OAD: 2019 3M Open

Gamers, time to reinforce and remember that there are only a handful of events left in the 2018-19 season.

Following this week, it’s off to John Deere then The Open/Barbasol before WGC-FESJC/Barracuda and Wydham close the regular season.

Time to go.

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship Phil Mickelson MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Keith Mitchell T59 17,301
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Charles Schwab Challenge Jordan Spieth T8 197,100
Memorial Tony Finau MC 0
RBC Canadian Open Jim Furyk T27 55,100
U.S. Open Tiger Woods T21 117,598
Travelers Championship Bubba Watson T54 16,560
Rocket Mortgage Classic Sungjae Im T21 68,528
Total Events: 36 Top 10s: 10 MC: 9 $7,852,833

Last Week – Rocket Mortgage Classic

Nate Lashley lapped the field and the top 10 was filled with all shapes and sizes.

My Choice: Sungjae Im – T21

Sitting at 13-under after a very nice 66 on Saturday, the 21-year old posted even par 72 to slide down the board on Sunday. I took a chance on youth and paid a decent price but not as a severe price as those who played the favorites. With only five weeks remaining, I’m set up to make a run with big-name players and that starts this week.

Frequent Flyers

Dustin Johnson – MC

Ouch.

This is bad for two reasons.

1.) The angle was beat a bad field on an easy course.

2.) He rakes at TPC Southwind.

I don’t judge. Desperate times call for desperate measures and all that. Swung and missed. It happens.

Rickie Fowler – T-Who Cares

T36, MC, T14, T43 and T46 in his last five on TOUR is nothing short of disappointing for gamers.

Brandt Snedeker – T5

Closed 65-67 to reinforce his penchant for playing Ross courses well. You’ll have another chance to use him at Sedgefield in the final week of the regular season as he defends his title.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk due to recent form, etc.

Ryan Moore – MC

Brian Harman – MC as 140 (-4) wasn’t enough to get two more rounds! Savage!

Joaquin Niemann – T5 for the second week running. Yes, the answer is YES.

Troy Merritt – MC as he wasn’t anywhere near the line. He’s from Iowa and played some college golf in Minnesota so yeah.

Picks for Dreamers:

Viktor Hovland – T13 as he closed with a bogey-free 64 to leap up the board. This won’t be the last time he’s in this column.

Chez Reavie – MC; opened with 65 and here we go again! Except 78 on Friday killed everything.

Gary Woodland – MC by two as he couldn’t dial in his irons. Majors change lives, folks. Not everyone is Robot Koepka.

Picks for Noses:

Bubba Watson – MC, Charles Howell III – T35

Six Beers In: 

Joey Garber – T29, Brian Stuard – T5, Kid Rock – MDF, Alan Trammell – HOF, Barry Sanders – HOF

 

This Week – 3M Open

Week 2 of the Midwest Swing takes the TOUR to Minnesota for the first time since the late 60s for a TOUR event. The 3M Championship was played here on the Champions Tour since 2001 until last August.

Tom Lehman was trusted with “TOUR-ing up” this Arnold Palmer design by extending it almost 500 yards while shrinking fairways and adding trees to an otherwise prairie-links design.

I don’t think it’s going to matter as large, receptive greens will hold shots and putts will fall like the temperature in winter.

Please read The Confidence Factor for more details.

My Choice: Bryson DeChambeau

Too many stars lining up this week and I’m too far removed to care about the results. The 3M brand ambassador will welcome tighter driving conditions and enjoy the perfect putting surfaces.

Frequent Flyers

Jason Day: Anytime birdies are needed and power plays, Day always makes sense. He’ll win most putting contests, in theory.

Patrick Reed: Heat check for the desperate as he finally cashed a top 10 in 2019. He’s beloved here after his Captain America performance at Hazeltine three years ago.

Hideki Matsuyama: Keeps on pushing and the better the greens, the better his chance to turn the putter to 11.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk due to recent form, etc.

Joaquin Niemann: The first one is the hardest one but T5-T5 in the last two points him in the right direction.

Rory Sabbatini: The knock is he hasn’t won since 20-I-forget but the upside is five top 10s in his last eight.

Viktor Hovland: He doesn’t seem bothered by all of the fuss and his results confirm my suspicion. Monster winner everywhere so this week or next would only surprise his harshest critics.

Picks for Dreamers:

Doc Redman: My dude Ryan O’Sullivan had him in our league last week so we all took a bath. The former U.S. Amateur champ has game and plenty of it. Doing it in back-to-back weeks on TOUR is another bag of onions.

Wyndham Clark: Another young stud, he’s a super putter who has been quietly picking off top 20 paydays the last two weeks.

Tony Finau: He enters the week in dire form. If he pops this week there shouldn’t be many others this contrarian!

Picks for Noses:

Brooks Koepka: The Dustin Johnson example from last week should be your reminder that some guys just don’t get up for some events. I’d rather take my chances when he’s been slighted, forgotten about or isn’t the clear-cut favorite.

Six Beers In: 

Sepp Straka, Fran Tarkenton, Prince (RIP), Collin Morikawa

 

History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
       
Total Events: 47

 

Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909

 

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!

 

 

 

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