Preview: 2021 Mayakoba

Interesting stable of winners should help us draw some conclusions.

Deepest field yet will make us grind.

via @PGATOUR

2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba

El Camaleon Golf Course

Riviera Maya, Mexico

Yards (per official scorecard):7,017
Par:71 (36-35)
Greens:Sea Isle 1 Paspalum
Stimpmeter:Around 11 feet (could be slightly slower due to windy conditions)
Rough:Sea Isle 1 Paspalum at 1.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards36/Multiple canals running thru the property.
Architects:Greg Norman (2006)
Purse:$7.2 million ($1.296 winner) plus 500 FedExCup points.
Defending Champion (event):Viktor Hovland
Fact of the Week:No repeat champions. No multiple champions.
Fact of the Week II:The last four champions have won by exactly one shot. #Shootout.

Notes:

  • Field of 132
  • Top 65 and ties play the final two rounds

2021-2022 Season Winners

EventWinner
Fortinet ChampionshipMax Homa
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSam Burns
Shriners Children’s OpenSungjae Im
CJ CUP @ SUMMITRory McIlroy
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPHideki Matsuyama
Bermuda ChampionshipLucas Herbert (first TOUR win)

Check out HORSES FOR COURSES for more details on those who play well here.

Event Winners:

Calendar Year/Player/ScoreNotes
2020 – Viktor Hovland, 20-under  First player to birdie the 72nd hole to win.
2019 – Brendon Todd, 20-underWon the previous week at Bermuda and backed it up winning by one.
2018 – Matt Kuchar, 22-underSet all kinds of scoring records as the weather was perfect.
2017 – Patton Kizzire, 19-underBeat Rickie Fowler heads-up on the weekend to win by a shot.
2016 – Pat Perez, 21-underHeld off Gary Woodland by two to equal the fall tournament scoring record (English, 2013).

Last Week – Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Bermuda will pose some interesting questions this week with weather and wind so I’m not in love with much. Have fun this week and try and find some value down the board in the top 20 or top 10. I try to analyze players, hot or cold, to answer your inquiries. My “likes” will have plays attached to them.

Just a brutal week so I hope you had more “fun” than I did. My only saving grace was a drunk DK session late Wednesday night where I stuck TWO win bets on Lucas Herbert at 60-1 and a top 10. I also had a handful of “others” that didn’t pan out.

Whatever.

Have fun. Enjoy. Do you.

Chalk

Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400): He must be salivating after looking at the entries this week and coming off a win in Spain. Back to back is never easy at any level on ANY TOUR but this is a better price than Matsuyama last week in a much, much lighter field. Being on the wrong side of the draw didn’t help as he said it was the worst wind he’s EVER played in. T30 after sputtering on Sunday with 72.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+1600): Sparkling form as well but not as tested recently. Hasn’t MC in 2021 and rolls in on solo fifth and solo third in his last two. Also a super putter. T57 and another cut added to the ledger.

Patrick Reed (+2200): Hasn’t shown anything after the Ryder Cup snub but his short game can keep him hanging around if par is a good score. Last four top 10 finishes are on courses 7400+ yards. Smoke show Sunday with 65 to jump all the way to T2. Nice bounce after nothing happening to begin the new season.

Mito Pereira (+2500): Jump to the big leagues hasn’t bothered him one bit. Hits it too good! T30 with his C game.

Seamus Power (+3000): Coastal golf shouldn’t bother him much. Neither should a bit of breeze and rain. Top 10, Top 20. T12 cashes a ticket and we’re off!

Adam Hadwin (+3000): Best results have been in the desert and that usually means benign conditions. Careful. T46 but signs of life with 66-68 middle rounds.

33-1 or Worse

Russell Knox (+3500): If he’s my OAD, of course I’m gonna sprinkle him 3 ways! T12 misses the top 10 by a shot but some is better than none!

Hayden Buckley (+3500): Protection as he rolls in T8-T4 in his first two starts on TOUR. His last eight starts across both TOURS have produced five top 10 paychecks. Played the weekend 75-74 and tied third to last.

Danny Willett (+4000): Another veteran winner who shouldn’t be bothered in breezy conditions. Top 10. Top 20. 75-72 MC. I thank him for not being close.

Ryan Armour (+4500): I’d stick him in the top 20 just to be sure his course horse keeps riding. Bucked off. T67.

