As this season mercifully turns for home, time to start pulling rabbits out of hats.
2020-2021 OAD
50 events, the most since the mid-70s, will give us plenty of time for strategy, strength and disaster.
Remember, if you don’t like it, you get DOUBLE YOUR MONEY BACK!
2020-2021 Events | Golfers | Place | Total $$ |
Safeway Open | Brendan Steele | T29 | 41,391 |
120th United States Open | Jon Rahm | T23 | 101,797 |
Corales Punta Cana | Pat Perez | T21 | 39,000 |
Sanderson Farms Championship | Doc Redman | T28 | 46,200 |
Shriners Hospitals for Children | Patrick Cantlay | T8 | 190,750 |
CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEK | Matthew Wolff | 73rd | 16,575 |
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP | Tyrrell Hatton | T28 | 50,137 |
Bermuda Championship | Will Zalatoris | T16 | 61,000 |
Vivint Houston Open | Tony Finau | T24 | 58,450 |
84th Masters Tournament | Justin Thomas | 4th | 552,000 |
The RSM Classic | Russell Henley | T30 | 39,552 |
Mayakoba Golf Classic | Abraham Ancer | T12 | 147,600 |
Sentry TOC | Cameron Smith | T24 | 63,200 |
Sony Open in Hawaii | Daniel Berger | T7 | 200,475 |
The American Express | Scottie Scheffler | MC | 0 |
Farmers Insurance Open | Marc Leishman | T18 | 80,761 |
Waste Management WMPO | Hideki Matsuyama | T42 | 23,852 |
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am | Jason Day | T7 | 228,930 |
The Genesis Invitational | Adam Scott | T38 | 40,455 |
WGC- Championship (Concession) | Xander Schauffele | T39 | 55,000 |
Puerto Rico Open | Emiliano Grillo | T11 | 72,750 |
Arnold Palmer Invitational | Rory McIlroy | T10 | 195,300 |
THE PLAYERS Championship | Tommy Fleetwood | MC | 0 |
The Honda Classic | Joaquin Niemann | T25 | 54,950 |
WGC- Dell Technologies Match Play | Jason Kokrak | T42 | 47,571 |
Corales Puntacana | Thomas Pieters | T13 | 55,350 |
Valero Texas Open | Charley Hoffman | 2nd | 839,300 |
85th Masters Tournament | Jordan Spieth | T3 | 667,000 |
RBC Heritage | Kevin Kisner | MC | 0 |
Valspar Championship | Patrick Reed | MC | 0 |
Wells Fargo Championship | Corey Conners | T43 | 25,069 |
AT&T Byron Nelson | Ryan Palmer | T47 | 20,958 |
PGA Championship | Viktor Hovland | T30 | 59,750 |
Charles Schwab Challenge | Brian Harman | T8 | 198,875 |
Memorial Tournament | Collin Morikawa | P2 | 1,013,700 |
Palmetto Championship | Matt Fitzpatrick | T10 | 177,025 |
121st United States Open | Brooks Koepka | T4 | 498,176 |
Travelers Championship | Paul Casey | T36 | 30,743 |
Total Events: 37 | Top 10: 11 | MC: 3 | $5,993,642 |
Last Week – Travelers Championship
Streak of top 10 finishes busted out at four. That about the only highlight of this season, sadly.
THE CHOICE: Paul Casey – T36
His course form is never in question when he arrives at TPC River Highlands. His current form is also not in question as his worst payday in 2021 is T26 (Masters). Rolling into town after contending late into the weekend at both the PGA Championship (T4) and US Open (T7) suggests he’s ready to pop.
He opened 31 on the front and was 4-under stalking the lead.
And that was that.
Home in 40 and away the hopes and dreams went.
Second time this season I’ve ran a guy out on a “favorite” track only to have him post his WORST EVER FINISH on said “favorite” track.
Chadders ain’t got nothing on me!
