Valero Texas Open Betting Angles

Brian Harman returns to defend his 2025 title at The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio via @ValeroTXOpen

Valero Texas Open

TPC San Antonio (The Oaks Course)

San Antonio, Texas

*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com

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Extra Players to watch for Top 10, Top 20, Top 30, and Top 40

You do you. Stick ‘em wherever. Not listed in my columns above.

Bronson Burgoon, Ryo Hisatsune, Thorbjorn Olesen, Rico Hoey, Carson Young

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseTPC San Antonio – The Oaks Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,438.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:Overseeded Poa Trivialis; 6,400 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at 3 inches (up from 2.25” in 2025).
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play64/3/3
Architect(s):Greg Norman (2010).
Defending Champion (event):Brian Harman (-9).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:62; Trey Mullinax, Round 3, 2018.
72 Hole Tournament Record:268; Akshay Bhatia & Denny McCarthy (2024); Corey Conners (2019).
Fact of the Week:The event has been the week before the Masters since 2019.
Fact of the Week II:The four Par-5 holes rank, as a group, one of the hardest quartets on TOUR.
Fact of the Week III:The last two winners have been left-handed wind specialists.

Notes:

  • Field of 132.
  • No significant course changes for 2026.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.8 million – $1.764 million – 500 FedExCup points.
  • For those not already qualified for Augusta National next week, the only way to book a tee time is to win.

Notables

  • The last three champions owned the outright lead after 18 holes.
  • The last six winners T4 or BETTER in Par-4 Scoring.
  • TPC San Antonio has played under par just twice in 16 previous events.
  • The ryegrass/fescue fairways average 25 to 30 yards in the landing area.
  • Poa Trivialis overseeded greens average 6,400 square feet and will not run more than 11.5 feet on the Stimpmeter (wind).
  • The course tips at 7,438 yards for the fifth consecutive season.
  • The Official World Golf Ranking is represented by 15 of the top 50 players, led by No. 4 Tommy Fleetwood, the highest-ranked player in the field this week.

Stat of the Week: Putting: Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage

The previous 10 champions have all ranked T10 or better in this category. Once GIR are found, it’s time to cash in! Birdies are NOT plentiful here; Take advantage of the opportunities presented.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Texas Children’s Houston OpenGary Woodland

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Valero Texas Open

Italics – not entered this week;

YearWinnerNotes
2025Brian Harman (-9)Shot 72-75 on the weekend and still defeated Ryan Gerard by THREE shots. Rough weather muted scoring.
2024Akshay Bhatia (-20)Knocked off Denny McCarthy in a playoff. Both matched the tournament scoring record and were NINE SHOTS CLEAR of third place.
2023Corey Conners (-15)Defeated Sam Stevens by one shot to become the first two-time winner at The Oaks Course.
2022J.J. Spaun (-13)Won by two shots to earn his first PGA TOUR victory.
2021Jordan Spieth (-18)Circled 24 birdies and won by two.
2019Corey Conners (-20)Monday Qualifier won for the first time on the PGA TOUR.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987

Last WEEK – Texas Children’s Houston Open

There’s no reason to save Chris Gotterup.

With two victories already, he won’t be playing many courses, if any, from this point forward, where he can black out and just pump driver all day.

He can this week!

THE CHOICE: Chris Gotterup – T6

Others to consider:

Any of the European ball-strikers who were in it last week at Valspar.

Nicolai Hojgaard (2nd), Jake Knapp (T6), Sam Burns (T21), Wyndham Clark (MC)

I guess MY SECOND GUESS was better than my first! Too bad Gotterup didn’t WD!

Sigh.

Congrats to the Woodland Mafia on their incredible win. Is it dusty in here???

THIS Week – Valero Texas Open

What a mess.

WHERE IS COREY CONNERS WHEN YOU NEED HIM?????

Imagine winning this event twice since 2019, yet not playing!

The last two winners are left-handed players, right?

Let’s make it three in a row!

THE CHOICE: Sudarshan Yellamaraju

He wasn’t bothered by Pete Dye’s mind games against the deepest field in golf at TPC Sawgrass (T5).

A bit of length, 7,475 yards, last week in Houston didn’t slow him down (T6).

