OAD: THE PLAYERS Championship 2022

Absolutely exhausting this week if Jon Rahm isn’t on your board.

I’m exhausted.

This is a brutal field to handicap and a brutal field to pick a winner. I’ve sorted some angles for play this week but I’m guessing this is gonna be the week for RAHMIKAWA.

Time to play defense or head a different direction? Mother Nature is my selection this week!

2022 One and Done

Thanks for reading!

The purpose of this column is to free my mind and have some fun all while trying to find some winners.

From a transparency standpoint, most of my recent years are listed below so you can check how I’ve performed.

The price is the same as last year, ZERO, but my Venmo is @Mike-Glasscott if you would like to donate. You might even get your name on the column!

Sometimes we gotta look back before we look forward so I’ll post my thoughts from last week before breaking down the field this week.

Last Time – Arnold Palmer Invitational

Please read Horses for Courses and Expert Picks  if you need more ideas!

Another week with the winner in tow plus two of the three guys who finished second!


Looks like I got WARM BLANKETS and SPICY mixed up haha!

Golf, bloody hell!

THE CHOICE: Rory McIlroy – T13

It started so well with a First Round Leader at +1600…

It ended with 76-76 on the weekend for T13.

He told us after his round on Friday that this place would turn into a parking lot on the weekend and he was right.  The Ulsterman also hinted that this might not be the best mental test of golf (paraphrasing) leading into a $20 million week at THE PLAYERS.

Last year he closed 76 at Bay Hill (T10 after opening with 66) before posting 79 in the first round at TPC Sawgrass on his way to MC.

It’s information. Do with it what you want!

It’s a bummer to not have premium guys fire but such is life in OAD.

Warm Blankets: The guys who should. Safe selections that will help maintain leads. Opinions on why or why not for this event or save for later.

Marc Leishman: Speaking of comfortable, the Aussie is exactly that in Orlando. He’s No. 2 on the money list all time and is making start No. 13. I’d point out his 78-78 weekend for T68 was, er, something.

Matt Fitzpatrick: He was on point, in form and ready to pop before a WD (illness) at Riviera set him back. T12 is the worst paycheck in his last four starts worldwide and he’s cashed in the top 10 in his last three visits here. Ah, hindsight! So clear! So 20-20 of you! Sure he doesn’t make any birdies (right, Chadders?) but he doesn’t make many bogeys either. Hitting the most (T1) fairways never hurts when the rough is gnarly and the dance floors are glass. T9

Keith Mitchell: Guys that are hot are impossible to ignore and he easily qualifies. Superb tee to green and on Bermuda all the boxes are checked this week. T61 as 72 in Round 1 was the best of the bunch. 19 bogeys! Wow!

Jon Rahm: Every week until he’s not. Here’s my angle: I get to use him once. I better get it right. Last year I picked him for the wrong US Open. This year I played him at his spiritual home of Torrey Pines. I don’t have to make this choice again but YOU do! I’d play him on tracks he’s flourished (Memorial stands out after last year) or tracks NOBODY has seen (Wilmington Country Club) to enjoy the advantage. Sat 2-under thru 36 (T13) and T17 after 74-74 weekend! First trip saw him finish 3rd GIR and T72 putting. Not terribly surprising.

Spicy: This might be a week for sending out an “unknown” and saving a start. You just might get lucky. Or MC.

Viktor Hovland: I know, I know, I know, DOWN HERE ?!?!?!?!?! Yes, down here. 3 tries. 3 T40-somethings. Putting on Bermuda matters. So does chipping on over-seeded Bermuda. I want a better match. 36 hole leader by two had a chance to force a playoff on the 72nd hole. Not much more you could ask for with his previous track record! Outstanding talent T2.

Scottie Scheffler: Played 2020 (T15) and didn’t play last year? Was the purse too big? Field not deep enough? Weird. WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER. Played the weekend 4-under and 5-under was the winning score. Lights out.

Billy Horschel: Hasn’t put together four rounds yet but he’s perilously close to doing just that. His grass, his home state and no pressure of a home game next week in Ponte Vedra Beach. Shared the 54 hole lead and claimed T2 to continue his hot run of form. Still had a chance for a playoff with a birdie at the last.

