OAD: 2022 Sony Open in Hawaii

PANIC?

BATTLESTATIONS?

All of the above?

Week 2 for most of you poses some interesting questions as the TOUR shifts to Honolulu.

You’ll find some clues below!

2022 One and Done

WELCOME BACK!

As I wrote last week, and will leave in here for a couple more, the title of the column has changed as 2021 is in the rear view mirror and the slate has been wiped clean! I wish I was taking my $3-something million with me into the new season but rules are rules!

The good news is I’ll have a full complement of players at my disposal to make a run at winning @A340Spotter’s game. That’s where I play and if you want to get in, you better tweet him for instructions before they tee off tomorrow! Plenty of FAYMISS GOLF GLITTERAZZI play and plenty of guys get paid out. Better hurry!

The purpose of this column is to free my mind and have some fun all while trying to find some winners. From a transparency standpoint, most of my recent years are below so you can take it or leave.

The price is the same as last year but my Venmo is @Mike-Glasscott if you would like to donate. You might even get your name on the column!

Sometimes we gotta look back before we look forward so I’ll post my thoughts from last week before breaking down the field this week.

Last Time – Sentry Tournament of Champions

Looks like I had another pretty good idea of how things were going to work again this year with the exception of the most important pick, MINE!!!

Of the 15 selections below 12 cashed in the T15 or better.

I gave you the podium (Smith, Rahm and Jones) and five other top 10s.

Please, hold your applause until the end of the season.

You know what that means this week, right???

DUCK AND COVER!!!

THE CHOICE: Marc Leishman – T10

Plenty of experience here as he’ll make his fifth appearance so that angle is covered. He’ll look to add his name to the list of Aussies who have run riot here since the move to Kapalua in 1999. Stuart Appleby (three wins) and Geoff Ogilvy (back-to-back) wins set the bar and no international player has won since Ogilvy in 2010. Leishman has the class, wind game and putter to handle this field and course.

Anytime you can rack up a top 10 in this game is a victory I keep telling myself…

Imagine racking up 27 birdies against just four bogeys, hitting T2 GIR and just signing for T10! That’s exactly what the Aussie did as he picked up another top 10 payday on Maui and another top 10 payday on the new season. Posting 5-under on Sunday is usually great except when 34-under is the winning total! Sad!

Warm Blankets: The guys who should. Safe selections that will help maintain leads. Opinions on why or why not for this event or save for later.

Justin Thomas: Again, I’m not gonna talk you out of him and he has plenty of class to win more than once a season. Only multiple winner in the field. Imagine posting 12-under in one round and not even hitting the podium! Well, being last after 18 holes didn’t help either. That’s the beauty and beast of this game. Another top five for Mr. Automatic here! T5

Jordan Spieth: We forget because he hasn’t been here for a hot minute. His record on this track speaks for itself and there’s plenty of room to ease into it off the tee and into the green. T21 as it seemed all the momentum for the week went out of the balloon with a double on the final hole of Round 1. He made ONE BOGEY in his last 54 holes but couldn’t crack the top 20!

Xander Schauffele: Three straight in the top five including a win and playoff loss where he led after 36 and 54 holes. Very difficult lay down for me but I have bigger plans for him this year in this game. Worst round was 4-under and was solo 12th. First time outside the top five in four tries!

Jon Rahm: Because he’s entered. That’s the tweet. Made one bogey, tied the course record on 12-under, circled 32 birdies and one eagle AND FINISHED SOLO SECOND.

Spicy: This might be a week for sending out an “unknown” and saving a start. You just might get lucky. Or MC.

Collin Morikawa:  The question is never the game tee-to-green but what happens on it. The biggest greens on TOUR and the biggest fairways would appear to nullify his advantage so the next step will be taking dead aim. The putter will be the key and so will burying losing a 5-shot lead at the Hero last time out. Short game and the putter was the letdown after hitting the top 4 in Fairways and GIR. Still T5 hahahaha.

Cameron Smith:  Summer time, time to shine, and has won Sony. His record here is off-putting but plenty of pop and scrambles should help.  How we lookin? 34-under. One shot winner after knocking off Rahm heads-up over the weekend? Is that any good???? Course form didn’t bother him one bit!

