IN A ROW. Patrick Reed, Johnson and McIlroy can add this distinction if they win this week.

Only two of the four went on to win the $10 million (Stenson, Horschel).

The list of winners contains very few surprises outside of Slocum, Hoffman and maybe a young Villegas. Everyone else who’s won one of these events has been a multiple winner on Tour. Reed now has five wins and McIlroy and DJ both have 12. #StudsOnly

 

2015-16 season

Season total: $5,812,329; 45 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 17
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

 

 Last week: Emiliano Grillo, T-32; $46,021

 

Thermometer:

–CLOSED– and doesn’t register to Knox for some reason.

 

Keys this Week:

  • Nothing to save it for
  • Mental toughness
  • Whole bag is in play so that suggests premium players

 

My Finalists:

 

Jordan Spieth-defending champ boys and girls.

Russell Knox-missed multiple chances on him.

Charl Schwartzel-never one of my favorites so it’s not surprised he’s still here.

Kevin Kisner-never caught enough fire in 2016 to register; DFL here last year in his first try doesn’t inspire either.

Kevin Na-So much for “Nappy Factor” as he just keeps banging out solid finish after solid finish; NO history here of success.

Si Woo Kim-He’s obviously fearless and completely under the radar.

Roberto Castro-THE outsider this week.

Jhonattan Vegas-Not sure there are enough putts in that putter.

 

My Choice: Jordan Spieth

Close Second: Russell Knox

Just Missed: Roberto Castro

Stratagem: If you’re winning and have three premium players left, you’re doing it wrong but yet got it right. If you’re trailing and are in the same predicament well it’s hardly a mystery of why that’s the case.

Leaders: Most of you have planned for this moment for almost 12 months so it should be your crowning moment, congratulations. If you’re torn on your final pick, no sweat, you’re probably not going to go wrong with a choice of premium players. In my opinion, there are only about seven guys who can win this week and if you have two or three of them to choose from, bully for you. My only advice would be stay away from guys who can struggle with the putter as we saw where that got Rory supporters last week.

Chasers: Stay up all night to get lucky. Time to get the voodoo dolls and black cats out and to work. If you’re trailing by a million, you’re going to need a win so find somebody that’s done that recently and can handle tough courses. Unfortunately, most of those guys are in the top 5 or so and should have been burned long ago. If you did save two big boys accidentally or just in case, check out my preview if you need to split hairs.

 

 QUESTION OF THE WEEK:

  • What do I do if I don’t have any big guns left?

 

ANSWER OF THE WEEK:

  • PANIC!!!
  • Nah, not really. Sports are the best reality television going so it’s okay to dream a little dream before Dustin Johnson shoots 60 on Thursday and wins by 10. I’d take a guy with experience at East Lake and who doesn’t mind a grind on a tough course. Guys who haven’t proven their mettle on tough tracks are unlike to figure that out this week so I’d use majors performance as a bit of a guide. I’m not sure how many people would have burned Roberto Castro before this week but he would be the obvious bail out.

 

 

If you’re wondering where I burned all my skill players, here you go:

Event Golfer Place Money
       
Frys.com Brooks Koepka T-41 $21,000
Shriners Scott Piercy T-25 $44,832
CIMB Anirban Lahiri T-21 $78,400
WGC-HSBC Champions Adam Scott T-70 $42,000
Sanderson Farms Patrick Rodgers T-20 $41,356
OHL Mayakoba Patton Kizzire T-58 $13,764
RSM Brendon de Jonge T-33 $27,049
HTOC Brandt Snedeker T-3 $381,000
Sony Kevin Kisner T-5 $220,400
CB Challenge Ryan Palmer T-17 $75,897
Farmers Phil Mickelson MC $0
Waste Management Hideki Matsuyama WIN $1,170,000
AT&T Pebble Beach Jimmy Walker T-11 $143,500
NTO Dustin Johnson 4th $326,400
Honda Luke Donald T-61 $13,115
WGC-Cadillac Champ Henrik Stenson T-28 $79,428
Valspar Danny Willett T-22 $52,959
Arnold Palmer Scott Brown T-27 $41,934
WGC-Dell Match Play Rickie Fowler T-53 $63,000
Puerto Rico Open Graham DeLaet T-11 $66,000
Shell Houston Open Louis Oosthuizen MC $0
Masters Bubba Watson T-37 $50,250
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar T-9 $147,500
Valero Texas Open Charley Hoffman WIN $1,116,000
Zurich Classic Daniel Berger T-20 $64,909
Wells Fargo J.B. Holmes T-53 $16,589
THE PLAYERS Rory McIlroy T-12 212,625
AT&T Byron Nelson Jason Dufner T-24 54,020
Colonial Kevin Chappell MC $0
Memorial Paul Casey MC $0
FESJC Gary Woodland MC $0
U.S. Open Jason Day T-8 $247,806
Quicken Loans Patrick Reed T-39 $28,290
Barracuda Jon Rahm MDF $6,420
WGC-BI Shane Lowry T-36 $73,500
Barbasol Kyle Reifers T-35 $15,808
The Open Sergio Garcia T-5 $310,797
RBC Canadian Open David Hearn MC $0
PGA Championship Branden Grace T-4 $405,000
Travelers Ryan Moore T-17 $83,490
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T-34 $24,240
Wyndham William McGirt MC $0
The Barclays Justin Rose T-31 $45,220
DBC Justin Thomas MC $0
BMW Emiliano Grillo T-32 $46,021

Good luck chops!

You’ll need it!

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