Preview: Valero Texas Open 2021

With one eye on the Masters this week, I have a few selections who stick out.

Interesting mix of veterans and newbies have littered the leaderboard the last few years.

Valero Texas Open

TPC San Antonio

AT&T Oaks Course

San Antonio

  
Yards (per official scorecard):7,494
Par:72 (36-36)
Greens:Champion Bermuda; 6,400 square feet.
Stimpmeter:11 feet.
Rough:Bandera Bermuda over-seeded with Rye and fescue at two inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards64/3 (water in play on 3 holes).
Architects:Greg Norman (Sergio Garcia) 2010.
Course Record (last):62; Trey Mullinax, Round 2 (2017).
Purse:$7.7 million; $1.386 million and 500 FedExCup points (winner).

Notes:

  • Field of 144.
  • Top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • AT&T Oaks Course has hosted since 2010 so any data before that is not on my radar.

2020-2021 Season Winners

*- First-time winner

**- First-time winner AND rookie winner

EventWinner
Safeway OpenStewart Cink
120th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Corales Punta Cana ChampionshipHudson Swafford
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSergio Garcia
Shriners Hospitals for ChildrenMartin Laird (playoff)
CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEKJason Kokrak*
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPPatrick Cantlay
Bermuda ChampionshipBrian Gay
Vivint Houston OpenCarlos Oritz*
84th Masters TournamentDustin Johnson
The RSM ClassicRobert Streb
Mayakoba Golf ClassicViktor Hovland
Sentry TOCHarris English
Sony Open in HawaiiKevin Na
The American ExpressSi Woo Kim
Farmers Insurance OpenPatrick Reed
Waste Management Phoenix OpenBrooks Koepka
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmDaniel Berger
The Genesis InvitationalMax Homa
WGC – Championship at The ConcessionCollin Morikawa
Arnold Palmer InvitationalBryson DeChambeau (2)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipJustin Thomas
The Honda ClassicMatt Jones
WGC- Match PlayBilly Horschel
Corales PuntacanaJoel Dahmen*

Check out HORSES FOR COURSES for more details and angles for this week.

Previous Winners: *Playoff

YearWinnerScoreComment
2020No Event COVID-19 Cancellation
2019Corey Conners-20Tournament record in benign conditions; first time TOUR winner.
2018Andrew Landry-17Tournament record in benign conditions; first time TOUR winner.
2017Kevin Chappell-12Closed out his first career 54-hole lead for his first TOUR win.
2016Charley Hoffman-12Defeated Patrick Reed by a shot.
2015Jimmy Walker-11Local blasted Jordan Spieth by four.

Facts and Figures:

Lowest Rounds – Last Year64; Charley Hoffman, Ryan Moore
Defending Champion(s) Event:Never.
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Nope.
First Time – TOUR:Conners, 2019 Landry, 2018 Chappell, 2017 Steele, 2011
First Time – EventSteele.
Local Winner:Landry (Austin), Walker (Boerne).
Odd Fact:3rd oldest event (non-major) on TOUR.
Odd Fact II:San Antonio is the longest serving host city of any TOUR event (1922).

Quick Thoughts

Last 3 = all first timers and four of the last six.

Weather and wind plays a huge factor as this course gives up the most TRIPLES or better and has only three water hazards on three individual holes.

If the weather and wind do not factor, there’s plenty of room off the tee to give it a knock. Rough of two inches suggests recovery shots can also happen.

Champion Bermuda greens are more narrow than they are wide so accuracy pays. So does scrambling for those who aren’t.

Par-5 holes are some of the toughest on TOUR annually.

So are the fairways and greens to hit.

The weather looks on the “average” to “good” side as of Wednesday morning so I’d blend lineups with scoring guys and power guys.

This track plays the most difficult on the FRONT nine so be patient, haha.

With the Masters next week, there are 23 players prepping here.

Chalk – Betting favorites and my opinions on them

Jordan Spieth (+1200): Added this to his schedule in 2019 after last appearing in 2015 suggests he likes what The Oaks Course has to offer. Top 10 should suffice.

Scottie Scheffler (+1600): Fantastic Match Play but did it wear him out on the weekend grinding thru the wind? At 16-1 you better hope not! T20 on his last visit with MC at THE PLAYERS and T5 Concession before. I’ll wait for Augusta.

Tony Finau (+1600): Speaks more to the lack of top line depth in this field with a major next week. I prefer Finau on non-Bermuda so I’m out.

Hideki Matsuyama (+1800): New to the event, I like that he’s trying to get something brewing before Augusta but he’s been woefully inconsistent.

Abraham Ancer (+2200): Local resident will have that pressure to deal with on top of trying to pick up his first TOUR win. He’s never MC in three tries and never cashed better than T42 either. Top 20.

Corey Conners (+2200): I almost never endorse first time defending champions because, well, it’s their first time! The hassle of everything that goes with it takes away from the preparation for the week. Don’t forget, there are not any multiple winners or repeat champions in the 10 year history here. Conners can break that trend but he’ll do so on your dime. Top 20.

Ryan Palmer (+2800): The windier the better! I can’t remember the last time he didn’t play the weekend so he’s in decent nick and has no problem with the length. Top 10.

Charley Hoffman (+3000): Fell off the radar with a bogey-quad close last week at Corales but has been in excellent form. My first win ticket of the week plus Top 10 and Top 20 as insurance.

My Long Shots and Others 33-1 or worse

Cameron Tringale (+3500): Making cuts for fun. T20.

Si Woo Kim (+3500): If my choices are him or Tringale, I’ll enjoy the volatility of the Korean who set the 36-hole record here last year and led after 54 holes before T4. Top 10.

Brendan Steele (+4000): No country for old men doesn’t apply this week. They know how to get it around plus he’s cashed eight straight on TOUR. His T3 at Honda came on the back of a big time Sunday in windy conditions at Palm Beach Gardens. Skinny win ticket, Top 10, Top 20.

Cameron Davis (+4000): Fits the first timer angle and the AMEX contender angle (Landry x 2) and knows how to play in the wind. Top 20.

Sam Burns (+5000): Went ice cold in Florida but the Louisiana native gets an almost home game this week. Top 20.

Branden Grace (+5500): A pair of top 10s here before and a win in the breeze in Puerto Rico doesn’t dissuade. Top 10.

Sepp Straka (+7000): Top 20, Top 10.

Sam Ryder (+9000): Win ticket, Top 10, Top 20.

Top 20 plays

Ryan Moore

Graeme McDowell

Roger Sloan

Rafael Campos

Bronson Burgoon

Michael Gligic

To Make The Cut

Jimmy Walker

DJ Trahan

JJ Killeen

Last Week’s Recap

The WGC Match Play bracket was my form last week.

Not much to brag on there.

This section will be filled next week.

If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to reach out through Twitter (@mikeglasscott) or email me: mikeglasscott@gmail.com.

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