OAD: World Golf Championships – St. Jude FedEx Invitational

Those who are leading (read: not me) have earned their position and have forced the rest of us to play catch-up.

I hope you have a chance to hit the money late!

The rest of us might have to take chances!

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship Phil Mickelson MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Keith Mitchell T59 17,301
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Charles Schwab Challenge Jordan Spieth T8 197,100
Memorial Tony Finau MC 0
RBC Canadian Open Jim Furyk T27 55,100
U.S. Open Tiger Woods T21 117,598
Travelers Championship Bubba Watson T54 16,560
Rocket Mortgage Classic Sungjae Im T21 68,528
3M Open Bryson DeChambeau T2 563,200
John Deere Classic Collin Morikawa T4 264,000
The Open Championship Rafa Cabrera Bello MC 0
     
Total Events: 39 Top 10s: 11 MC: 10 $8,680,083

Last Week – 148th Open Championship

Well, you can’t do THAT.

MC.

$0.

My mind was in the right place, looking for an outsider to make a big splash, but my execution was the worst possible outcome.

And you’re right, it hurts worse because Tommy Fleetwood was an option for the week.

Yet so was Justin Rose, Henrik Stenson, Francesco Molinari, etc.

Show’s over but we’ll move on.

My Choice: Rafa Cabrera Bello – MC

Frequent Flyers

Rory McIlroy – MC

I feel for those of you who saved him for a course and event that suggested a Holywood finish. More proof the game isn’t played on paper and there are no guarantees ever.

Jon Rahm – T11

Nothing wrong with missing a top 10 by a shot but not the podium most were hoping for.

Brooks Koepka – T4

More amazing than keeping it together with a guy who posted 87 was his majors record this season. Sorry to the folks that were late to the party but it could have been much worse (see: McIlroy, Rory).

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk due to recent form, etc.

Adam Scott – MC

Savage kick in the nuts after appearing he was trending for another major finish.

Matt Kuchar – T41

Began the final round T12 and plummeted 29 spots after 79. Not the traditional back-door top 10 most expected.

Justin Rose – T20

His 79 matched Kuchar but posting that from T4 after 54 holes is devastating in this and every format.

Picks for Dreamers:

Hideki Matsuyama – MC

I can’t remember the last time he won and that’s a necessity in this category. You pay your money. You take your chance.

Xander Schauffele – MC

Another with the BIG SUNDAY the wrong direction knocked him 23 places down the ladder to T41.

Eddie Pepperell – 71

Never happened for the Englishman.

Shane Lowry – WIN

You’ve probably heard the news by now. Congrats to all who piled on in every and all formats.

Picks for Noses:

Tiger Woods – MC

Not surprising given his pre-tournament comments about form, health and preparation.

Francesco Molinari – T11

Fantastic finish from near the cut line reinforced his class.

Six Guinness In: 

Mike Lorenzo Vera – MC, Thorbjorn Olesen – T57, Andy Sullivan – MC, George Best

 

This Week – World Golf Championships FedEx St. Jude Invitational

Plenty of coin and FedExCup points on the line should get the attention of a field of 63!

Light rough will mitigate tight landing areas but 11 water hazards will require focus for all 72 holes.

Back to Bermuda greens will bring smiles to most and tiny targets will reinforce the skill of the fantastic iron players.

Those who had to battle the Sunday conditions might need a round or two to tune it back in but with no cut, that’s entirely possible.

My Choice: Dustin Johnson

The two-time winner will have the advantage mentally and operationally with knowing his way around TPC Southwind.

The reunion with his old swing coach should pay dividends in week two as whatever he was working on last week should be imbedded even more in his second start.

Johnson has a wonderful ability to flush the recent past (MC Carnoustie, win the following week at RBC Canadian Open 2018) and raise his game to elite standards.

He stood out from the group below.

See if you can guess where I’ll be using the rest of my squad:

Dustin Johnson

Justin Rose

Francesco Molinari

Tommy Fleetwood

Webb Simpson

Henrik Stenson

Brandt Snedeker

The good news is I have options (and more not listed here but whatever) and the bad news is I have options.

Frequent Flyers

There’s not many options, three to be exact, so hammer top OWGR players so get to it.

Justin Thomas: He’s a summertime player so he won’t care where this is being played. Best form recently the last two weeks across the pond signals it’s coming.

Henrik Stenson: Having seen this joint twice won’t hurt and he was flying before Royal Portrush.

Rafa Cabrera Bello: Hard to type this after last week.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk due to recent form, etc.

Billy Horschel: His track record here is the hook.

Patrick Reed: He enjoys the weekly grind and won’t have any problem with a field of this size. Pocketed a pair of top-10 paydays in his last three worldwide.

Chez Reavie: Expecting a two-win season is a bit strong but his play outside one bad round in Detroit has extended for MONTHS. Nice history here as well.

Picks for Noses:

Tommy Fleetwood: Emotionally ruined after Sunday at Royal Portrush, finding another 72 holes of that level so quickly isn’t expected from me. It took Molinari a few months to get his game back in shape after a difficult Sunday at Augusta.

Phil Mickelson: One of the few he’s played a ton but has never won, there’s not much recent evidence to suggest he’ll put all the pieces together this week.

Six Double Jack and Cokes In: 

Cameron Smith, Matthew Wolff, Danny Willett, Anfernee Hardaway

Barracuda Pick: Martin Laird

 

History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
Total Events: 47

 

Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909

 

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!

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