Justin Rose: Sat T7 after 54 holes last year but had to WD. Former Orlando resident has had plenty experience here as he’s making start No. 17. Quietly went about his business with T6 at Torrey Pines, another course that requires solid ball-striking. MC 74-75.

Will Zalatoris: Average winner here needs about five previous tries. He’s on his second. T38. Good news? 68 to open and 70 on a very difficult Saturday. Other news? 77 Friday and 79 Sunday. Went from 1-under to 6-over in the final round.

3 AM at the Blackjack Table: Caution is thrown to the wind. Maybe not the best for this format but what the hell, right? Might throw these in if you’re in need of a miracle.

Keegan Bradley  – T11, Chris Kirk – T5, Lanto Griffin – T52, Ian Poulter – T42, Sam Ryder – T61,

Spotter’s Game 2022

2022 EventsGolferPlaceTotal $$
Sentry Tournament of ChampionsMarc LeishmanT10188,000
Sony Open in HawaiiKeith MitchellT7227,812
The American ExpressSeamus PowerT14119,700
Farmers Insurance OpenJon RahmT3445,200
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmMaverick McNealyT3343,548
WM Phoenix OpenHideki MatsuyamaT8248,050
The Genesis InvitationalPatrick CantlayT3364,000
The Honda ClassicSungjae ImMC0
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRory McIlroyT13228,000
Total Events: 9Top 10: 4MC: 1      $1,564,310

This Week – THE PLAYERS Championship

Please read Horses for Courses and Expert Picks if you need more ideas.

The biggest purse at $20 million.

The biggest winner’s check at $3.6 million.

EASILY the most difficult field to handicap outside of The Open Championship.

The winners in OAD this week will essentially win TWO events in this cash accumulation format.

Picking winners ain’t easy and with 46 of the top 50 in the OWGR playing, the task at hand is nothing short of proper this week.

The baddest of the bad know this week is a big deal and have prepared for it as such. It’s just not a regular TORU event.

Angles this week include:

Field is deep and the purse is OUTRAGEOUS.

Course suits everyone.

Pete Dye is a evil genius.

I can’t argue with any of that.

I will point out the last two MARCH winners picked up wins No. 14 and No. 15, respectively, on TOUR.

They both hit it a mile and have no fear of the biggest stages in the world.

I don’t think that’s a bad place to start this week.

The days of the off the radar player at this event might have gone by the wayside. There are too many great youngsters and too many established studs.

Add some weather/storms/rain to the mix and this makes the choices EASIER for me.

Now, will they be the RIGHT choices?

Stay tuned!

THE CHOICE: Daniel Berger


That was difficult.

I saw what I needed to see before, during and after the final round at The Honda Classic. The result from that Sunday afternoon isn’t going to linger and if anything it’s going to light the fire this week.

Previous winners here have rolled in with form in their corner and he’s checked that box. He’s been racking up top 10s with nine from his last 20 starts since his win at AT&T Pebble Beach last year.

The Florida native won’t have any trouble handling Bermuda, wet or dry, and won’t mind a bit of wind. His T8 last summer at The Open Championship isn’t driving me away either.

He won’t be a popular pick this week and that’s just fine with me. Not very often does the consensus run away with the proceedings on Sunday!

Contrarian angle:  Berger has won at TPC Southwind twice and was T5 there last year. Those of you not playing him this week should bookmark him for future use. Don’t worry, I’ll remind you!

Warm Blankets: The guys who should. Safe selections that will help maintain leads. Opinions on why or why not for this event or save for later.

Jon Rahm: The last No. 1 player in the world to win this event was Jason Day in 2016. The Spaniard is in an incredible place as a new dad and has another on the way. His last two finishes here are his best two, T9 2021 and T12 in 2019 and he’s never MC. Nobody hits it better tee to green.

Rory McIlroy: Jupiter resident finally has found solace in TPC Sawgrass after cracking the code in 2019. Like most returning champions he bombed out in 2021 but that’s old news this week. Plenty of signs of life this winter pointing in the right direction and he won’t be worried about a wet track stretching longer. Only six guys have won this twice. Ever. Tiger Woods is the only one to do it this century. McIlroy’s not afraid of the deep end of the pool.

Hideki Matsuyama: I’ve highlighted his recent excellence in PGATOUR Pick ‘Em so you can read all about it there. All five of his paydays in seven attempts are T23 or better. Already has won twice this year and once on Bermuda at Waialae.