I am not sure he cares about what’s at stake this week with a win.

Hot golf is hot golf, and I’m riding the hottest player in the field.

I will save the top players for rainier days.

Others to consider:

Michael Thorbjornsen, Sepp Straka, Johnny Keefer, Denny McCarthy

Horses for Courses

Elder statesmen Charley Hoffman and Matt Kuchar are the top money winners entered.

Jordan Spieth owns four top-10s from eight starts.

Andrew Novak has a pair of top-10 paydays from the last three.

Here are the top finishers from the last three years:

202520242023
Brian Harman (-9)Akshay Bhatia (-20)Corey Conners (-15)
wins by 3 (Gerard)wins PLAYOFF (McCarthy)wins by 1 (Stevens)
Par 72 – 7,438 ydsPar 72 – 7,438 ydsPar 72 – 7,438 yds
   
02 Ryan Gerard -6P2 Denny McCarthy -20 02 Sam Stevens -14
T3 Maverick McNealy -504 Russell Henley -10T3 Matt Kuchar -13
T3 Andrew NovakT5 Adam Schenk -9T3 Sam Ryder -13
T5 Bud Cauley -4T5 Brendon Todd05 Patrick Rodgers -11
T5 Patrick FishburnT7 Hideki Matsuyama -8T6 Lee Hodges -10
T5 Thorbjorn OlesenT7 Tommy Fleetwood09 Andrew Novak -9
T5 Ryo HisatsuneT10 Jordan Spieth -6T10 Chris Kirk -8
T5 Chad RameyT10 Mac MeissnerT10 Rickie Fowler
T5 Tom HogeT14 Ludvig Aberg -5T15 Hideki Matsuyama -7
T12 Jordan Spieth -3T14 Andrew PutnamT15 Nick Taylor
T12 Alejandro TostiT14 Sam StevensT15 Alex Noren
T12 Keith MitchellT14 Alex NorenT15 SH Kim
T12 Sami ValimakiT14 Keith MitchellT22 JJ Spaun -6
T18 Doug Ghim -2T14 SH KimT22 Sepp Straka
T18 Chandler PhillipsT14 T B OT22 Peter Malnati
T18 Matt KucharT14 Rico HoeyT22 Charley Hoffman
T18 Emiliano GrilloT25 Brian Harman -4 
T18 Corey ConnersT25 Max Homa 
T18 Denny McCarthyT25 Lucas Glover 
T26 Matt Wallace -1T25 Corey Conners 
T26 Eric ColeT25 Mark Hubbard 
T26 JT Poston T25 Justin Lower 
T26 Harry Hall  

Texas Children’s Houston Open Betting Angles

Texas Children’s Houston Open

Memorial Park Golf Course

Houston, Texas

*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com

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Odds Outlook

DraftKings Markets

Expert Picks

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Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseMemorial Park
Yards (per official scorecard):7,475
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:Overseeded Poa Trivialis; 7,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at 1.25”
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play24/2/4
Architect(s):John Bredemus (1936); Tom Doak (2019).
Defending Champion (event):Min Woo Lee (-20).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:62 Gary Woodland Rd 4 2025 62 Sami Valimaki Rd 4 2025 62 Scottie Scheffler Rd 2 2025 62 Tony Finau Rd 2 2024 62 Tony Finau Rd 2 2022 62 Scottie Scheffler Rd 2 2021 63 Mackenzie Hughes 2020
72 Hole Tournament Record:260; Min Woo Lee.
Fact of the Week:The event moved back to March for the 2024 event.
Fact of the Week II:Torrey Pines and Rio Grande are the only two longer courses used on TOUR so far in 2026.

Notes:

  • Field of 135.
  • No significant course changes for 2026.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.9 million – $1.782 million – 500 FedExCup points.
  • Must be in the top 50 OWGR after this week to qualify for the Masters.
  • Must WIN this week or next at Valero to qualify for the Masters if the OWGR is out of reach.

Stat of the Week: SG: Putting

All five winners ranked in the top five on the Poa Trivialis overseeded greens.