Safety Dance:
Players in here will appear obvious until I explain why they might not be. Remember “one” means ONCE, not again down the road or don’t perhaps “fit” to this event.
Bubba Watson: Sometimes over-thinking it isn’t worth it. Bubba gonna Bubba where Bubba likes to Bubba and this week qualifies easily. And then Sunday happened. Woof. T19. Sorry to those who invested.
Kevin Streelman: Followed up his first top 10 at a major (T8 PGA) with T15 at Torrey Pines. 2014 champ rakes here. MC and his run of fantastic play finally hit a speed bump.
Bryson DeChambeau: I’ve heard the theory of playing guys in fields not as strong as majors. Ok, got it. Three straight top-10 paydays and a big chance to wash that back nine 44 on Sunday out of his mouth. Began the final round just three back but never fired. Limped in with 70 and was passed by 10 players. Ouch. Consecutive Sunday Back 9s over par.
Brian Harman: Too many solid finishes. Gone close here before as well. Not sexy but if you’re leading he might be. T5 as he just keeps racking them up!
Harris English: Now, do it again. DUNNN DID IT. WINNER.
Spicy:
Rickie Fowler: It’s coming. Better guess right. Oh, and he’s just announced he’s gonna be a dad for the first time. Maybe Rocket Mortgage makes more sense. The word “guess” should have answered why he was in this section. MC.
Keegan Bradley: Went close in 2019 and is now annual home game because Boston rotates. Missed by a shot.
Guido Migliozzi: If he can figure out Torrey that quickly, surely he can figure out the easiest Par-70 on TOUR from last year. T13 with three rounds in the 60s. Fantastic two weeks from the Italian!
Abraham Ancer/Scottie Scheffler: Last first-time winner on TOUR here was Ken Duke in 2014. Before that it was Freddie Jacobson in 2011. Tough trend to snap. Ancer 4th. Scheffler played the weekend 3-over for T47.
Brendan Steele: All he does is rack up top 25s here. Only missed cut in months was Torrey Pines. He’s now 6 of 9 here with 6 top 25 finishes after this MC.
3 AM at the Blackjack Table:
Aaron Wise – T66, Doc Redman – T61, Francesco Molinari – MC, KH Lee – T6 after 54 holes then shot 80! I have a guy in my weekly league who drafted Lee and Bubba. What a terrible Sunday for him. Sorry, dawg; Ryan Armour – T61
This Week – Rocket Mortgage Classic
Read more in Horses for Courses
The two winners here in this newer event have posted 25-under and 23-under to win so yeah.
Birdie festivals are the hardest to pin down for my money. Two years ago Nate Lashley won as from third alternate. Doc Redman was second as he won the Monday Qualifier.
Last year Matthew Wolff made 31 Par-Breakers.
And lost by three shots!
With only 10 or so events left (depending on leagues), it’s time for MATHS.
If you’re trailing by millions, such as I am, hard to believe, I know, I know, there’s no time like the present to burn ’em.
The last four MAJOR MONEY events are The Open (total crapshoot), WGC-Memphis (Brooks, JT, DJ, Phil (!?!?!?)) Liberty National (Patrick Reed, Adam Scott winners here) and Caves Valley (brand-new Fazio track to the TOUR = premium player).
Oh, and Wyndham because Webb Simpson.
So run down your list. If you have those four events RESERVED, see who is left and start burning them as fast as you can light ’em.
No point sitting here before the FedExCup Playoffs begin and realize that you have five guys for two events.
Sad!
THE CHOICE: Sungjae Im
He’s MC in half of his last six and nothing is better than T17 so IT’S TIME.
At least he’s cashed in his two previous visits here but nothing inside the top 20.
I’m going with a Top 40 Fairway, GIR, Birdies, OWGR, Scoring Average after a week off.
I didn’t know he was allowed to take a week off.
I’ve tried to talk myself into this.
Maybe, like last week, I’m doing you a favor and you’ll know who to AVOID!
