AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Pebble Beach Golf Links (Host)
Spyglass Hill Golf Club
Pebble Beach, California
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Chalk (odds based via Bet365.com)
My thoughts on the top players for betting purposes:
NOW PLAYING:
| Host Course | Pebble Beach Golf Links |
| Yards (per official scorecard): | 6,972. |
| Par: | 72 (36-36). |
| Greens: | Poa annua; 3,500 square feet on average. |
| Stimpmeter: | 10.5 feet. |
| Rough: | Overseeded Rye and Poa annua between two and three inches. |
| Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play | 116/1/1 |
| Architect(s): | Jack Neville & Douglas Grant (1919). |
| Defending Champion (event): | Justin Rose (-18). |
| Multiple Champion(s) Entered: | None |
| Course Record: | 62; Pebble Beach – Patrick Cantlay (Round 1, 2021). |
| 72 Hole Tournament Record (three courses) | 22-under; Brandt Snedeker (2015). |
| Fact of the Week: | The only event using just Pebble Beach and Spyglass was 2021. |
| Fact of the Week II: | Brett Ogle is the only debutant winner (1993). |
| Spyglass Hill GC | |
| Yards (per official scorecard): | 7,047 |
| Par: | 72 (36-36). |
| Greens: | Poa annua; 5,000 square feet on average. |
| Stimpmeter: | 11 feet. |
| Rough: | Overseeded Rye and Poa annua at two inches. |
| Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play | 62/4/4 |
| Architect(s): | Robert Trent Jones, Sr., (1966). |
| Course Record (last): | 62; Luke Donald, 2006. |
| Fact of the Week: | Bigger greens, more water hazards, lighter rough. |
Notes:
- Field of 80.
- 18 holes on each course to determine the Pro-Am winner.
- 36 holes on the weekend for the professionals to determine the Signature Event champion.
- The OWGR is represented by 41 of the top 50.
- NO CUT EVENT
- $20 million – $3.6 million – 700 FedExCup points – Sentry, PLAYERS, and Masters ticket punched.
Season Winners
2023 Season Winners
| Event | Winner |
| Sentry Tournament of Champions | Jon Rahm |
| Sony Open in Hawaii | Si Woo Kim |
| The AMERICAN EXPRESS | Jon Rahm (2) |
| Farmers Insurance Open | Max Homa (2) |
| AT&T Pebble Beach | Justin Rose |
| WM Phoenix Open | Scottie Scheffler |
| The Genesis Invitational | Jon Rahm (3) |
| The Honda Classic | Chris Kirk |
| Arnold Palmer Invitational | Kurt Kitayama (first TOUR win) |
| THE PLAYERS Championship | Scottie Scheffler (2) |
| Valspar Championship | Taylor Moore (first TOUR win) |
| Corales Puntacana | Matt Wallace (first TOUR win) |
| WGC – Dell Technologies MP | Sam Burns |
| Valero Texas Open | Corey Conners |
| Masters | Jon Rahm (4) |
| RBC Heritage | Matt Fitzpatrick |
| Zurich Classic of New Orleans | Davis Riley & Nick Hardy (first TOUR win for each) |
| Mexico Open at Vidanta | Tony Finau (2) |
| Wells Fargo Championship | Wyndham Clark (first TOUR win) |
| AT&T Byron Nelson | Jason Day |
| PGA Championship | Brooks Koepka |
| Charles Schwab Challenge | Emiliano Grillo |
| Memorial | Viktor Hovland |
| RBC Canadian Open | Nick Taylor |
| U.S. Open | Wyndham Clark (2) |
| Travelers Championship | Keegan Bradley (2) |
| Rocket Mortgage Classic | Rickie Fowler |
| John Deere Classic | Sepp Straka |
| Genesis Scottish Open | Rory McIlroy (2) |
| The Open Championship | Brian Harman |
| 3M Open | Lee Hodges (first TOUR win) |
| Wyndham Championship | Lucas Glover |
| FedEx St. Jude Championship | Lucas Glover (2) |
| BMW Championship | Viktor Hovland (2) |
| TOUR Championship | Viktor Hovland (3) |
| Fortinet Championship | Sahith Theegala |
| Sanderson Farms Championship | Luke List |
| Shriners Children’s Open | Tom Kim |
| ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP | Collin Morikawa |
| World Wide Technology | Erik van Rooyen |
| Butterfield Bermuda | Camilo Villegas |
| The RSM Classic | Ludvig Aberg |
2024 Season Winners
| Event | Winner |
| The Sentry | Chris Kirk |
| Sony Open in Hawaii | Grayson Murray |
| The American Express | Nick Dunlap (a) |
| Farmers Insurance Open | Matthieu Pavon (rookie) |
| AT&T Pebble Beach |
Recent Winners – AT&T Pebble Beach
Italics – not entered this week.
| Year | Winner | Notes |
| 2023 | Justin Rose (-18) | First Englishman/European winner in history. Won by three shots over Brendon Todd and Brandon Wu. |
| 2022 | Tom Hoge (-19) | Became only the third player since 2000 to win his first TOUR event at Pebble Beach. Won by two shots over Jordan Spieth. |
| 2021 | Daniel Berger (-18) | Held off hometown hero Maverick McNealy by two shots. Only used PB and Spyglass (no amateurs). |
| 2020 | Nick Taylor (-19) | The Canadian became just the fifth international winner in history. Won by four shots. |
| 2019 | Phil Mickelson (-19) | Caught, passed, and blew away Paul Casey by three. |
| 2018 | Ted Potter, Jr., (-17) | Beat Dustin Johnson heads-up in the final group on Sunday. |
| 2017 | Jordan Spieth (-19) | Breezed home by four shots as he led the field in Bogey Avoidance. |
Angles
The weather is going to factor. Wet, windy coastal Crosby Clambake conditions plus a Pro-Am for 36 holes should be a test.