Notables

  • For the second week in a row, the host course features five Par-3 holes and overseeded Poa Trivialis putting surfaces.
  • All five champions ranked T12 or better in Par-3 Scoring.
  • The Par-70 also features three Par-5 holes, one of the toughest trios on TOUR.
  • The historic Houston Open, established in 1946, has had many homes, but Memorial Park is the only data in use this week.
  • The overseeded fairways average 30 to 40 yards in the landing area, accounting for the winds that constantly blow in this part of the world.
  • Poa Trivialis overseeded greens average 7,000 square feet and will not run more than 11.5 feet on the Stimpmeter (wind). The nuanced greens are the defense of this Tom Doak (2019) restoration.
  • Hole No. 16 is using a new tee box for 2025 and has added 40 yards to the scorecard. There are no significant changes for 2026.
  • This is the third consecutive year with the overseeded rough cut to 1.25 inches.
  • The range of winners is 26 to 36 years old.
  • Lee became the third first-time winner in five events at Memorial Park.
  • The Official World Golf Ranking is represented by 20 of the top 50 players, highlighted by No. 10 Chris Gotterup, the only two-time winner on TOUR this season.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Texas Children’s Houston Open

Italics – not entered this week;

YearWinnerNotes
2025Min Woo Lee (-20)Held off Scottie Scheffler and Gary Woodland by one shot to win for the first time on the PGA TOUR.
2024Stephan Jaeger (-12)Held off five players, including Scheffler and Finau, to win by a shot for his first victory on TOUR.
2022Tony Finau (-16)Set the tournament scoring record and won by four shots, also a record. Final November event (2023 season).
2021Jason Korkak (-10)Won by two shots as Scheffler couldn’t close the 54-hole lead.
2020Carlos Ortiz (-13)Held off Hideki Matsuyama (not entered) and Dusitn Johnson (ineligible) to win for the first time on TOUR.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525

Last WEEK – Valspar Championship

MY CHOICE: Jacob Bridgeman – T14

Steady, yet unspectacular. Never raised to the level of contender. Congrats to Fitzy on his excellent bounce-back after a tough finish at THE PLAYERS. I didn’t see that coming.

THIS Week – Texas Children’s Houston Open

There’s no reason to save Chris Gotterup.

With two victories already, he won’t be playing many courses, if any, from this point forward where he can black out and just pump driver all day.

He can this week!

THE CHOICE: Chris Gotterup

Others to consider:

Any of the European ball-strikers who were in it last week at Valspar.

Nicolai Hojgaard, Jake Knapp, Sam Burns, Wyndham Clark

Course Horses at Memorial Park

2025 Birdies2024 Birdies
26 Min Woo Lee22 Scottie Schefffler
23 Taylor Pendrith22 Alejandro Tosti
23 Alejandro Tosti21 Nick Dunlap
23 Gary Woodland20 Matti Schmid
22 Davis Thompson20 Gary Woodland
22 Sami Valimaki19 Tony Fianu
21 Jake Knapp19 Tom Hoge
21 Scottie Scheffler19 Billy Horschel
 19 Stephan Jaeger
20252024
Min Woo Lee (-20)Stephan Jaeger (-12)
wins by 1 (Scheffler, Woodland)wins by 1 (Scheffler, 4 others)
Par 70 – 7,475 ydsPar 70 – 7,435 yds
154 players144 players
  
T2 Gary WoodlandT2 Tony Finau
04 Sami Valimaki -17T2 Taylor Moore
T5 Wyndham Clark –15T2 Alejandro Tosti
T5 Taylor PendrithT7 Billy Horschel -10
T5 Alejandro TostiT7 Aaron Rai
09 Ryan Gerard -14T7 Max Greyserman
10 Mackenzie Hughes -13T11 Nick Dunlap -9
T11 Lee Hodges -12T14 Mackenzie Hughes -8
T11 Rico HoeyT14 Tom Hoge
T11 Stephan JaegerT14 Davis Riley
T11 Isaiah SalindaT17 Chad Ramey -7
T15 Ryan Fox -11T21 Gary Woodland -6
T15 Eric ColeT21 Cam Davis
T18 Chris Gotterup -10T21 Davis Thompson
T18 Sam StevensT21 Matti Schmid
T18 Harry HallT21 Joe Highsmith
T18 Harris EnglishT28 Sahith Theegala -5
T18 Keith MitchellT28 Harry Hall
T18 Kevin Yu 
T18 Ben Griffin 

Valspar Championship Betting Angles

Valspar Championship

Innisbrook Resort

Copperhead Course

Palm Harbor, Florida

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Expert Picks

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Thoughts on Valspar

It’s difficult. Really difficult.

