OAD: Travelers Championship 2019

Thanks to my man Dough for the reminder!

I’m losing my mind, what’s left of it!

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship Phil Mickelson MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Keith Mitchell T59 17,301
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Charles Schwab Challenge Jordan Spieth T8 197,100
Memorial Tony Finau MC 0
RBC Canadian Open Jim Furyk T27 55,100
U.S. Open Tiger Woods T21 117,598
       
Total Events: 34 Top 10s: 10 MC: 9 $7,767,795

Last Week – U.S. Open

Since I had my two choices down to Woods and DJ, I guess I got it “right”.

Woods collected T21 thanks to playing his final 12 holes in six-under-par but that’s hardly a prize worth celebrating.

The ONLY upside is I have DJ for later use but it’s getting early LATE.

My Choice: Tiger Woods

The good news he put three rounds under par. The bad news is his best one came with no chance of winning the tournament. This 3.0 edition of Woods has been difficult to wrangle but I’ve learned this: playing him where it is cold is a terrible idea regardless of his knowledge of the track. He “felt every shot” all week as temperatures didn’t get past the mid-60s.

Noted.

Sigh.

Majors update: T21-WIN-T21 with McIlroy, Koepka and Woods.

Not good enough.

Power Plays:

Dustin Johnson – T35

Woof. I don’t think anyone saw this coming. His two worst finishes this season when he’s made the cut both have come at Pebble Beach in two completely different events.

Brooks Koepka – 2nd

For those of you who had buyer’s remorse after the PGA and wanted to join the party, well done. The winner this week at Travelers will collect $1.296 million while Koepka takes home $1.35 for second last week. Gary Woodland is the only man to beat Koepka in three consecutive U.S. Open championships.

Patrick Cantlay – T21

Hardly surprising with everyone riding his coattails after his win at Memorial. There were a glut of proper players at T21 and Cantlay is obviously in that group. This was his first major of 2019 outside the top nine.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Shane Lowry – T28

Death knell sounded after 75 to open but a game rally to T28 after 69-70-69 the final three rounds saved gamers’ blushes.

Brandt Snedeker – 77th

Another big-time course horse, Snedeker never fired on the weekend. Sitting 10 shots back after two rounds probably extinguished the fire. If not, 74-77 on the weekend did.

Jordan Spieth/Jason Day – T65/T21

Not even Steve Williams on the bag could push Day into the top 10 and Spieth’s GAS tank was empty by Sunday morning.

Rickie Fowler – T43

His last three U.S. Open results on classic courses:

MC – Oakmont

T20 – Shinnecock

T43 – Pebble Beach

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Phil Mickelson – T52

All of the “big advantage” stops are gone and Father Time marches on. There’s a reason why only a handful of guys who have won this event in their 40’s and none since Payne Stewart, 42, beat Mickelson in 1999.

Justin Thomas – MC

I never understood taking guys who aren’t firing on courses they rarely play.

Webb Simpson – Super 66 on Sunday moved him to T16 and a lovely result for those who took a chance.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Rory McIlroy – T9 but his final round of 72 didn’t help.

Matt Kuchar: His only top 10 remains at Pebble Beach in this event (2010) after 73 on Sunday saw him slip to T16. His value is in non-majors with light fields for my money.

Six Beers In: 

C.T. Pan – MC with an 80!, Branden Grace – MC, Billy Horschel – T32, Scottie Scheffler – MC

IF I HAD A CHALKBOARD

I would write XANDER SCHAUFFELE IS THE REAL DEAL over and over and over and over again, like Greensky Bluegrass would say.

 

This Week – Travelers Championship

If you like to read about trends, stats and the players I have rated, I have you covered in The Confidence Factor Preview.

Read more in Horses for Courses here.

We’re running out of time, choices and chances so it’s time to get guys into the heat of battle.

Plenty of choices this week but the math is simple: There are eight events left so if you have 20 guys to use, time to split hairs and break it down.

My Choice: Bubba Watson

As a few of us did last year, we got cute and decided there was no chance that no-form Bubba would sashay into town and win his third Travelers for the his third win of the year.

Not only did he win, he was the first player in 10 events to win by more than one shot or a playoff as he lapped the field, relatively speaking, to win by three.

His form entering this week is never great because, let’s be frank, he could care less about the U.S. Open.

Let’s also be frank that this track fits his eye perfectly.

I need Bubba where Bubba wants to be.

The most difficult/easy part is picking which one of his favorites he’ll get after.

Frequent Flyers

Paul Casey: Inside the top 5 in three of the last four years with a stroke average of 67.06. Unfinished business here to say the least.

Patrick Cantlay: I’ll let you know when he’s NOT a viable selection in this format.

Jordan Spieth: Remember, he chooses where he wants to play and there won’t be too many other choice. I’d load him up where he’s won before if I was going to use him.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk due to recent form, etc.

Charley Hoffman: Some guys love certain tracks more than others. Guys who have been around the block have even more affinity.

Daniel Berger: Man, hasn’t been able to get it over the finish line twice.

Ryan Moore: A podium at Valero has been the only bright spot this season but seven of his nine paydays T25 or better with five of those in the top 10.

Kevin Streelman: Good recent results on TOUR and four top-10s in 11 starts here.

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Brian Harman: He’ll be the death of me this year but he’s starting to move in the right direction.

Viktor Hovland/Matt Wolff: Soft landing for these two college teammates to turn pro.

Russell Henley: 22-under in two trips the last two years.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

I’d say so Gary Woodland!

I’m not interested in the Euros this week as they stop over on their way back to the continent.

Fleetwood and Molinari haven’t been beating down the door recently so I’m not burning them to burn them.

Justin Thomas is another that I just can’t get my head around yet either. The good news, when healthy, he’s game EVERY week.

Six Beers In: 

Sungjae Im, Stephen Jaeger, Adam Hadwin

 

History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
       
Total Events: 47

 

Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909

 

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!

 

 

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