Safety Dance:
Players in here will appear obvious until I explain why they might not be. Remember “one” means ONCE, not again down the road or don’t perhaps “fit” to this event.
Hideki Matsuyama: He’s 28-under over two events here so it’s obvious he’s comfortable. Hit it closer, fam.
Kevin Kisner: When course form smashes directly into current form it’s hard not to fall in love. A pair of 63s last week and a solo third here last year. What could go wrong?
Brian Stuard: It’s his Open. It’s his home state. I know he shouldn’t be in here but this field and this time of year brings us to this point. Of his eight rounds, SIX of them are 68 or better.
Doc Redman: 32-under over two events cashing second and T21. He’s rattled off five straight on TOUR and that includes T2 at Congaree and T9 at ATT Byron Nelson, another birdie fest.
Spicy:
Maverick McNealy: Cashing T30 or better on greens this size and smaller.
Mito Pereira: Holy hell he’s hot! Like Africa hot. Perfect, soft landing knowing he’ll have to be aggressive to contend.
Rickie Fowler: Main reason I have him listed is to point out he’s never made the cut in two tries here. Yes, he’s announced he’s going to be a dad so we’ll test that theory as well.
Sepp Straka: T8 and T11 in his previous two starts here and T10 last week after a run of MC. That’s as spicy as it gets!
Matthew Wolff: Nobody makes 31 Par-Breakers on accident, folks. Grip and rip.
Cameron Champ: Absolutely nothing happening but this is a perfect track to turn it around. One off the 36-hole lead in 2019 and T12 last year suggests he’ll overpower this place again.
3 AM at the Blackjack Table:
Seamus Power, Beau Hossler, Mark Hubbard, Troy Merritt
Check out my previous results below if you need a history lesson.
History Channeled:
2019-2020
Event | Golfer | Place | $$ |
The Greenbrier | Scottie Scheffler | T7 | 235,625 |
Sanderson Farms | Sungjae Im | P2 | 719,400 |
Safeway Open | Byeong-Hun An | MC | 0 |
Shriners Hospitals for Children | Scott Piercy | MC | 0 |
Houston Open | Henrik Stenson | MC | 0 |
CJ CUP AT NINE BRIDGES | Marc Leishman | T43 | 31,785 |
ZOZO Championship | Hideki Matsuyama | 2nd | 1,053,000 |
WGC-HSBC Champions | Xander Schauffele | 2nd | 1,095,000 |
Bermuda Championship | Denny McCarthy | T15 | 51,750 |
OHL Mayakoba Classic | Russell Knox | T33 | 36,810 |
The RSM Classic | Harris English | MC | 0 |
Sentry TOC | Rickie Fowler | T5 | 285,000 |
Sony Open | Charles Howell III | T12 | 116,500 |
The American Express | Phil Mickelson | MC | 0 |
Farmers Insurance Open | Tony Finau | T6 | 253,125 |
Waste Management Phoenix | Bubba Watson | T3 | 386,900 |
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am | Brandt Snedeker | MC | 0 |
Genesis Invitational | Justin Thomas | MC | 0 |
Puerto Rico Open | Viktor Hovland | WIN | 540,000 |
WGC-Mexico Championship | Dustin Johnson | T48 | 45,500 |
The Honda Classic | Daniel Berger | T4 | 280,000 |
Arnold Palmer Invitational | Tommy Fleetwood | MC | 0 |
THE PLAYERS Championship | Abandoned | No Result | 0 |
Charles Schwab Challenge | Jordan Spieth | T10 | 181,875 |
RBC Heritage | Patrick Reed | MC | 0 |
Travelers Championship | Bryson DeChambeau | T6 | 233,470 |
Rocket Mortgage Classic | Tyrrell Hatton | T4 | 300,000 |
Workday Charity Open | Justin Rose | MC | 0 |
Memorial | Patrick Cantlay | T32 | 51,925 |
3M Open | Will Gordon | MC | 0 |
WGC-FESJ Invitational | Brooks Koepka | T2 | 695,000 |
Barracuda | Brendan Steele | T53 | 8,277 |
PGA Championship | Jon Rahm | T13 | 192,207 |
Wyndham Championship | Webb Simpson | T3 | 312,400 |
THE NORTHERN TRUST | Jason Day | MC | 0 |
BMW Championship | Collin Morikawa | T20 | 106780 |
Total Events: 36 | Top 10: 14 | MC: 11 | 0 |
2018-19
My contributions for the major championships and PLAYERS selection were worse than bad so to still break the $10 million mark with those awful results was encouraging.