Collin Morikawa: Just too good tee to green and the pedigree is off the charts. It took him exactly ZERO previous efforts to knock off his first PGA Championship  and Open Championship. I think he needed one WGC event before winning on Bermuda at The Concession last year. He’s live just about every week but I’m leaning more experience on this track. You do you.

Spicy: This might be a week for sending out an “unknown” and saving a start. You just might get lucky. Or MC.

Justin Thomas: OMG WHAT ARE YO DOING WITH HIM DOWN HERE??? Now that I have your attention…

The last winner to hit the top 10 in defense was Adam Scott (T5) in 2005. The last winner to hit the top 50 in defense was Webb Simpson (T16) in 2019. Nobody has defended. Nobody has gone close. The field is too deep. There are too many moving parts. 

Dustin Johnson: One top 10 here in 12 starts and fresh off his bachelor party. His record in suboptimal weather is very interesting but recent form is certainly not.

Scottie Scheffler: Only Tiger Woods this century has won the week before THE PLAYERS. Tall cotton. Like Hovland, Morikawa and the Young Guns, not many reps here at this level/intensity.

Brooks Koepka: Quietly lurking in the weeds as all the drama swirls around. He’s been remarkably quiet through most of this. The tougher the conditions and setup, the more locked in he usually will be. Another Florida Man with a bounty of big wins could be a bother to others this week. Many gamers will allow him to play himself into shape for the majors but this will be my first watermark.

Shane Lowry: If The Open Championship angle is in play this weekend haha I’ll argue he’s suited for it. One bad tee shot in a deluge at The Honda Classic cost him a shot a playoff but that came out of nowhere. Lovely contrarian play for my money this week.

3 AM at the Blackjack Table: Caution is thrown to the wind. Maybe not the best for this format but what the hell, right? Might throw these in if you’re in need of a miracle.

Adam Scott, Sergio Garcia, Si Woo Kim, Abraham Ancer, Chris Kirk, Keegan Bradley, Beau Hossler

History Channeled:

Final Silly Season Totals:

2021-2022 EventsGolferPlaceTotal $$
Fortinet ChampionshipKevin NaMC0
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipWill ZalatorisT14127,750
Shriners Children’s OpenCameron TringaleT5615,820
CJ CUP @ SUMMITViktor HovlandT18116,331
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPHideki MatsuyamaWIN1,791,000
Bermuda ChampionshipRussell KnoxT12129,025
Mayakoba ChampionshipAbraham AncerT7218,700
Hewlett Packard Houston OpenScottie SchefflerT2667,500
The RSM ClassicRussell HenleyT4027,000
Total Events: 9Top 10: 3MC: 1$3,093,126


2020-2021 EventsGolferPlaceTotal $$
Safeway OpenBrendan SteeleT2941,391
120th United States OpenJon RahmT23101,797
Corales Punta CanaPat PerezT2139,000
Sanderson FarmsDoc RedmanT2846,200
Shriners Hospitals for ChildrenPatrick CantlayT8190,750
CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEKMatthew Wolff73rd16,575
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPTyrrell HattonT2850,137
Bermuda ChampionshipWill ZalatorisT1661,000
Vivint Houston OpenTony FinauT2458,450
84th Masters TournamentJustin Thomas4th552,000
The RSM ClassicRussell HenleyT3039,552
Mayakoba Golf ClassicAbraham AncerT12147,600
Sentry TOCCameron SmithT2463,200
Sony Open in HawaiiDaniel BergerT7200,475
The American ExpressScottie SchefflerMC0
Farmers Insurance OpenMarc LeishmanT1880,761
Waste Management WMPOHideki MatsuyamaT4223,852
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmJason DayT7228,930
The Genesis InvitationalAdam ScottT3840,455
WGC- Championship (Concession)Xander SchauffeleT3955,000
Puerto Rico OpenEmiliano GrilloT1172,750
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRory McIlroyT10195,300
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipTommy FleetwoodMC0
The Honda ClassicJoaquin NiemannT2554,950
WGC- Dell Technologies Match PlayJason KokrakT4247,571
Corales PuntacanaThomas PietersT1355,350
Valero Texas OpenCharley Hoffman2nd839,300
85th Masters TournamentJordan SpiethT3667,000
RBC HeritageKevin KisnerMC0
Valspar ChampionshipPatrick ReedMC0
Wells Fargo ChampionshipCorey ConnersT4325,069
AT&T Byron NelsonRyan PalmerT4720,958
PGA ChampionshipViktor HovlandT3059,750
Charles Schwab ChallengeBrian HarmanT8198,875
Memorial TournamentCollin MorikawaP21,013,700
Palmetto ChampionshipMatt FitzpatrickT10177,025
121st United States OpenBrooks KoepkaT4498,176
Travelers ChampionshipPaul CaseyT3630,743
Rocket Mortgage ClassicSungjae ImT8211,875
John Deere ClassicZach JohnsonT3430,955
The Open ChampionshipLouis OosthuizenT3682,500
Barbasol ChampionshipCharl SchwartzelT2626,075
3M OpenRobert MacIntyreMC0
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan ArmourMC0
WGC – FESJIDustin JohnsonT10220,000
Wyndham ChampionshipWebb SimpsonT7201,666
THE NORTHERN TRUSTHarris EnglishT3148,925
BMW ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauP21,026,000
Total Events: 50Top 10: 16MC: 6$8,441,638


