Plenty of factors to consider this week, perhaps too many, so have fun if nothing jumps off the page! Coverage wraps up quickly this time of year as the days in our hemisphere are getting shorter. Good luck!
2021 Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Port Royal Golf Course
|Yards (per official scorecard):||6,828|
|Stimpmeter:||Tournament Speed (slightly slower due to windy conditions)|
|Rough:||2 inches; 419 Bermuda|
|Bunkers/Water Hazards||88/4 (in play on 5 holes)|
|Architects:||Robert Trent Jones (1970)|
|Purse:||$6.5 million ($1.117 winner) plus 500 FedExCup points.|
|Defending Champion (event):||Brian Gay|
|Fact of the Week:||Second year as a full field/purse event. Winner earns a trip to the Masters, Sentry TOC plus full exempt status.|
|Fact of the Week II:||Players who are not vaccinated must quarantine 14 days upon arrival.|
- Field of 127
- Top 65 and ties play the final two rounds
2021-2022 Season Winners
*- First-time winner
**- First-time winner AND rookie winner
|Fortinet Championship||Max Homa|
|Sanderson Farms Championship||Sam Burns|
|Shriners Children’s Open||Sungjae Im|
|CJ CUP @ SUMMIT||Rory McIlroy|
|ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP||Hideki Matsuyama|
Check out HORSES FOR COURSES for more details on those who play well here.
|2020 – Brian Gay, 15-under||Birdied the 72nd hole to force a playoff. Birdied the first playoff hole to defeat Wyndham Clark.|
|2019 – Brendon Todd, 24-under||Fired 63 in Round 2 then 62 in Round 4 to win by four.|
Last Week – ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP
Very nice of Matsuyama to do what I had thought he would! Win tickets cover plenty of blemishes but there were a few others on my board this week that also came in nicely. Hope you were on board!
Xander Schauffele (+750): Some will argue (raises hand) that he’ll only need to beat about 5 guys this week. Fullest bag in the field and we know how he loves events similar to this. T18 and never bothered the leader board.
Collin Morikawa (+750): Co-favorite and no argument here. No home field advantage this week but he played here just like Schauffele in 2019. He’s been the hotter of the two and that breaks my tie. T7 and the beat goes on. We’re surprised when he doesn’t hit the top 10!
Hideki Matsuyama (+1100): Only thing left to do is win this event in his homeland. I wrote earlier today I like that this will be his fourth event of the fall already. Tuned up. Win-Top10-Top20 BOOOOOOOM. Nice to cash a win ticket and a couple of others! I usually do NOT play heavy favorites but this was staring me straight in the face.
Will Zalatoris (+1800): Yes because the field is light. No because winning is difficult and so is travelling half way around the world to do it. Or he’s Justin Thomas and just won’t care. Too many questions for me right now so enjoy an easy top 20 ticket. And right back to reality with T54!
Joaquin Niemann (+2000): Last top 25 was P2 at Rocket Mortgage in July. T28.
Tommy Fleetwood (+2800): Skinny win ticket. Anytime he leaves the US his game perks up. Don’t play him in the States folks! T7. I’ll take the L here as I didn’t put him as Top 10 or Top 20.
30-1 or Worse
Rickie Fowler (+3000): Can’t see how you can’t after last week. He was run down by two of the best in the world but getting the lead after 54 was most important. 3 way action. 3 way disaster at T44 with nothing under par. Luckily Matsuyama is covering my blemishes!
Jhonattan Vegas (+3000): Hasn’t won in his last 100 or so starts but playing more than decently. T54.
Maverick McNealy (+3000): Top 20 and cash. No longer comfortable at home, time to get back to work on the road. T25 and bobbins. Loss.
Alex Noren (+3500): Burned me last week. Won’t get fooled again. Didn’t fire on unfamiliar greens at The Summit Club. T18 and T18 Putting.
Keegan Bradley (+3500): Top 10 and Top 20 as his main weapons are the weapons of choice this week. T7 cashes both, very nice!
CT Pan (+4000): Last time he was in Japan he took home Bronze. Last time he was playing golf he cashed T11 at SFC. And before that T6 on Bentgrass at Silverado. T57 as the streak cools.
Emiliano Grillo (+4000): Made 3 bogeys last week and closed with 61 (-11). Made 8 birdies this week, 73rd.
KH Lee (+5000): Run of form has been steady. Another Top 20. Yep, T18. Boom.
Lanto Griffin (+5500): Ton of similar type values in this range. T6 LTO helps. T7 helps as well! Got the right one.
Harry Higgs (+6600): #HiggsHeater and he survived Vegas. Opened with 68 and faded to T39. Big Rig needs a break.
Adam Schenk (+6600): Too many good ones recently and loves Bent. T28 solid run continues.
Henrik Norlander (+8000): Pound it tee to green. 64 on Sunday, low round of the day, moved it to T18.
Robert Streb (+10000): Something brewing this time of year usually. Opened 74-77…
Sung Kang (+10000) – T48
Andrew Putnam (+12500) – T39
Tomaharu Otsuki (+16000) – T35
Sepp Straka (+16000) – T66
This Week – Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Bermuda will pose some interesting questions this week with weather and wind so I’m not in love with much. Have fun this week and try and find some value down the board in the top 20 or top 10. I try to analyze players, hot or cold, to answer your inquiries. My “likes” will have plays attached to them.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400): He must be salivating after looking at the entries this week and coming off a win in Spain. Back to back is never easy at any level on ANY TOUR but this is a better price than Matsuyama last week in a much, much lighter field.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+1600): Sparkling form as well but not as tested recently. Hasn’t MC in 2021 and rolls in on solo fifth and solo third in his last two. Also a super putter.
Patrick Reed (+2200): Hasn’t shown anything after the Ryder Cup snub but his short game can keep him hanging around if par is a good score. Last four top 10 finishes are on courses 7400+ yards.
Mito Pereira (+2500): Jump to the big leagues hasn’t bothered him one bit. Hits it too good!
Seamus Power (+3000): Coastal golf shouldn’t bother him much. Neither should a bit of breeze and rain. Top 10, Top 20.
Adam Hadwin (+3000): Best results have been in the desert and that usually means benign conditions. Careful.
33-1 or Worse
Russell Knox (+3500): If he’s my OAD, of course I’m gonna sprinkle him 3 ways!
Hayden Buckley (+3500): Protection as he rolls in T8-T4 in his first two starts on TOUR. His last eight starts across both TOURS have produced five top 10 paychecks.
Danny Willett (+4000): Another veteran winner who shouldn’t be bothered in breezy conditions. Top 10. Top 20.
Ryan Armour (+4500): I’d stick him in the top 20 just to be sure his course horse keeps riding.
Denny McCarthy (+4500): Another top 20 as he loves Bermuda greens and grass and the island!
Nick Taylor (+6600): Former Pebble Beach winner multiple TOUR winner.
Jason Dufner (+7500): Rattled off paychecks in his last five with T28 or better in four of them. Top 10. Top 20.
Brian Stuard (+8000): Drives and putts. Top 10. Top 20.
Nick Watney (+8000): Found some form recently and will look to build on cashing in seven of his last eight. Top 20.
Vaughn Taylor (+11000)
Cameron Percy (+12500)
JJ Spaun (+15000)
Brice Drewitt (+30000)
Ricky Barnes (+100000): I’d play him to make the cut.
If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to reach out through Twitter or email me firstname.lastname@example.org.