Here’s my advice for OAD games:
IT’S JUST THAT EASY, FOLKS!
I hit the winner’s circle three times and the two late victories pushed me into the top 10 of Spotter’s game.
All four majors selections hit the top 10.
Seven MC were dire but the most punishing one was Francesco Molinari at THE PLAYERS. We know what happened after that.
I have been given a fantastic opportunity at PGATOUR.COM to join their experts game so I better make the most of it.
Check PGATOUR.COM/Fantasy later this afternoon for details.
Did you enjoy the off-season? I had just enough time to acquaint myself with the 49 newbies (barely) from the Web.com plus evaluate all the 150 on the FedExCup points list.
As usual, I’ll have my rankings* out between Thanksgiving and New Year so you can see what I think entering the meat of the 2019 season.
*I don’t do rankings. I evaluate every player and you can put them in a certain order. I’ll point out strengths and weaknesses plus hints on when to jump on board.
Last Week: CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES
Rally in the alley, folks!
My Choice: Gary Woodland
Similar to Leishman last week he’s a pro’s pro who has won enough that an event like this shouldn’t bother him. He saw the course last year and has had success in this part of the world before. His last four starts are trending in the proper direction as well. I’m hedging a bit here but I have spots down the road for Koepka, Day, Thomas, etc. that make more sense.
Solo Second: $1.26 million, the same for winning a “regular” TOUR event. The misery of Steele/Moore to open the season is gone. I’m close to the top 10 again and I’ve burned Steele, Moore and Woodland so I have zero complaints early doors!
Safety Dance: Louis Oosthuizen – T29, Paul Casey – T18, Marc Leishman – T18, Charles Howell III – T61.
Spicy: Emiliano Grillo – T55, Byeong-Hun An – T41, Sungjae Im – T41.
Picks for Dreamers: Joaquin Niemann – T36, Kyle Stanley – 66th, Adam Scott – T10.
Picks for Noses: Alex Noren – T18, Tyrrell Hatton – T14, Hideki Matsuyama, T-18: I believe this trio will have more value down the road on courses where they’ve had better success.
Six Beers In: Ian Poulter – T10 after playing in the final group, Jamie Lovemark – T23
Read about all the details in The Confidence Factor.
Quick turnaround this week but I wanted to get something on paper for next week and next year. I wrote that last week and it holds true again this week.
OAD aren’t won this time of year but the money/points ALL COUNT.
This week is the most difficult of the three weeks of the Asian Swing for gamers as the field is clearly the best. The same tenets ring true again this week: What is your long-term plan?
If you’re out to build a lead and are playing in a vacuum, fire away. The winners of these events are rarely guys that make you scratch your head Monday morning. Remember that solo second and even third is fantastic cash in the grand scheme of things! In a perfect world, I’m looking for a non-superstar (no offense to my man Woodland) to hit the top five or so and “steal” me some bucks while not burning a guy I’d rather play down the road.
And you’re right.
I can’t talk you out of Rose, DJ or Koepka this week.
Only you can do that.
A podium finish this week is not any different than a podium finish at WGC-Mexico Championships or FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
But remember this: DJ DESTROYS Memphis and not many big names have played there before. DJ also destroys the U.S. Open annually where the win pool is almost double.
Nobody has any “real” history after one event at altitude in Mexico either.
Match Play is the most volatile of the three so I’m not “saving” anyone for that event either.
Nobody said this would be easy!
My Choice: Ian Poulter
This isn’t the greatest pick I’ve ever made but since it is a no-cut event and a course that can get prickly, the Postman is the man for the job. His T10 last week playing from the final group should piss him off just enough to turn it up to 11 this week.
Safety Dance: Francesco Molinari, Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrrell Hatton
Spicy: Rafa Cabrera-Bello, Eddie Pepperell, Matthew Fitzpatrick
Picks for Dreamers: Lucas Bjerregaard, Haotong Li, Andrea Pavan
Picks for Noses: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
Six Beers In: Cameron Smith, Adam Scott, Pat Perez
Sanderson Farms Championship
We discussed two schools of thought on our TWITTAH SHOW this afternoon.
Go young, go early, as this event in points and cash isn’t going to make or break your season.
It’s WIN-OR-BUST here as a top 10 will be nice but in a wide-open field it’s hardly mandatory.
Remember, three of the last four winners have never played in the event. With Bermuda everywhere, that should pose a clue but when in doubt, I’m riding form.
Here’s a hatful of dudes for your undertaking:
My Choice: Cameron Davis
Why Not? Adam Schenk (T14 or better in his last four including three Web.com playoff events).
Perhaps: Denny McCarthy (Web.com champ), Peter Malnati (form and previous winner), Curtis Luck (three top 10’s in his last six).
Dawgs: Lucas Glover, Aaron Baddeley, Ryan Armour, Vaughn Taylor.
2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL
|Safeway Open||Tony Finau||2nd||669,600|
|CIMB Classic||Paul Casey||T7||218,166|
|CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES||Keegan Bradley||T47||23,759|
|WGC-HSBC Champions||Hideki Matsuyama||T50||51,875|
|Sanderson Farms||Chesson Hadley||T2||464,400|
|OHL Classic||Kevin Chappell||MC||0|
|The RSM Classic||Charles Howell III||MC||0|
|Sentry TOC||Kevin Kisner||T17||99,333|
|Sony Open||Brian Harman||T4||256,266|
|CareerBuilder Challenge||Jason Dufner||T36||27,189|
|Farmers Insurance||Jon Rahm||T29||43,872|
|-AT&T Pebble Beach||Phil Mickelson||T2||488,400|
|Genesis Open||Dustin Johnson||T16||111,600|
|Honda Classic||Graeme McDowell||MC||0|
|Valspar Championship||Ryan Moore||MC||0|
|Arnold Palmer||Tyrell Hatton||T69||18,067|
|WGC-Match Play||Patrick Reed||T9||163,000|
|Corales Puntacana||Patrick Rodgers||T22||27,850|
|Houston Open||Luke List||T24||54,162|
|RBC Heritage||Cameron Smith||T32||35,510|
|Valero Texas Open||Billy Horschel||T11||136,400|
|Zurich Classic||Bud Cauley||MC||0|
|Wells Fargo Championship||Bryson DeChambeau||4th||369,600
|THE PLAYERS||Francesco Molinari||MC||0|
|Ft. Worth Invitational||Adam Scott||T52||16,472|
|AT&T Byron Nelson||Jimmy Walker||T6||257,950|
|US Open||Justin Rose||T10||270,151|
|Quicken Loans National||Kyle Stanley||T32||36,841|
|A Military Tribute||Bubba Watson||T13||121,632|
|John Deere Classic||Zach Johnson||T16||81,366|
|British Open||Rory McIlroy||T2||694,250|
|RBC Canadian Open||Charley Hoffman||T29||37,743|
|WGC-Bridgestone Invite||Rickie Fowler||T17||104,250|
|PGA Championship||Brooks Koepka||WIN||1,980,000|
|THE NORTHERN TRUST||Jason Day||T20||101,160|
|Dell Technologies||Marc Leishman||T21||100,800|
|BMW Championship||Gary Woodland||T12||189,000|
|TOUR Championship||Justin Thomas||T7||279,900|
|Total Events: 47
|Top 10s: 15||MC: 7||$10,967,909|
2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events
- Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
- Seconds: 0
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 9
- Top 25s: 18
- MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)
2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events
- Wins: 1
- Seconds: 1
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 12
- Top 25s: 20
- MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).
Thanks for reading!