Another valuable lesson learned is that the Playoffs are for the big boys. Now, WHICH big boys make this more and more difficult and that’s why it’s enjoyable and maddening all at the same time. Only McIlroy and Woods have won the FedExCup twice so start there.
Event | Golfer | Place | $$ |
Safeway Open | Brendan Steele | T53 | 14,610 |
CIMB Classic | Ryan Moore | T66 | 12,740 |
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES | Gary Woodland | 2nd | 1,026,000 |
WGC-HSBC Champions | Ian Poulter | 21st | 93,500 |
Sanderson Farms | Cameron Davis | MC | 0 |
Shriners | Aaron Wise | T15 | 101,675 |
Mayakoba Golf Classic | Charles Howell III | MC | 0 |
The RSM Classic | J.J. Spaun | MC | 0 |
Sentry TOC | Jon Rahm | T8 | 191,000 |
Sony Open | Marc Leishman | T3 | 307,200 |
60th Desert Classic | Andrew Putnam | T34 | 29,975 |
Farmers Insurance | Patrick Cantlay | MC | 0 |
WMPO | Hideki Matsuyama | T15 | 113,600 |
AT&T Pebble Beach | Jason Day | T4 | 334,400 |
Genesis Open | Justin Thomas | 2nd | 799,200 |
WGC-Mexico Champ | Xander Schauffele | T14 | 128,000 |
Puerto Rico Open | Graeme McDowell | T42 | 10,500 |
The Honda Classic | Adam Scott | MC | 0 |
Arnold Palmer Invitational | Rickie Fowler | T40 | 35,490 |
THE PLAYERS Championship | Sergio Garcia | T22 | 125,000 |
Valspar Championship | Patrick Reed | MC | 0 |
Corales Punta Cana | Trey Mullinax | T61 | 6,450 |
WGC-Match Play | Paul Casey | T9 | 167,000 |
Valero Texas Open | Billy Horschel | MC | 0 |
Masters | Rory McIlroy | T21 | 107,956 |
RBC Heritage | Matt Kuchar | 2nd | 745,200 |
Zurich Classic | Ryan Palmer | WIN | 1,051,200 |
Wells Fargo Championship | Phil Mickelson | MC | 0 |
AT&T Byron Nelson | Keith Mitchell | T59 | 17,301 |
PGA Championship | Brooks Koepka | WIN | 1,980,000 |
Charles Schwab Challenge | Jordan Spieth | T8 | 197,100 |
Memorial | Tony Finau | MC | 0 |
RBC Canadian Open | Jim Furyk | T27 | 55,100 |
U.S. Open | Tiger Woods | T21 | 117,598 |
Travelers Championship | Bubba Watson | T54 | 16,560 |
Rocket Mortgage Classic | Sungjae Im | T21 | 68,528 |
3M Open | Bryson DeChambeau | T2 | 563,200 |
John Deere Classic | Collin Morikawa | T4 | 264,000 |
The Open Championship | Rafa Cabrera Bello | MC | 0 |
Barbasol Championship | Denny McCarthy | T11 | 77,000 |
WGC-FESJI | Dustin Johnson | T20 | 113,500 |
Barracuda Championship | Martin Laird | T7 | 105,437 |
Wyndham Championship | Webb Simpson | 2nd | 669,600 |
THE NORTHERN TRUST | Tommy Fleetwood | T43 | 27,565 |
BMW Championship | Brandt Snedeker | T5 | 351,500 |
Total Events: 45 | Top 10s: 14 | MC: 10 | $0 |
2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL
Event | Golfer | Place | $$ |
Safeway Open | Tony Finau | 2nd | 669,600 |
CIMB Classic | Paul Casey | T7 | 218,166 |