The GreenbrierScottie SchefflerT7235,625
Sanderson FarmsSungjae ImP2719,400
Safeway OpenByeong-Hun AnMC0
Shriners Hospitals for ChildrenScott PiercyMC0
Houston OpenHenrik StensonMC0
CJ CUP AT NINE BRIDGESMarc LeishmanT4331,785
ZOZO ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama2nd1,053,000
WGC-HSBC ChampionsXander Schauffele2nd1,095,000
Bermuda ChampionshipDenny McCarthyT1551,750
OHL Mayakoba ClassicRussell KnoxT3336,810
The RSM ClassicHarris EnglishMC0
Sentry TOCRickie FowlerT5285,000
Sony OpenCharles Howell IIIT12116,500
The American ExpressPhil MickelsonMC0
Farmers Insurance OpenTony FinauT6253,125
Waste Management PhoenixBubba WatsonT3386,900
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmBrandt SnedekerMC0
Genesis InvitationalJustin ThomasMC0
Puerto Rico OpenViktor HovlandWIN540,000
WGC-Mexico ChampionshipDustin JohnsonT4845,500
The Honda ClassicDaniel BergerT4280,000
Arnold Palmer InvitationalTommy FleetwoodMC0
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipAbandonedNo Result0
Charles Schwab ChallengeJordan SpiethT10181,875
RBC HeritagePatrick ReedMC0
Travelers ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauT6233,470
Rocket Mortgage ClassicTyrrell HattonT4300,000
Workday Charity OpenJustin RoseMC0
MemorialPatrick CantlayT3251,925
3M OpenWill GordonMC0
WGC-FESJ InvitationalBrooks KoepkaT2695,000
BarracudaBrendan SteeleT538,277
PGA ChampionshipJon RahmT13192,207
Wyndham ChampionshipWebb SimpsonT3312,400
BMW ChampionshipCollin MorikawaT20106780
Total Events: 36Top 10: 14MC: 110


My contributions for the major championships and PLAYERS selection were worse than bad so to still break the $10 million mark with those awful results was encouraging.

Another valuable lesson learned is that the Playoffs are for the big boys. Now, WHICH big boys make this more and more difficult and that’s why it’s enjoyable and maddening all at the same time. Only McIlroy and Woods have won the FedExCup twice so start there.