Patrick Reed: Super record here and plenty of room to spray it. Short game solves all of the problems. Too many T20-somethings to hit the category above. Played the weekend 21-under for T15 after disappointing T-last after Round 1 (74). Just reinforces how good JT was as he played his final 54 holes 24-under!

Hideki Matsuyama: Massive course horse, minus a win; Won last time out in Japan. T13 with all four rounds in the 60s after his ZOZO victory.

Sungjae Im: Showed you everything you needed to know on debut here last year. Couldn’t care less about the field, track or anything else. Just golfs his ball and makes buckets of birdies. Sunday was the worst day to post his worst round of the week (69) as posting 4-under in the final round DROPPED HIM FOUR PLACES FROM T4 TO T8 hahaha. Another top 10 and bucket full of birdies and just three bogeys!

3 AM at the Blackjack Table: Caution is thrown to the wind. Maybe not the best for this format but what the hell, right? Might throw these in if you’re in need of a miracle.

Jason Kokrak – LAST, Si Woo Kim – T23, Cam Davis – T10, Matt Jones – 3rd, Talor Gooch – T15

Spotter’s Game 2022

2022 EventsGolferPlaceTotal $$
    
Sentry Tournament of ChampionsMarc LeishmanT10188,000
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
Total Events: 1Top 10: 1MC: 0$188,000
    

This Week – Sony Open in Hawaii

Please read Horses for Courses and Expert Picks if you need more ideas!

The third oldest course used on TOUR after Colonial and Pebble, you bet course form is important this week!

Or is it.

Brendan Steele would argue it doesn’t. Neither would Russell Henley. But those are exceptions to the rule so my focus is veterans outside the usual stable of studs.

Winners here are 30 or older with the exception of Smith, Thomas and Henley. That’s it. That’s the list for this century.

Par-70 with tough fairways to hit brings in plenty of short, smart knockers who can be patient.

Big Bermuda greens will make sure the putter rolls. Perfect weather will suggest another 20-under or better winning total!

Now comes the difficult part.

This time of year everyone is hot and bothered to get going and stack that paper. Those who didn’t hit last week aren’t going to make that mistake again! Those who did want to keep the momentum rolling.

Sounds intense!

It is.

Here’s my theory early days of the season:

Relax.

Most of us have 30-odd events to go.

I have no problem of starting hot and finding guys down the stretch to fill in the blanks. There will be PLENTY of choices in the majors (think Euros) and big field events where the premium players usually rake.

I also have no problem with being conservative when shoot outs are breaking out. Here’s my proof:

Other than JT and Jimmy Walker ONNA HEATER were “obvious” selections.

Careful! It’s a long season!

THE CHOICE:  Keith Mitchell

Wait what????

Yeah, I thought the same.

Throw out the terrible weather of 2020 and he’s 38-under over three visits with all paydays in the top 25. He played the middle rounds here 62-63 last year and had another 63 in 2019.  His form (T3 Summit, T12 RSM) to close last year isn’t scaring me off either.  He’s 30-something and is making his 5th consecutive visit.

Dice rolled.

Warm Blankets: The guys who should. Safe selections that will help maintain leads. Opinions on why or why not for this event or save for later.

Cameron Smith: Well, yeah, since he won last week and won here two years ago, I won’t argue! Remember, it’s ONE and done. Not once a month or once a major. If you have big plans for Smith (see: Augusta) I don’t blame you. Great players are more than able to ball out more than 2 weeks a year!

Webb Simpson: The Sony Open is the Wyndham of the West, minus a victory. He’s never MC and is on a streak of seven straight T20 or better including a streak of T4-3rd-T4. Loves Bermuda but didn’t name his daughter Sony…

Marc Leishman: Can I play him AGAIN this week? The Aussie has never MC here either. Top four in two of his last three and played well last week.

Sungjae Im: Didn’t do anything negatively last week to shake my confidence. Three bogeys won’t do that!

Charles Howell III: The safest of all of the safe safety. Never missed in 20 and 14 have gone for T25 or better.  It’s almost like not making a decision!