Pebble Beach provides the smallest greens on TOUR and ranks in the top five of shortest tracks in use annually. Generous fairways can provide a launching point for a wedge contest. Missing GIR requires a confident short game.
I didn’t write this anywhere else this week so I’ll get it off my chest here. It’s amazing how many top players have not played this event. Read HFC for more details, but I found that astounding.
Why not?
Florida guys don’t care for Poa annua?
Nobody likes playing 6.5 rounds with amateur partners?
Preparing for three courses and the unpredictable weather?
The circus environment that comes with celebrities/celebrity watchers?
Why?
A purse of 20 million and a limited field of 80 guys.
Players to consider for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action:
Tommy Fleetwood (35/1) was the benefactor of McIlroy not closing the deal to begin 2024 in Dubai. The wind, rain, and ability to grind in those conditions make the Englishman jump off the page. For those of you who prefer more of a course horse, I cannot talk you out of Matt Fitzpatrick (33/1) after cashing T6 in 2022 and T12 at the U.S. Open.
Nicolai Hojgaard (45/1) won the DP World Tour Championship and has added two second-place paydays since November. Fresh off his 2024 PGA TOUR debut of solo second at Torrey Pines, he will try to keep the momentum rolling up the coast at Pebble Beach.
Nick Taylor (75/1) has three top-20 paydays in his last four visits, including hoisting the title in 2020.
Cameron Davis (80/1) possesses the tee-to-green game to push through the breezes and elements.
Patrick Rodgers (100/1) quietly snuck into the top 10 last week (T9) at Torrey Pines. The Stanford grad is more than familiar with golf in this part of the world.
Maverick McNealy (150/1) considers this week a home game. Growing up on the links of Pebble Beach, he’s posted solo second and T5 as his best paydays as a professional. After satisfying the terms of his major medical exemption last week, he now has full status.
Over the last two years. Taylor Moore (175/1) produced T15 and T16 in his first two visits. A super putter, Moore knocked off a solid field last March to win at the Valspar Championship.
San Jose State alum Mark Hubbard (200/1) thrives on the grasses in this part of California. Leading the field in SG: Approach at Torrey Pines, he found 57 of 72 GIR, second to only Tony Finau.
One and Done
| Event | Selection | Earnings |
| The Sentry | Collin Morikawa | 690,500 |
| Sony Open in Hawaii | Corey Conners | 18,592 |
| The American Express | Adam Hadwin | 310,800 |
| Farmers Insurance Open | Jason Day | 0 |
| Total Winnings: | 1,019,892 |
His game has more fun stuff to it so reach out @A340Spotter on Twitter or A340Spotter@frontier.com for more details and to join.
Recapping Last Week – Farmers Insurance Open
MY CHOICE: Jason Day – MC
For those of you saving the Aussie, who has never MC at Pebble Beach, for this week, smart move. Amazing to be let down by his chipping and putting but that’s why they call it gambling.
Other to Consider:
Tony Finau: Making his 10th visit, he’s T24 or better in eight of nine. Over his last four, he’s hit the top 10 three times and MC once. For those of you playing safe or can’t decide, I’d start here. He will also defend in Mexico in next month. The safest play on the board, Finau comes through with T6.
Max Homa: I’m going to save him for Riviera, but he’s defended once in California already at Fortinet (2021, 2022). The last player to successfully defend was Woods from 2005-2008 #FourPeat. Big week driving the golf ball but a better one getting up and down. T13.
Keegan Bradley: Another proven player in big ballparks, he ran second to Homa last year, also closing with 66. Making his 13th start, he will have a plan. Had to rely too much on the short game this week and it let him down. T43.
Sungjae Im: Looking to make it six-from-six, he will look to make it three straight in the top 10. First MC since late July.
Longshots
Harris English – T64
Patrick Rodgers – T9
Taylor Moore – T70
This Week – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
The second of eight Signature Events, there is NO CUT this week. Toss in wind, rain, and amateurs, and it might be a week to stray from the biggest of names.
Or not.
My theory in this game is simple: You’re not missing out. If you don’t take Scheffler this week and he wins, it’s not one and done. He will play all of the majors, THE PLAYERS, most of the other six Signature Events, and the first two rounds of the FedExCup Playoffs. He’s good enough to win again and possibly after that.
MY CHOICE: Jordan Spieth
He embraces the format, can handle the weather, and has the results to back it up. If you’re saving him for the Masters, please re-read the above. I’m trying to catch him on the up on ANOTHER course he has figured out. I didn’t think he would fire at Kapalua, and I was wrong by miles (solo third). After back-to-back top six paydays, I’m going in.
Other to Consider:
Viktor Hovland: The 2018 U.S. Amateur winner here has plenty of reps at Pebble. He lives in Oklahoma where wind is just part of life.
Rory McIlroy: To me, he makes absolutely no sense this week. Not with the events left on the schedule. Not with the tracks he’s crushed still to come. I’ll point out he’s on fire. Got it. Desert golf, with no wind and warm temperatures, is exactly the opposite of what he will face this week.
Ludvig Aberg: There’s nothing left to be written about the Swedish star in the making. The next step for gamers is figuring out his sweet spot. If you’re on the fence this week about the weather/event/choice there are a ton of worse places to default to than this guy.
Tommy Fleetwood: Can we get somebody to whisper in his ear that is U.S. Open week?
Jason Day: Because I had him last week.
Longshots
Ben An
Denny McCarthy
Nick Taylor
Seamus Power
Glass Houses 