OAD: Arnold Palmer Invitational 2020

The King will always be around Bay Hill.

Francesco Molinari defends and there’s no Tiger Woods to worry about.

Sounds easy!


2019-2020 One and Done

Event Golfer Place $$
The Greenbrier Scottie Scheffler T7 235,625
Sanderson Farms Sungjae Im P2 719,400
Safeway Open Byeong-Hun An MC 0
Shriners Hospitals for Children Scott Piercy MC 0
Houston Open Henrik Stenson MC 0
CJ CUP AT NINE BRIDGES Marc Leishman T43 31,785
ZOZO Championship Hideki Matsuyama 2nd 1,053,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Xander Schauffele 2nd 1,095,000
Bermuda Championship Denny McCarthy T15 51,750
OHL Mayakoba Classic Russell Knox T33 36,810
The RSM Classic Harris English MC 0
Sentry TOC Rickie Fowler T5 285,000
Sony Open Charles Howell III T12 116,500
The American Express Phil Mickelson MC 0
Farmers Insurance Open Tony Finau T6 253,125
Waste Management Phoenix Bubba Watson T3 386,900
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Brandt Snedeker MC 0
Genesis Invitational Justin Thomas MC 0
Puerto Rico Open Viktor Hovland WIN 540,000
WGC-Mexico Championship Dustin Johnson T48 45,500
The Honda Classic Daniel Berger T4 280,000
Total Events: 21 Top 10: 9 MC: 7 5,130,395

Welcome aboard!

If you need more explanations, please go back and read last week or the week of Sentry. I’m trying to streamline this for the degenerates who want the pick NOW NOW NOW.


THE RECAP – The Honda Classic

From last week:

Folks, Wyndham Clark and KH Lee played in the final group before MC-MC-73-MC made a putt on the final hole to win last year.

I mean, is this the week to empty the chamber?

I’m going to suggest it is not.

The course is hard. There’s a ton of water = a ton of F*CK THIS I’M DONE.

You either go with the local studs or you abandon ship to fight another day.

Fowler and Koepka haven’t done anything to warrant a pick this week so I hope you enjoy their 4-hole playoff before the sun goes down.

After you get through the light chalk this week, where do you go?

If you read HFC there aren’t a ton of guys who just light it up here. Not surprising because the course is HARD.

With a prize pool of only $7 million and a winner’s check of $1.26, I’m going fishing.

Daniel Berger – T4

I was pleased as punch to see him birdie three of his last four to jump into the top 5. Sadly, this is the most excitement I’ve had in OAD in sometime so take it for what it’s worth. Without having Sungjae Im available, I’m all for this result because I get a chance to fire off Tommy Fleetwood down the road. Mad props to Sungjae for his first win!


Safety Dance:

Billy Horschel – T42: Oh, hey, dumping PXG on Tuesday of tournament week, gotcha!

Tommy Fleetwood – 3rd: I never scoff a podium finishes, but… This would have been a great week to be on vacation, come home, pop on the internet and see your pick finished on the podium. If had to watch, well, that would be entirely different.

Gary Woodland – T8: Saturday’s 74 was the only blemish and 67 to close was excellent. Well in.

Shane Lowry – T21: Turning into an automatic TOAD choice on American soil.



Erik van Rooyen – MC: 74-74 suggests maybe water and Bermuda aren’t his cup of tea.

Viktor Hovland – MC: Champagne hangovers are the worst. 10-over and not even close.

Ben An – T4: Another track where he’s had past success and a fantastic payoff.

Matt Wallace – MC: Makes tons of cuts on the other side of the pond.


3 AM at the Blackjack Table:

Talor Gooch – T38, J.T. Poston – T35, Lucas Glover – MC


This Week – Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Master Card

Get Horsed for Coursed HERE.

Big wide fairways. Big Bermuda greens. Four Par-5 holes.

What could possibly go wrong!

Rough. Wind from multiple directions over the four days. Fastest greens in 2020 so far. Water on a buncha holes.

All of that.

The last four winners here should answer PLENTY of your questions this week.

Now, it’s time to sort it.



I think we saw the winner last week late on Sunday dump it in the water on the final hole. No offense Brendan Steele, but Tommy Fleetwood hit a shot he didn’t want to and didn’t pull it off. This will either steam him to the top this week or he’ll wallow in his own pity.

The latter isn’t happening. Check his record at Bay Hill. I can’t find a more comfortable landing spot and it comes immediately following some fantastic golf just days ago.

Oh, and as you can tell by my record above, I’m rarely “right” or any good at this godforesaken game so there’s that.


Tommy Fleetwood


Safety Dance:

Rory McIlroy: Every week he plays. You just have to guess right.

Henrik Stenson: What’s more comfortable than a home game on a track where he absolutely rakes?



Francesco Molinari: Rabid course form but that’s all you get this week.

Ben An: Hot form and trending at the course is a tempting combo

Justin Rose: Absolute lack of form meets well above average course horse.

Rafa Cabrera Bello: Shocking how many players have had one good one followed by blah one here. Well, shocking if their name isn’t Woods or McIlroy.

Hideki Matsuyama: Might want to save him for Memorial

Marc Leishman: Always navigates well here but with a win three events ago, is he too comfy?


3 AM at the Blackjack Table:

Jason Kokrak, Emiliano Grillo, Brendan Steele


Check out my previous results below if you need a history lesson:

History Channeled:


My majors contributions and PLAYERS selection were worse than bad so to still break the $10 million mark with those awful results was encouraging.

Another valuable lesson learned is that the Playoffs are for the big boys. Now, WHICH big boys make this more and more difficult and that’s why it’s enjoyable and maddening all at the same time. Only McIlroy and Woods have won the FedExCup twice so start there.

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship Phil Mickelson MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Keith Mitchell T59 17,301
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Charles Schwab Challenge Jordan Spieth T8 197,100
Memorial Tony Finau MC 0
RBC Canadian Open Jim Furyk T27 55,100
U.S. Open Tiger Woods T21 117,598
Travelers Championship Bubba Watson T54 16,560
Rocket Mortgage Classic Sungjae Im T21 68,528
3M Open Bryson DeChambeau T2 563,200
John Deere Classic Collin Morikawa T4 264,000
The Open Championship Rafa Cabrera Bello MC 0
Barbasol Championship Denny McCarthy T11 77,000
WGC-FESJI Dustin Johnson T20 113,500
Barracuda Championship Martin Laird T7 105,437
Wyndham Championship Webb Simpson 2nd 669,600
THE NORTHERN TRUST Tommy Fleetwood T43 27,565
BMW Championship Brandt Snedeker T5 351,500
Total Events: 45 Top 10s: 14 MC: 10 $10,024,685


2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600


THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
Total Events: 47


Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909


2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!





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