Spicy: This might be a week for sending out an “unknown” and saving a start. You just might get lucky. Or MC.

Kevin Na: Has absolutely no cares in the world and that’s a good thing. He won’t mind defending either. Too many birdies to ignore.

Billy Horschel: Returned here last year for the first time since 2017 and cashed T7 with 1 bogey. I guess he forgot how much he liked it as he’s back again. #Clues.

Russell Henley: Of his last 12 he’s cashed T25 or better in eight from 11 paydays. T11 last year was his best since 2013 maiden voyage and victory.

Kevin Kisner: Man, if I had a dollar over the last few years on how many times I’ve stuck him in on Bermuda courses at 7,000 yards… Well, he cashed a top 10 (T8) on almost 7,600 yards last week. Giddy up.

Matt Jones: Massive week last week included an outrageous 62-61 weekend. Play the heat!?!? Can’t find many examples recently of Jonesy going back-to-back top 10s so fire you are playing with my friends!

3 AM at the Blackjack Table: Caution is thrown to the wind. Maybe not the best for this format but what the hell, right? Might throw these in if you’re in need of a miracle.

Brendan Steele, Cameron Davis, Tom Hoge, Denny McCarthy, Takumi Kanaya

History Channeled:

Final Silly Season Totals:

2021-2022 EventsGolferPlaceTotal $$
    
Fortinet ChampionshipKevin NaMC0
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipWill ZalatorisT14127,750
Shriners Children’s OpenCameron TringaleT5615,820
CJ CUP @ SUMMITViktor HovlandT18116,331
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPHideki MatsuyamaWIN1,791,000
Bermuda ChampionshipRussell KnoxT12129,025
Mayakoba ChampionshipAbraham AncerT7218,700
Hewlett Packard Houston OpenScottie SchefflerT2667,500
The RSM ClassicRussell KnoxT4027,000
    
Total Events: 9Top 10: 3MC: 1$3,093,126
2020-2021 EventsGolferPlaceTotal $$
    
Safeway OpenBrendan SteeleT2941,391
120th United States OpenJon RahmT23101,797
Corales Punta CanaPat PerezT2139,000
Sanderson FarmsDoc RedmanT2846,200
Shriners Hospitals for ChildrenPatrick CantlayT8190,750
CJ CUP @ SHADOW CREEKMatthew Wolff73rd16,575
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPTyrrell HattonT2850,137
Bermuda ChampionshipWill ZalatorisT1661,000
Vivint Houston OpenTony FinauT2458,450
84th Masters TournamentJustin Thomas4th552,000
The RSM ClassicRussell HenleyT3039,552
Mayakoba Golf ClassicAbraham AncerT12147,600
Sentry TOCCameron SmithT2463,200
Sony Open in HawaiiDaniel BergerT7200,475
The American ExpressScottie SchefflerMC0
Farmers Insurance OpenMarc LeishmanT1880,761
Waste Management WMPOHideki MatsuyamaT4223,852
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmJason DayT7228,930
The Genesis InvitationalAdam ScottT3840,455
WGC- Championship (Concession)Xander SchauffeleT3955,000
Puerto Rico OpenEmiliano GrilloT1172,750
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRory McIlroyT10195,300
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipTommy FleetwoodMC0
The Honda ClassicJoaquin NiemannT2554,950
WGC- Dell Technologies Match PlayJason KokrakT4247,571
Corales PuntacanaThomas PietersT1355,350
Valero Texas OpenCharley Hoffman2nd839,300
85th Masters TournamentJordan SpiethT3667,000
RBC HeritageKevin KisnerMC0
Valspar ChampionshipPatrick ReedMC0
Wells Fargo ChampionshipCorey ConnersT4325,069
AT&T Byron NelsonRyan PalmerT4720,958
PGA ChampionshipViktor HovlandT3059,750
Charles Schwab ChallengeBrian HarmanT8198,875
Memorial TournamentCollin MorikawaP21,013,700
Palmetto ChampionshipMatt FitzpatrickT10177,025
121st United States OpenBrooks KoepkaT4498,176
Travelers ChampionshipPaul CaseyT3630,743
Rocket Mortgage ClassicSungjae ImT8211,875
John Deere ClassicZach JohnsonT3430,955
The Open ChampionshipLouis OosthuizenT3682,500
Barbasol ChampionshipCharl SchwartzelT2626,075
3M OpenRobert MacIntyreMC0
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan ArmourMC0
WGC – FESJIDustin JohnsonT10220,000
Wyndham ChampionshipWebb SimpsonT7201,666
THE NORTHERN TRUSTHarris EnglishT3148,925
BMW ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauP21,026,000
    