The flat tracks of PGA National, Bay Hill, and TPC Sawgrass have been replaced with oak-lined rolling hills and significant elevation changes.

The last four winners have all ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Putting and top 15 Greens in Regulation.

Par is a decent score again this week. Exactly five players have posted 10-under or better over the last three events.

Five.

This is not a hit-and-giggle or walk in the park after THE PLAYERS Championship. The cut during the last three editions was 2-over, even, and 1-over.

Survive and advance and enjoy the third-hardest three-hole closing stretch on TOUR, “The Snake Pit”.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseCopperhead Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,352.
Par:71 (35-36).
Greens:Poa Trivialis overseed; TifEagle Bermuda; 5,822 square feet.
Stimpmeter:12-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass 3.75 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play74/8/9.
Architect(s):Larry Packard (1971).
Defending Champion (event):Viktor Hovland (-11).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:61; Matt NeSmith (Round 2, 2022) & Padraig Harrington (Round 1, 2012). Neither player is in the field this week.
Tournament Scoring Record267 (-17); Sam Burns (not entered), 2022.
Fact of the Week:Since moving to March on the schedule in 2007, the winning margin has been two or fewer shots in every year save 2022.
Fact of the Week II:The course has five Par-3 holes and three Par-5 holes.

Notes:

  • Field of 135.
  • No significant course changes for 2026.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.1 million – $1.638 million – 500 FedExCup points.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Valspar Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Viktor Hovland (-11)Broke a three-way tie on 7-under after 54 holes with a final round 67 to defeat Justin Thomas by a shot.
2024Peter Malnati (-12)Shot a final round 67 to win for the second time on TOUR.
2023Taylor Moore (-10)The first of three consecutive champions to post 67 in the final round. Defeated Adam Schenk by one shot.
2022Sam Burns (-17)Defeated Davis Riley in a playoff to successfully defend his title. His tournament scoring record was one of many broken in PERFECT, windless weather.
2021Sam Burns (-17)The event finished in May and Burns won on TOUR for the first time.
2019Paul Casey (-8)The Englishman became the last winner in single digits.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

LAST WEEK – THE PLAYERS Championship

MY CHOICE: Collin Morikawa – WD

I have no words.

Missing the cut is one thing. Quitting after one hole is another. Glad to see the online sportsbooks refund folks’ money. That was the right thing to do.

As for One and Done, if you tee it, you played. It sucks, but it’s the right call.

Nobody said you didn’t need a little luck in life, but I feel for the McIlroy/Morikawa contingent the last two weeks. Go buy a lottery ticket or two and see if Karma has returned.

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0

THIS WEEK – Valspar Championship

Xander Schauffele will be on my short list of TWO for the U.S. Open. Brooks Koepka is the defending champion at Shinnecock Hills.

Justin Thomas makes sense this week, but I am not taking my chances on a guy who has just returned from back surgery.

Corey Conners has two wins at Valero, so he stays in the stable.

The Hojgaards have never made a cut here.

Jordan Spieth – Colonial or Augusta.

MY CHOICE: Jacob Bridgeman

Proven in Florida, proven in California.

He played from the final group in 2025 and secured third.

His form is T18 or better in every event this year.

LFG.

Others to consider

Viktor Hovland, Sahith Theegala, Lucas Glover, Billy Horschel, Ryo Hisatsune

Recent Form at Valspar

202520242023
Viktor Hovland (-11)Peter Malnati (-12)Taylor Moore (-10)
wins by 1 (JT)wins by 2 (Cam Young)wins by 1 (Schenk)
Par 71 – 7,352 ydsPar 71 – 7,340 ydsPar 71 – 7,340 yds
156 players156 players144 players
   