Safeway OpenBrendan SteeleT5314,610
CIMB ClassicRyan MooreT6612,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGESGary Woodland2nd1,026,000
WGC-HSBC ChampionsIan Poulter21st93,500
Sanderson FarmsCameron DavisMC0
ShrinersAaron WiseT15101,675
Mayakoba Golf ClassicCharles Howell IIIMC0
The RSM ClassicJ.J. SpaunMC0
Sentry TOCJon RahmT8191,000
Sony OpenMarc LeishmanT3307,200
60th Desert ClassicAndrew PutnamT3429,975
Farmers InsurancePatrick CantlayMC0
WMPOHideki MatsuyamaT15113,600
AT&T Pebble BeachJason DayT4334,400
Genesis OpenJustin Thomas2nd799,200
WGC-Mexico ChampXander SchauffeleT14128,000
Puerto Rico OpenGraeme McDowellT4210,500
The Honda ClassicAdam ScottMC0
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRickie FowlerT4035,490
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipSergio GarciaT22125,000
Valspar ChampionshipPatrick ReedMC0
Corales Punta CanaTrey MullinaxT616,450
WGC-Match PlayPaul CaseyT9167,000
Valero Texas OpenBilly HorschelMC0
MastersRory McIlroyT21107,956
RBC HeritageMatt Kuchar2nd745,200
Zurich ClassicRyan PalmerWIN1,051,200
Wells Fargo ChampionshipPhil MickelsonMC0
AT&T Byron NelsonKeith MitchellT5917,301
PGA ChampionshipBrooks KoepkaWIN1,980,000
Charles Schwab ChallengeJordan SpiethT8197,100
MemorialTony FinauMC0
RBC Canadian OpenJim FurykT2755,100
U.S. OpenTiger WoodsT21117,598
Travelers ChampionshipBubba WatsonT5416,560
Rocket Mortgage ClassicSungjae ImT2168,528
3M OpenBryson DeChambeauT2563,200
John Deere ClassicCollin MorikawaT4264,000
The Open ChampionshipRafa Cabrera BelloMC0
Barbasol ChampionshipDenny McCarthyT1177,000
WGC-FESJIDustin JohnsonT20113,500
Barracuda ChampionshipMartin LairdT7105,437
Wyndham ChampionshipWebb Simpson2nd669,600
THE NORTHERN TRUSTTommy FleetwoodT4327,565
BMW ChampionshipBrandt SnedekerT5351,500
Total Events: 45Top 10s: 14MC: 10$0

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Safeway OpenTony Finau2nd669,600
CIMB ClassicPaul CaseyT7218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGESKeegan BradleyT4723,759
WGC-HSBC ChampionsHideki MatsuyamaT5051,875
Sanderson FarmsChesson HadleyT2464,400
ShrinersPatrick CantlayWIN1,224,000
OHL ClassicKevin ChappellMC0
The RSM ClassicCharles Howell IIIMC0
Sentry TOCKevin KisnerT1799,333
Sony OpenBrian HarmanT4256,266
CareerBuilder ChallengeJason DufnerT3627,189
Farmers InsuranceJon RahmT2943,872
WMPOAlex NorenT2180,040
AT&T Pebble BeachPhil MickelsonT2488,400
Genesis OpenDustin JohnsonT16111,600
Honda ClassicGraeme McDowellMC0
WGC-MexicoTommy FleetwoodT14126,500
Valspar ChampionshipRyan MooreMC0
Arnold PalmerTyrell HattonT6918,067
WGC-Match PlayPatrick ReedT9163,000
Corales PuntacanaPatrick RodgersT2227,850
Houston OpenLuke ListT2454,162
MastersJordan Spieth3rd748,000
RBC HeritageCameron SmithT3235,510
Valero Texas OpenBilly HorschelT11136,400
Zurich ClassicBud CauleyMC0
Wells Fargo ChampionshipBryson DeChambeau4th369,600
THE PLAYERSFrancesco MolinariMC0
Ft. Worth InvitationalAdam ScottT5216,472
AT&T Byron NelsonJimmy WalkerT6257,950
MemorialTiger WoodsT2376,985
FESJCHenrik StensonT2650,820
US OpenJustin RoseT10270,151
FESJCXander SchauffeleMC0
Quicken Loans NationalKyle StanleyT3236,841
A Military TributeBubba WatsonT13121,632
John Deere ClassicZach JohnsonT1681,366
British OpenRory McIlroyT2694,250
RBC Canadian OpenCharley HoffmanT2937,743
BarracudaMartin LairdT1551,000
WGC-Bridgestone InviteRickie FowlerT17104,250
PGA ChampionshipBrooks KoepkaWIN1,980,000
WyndhamBrandt SnedekerWIN1,080,000
Dell TechnologiesMarc LeishmanT21100,800
BMW ChampionshipGary WoodlandT12189,000
TOUR ChampionshipJustin ThomasT7279,900
Total Events: 47Top 10s: 15MC: 7$10,967,909

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

Thanks for reading!


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