Total Events: 50Top 10: 16MC: 6$8,441,638

2019-2020

EventGolferPlace$$
The GreenbrierScottie SchefflerT7235,625
Sanderson FarmsSungjae ImP2719,400
Safeway OpenByeong-Hun AnMC0
Shriners Hospitals for ChildrenScott PiercyMC0
Houston OpenHenrik StensonMC0
CJ CUP AT NINE BRIDGESMarc LeishmanT4331,785
ZOZO ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama2nd1,053,000
WGC-HSBC ChampionsXander Schauffele2nd1,095,000
Bermuda ChampionshipDenny McCarthyT1551,750
OHL Mayakoba ClassicRussell KnoxT3336,810
The RSM ClassicHarris EnglishMC0
Sentry TOCRickie FowlerT5285,000
Sony OpenCharles Howell IIIT12116,500
The American ExpressPhil MickelsonMC0
Farmers Insurance OpenTony FinauT6253,125
Waste Management PhoenixBubba WatsonT3386,900
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmBrandt SnedekerMC0
Genesis InvitationalJustin ThomasMC0
Puerto Rico OpenViktor HovlandWIN540,000
WGC-Mexico ChampionshipDustin JohnsonT4845,500
The Honda ClassicDaniel BergerT4280,000
Arnold Palmer InvitationalTommy FleetwoodMC0
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipAbandonedNo Result0
Charles Schwab ChallengeJordan SpiethT10181,875
RBC HeritagePatrick ReedMC0
Travelers ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauT6233,470
Rocket Mortgage ClassicTyrrell HattonT4300,000
Workday Charity OpenJustin RoseMC0
MemorialPatrick CantlayT3251,925
3M OpenWill GordonMC0
WGC-FESJ InvitationalBrooks KoepkaT2695,000
BarracudaBrendan SteeleT538,277
PGA ChampionshipJon RahmT13192,207
Wyndham ChampionshipWebb SimpsonT3312,400
THE NORTHERN TRUSTJason DayMC0
BMW ChampionshipCollin MorikawaT20106780
Total Events: 36Top 10: 14MC: 110

2018-19

My contributions for the major championships and PLAYERS selection were worse than bad so to still break the $10 million mark with those awful results was encouraging.

Another valuable lesson learned is that the Playoffs are for the big boys. Now, WHICH big boys make this more and more difficult and that’s why it’s enjoyable and maddening all at the same time. Only McIlroy and Woods have won the FedExCup twice so start there.