02 Justin Thomas -10T3 Chancler Phillips -902 Adam Schenk -9
03 Jacob Bridgeman -9T3 Mackenzie HughesT3 Jordan Spieth -8
T4 Bud Cauley -8T5 Adam Hadwin -8T7 Webb Simpson -4
T4 Ryo HisatsuneT5 Xander SchauffeleT7 Matt Wallace
T4 Billy HorschelT9 C Bezuidenhout -7T10 Justin Thomas -3
07 Davis Riley -711 Lucas Glover -6T10 Nick Taylor
T8 Seamus Power -6T12 Billy Horschel -5T10 Patton Kizzire
T8 Lucas GloverT12 Taylor MooreT10 Zac Blair
T8 Corey ConnersT12 Kevin RoyT19 Davis Riley -1
T12 Eric Cole -5T17 Matt Wallace -4T19 Denny McCarthy
T12 Xander SchauffeleT17 Akshay BhatiaT27 Chad Ramey E
T12 Ricky CastilloT17 Ben GriffinT27 Alex Smalley
T16 Matt McCarty -4T17 Keith MitchellT27 Kevin Streelman
T22 R N P -3T17 Matti SchmidT27 Stephan Jaeger
T22 Emiliano GrilloT17 Andrew NovakT27 Andrew Novak
T22 Joe HighsmithT26 Seamus Power -3 
T22 Jeremy PaulT26 Lee Hodges 
 T26 Kevin Streelman 

Truist Championship

Yep, new sponsor.

Yep, they are NOT playing Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte!

This is the Wissahickon Course at the Philadelphia Cricket Club

Truist Championship

Philadelphia Cricket Club 

Wissahickon Course

Flourtown, PA

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Thoughts on Chalk (odds via Bet365.com)

Rory McIlroy (+450): Riding the best, in-form ball-striker against an elite Signature Event field on an unfamiliar course sans Scottie Scheffler (not entered) isn’t the dumbest plan I’ve seen. He has demonstrated the ability to turn on the heat and go before. Remember, he’s won this EVENT four times at the Quail Hollow Club, not the Philadelphia Cricket Club. It might not matter.

Collin Morikawa (+1400): Week No. 1 with a new caddy on a brand-new course? That would be a story. I’m going to let them get four rounds under their belts.

Justin Thomas (+1600): Smoke or satisfaction? Matt Minister returns to his bag this week as Joe Greiner heads to Morikawa’s stable. The return to normalcy should pay dividends.

Xander Schauffele (+1600): He will let his full bag loose this week. Not many are better on unfamiliar, classic courses. Check his U.S. Open record in this part of the world.

Ludvig Aberg (+1600): I won’t talk you out of him, but his profile suggests next week on 7,626 yards.

Patrick Cantlay (+1800): Another who has flourished in the East Coast/Mid-Atlantic region in the last eight years. His last victory on TOUR was the 2022 BMW Championship on a first-time course at the Wilmington Country Club.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500): Just sign for a top 10 and take your money.

Russell Henley (+2500): Probably not his favorite grass, but he can get it around.

Jordan Spieth (+2500): See Fleetwood, Tommy. 62 last week, and he’s hitting it great.

Shane Lowry (+3300): He would join Schauffele as my second win ticket. Too good tee to green, and his form has been on point. The 118 bunkers will be decorations for him.

Others for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action

Read my DFS DISH column for more thoughts. Here are a few others, not mentioned before, that should/can/might fill out cards:

Boring, boring, Sungjae Im (+4500) needs to be on the card beside Keegan Bradley (+5000). A patient plodder, Justin Rose (+6000), loves this part of the world. Keith Mitchell (+7500) took last week off, knowing he had a spot in this week’s event. Lucas Glover (+11000) is a proven commodity on Tillinghast tracks. Eric Cole (+10000) is free money.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseWissahickon Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,119 yards.
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:A1/A4 Bentgrass; 5,779 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13 feet.
Rough:Tall Fescue at 3 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play118/1/6
Architect(s):A.W. Tillinghast (1922); Keith Foster (2013).
Defending Champion (event):Rory McIlroy
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Rory McIlroy (4)
Course Record (latest):61; Set in the 2024 US Fourball.
72 Hole Tournament Record (Spring):First event at this course.
Fact of the Week:Any history from Quail Hollow Club will be useful NEXT WEEK for the 107th PGA Championship.

