Preview: The RSM Classic

Last one until January so let’s make it count!

Never an easy one to handicap because of the low scoring, full field and GAF factor this time of year.

via @PGATOUR

2021 The RSM Classic

Seaside Course (Host)

Plantation Course

Sea Island, Georgia

Seaside Course 
Yards (per official scorecard):7,002
Par:70 (35-35)
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; 7,200 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:Around 12 feet.
Rough:TifDwarf Bermuda at 2 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards47/14 (in play on 13 holes).
Architects:Harry Colt, Charles Alison (1929); Tom Fazio (1999)
Purse:$7.2 million ($1.26 winner) plus 500 FedExCup points.
Defending Champion (event):Robert Streb (-19; 263).
  
Plantation Course 
Yards (per official scorecard):7,060
Par:72 (36-36)
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; 6,100 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:Around 12 feet.
Rough:TifTuf Bermuda at 2 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards81/10 (in play on 10 holes).
Architects:Walter Travis, Colt and Alison (1928); Davis Love III (2019).
  
Fact of the Week:Plantation was added for the November 2015 edition as the field expanded to 156.
Fact of the Week II:Last three winners have posted 19-under.
Fact of the Week III:Last three winners have won in a playoff.

Notes:

  • Field of 156
  • Top 65 and ties play the final two rounds
  • Each player will play one round at Seaside and one round at Plantation before the cut is made.
  • Seaside will host the final 36 holes, as usual.

2021-2022 Season Winners

EventWinner
Fortinet ChampionshipMax Homa
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSam Burns
Shriners Children’s OpenSungjae Im
CJ CUP @ SUMMITRory McIlroy
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPHideki Matsuyama
Bermuda ChampionshipLucas Herbert (first TOUR win)
Mayakoba ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Hewlett Packard Houston OpenJason Kokrak

Check out HORSES FOR COURSES for more details on those who play well here.

Event Winners:

Calendar Year/Player/ScoreNotes
2020 – Robert Streb, -19 (playoff)  Became the first multiple winner at the event; defeated Kevin Kisner in a playoff.
2019 – Tyler Duncan, -19 (playoff)Birdied the 72nd hole to force a playoff; defeated Webb Simpson on the second playoff hole.
2018 – Charles Howell III, -19 (playoff)Led at every stage minus the 72nd hole; defeated Patrick Rodgers on the third playoff hole.
2017 – Austin Cook, -21Smoked the field by four shots as he was T4 Fairways and T2 GIR.
2016 – Mackenzie Hughes, -17Won a FIVE-MAN PLAYOFF; opened with 61.
2015 – Kevin Kisner, -22Destroyed the field by six shots as the Plantation Course made its debut.
  

Last Week – Hewlett Packard Enterprise Houston Open

Hope you were on board this week! Didn’t have the winner but had plenty more to stack.

Chalk – 30-1 or better

Sam Burns (+1400): Should have won last year but couldn’t hold the 36 and 54 hole lead. First time ever in that position and went on to do it again multiple times as the season wore on. He’s won and finished second in his last six on TOUR and his worst during that stretch is T21. You’ll pay for it, rightfully so, this week. Oh, and it’s a home game for the Louisiana native. Top 10, Top 20. First play, cash both. Hot start with T7!

Scottie Scheffler (+1800): Texan won’t have any problem in the wind. Led the field in GIR last week. Also played here last year and has a point of reference. 3 way action. 54-hole leader is painful but winning on 2 of 3 tickets eases that pain! T2.

Sungjae Im (+2500): In a vacuum, yeah, let’s go. He’s taken three weeks off so a bit of rust won’t be surprising. Enters T9-WIN in his last two. I’ll pop T20 heavy and hopefully not have to sweat at all. T19 covers that Top 20 action. Oh, I had to sweat!

Cameron Smith (+2500): Like Im hasn’t played since Summit where they shared 9th. Played fantastically this time last year as Aussie summer has begun. Top 10. Top 20. T15 had your back.

Brooks Koepka (+2800): Just taunting you with this number, the 65-65 close last year, the impending Thanksgiving match with DeChambeau…Two angles: Buy the last year and prep for the match or remember he just doesn’t GAF about non-major-ish activities.  MC

Tony Finau (+2800): Hasn’t taken on the freedom I thought he would have found after winning at LIBBITY NATIONAL OK. On paper, this looks like a perfect track for him, hard, long, a bit nasty. T24 last year but his form overall was better. MC

Tyrrell Hatton (+3000): Knocked the rust off in Mexico and should return to form this week. Another top 10 here. Give some back after MC.

Adam Scott (+3000): Only man to win the Texas grand slam and was T5 at Summit. Should have won Wyndham in August so there’s something cooking here. Number is interesting in this field but recent results play a factor in that. I’ll ride a top 20. Bucked off. T54.

Joaquin Niemann (+3000): Making cuts hasn’t been the issue as he’s at 13 straight. Only one top 10 (non-Olympic division) in that stretch and it was last week. Ride the heat or the class above? MC as the streak is stopped.