Denny McCarthy (+4500): Another top 20 as he loves Bermuda greens and grass and the island! T39. Bah.

Nick Taylor (+6600): Former Pebble Beach winner multiple TOUR winner. Easy MC.

Jason Dufner (+7500): Rattled off paychecks in his last five with T28 or better in four of them. Top 10. Top 20. Missed by a shot, rubbish.

Brian Stuard (+8000): Drives and putts. Top 10. Top 20. Wrong side of the draw 75-68 and MC by 1.

Nick Watney (+8000): Found some form recently and will look to build on cashing in seven of his last eight. Top 20. T46 doesn’t help.

Funny Money

Vaughn Taylor (+11000) – MC

Cameron Percy (+12500) – MC

JJ Spaun (+15000) – T7

Brice Drewitt (+30000) – T39

Ricky Barnes (+100000): I’d play him to make the cut. I should have stayed home and played with myself.

This Week – World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba.

Or just Mayakoba.

It’s easier. We know where it is and what’s going on.

Many more choices to deal with and a more course history.

It’s a resort course so 20-under or better probably wins.

Find guys who keep it in play and make a ton of birdies. Avoiding bogeys is great but the Par-3 holes and Par-5 holes are “resort-y” so there’s room to grow under par.

Veterans do well here for a couple of reasons. I think they understand how to flight it in the wind, which is always present, and they understand when to stop and go.

Also, they might not be sampling Tequila and nightlife.

Room to move it off the tee and big targets greenside should keep the balls out of the jungle and canals. Lack of rough will also help and keep scores low. Paspalum runs smooooooooooooooooth so it’s not surprising to see putts fall often.

Sprinkle in a few “kids” with the “olds” on your card and have fun.

Good luck!

Chalk – 30-1 or better

Justin Thomas (+1400): On paper and in theory, I always like him. I like him more as he’s won on Paspalum back in the day at CIMB. He also kills most courses he plays and the Sony Open correlates this week. Posted T12 with 62 in Round 2 last year.

Abraham Ancer (+1800): Home country advantage like Matsuyama has me interested. As my OAD, it’s not hard to see why. I love that he’s already won and had did so defeating a WGC field. Sky is the limit. 3 way action, win, Top 10 and Top 20.

Viktor Hovland (+2000): He’s won twice, both on Paspalum, so he should be comfy this week. GIR machine will defend for the first time and that’s always interesting with added attention before the first tee time. Nothing seems to bother him though.

Tony Finau (+2800): Like Hovland he’s won on Paspalum in Puerto Rico so he’s comfy on this surface (check HFC). Knocked the rust off with a visit to The Summit Club last month (T45) and should be ready to go. Cashed three times here and nothing worse than T16. 3 way action here as well.

Scottie Scheffler (+3000): Last two top 10 paydays were The Open and US Open so I’m not sure if this event will have his full attention.

33-1 or Worse

Billy Horschel (+3300): Won the BMW at Wentworth in September so he has the taste. He’s 43-under the last three years with T5 and T8 the last two.

Brooks Koepka (+3300): Love the price, as always, when it drifts north of 20-1. As always, his focus in these events is questionable at best. Last top 10 was seven events ago and in a major no less. We’ll both kick ourselves when he wins so you better stick a tenner on him just in case haha.

Patrick Reed (+3500): Made three doubles last week and lost by a shot. Will the Ball-Striking carry over? I know the putting will…

Aaron Wise (+3500): Absolutely love him this week but this number isn’t lovable. His course form is fire. His current form is fire. Plus he’s #TrendingAF.

Russell Henley (+4000): When he’s in the mood, going low is not an issue.

Shane Lowry (+4000): Shouldn’t take him very long to figure out how to get it around a resort course. Fantastic 2021.

Sergio Garcia (+5000): If veterans do well here, let’s play some veterans.

Funny Money

Alex Noren (+6000)

Emiliano Grillo (+6600)

Russell Knox (+6600)

Matt Kuchar (+10000)

Adam Long (+10000)

Henrik Stenson (+10000)

Hudson Swafford (+175000)

JJ Spaun (+20000)

Sam Ryder (+20000)

Cameron Percy (+12500)

JJ Spaun (+15000)

Brice Drewitt (+30000)

Ricky Barnes (+100000): I’d play him to make the cut.

If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to reach out through Twitter or email me mikeglasscott@gmail.com.

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