The King will always be around Bay Hill.

Francesco Molinari defends and there’s no Tiger Woods to worry about.

Sounds easy!

Er…

2019-2020 One and Done

Event	Golfer	Place	$$
The Greenbrier	Scottie Scheffler	T7	235,625
Sanderson Farms	Sungjae Im	P2	719,400
Safeway Open	Byeong-Hun An	MC	0
Shriners Hospitals for Children	Scott Piercy	MC	0
Houston Open	Henrik Stenson	MC	0
CJ CUP AT NINE BRIDGES	Marc Leishman	T43	31,785
ZOZO Championship	Hideki Matsuyama	2nd	1,053,000
WGC-HSBC Champions	Xander Schauffele	2nd	1,095,000
Bermuda Championship	Denny McCarthy	T15	51,750
OHL Mayakoba Classic	Russell Knox	T33	36,810
The RSM Classic	Harris English	MC	0
Sentry TOC	Rickie Fowler	T5	285,000
Sony Open	Charles Howell III	T12	116,500
The American Express	Phil Mickelson	MC	0
Farmers Insurance Open	Tony Finau	T6	253,125
Waste Management Phoenix	Bubba Watson	T3	386,900
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am	Brandt Snedeker	MC	0
Genesis Invitational	Justin Thomas	MC	0
Puerto Rico Open	Viktor Hovland	WIN	540,000
WGC-Mexico Championship	Dustin Johnson	T48	45,500
The Honda Classic	Daniel Berger	T4	280,000
Total Events: 21	Top 10: 9	MC: 7	5,130,395

Welcome aboard!

If you need more explanations, please go back and read last week or the week of Sentry. I’m trying to streamline this for the degenerates who want the pick NOW NOW NOW.

 

THE RECAP – The Honda Classic

From last week:

Folks, Wyndham Clark and KH Lee played in the final group before MC-MC-73-MC made a putt on the final hole to win last year.

I mean, is this the week to empty the chamber?

I’m going to suggest it is not.

The course is hard. There’s a ton of water = a ton of F*CK THIS I’M DONE.

You either go with the local studs or you abandon ship to fight another day.

Fowler and Koepka haven’t done anything to warrant a pick this week so I hope you enjoy their 4-hole playoff before the sun goes down.

After you get through the light chalk this week, where do you go?

If you read HFC there aren’t a ton of guys who just light it up here. Not surprising because the course is HARD.

With a prize pool of only $7 million and a winner’s check of $1.26, I’m going fishing.

Daniel Berger – T4

I was pleased as punch to see him birdie three of his last four to jump into the top 5. Sadly, this is the most excitement I’ve had in OAD in sometime so take it for what it’s worth. Without having Sungjae Im available, I’m all for this result because I get a chance to fire off Tommy Fleetwood down the road. Mad props to Sungjae for his first win!

 

Safety Dance:

Billy Horschel – T42: Oh, hey, dumping PXG on Tuesday of tournament week, gotcha!

Tommy Fleetwood – 3rd: I never scoff a podium finishes, but… This would have been a great week to be on vacation, come home, pop on the internet and see your pick finished on the podium. If had to watch, well, that would be entirely different.

Gary Woodland – T8: Saturday’s 74 was the only blemish and 67 to close was excellent. Well in.

Shane Lowry – T21: Turning into an automatic TOAD choice on American soil.

 

Spicy:

Erik van Rooyen – MC: 74-74 suggests maybe water and Bermuda aren’t his cup of tea.

Viktor Hovland – MC: Champagne hangovers are the worst. 10-over and not even close.

Ben An – T4: Another track where he’s had past success and a fantastic payoff.

Matt Wallace – MC: Makes tons of cuts on the other side of the pond.

 

3 AM at the Blackjack Table:

Talor Gooch – T38, J.T. Poston – T35, Lucas Glover – MC

 

This Week – Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Master Card

Get Horsed for Coursed HERE.

Big wide fairways. Big Bermuda greens. Four Par-5 holes.

What could possibly go wrong!

Rough. Wind from multiple directions over the four days. Fastest greens in 2020 so far. Water on a buncha holes.

All of that.

The last four winners here should answer PLENTY of your questions this week.

Now, it’s time to sort it.

 

THE PICK

I think we saw the winner last week late on Sunday dump it in the water on the final hole. No offense Brendan Steele, but Tommy Fleetwood hit a shot he didn’t want to and didn’t pull it off. This will either steam him to the top this week or he’ll wallow in his own pity.

The latter isn’t happening. Check his record at Bay Hill. I can’t find a more comfortable landing spot and it comes immediately following some fantastic golf just days ago.

Oh, and as you can tell by my record above, I’m rarely “right” or any good at this godforesaken game so there’s that.

COME ON TOMMY LAD

Tommy Fleetwood

 

Safety Dance:

Rory McIlroy: Every week he plays. You just have to guess right.

Henrik Stenson: What’s more comfortable than a home game on a track where he absolutely rakes?

 

Spicy:

Francesco Molinari: Rabid course form but that’s all you get this week.

Ben An: Hot form and trending at the course is a tempting combo

Justin Rose: Absolute lack of form meets well above average course horse.

Rafa Cabrera Bello: Shocking how many players have had one good one followed by blah one here. Well, shocking if their name isn’t Woods or McIlroy.

Hideki Matsuyama: Might want to save him for Memorial

Marc Leishman: Always navigates well here but with a win three events ago, is he too comfy?

 

3 AM at the Blackjack Table:

Jason Kokrak, Emiliano Grillo, Brendan Steele

 

Check out my previous results below if you need a history lesson:

History Channeled:

2018-19

My majors contributions and PLAYERS selection were worse than bad so to still break the $10 million mark with those awful results was encouraging.

