OAD: 44th Memorial Tournament 2019

Only one man has defended his title.

Hint: It’s not the former QB.

He’ll divide opinion on gamers again this week.

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship Phil Mickelson MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Keith Mitchell T59 17,301
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Charles Schwab Challenge Jordan Spieth T8 197,100
       
Total Events: 31 Top 10s: 10 MC: 8 $7,595,097

Last Time: Charles Schwab Challenge (Colonial)

My Choice: Jordan Spieth – T8

I originally wrote “Paul Casey” in this space but then realized I’d burned him at WGC-Dell Match Play for T9. My late-panic selection Thursday morning turned out for the best of the worst as A.) Casey WD and B.) Spieth played decently.

Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than “good”.

I’m not sure why I omitted Kevin Na, THE WINNER, completely. After 61 and 62 last year that should have qualified SOMEWHERE in this column.

So much for “good”.

Safety Dancing:

Jordan Spieth: See above.

Jon Rahm – MC

I’m glad I had burned him because he burned the entire MF house down with his MC.

Justin Rose – T58

I argued he had more value for later in the summer. Now, we learn his caddy Mark Fulcher is out indefinitely. They’re human beings, not robots.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Kevin Kisner – MC

Nothing much on his own ball post his WGC-Match Play win.

Scott Piercy – T19

Sat inside the top 15 after 54 holes but a closing 72 knocked him backwards.

Brandt Snedeker – T19

Opening round 74 made it an uphill climb but 67-68-69 made it back-to-back top-20 results (T16 at PGA).

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Ryan Palmer – T6

The member played like one!

Rory Sabbatini – T6

The 2007 champ racked up another top 10 as he closed with 67

Danny Lee – T48

Last three rounds over par never helps.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Zach Johnson – MC

Six Beers In: 

Jason Dufner – T40, Daniel Berger – T53, Vaughn Taylor – T58

 

This Week

If you like to read about trends, stats and the players I have rated, I have you covered in The Confidence Factor Preview.

Muirfield Village Golf Club has four easy Par-5 holes and wide landing areas off the tee so it’s hardly surprising that 15-under is the average winning score recently.

If that’s the case, it’s going to take a few rounds in the 60s this week to be in with a shout.

This event has had some interesting winners recently and interesting names on the podium as well.

The invitational field always has a chunk of big-name players and they’re usually in the top 10 but they don’t always win.

With wet conditions at least early in the week, I’m breaking ties with big-boy ball-strikers.

My Choice: Tony Finau

He’s 30-under here the last four years and 11 of his 16 rounds are under-par. Opening with 64 last week and finishing second after 68 in the final round should have him full of confidence this week.

Safety Dancing:

Tiger Woods: I’ve given you my thoughts on him. It’s Pebble-or-Bust for me unless he gets nicked up again in the injury department.

Rory McIlroy: I get he’s never won here but his ball-striking numbers and run of top-10 finishes are sick. Remember, the winner gets $1.638 million. It’s not a major but it’s close.

Matt Kuchar: He’s third because he doesn’t win enough but he has more wins this season than the two guys above. He’s in form and loves this track in any condition.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Patrick Cantlay: Course form matches current form: Hot.

Rickie Fowler: He should be in this column every time he plays. It just depends on which section!

Kyle Stanley: His metrics aren’t where they were last year but with three top 10s in his last four here it’s a wonderful nibble.

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Peter Uihlein: The dangerous course form meets current form.

Rory Sabbatini: Part II.

Justin Thomas: How many guys win on their first event back after missing events including a major? This would make a few dreams come true!

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Jason Day: His best finish at his “home course” doesn’t include a top 10 in 10 starts.

Bryson DeChambeau: Gamers fall in love with the defending champion. He’s 0-3 entering the week and hasn’t picked up a top 10 since the Sony Open.

Six Beers In: 

David Lingmerth, Matt Every, Sam Burns

 

History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
       
Total Events: 47

 

Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909

 

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!

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