OAD: RBC Canadian Open 2019

Not the deepest of fields this week so it might take a pick from off-the-radar.

Sure, the field is TOP HEAVY, but I’m not sure that’s the angle to play this week.

Nice digs though!

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship Phil Mickelson MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Keith Mitchell T59 17,301
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Charles Schwab Challenge Jordan Spieth T8 197,100
Memorial Tony Finau MC 0
       
Total Events: 32 Top 10s: 10 MC: 9 $7,595,097

Last Time: Memorial

My Choice: Tony Finau – MC

I have one rule.

If you’re going to suck, really suck.

Not kinda suck.

Not MC because your 36th hole was bad.

Go ugly early.

77 WITH AN EAGLE left him in the bottom 10 after one round.

Adios.

Safety Dancing:

Tiger Woods – T9

Nice 67 on Sunday moved him into the top 10 but it was his only round in the 60s for the week. That’s not enough when 19-under was the winning score. He makes even more sense for next week where par will be an excellent score.

Rory McIlroy – MC

Last time he MC was Shinnecock so patently unlucky.

Matt Kuchar – MC

The other premium course horse behind Woods, Kuchar decided to miss his first cut since the 2018 PGA Championship. Unbelievable that both went out on the same weekend. Bad luck is part of our game, sadly.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Patrick Cantlay – WIN

Convincing and establishes himself as a major player at Memorial after solo fourth last year.

Rickie Fowler – T14

Comfortably stalking the pace thru 36, his 72-72 weekend was disappointing. Again.

Kyle Stanley – MC

Came in on form that was less-than-stellar and not even the friendly confines of MVGC could break him out. Better have more than one theory playing fantasy golf!!!

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Peter Uihlein – MC

Pulled a Finau, quick and painless, minus the pain.

Rory Sabbatini – T27

And the beat rolls on for the veteran who is in a fantastic vein of form. I wish he was in the field this week!

Justin Thomas – MC

Painful as his 71 was followed by a smooth 80. I hate playing guys the first week back. You’ll see why that’s not always the “right” answer below.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Jason Day – MC

11 tries, no top-10 finishes. Prove me wrong next year.

Bryson DeChambeau – T22

Beat Woods by a shot on Sunday but couldn’t crack the top 20. Only Woods has defended the title here.

Six Beers In: 

David Lingmerth – T41, Matt Every – MC, Sam Burns – WD

 

This Week – RBC Canadian Open

If you like to read about trends, stats and the players I have rated, I have you covered in The Confidence Factor Preview.

For you course historians please remember this is only the fourth event here this century and first since Scott Piercy’s win in 2012.

Read more in Horses for Courses here.

Harry Colt designed this joint in 1915 so to say it qualifies as old school is a sever understatement.

Not reaching 7,000 yards, this inland links track will test the patience and ball-striking this week. Poa annua greens won’t run terribly hot as they are sloped and not terribly big. The rough is wet and thick and should penalize inaccurate drives and approaches but not to the standard of a U.S. Open.

Piercy’s winning total of 17-under came with ball-in-hand in closely mown areas the first two rounds. He opened with the course record 62 followed by a trio of 67s. Ball-striking Robert Garrigus and short, accurate William McGirt both shared second. Room for all styles this week!

My Choice: Jim Furyk

It was him or Piercy so I sided with THE OLD GUY.

He’s first in GIR and 13th in fairways so I’ll take my chances with his putter. Furyk should be buoyed knowing he’s won here and he’s not going to have to hit perfect hybrids into Par-4s all day. His short-track record is excellent and that was the deciding factor.

Safety Dancing:

Scott Piercy: Form is combustible and he’s the last man to win here. Plus, you’re not saving him for down the road.

Dustin Johnson: He can win any and every time out. Some will argue to play him THIS week in a weaker field. I’m not one of them.

Matt Kuchar: There’s no way he’s not going home early two weeks in a row! Course style fits his game to a T so I’m not hesitating throwing him back out there again this week.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Shane Lowry: T3 and T8 in his last two, both on ball-striking courses.

Brandt Snedeker: Another who has found form tee-to-green recently, his record on Poa is stellar.

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Any Canadian: The last winner from the home country was 1954. That’s too much history for me to attach my wagon. Their best players haven’t been in ENOUGH form for my money to take the risk.

Bud Cauley: I’m so biased here that I should just shut up. T4 in 2012 and T9 last week!!!

Nick Watney: He’s found a nick of form with T8 and T22 the last two weeks. It’s been a while since he’s strung a few good ones in a row.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Brooks Koepka: Surprised you still have him available! He should be used against the biggest fields with the biggest purses. This is a recording.

Six Beers In: 

Lucas Bjerregaard, Sergio Garcia, Joaquin Niemann

 

History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
       
Total Events: 47

 

Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909

 

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!

 

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