OAD: WGC-HSBC Champions/Sanderson Farms Championship

Here’s my advice for OAD games:


This Year:

I hit the winner’s circle three times and the two late victories pushed me into the top 10 of Spotter’s game.

All four majors selections hit the top 10.

Seven MC were dire but the most punishing one was Francesco Molinari at THE PLAYERS. We know what happened after that.

My Life

I have been given a fantastic opportunity at PGATOUR.COM to join their experts game so I better make the most of it.

Check PGATOUR.COM/Fantasy later this afternoon for details.

Coming Soon

Did you enjoy the off-season? I had just enough time to acquaint myself with the 49 newbies (barely) from the Web.com plus evaluate all the 150 on the FedExCup points list.

As usual, I’ll have my rankings* out between Thanksgiving and New Year so you can see what I think entering the meat of the 2019 season.

*I don’t do rankings. I evaluate every player and you can put them in a certain order. I’ll point out strengths and weaknesses plus hints on when to jump on board.



Rally in the alley, folks!

My Choice: Gary Woodland

Similar to Leishman last week he’s a pro’s pro who has won enough that an event like this shouldn’t bother him. He saw the course last year and has had success in this part of the world before. His last four starts are trending in the proper direction as well. I’m hedging a bit here but I have spots down the road for Koepka, Day, Thomas, etc. that make more sense.

Solo Second: $1.26 million, the same for winning a “regular” TOUR event. The misery of Steele/Moore to open the season is gone. I’m close to the top 10 again and I’ve burned Steele, Moore and Woodland so I have zero complaints early doors!

Safety Dance: Louis Oosthuizen – T29, Paul Casey – T18, Marc Leishman – T18, Charles Howell III – T61.

Spicy: Emiliano Grillo – T55, Byeong-Hun An – T41, Sungjae Im – T41.

Picks for Dreamers: Joaquin Niemann – T36, Kyle Stanley – 66th, Adam Scott – T10.

Picks for Noses: Alex Noren – T18, Tyrrell Hatton – T14, Hideki Matsuyama, T-18: I believe this trio will have more value down the road on courses where they’ve had better success.

Six Beers In: Ian Poulter – T10 after playing in the final group, Jamie Lovemark – T23


This Week

Read about all the details in The Confidence Factor.

Quick turnaround this week but I wanted to get something on paper for next week and next year. I wrote that last week and it holds true again this week.

OAD aren’t won this time of year but the money/points ALL COUNT.

This week is the most difficult of the three weeks of the Asian Swing for gamers as the field is clearly the best. The same tenets ring true again this week: What is your long-term plan?

If you’re out to build a lead and are playing in a vacuum, fire away. The winners of these events are rarely guys that make you scratch your head Monday morning. Remember that solo second and even third is fantastic cash in the grand scheme of things! In a perfect world, I’m looking for a non-superstar (no offense to my man Woodland) to hit the top five or so and “steal” me some bucks while not burning a guy I’d rather play down the road.

And you’re right.

I can’t talk you out of Rose, DJ or Koepka this week.

Only you can do that.

A podium finish this week is not any different than a podium finish at WGC-Mexico Championships or FedEx St. Jude Invitational.

But remember this: DJ DESTROYS Memphis and not many big names have played there before. DJ also destroys the U.S. Open annually where the win pool is almost double.

Nobody has any “real” history after one event at altitude in Mexico either.

Match Play is the most volatile of the three so I’m not “saving” anyone for that event either.

Nobody said this would be easy!


My Choice: Ian Poulter

This isn’t the greatest pick I’ve ever made but since it is a no-cut event and a course that can get prickly, the Postman is the man for the job. His T10 last week playing from the final group should piss him off just enough to turn it up to 11 this week.

Safety Dance: Francesco Molinari, Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrrell Hatton

Spicy: Rafa Cabrera-Bello, Eddie Pepperell, Matthew Fitzpatrick

Picks for Dreamers: Lucas Bjerregaard, Haotong Li, Andrea Pavan

Picks for Noses: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm

Six Beers In: Cameron Smith, Adam Scott, Pat Perez


Sanderson Farms Championship

We discussed two schools of thought on our TWITTAH SHOW this afternoon.

Go young, go early, as this event in points and cash isn’t going to make or break your season.

It’s WIN-OR-BUST here as a top 10 will be nice but in a wide-open field it’s hardly mandatory.

Remember, three of the last four winners have never played in the event. With Bermuda everywhere, that should pose a clue but when in doubt, I’m riding form.

Here’s a hatful of dudes for your undertaking:

My Choice: Cameron Davis

Why Not? Adam Schenk (T14 or better in his last four including three Web.com playoff events).

Perhaps: Denny McCarthy (Web.com champ), Peter Malnati (form and previous winner), Curtis Luck (three top 10’s in his last six).

Dawgs: Lucas Glover, Aaron Baddeley, Ryan Armour, Vaughn Taylor.


History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600


THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
Total Events: 47


Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909


2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).


Thanks for reading!




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