33-1 or Worse

Matthew Wolff (+3300): This number feels like “I know something you don’t know”. He was T2 GIR and FWY last week and posted 61 and 65. He was 2nd at Shriners and didn’t make anything on Sunday. I feel like I’m being trapped here but I’M A SUCKER. Top 10. Top 20. T11 will bring home some more dough. Bogeys on 16 and 18 killed the sweep here. Sad face.

Aaron Wise (+3300): T15 last week continues his excellent form. T11 here last year points to converging trends. Only win was in Texas at Trinity Forest. Seven straight T26 or better suggests Top 20 money again this week. Make it eight straight T26 or better but T26 isn’t paying this week. L on this ticket.

Talor Gooch (+3300): Now you will start to pay for T11-T5-T11-T4 in his last four starts. Solo fourth last year didn’t drive that number up either haha. MC.

Shane Lowry (+4000): Knocked off the rust last week with two rounds par or better (-2) but MC. His 2021 has been stellar and playing two weeks in a row tells me everything I need to know. 3 way action. Trunk slam and the first “bad” ticket of the week. It happens.

Patrick Reed (+4500): Back to Bermuda and a home game. Top 10. Top 20. Skinny win ticket after T2 in Bermuda. Make it two bad tickets in a row. T61

Max Homa (+6000): The tougher track, the better. Top 20. T35, bah.

Ian Poulter (+9000): Grinder extraordinaire. Didn’t get four rounds, just two. MC.

Funny Money

Cam Davis (+11000) – MC

Ryan Palmer (+11000) – T26

Danny Willett (+15000) – MC

Martin Laird (+15000) – MC

Aaron Rai (+15000) – T19

Wyndham Clark (+15000) – T41

JJ Spaun (+16000) – T46

Dylan Frittelli (+17500) – T19

Andrew Landry (+20000) – MC

Trey Mullinax (+20000) – MC

Sung Kang (+30000) – WD

This Week – The RSM Classic

This week is always interesting.

The last five winners should have us all second guessing to some point.

The last two winners have knocked out course horses and TOUR winners in playoffs.

There was even a FIVE MAN PLAYOFF the year Hughes won.

Shootouts ain’t easy so balance your card with a few long shots and a few HFC in the Top 10, Top 20 and Top 40 spots.

Birdies and scrambles are the play this week. Keeping it out of the water helps so does taking advantage of the round on Plantation.

Weather is always a factor this week but these tracks don’t even reach 7,100 yards and have better than average sized greens.

Hot putters and some form haven’t hurt the winners here.

Good luck!

Chalk – 30-1 or better

Scottie Scheffler (+1400): I mean he was my 3-way play last week, held the 54 hole lead, shot 69 on Sunday and cashed T2. Not sure I’m going to abandon him this week. T5 on debut in 2019. He was 18-1 last week in a similar field. Paying more of a premium this week in a birdie fest is interesting… Speaking of interesting: https://twitter.com/PGATOUR/status/1461024497558081540?s=20

Webb Simpson (+1800): He’s 27-under in 3 events this fall and that includes MC. Best finish is T14. Last time we saw him he was closing 66-65 at The Summit and posting 19-under. Safest bet on the board for me: Top 10.

Cameron Smith (+2000): First-timer shouldn’t have any problems figuring out how to make a ton of birdies. Cook and Hughes won on first appearance so yeah. 3 way action for the Aussie, Win-Top10-Top20.

Louis Oosthuizen (+2200): Quick, name the last time he won on TOUR! Right. Like Simpson, coming out of mothballs to play this event; MC last year.

Russell Henley (+2500): 8th consecutive time; best two rounds last year best two in three years; T7 last week. 3 way action.

Corey Conners (+2500): Cashed T10 here last year after T10 the week before at Augusta National. Five weeks off before this week.

Harris English (+3000): Closed with 62 last year and rolled thru 2021. Rusty return from a shoulder deal is the only concern this week. Home game.

33-1 or Worse

Kevin Kisner (+3500): Course history v recent form. Mind over golf swing. Lost a playoff to Streb last year. MC the year before that. All time $$ leader. Hasn’t broken 68 in six rounds this fall. Conflicted.

Alex Noren (+3500): Ripping off weekends no problem. T10 and T18 his only two visits here. Top 20 and put your feet up.

Adam Scott (+4500): Should have won at Wyndham in a shootout. Top 10.

Joel Dahmen (+5500): 65 or better in his last three events suggests I’m not digging here. Top 10. Top 20. Of 16 rounds this fall, 15 are par or better so he’s dialed.

Henrik Norlander (+8000): Overpaying here but his pair of top fives here suggests not by much. Top 10. Top 20.

Denny McCarthy (+9000): 3 way action. Favorite deep play.

Funny Money

Adam Long (+10000)

Aaron Rai (+10000)

Scott Piercy (+15000)

Matthew NeSmith (+15000)

Greyson Sigg (+20000)

Seth Reeves (+35000)

Jonathan Byrd (+40000) Top 20

If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to reach out through Twitter or email me mikeglasscott@gmail.com.

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