Recent Winners

  • 2025 Season Winners
EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
89th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (3)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicAndrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler

2024 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryChris Kirk
Sony Open in HawaiiGrayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American ExpressNick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance OpenMatthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble BeachWyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix OpenNick Taylor
The Genesis InvitationalHideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at VidantaJake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant ClassicAustin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar ChampionshipPeter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston OpenStephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas OpenAkshay Bhatia
88th Masters TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC HeritageScottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich ClassicRory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonTaylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
106th PGA ChampionshipXander Schauffele
Charles Schwab ChallengeDavis Riley
RBC Canadian OpenRobert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (5)
124th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Travelers ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis
John Deere ClassicDavis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyre (2)
152nd Open ChampionshipXander Schauffele (2)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris OlympicsScottie Scheffler (7)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
Wyndham ChampionshipAaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
The TOUR ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (8)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipPatton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipKevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMatt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s OpenJT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPNico Echavarria
World Wide Technology ChampAustin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampRafa Campos (first time)
The RSM ClassicMaverick McNealy (first time)

Notables

  • The field of 72 includes 44 players from the top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings, including nine of the top 10. Only Scheffler is absent.
  • This is the first PGA TOUR event on this course. Bernhard Langer (+1) won the 2016 Kaulig Companies Championship (Senior PLAYERS) here.
  • Playing 7,119 yards, only Pebble Beach and Waialae CC are shorter.
  • This is the second consecutive week on Bentgrass greens and the third to date.
  • The field will not be cut after 36 holes.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy gets kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
The SentrySungjae Im3rd$1,360,000
Sony Open in HawaiiRussell HenleyT10195,025
The American ExpressAdam HadwinMC 
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3252,080
AT&T Pebble BeachLudvig AbergWD 
WM Phoenix OpenRasmus HojgaardT12195,500
Genesis InvitationalWill ZalatorisT24168,857
Mexico OpenPatrick RodgersT2559,350
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT2573,721
Arnold PalmerKeegan BradleyT5800,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaT10656,250
Valspar ChampionshipSepp StrakaT2855,844
Houston OpenAaron RaiMC 
Valero Texas OpenCorey ConnersT18113,050
89th MastersRory McIlroyWIN4,200,000
RBC HeritageScottie SchefflerT8540,000
Zurich ClassicKurt KitayamaMC 
Byron NelsonSi Woo KimT15136,719

LAST WEEK – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

With only seven of the top players in the OWGR Top 50 entering, it’s time to have some fun. And by fun, I mean I have no idea who is going to win. I’m going to trust a hot Dallas resident who is coming off his best finish, on his own ball, two weeks ago at RBC Heritage. The 54-hole leader faded on Sunday to T8, but he will not have as deep of field to hold off this time around. He shared second two years ago and was T13 last year, so it’s clear he’s comfortable in the home game.

THE CHOICE: Si Woo Kim – T15

Others to consider: Sungjae Im, Ben An, Eric Cole, Ryan Gerard, Alejandro Tosti

Wrong Dallas resident. Wrong Dallas resident with a top 10 at RBC Heritage.

I was one week too early on Scheffler.

BECAUSE I SUCK.

THIS Week – Truist Championship

Big field, big event, big problems on a brand-new (to these guys) course!

The cream continually rises to the top at these events, and I’ve burned quite a few of them already.

The no-cut feature will help. Or it will hurt watching four rounds of shitty play.

Justin Thomas is the defending event champion at the Quail Hollow Club for next week’s PGA Championship. Rory McIlroy is the landlord, owning four titles on the property. Scottie Scheffler is BACK. Xander Schauffele has been second twice in the last two events there.

I’m saving Schauffele for Oakmont.

Big fairways and a big putter? Ok, Tommy lad. Show me!

THE CHOICE: Tommy Fleetwood

Others to consider: Shane Lowry, Patrick Cantlay, Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley

OAD: THE PLAYERS Championship 2022

Absolutely exhausting this week if Jon Rahm isn’t on your board.

I’m exhausted.

This is a brutal field to handicap and a brutal field to pick a winner. I’ve sorted some angles for play this week but I’m guessing this is gonna be the week for RAHMIKAWA.

Time to play defense or head a different direction? Mother Nature is my selection this week!

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