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES | Keegan Bradley | T47 | 23,759 |
WGC-HSBC Champions | Hideki Matsuyama | T50 | 51,875 |
Sanderson Farms | Chesson Hadley | T2 | 464,400 |
Shriners | Patrick Cantlay | WIN | 1,224,000 |
OHL Classic | Kevin Chappell | MC | 0 |
The RSM Classic | Charles Howell III | MC | 0 |
Sentry TOC | Kevin Kisner | T17 | 99,333 |
Sony Open | Brian Harman | T4 | 256,266 |
CareerBuilder Challenge | Jason Dufner | T36 | 27,189 |
Farmers Insurance | Jon Rahm | T29 | 43,872 |
WMPO | Alex Noren | T21 | 80,040 |
-AT&T Pebble Beach | Phil Mickelson | T2 | 488,400 |
Genesis Open | Dustin Johnson | T16 | 111,600 |
Honda Classic | Graeme McDowell | MC | 0 |
WGC-Mexico | Tommy Fleetwood | T14 | 126,500 |
Valspar Championship | Ryan Moore | MC | 0 |
Arnold Palmer | Tyrell Hatton | T69 | 18,067 |
WGC-Match Play | Patrick Reed | T9 | 163,000 |
Corales Puntacana | Patrick Rodgers | T22 | 27,850 |
Houston Open | Luke List | T24 | 54,162 |
Masters | Jordan Spieth | 3rd | 748,000 |
RBC Heritage | Cameron Smith | T32 | 35,510 |
Valero Texas Open | Billy Horschel | T11 | 136,400 |
Zurich Classic | Bud Cauley | MC | 0 |
Wells Fargo Championship | Bryson DeChambeau | 4th | 369,600 |
THE PLAYERS | Francesco Molinari | MC | 0 |
Ft. Worth Invitational | Adam Scott | T52 | 16,472 |
AT&T Byron Nelson | Jimmy Walker | T6 | 257,950 |
Memorial | Tiger Woods | T23 | 76,985 |
FESJC | Henrik Stenson | T26 | 50,820 |
US Open | Justin Rose | T10 | 270,151 |
FESJC | Xander Schauffele | MC | 0 |
Quicken Loans National | Kyle Stanley | T32 | 36,841 |
A Military Tribute | Bubba Watson | T13 | 121,632 |
John Deere Classic | Zach Johnson | T16 | 81,366 |
British Open | Rory McIlroy | T2 | 694,250 |
RBC Canadian Open | Charley Hoffman | T29 | 37,743 |
Barracuda | Martin Laird | T15 | 51,000 |
WGC-Bridgestone Invite | Rickie Fowler | T17 | 104,250 |
PGA Championship | Brooks Koepka | WIN | 1,980,000 |
Wyndham | Brandt Snedeker | WIN | 1,080,000 |
THE NORTHERN TRUST | Jason Day | T20 | 101,160 |
Dell Technologies | Marc Leishman | T21 | 100,800 |
BMW Championship | Gary Woodland | T12 | 189,000 |
TOUR Championship | Justin Thomas | T7 | 279,900 |
Total Events: 47 | Top 10s: 15 | MC: 7 | $10,967,909 |
2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events
- Wins: 1
- Seconds: 1
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 12
- Top 25s: 20
- MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).
2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events
- Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
- Seconds: 0
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 9
- Top 25s: 18
- MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)
Thanks for reading!