EventGolferPlace$$
Safeway OpenBrendan SteeleT5314,610
CIMB ClassicRyan MooreT6612,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGESGary Woodland2nd1,026,000
WGC-HSBC ChampionsIan Poulter21st93,500
Sanderson FarmsCameron DavisMC0
ShrinersAaron WiseT15101,675
Mayakoba Golf ClassicCharles Howell IIIMC0
The RSM ClassicJ.J. SpaunMC0
Sentry TOCJon RahmT8191,000
Sony OpenMarc LeishmanT3307,200
60th Desert ClassicAndrew PutnamT3429,975
Farmers InsurancePatrick CantlayMC0
WMPOHideki MatsuyamaT15113,600
AT&T Pebble BeachJason DayT4334,400
Genesis OpenJustin Thomas2nd799,200
WGC-Mexico ChampXander SchauffeleT14128,000
Puerto Rico OpenGraeme McDowellT4210,500
The Honda ClassicAdam ScottMC0
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRickie FowlerT4035,490
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipSergio GarciaT22125,000
Valspar ChampionshipPatrick ReedMC0
Corales Punta CanaTrey MullinaxT616,450
WGC-Match PlayPaul CaseyT9167,000
Valero Texas OpenBilly HorschelMC0
MastersRory McIlroyT21107,956
RBC HeritageMatt Kuchar2nd745,200
Zurich ClassicRyan PalmerWIN1,051,200
Wells Fargo ChampionshipPhil MickelsonMC0
AT&T Byron NelsonKeith MitchellT5917,301
PGA ChampionshipBrooks KoepkaWIN1,980,000
Charles Schwab ChallengeJordan SpiethT8197,100
MemorialTony FinauMC0
RBC Canadian OpenJim FurykT2755,100
U.S. OpenTiger WoodsT21117,598
Travelers ChampionshipBubba WatsonT5416,560
Rocket Mortgage ClassicSungjae ImT2168,528
3M OpenBryson DeChambeauT2563,200
John Deere ClassicCollin MorikawaT4264,000
The Open ChampionshipRafa Cabrera BelloMC0
Barbasol ChampionshipDenny McCarthyT1177,000
WGC-FESJIDustin JohnsonT20113,500
Barracuda ChampionshipMartin LairdT7105,437
Wyndham ChampionshipWebb Simpson2nd669,600
THE NORTHERN TRUSTTommy FleetwoodT4327,565
BMW ChampionshipBrandt SnedekerT5351,500
Total Events: 45Top 10s: 14MC: 10$0

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

EventGolferPlace$$
Safeway OpenTony Finau2nd669,600
CIMB ClassicPaul CaseyT7218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGESKeegan BradleyT4723,759
WGC-HSBC ChampionsHideki MatsuyamaT5051,875
Sanderson FarmsChesson HadleyT2464,400
ShrinersPatrick CantlayWIN1,224,000
OHL ClassicKevin ChappellMC0
The RSM ClassicCharles Howell IIIMC0
Sentry TOCKevin KisnerT1799,333
Sony OpenBrian HarmanT4256,266
CareerBuilder ChallengeJason DufnerT3627,189
Farmers InsuranceJon RahmT2943,872
WMPOAlex NorenT2180,040
-AT&T Pebble BeachPhil MickelsonT2488,400
Genesis OpenDustin JohnsonT16111,600
Honda ClassicGraeme McDowellMC0
WGC-MexicoTommy FleetwoodT14126,500
Valspar ChampionshipRyan MooreMC0
Arnold PalmerTyrell HattonT6918,067
WGC-Match PlayPatrick ReedT9163,000
Corales PuntacanaPatrick RodgersT2227,850
Houston OpenLuke ListT2454,162
MastersJordan Spieth3rd748,000
RBC HeritageCameron SmithT3235,510
Valero Texas OpenBilly HorschelT11136,400
Zurich ClassicBud CauleyMC0
Wells Fargo ChampionshipBryson DeChambeau4th369,600
THE PLAYERSFrancesco MolinariMC0
Ft. Worth InvitationalAdam ScottT5216,472
AT&T Byron NelsonJimmy WalkerT6257,950
MemorialTiger WoodsT2376,985
FESJCHenrik StensonT2650,820
US OpenJustin RoseT10270,151
FESJCXander SchauffeleMC0
Quicken Loans NationalKyle StanleyT3236,841
A Military TributeBubba WatsonT13121,632
John Deere ClassicZach JohnsonT1681,366
British OpenRory McIlroyT2694,250
RBC Canadian OpenCharley HoffmanT2937,743
BarracudaMartin LairdT1551,000
WGC-Bridgestone InviteRickie FowlerT17104,250
PGA ChampionshipBrooks KoepkaWIN1,980,000
WyndhamBrandt SnedekerWIN1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUSTJason DayT20101,160
Dell TechnologiesMarc LeishmanT21100,800
BMW ChampionshipGary WoodlandT12189,000
TOUR ChampionshipJustin ThomasT7279,900
Total Events: 47Top 10s: 15MC: 7$10,967,909

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

Thanks for reading!

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