Another valuable lesson learned is that the Playoffs are for the big boys. Now, WHICH big boys make this more and more difficult and that’s why it’s enjoyable and maddening all at the same time. Only McIlroy and Woods have won the FedExCup twice so start there.

Event	Golfer	Place	$$
Safeway Open	Brendan Steele	T53	14,610
CIMB Classic	Ryan Moore	T66	12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES	Gary Woodland	2nd	1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions	Ian Poulter	21st	93,500
Sanderson Farms	Cameron Davis	MC	0
Shriners	Aaron Wise	T15	101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic	Charles Howell III	MC	0
The RSM Classic	J.J. Spaun	MC	0
Sentry TOC	Jon Rahm	T8	191,000
Sony Open	Marc Leishman	T3	307,200
60th Desert Classic	Andrew Putnam	T34	29,975
Farmers Insurance	Patrick Cantlay	MC	0
WMPO	Hideki Matsuyama	T15	113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach	Jason Day	T4	334,400
Genesis Open	Justin Thomas	2nd	799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ	Xander Schauffele	T14	128,000
Puerto Rico Open	Graeme McDowell	T42	10,500
The Honda Classic	Adam Scott	MC	0
Arnold Palmer Invitational	Rickie Fowler	T40	35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship	Sergio Garcia	T22	125,000
Valspar Championship	Patrick Reed	MC	0
Corales Punta Cana	Trey Mullinax	T61	6,450
WGC-Match Play	Paul Casey	T9	167,000
Valero Texas Open	Billy Horschel	MC	0
Masters	Rory McIlroy	T21	107,956
RBC Heritage	Matt Kuchar	2nd	745,200
Zurich Classic	Ryan Palmer	WIN	1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship	Phil Mickelson	MC	0
AT&T Byron Nelson	Keith Mitchell	T59	17,301
PGA Championship	Brooks Koepka	WIN	1,980,000
Charles Schwab Challenge	Jordan Spieth	T8	197,100
Memorial	Tony Finau	MC	0
RBC Canadian Open	Jim Furyk	T27	55,100
U.S. Open	Tiger Woods	T21	117,598
Travelers Championship	Bubba Watson	T54	16,560
Rocket Mortgage Classic	Sungjae Im	T21	68,528
3M Open	Bryson DeChambeau	T2	563,200
John Deere Classic	Collin Morikawa	T4	264,000
The Open Championship	Rafa Cabrera Bello	MC	0
Barbasol Championship	Denny McCarthy	T11	77,000
WGC-FESJI	Dustin Johnson	T20	113,500
Barracuda Championship	Martin Laird	T7	105,437
Wyndham Championship	Webb Simpson	2nd	669,600
THE NORTHERN TRUST	Tommy Fleetwood	T43	27,565
BMW Championship	Brandt Snedeker	T5	351,500
Total Events: 45	Top 10s: 14	MC: 10	$10,024,685

 

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event	Golfer	Place	$$
Safeway Open	Tony Finau	2nd	669,600
CIMB Classic	Paul Casey	T7	218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES	Keegan Bradley	T47	23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions	Hideki Matsuyama	T50	51,875
Sanderson Farms	Chesson Hadley	T2	464,400
Shriners	Patrick Cantlay	WIN	1,224,000
OHL Classic	Kevin Chappell	MC	0
The RSM Classic	Charles Howell III	MC	0
Sentry TOC	Kevin Kisner	T17	99,333
Sony Open	Brian Harman	T4	256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge	Jason Dufner	T36	27,189
Farmers Insurance	Jon Rahm	T29	43,872
WMPO	Alex Noren	T21	80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach	Phil Mickelson	T2	488,400
Genesis Open	Dustin Johnson	T16	111,600
Honda Classic	Graeme McDowell	MC	0
WGC-Mexico	Tommy Fleetwood	T14	126,500
Valspar Championship	Ryan Moore	MC	0
Arnold Palmer	Tyrell Hatton	T69	18,067
WGC-Match Play	Patrick Reed	T9	163,000
Corales Puntacana	Patrick Rodgers	T22	27,850
Houston Open	Luke List	T24	54,162
Masters	Jordan Spieth	3rd	748,000
RBC Heritage	Cameron Smith	T32	35,510
Valero Texas Open	Billy Horschel	T11	136,400
Zurich Classic	Bud Cauley	MC	0
Wells Fargo Championship	Bryson DeChambeau	4th	369,600
THE PLAYERS	Francesco Molinari	MC	0
Ft. Worth Invitational	Adam Scott	T52	16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson	Jimmy Walker	T6	257,950
Memorial	Tiger Woods	T23	76,985
FESJC	Henrik Stenson	T26	50,820
US Open	Justin Rose	T10	270,151
FESJC	Xander Schauffele	MC	0
Quicken Loans National	Kyle Stanley	T32	36,841
A Military Tribute	Bubba Watson	T13	121,632
John Deere Classic	Zach Johnson	T16	81,366
British Open	Rory McIlroy	T2	694,250
RBC Canadian Open	Charley Hoffman	T29	37,743
Barracuda	Martin Laird	T15	51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite	Rickie Fowler	T17	104,250
PGA Championship	Brooks Koepka	WIN	1,980,000
Wyndham	Brandt Snedeker	WIN	1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST	Jason Day	T20	101,160
Dell Technologies	Marc Leishman	T21	100,800
BMW Championship	Gary Woodland	T12	189,000
TOUR Championship	Justin Thomas	T7	279,900
Total Events: 47	Top 10s: 15	MC: 7	$10,967,909

 

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

• Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
• Seconds: 0
• Thirds: 1
• Top 10s: 9
• Top 25s: 18
• MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

• Wins: 1
• Seconds: 1
• Thirds: 1
• Top 10s: 12
• Top 25s: 20
• MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!