OAD: Charles Schwab Challenge 2019

It’s almost show time!

And I’ve already screwed up!

I used Paul Casey at Match Play, haha!

SO CROSS HIM OFF THE LIST!

2019 Colonial

 

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Wells Fargo Championship Phil Mickelson MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Keith Mitchell T59 17,301
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Total Events: 30 Top 10s: 9 MC: 8 $7,397,997

Last Time: PGA Championship

Swish.

Second winner in four events and third podium in five gives me some pep in my step.

Koepka showed again he’s not afraid of history, crowds, tough courses or anything else as he blew away a field of 154. Only one player, his buddy DJ, gave him any problems all week.

Oh, and he beat Tiger Woods, playing in the same group Thursday and Friday, by 17 shots.

The funniest thing I heard all weekend was that Ricky Elliott, Koepka’s caddy, is from Portrush, Northern Ireland. So all of you who missed out this week can file that for later. Koepka has played Pebble once in the Pro Am and finished T8 with nothing worse than 70. #TheMoreYouKnow

My Choice: Brooks Koepka – WIN

Safety Dancing:

Tiger Woods – MC: As we found out he was under the weather on Wednesday and then dump-trucked by Koepka all day Thursday and Friday. The new Tiger is just that. We live and learn so hopefully you burned him at the Masters and don’t have to worry about him for the rest of the year. Everyone else, like me, is left scratching heads.

Dustin Johnson – 2nd: Completing the second-place grand slam didn’t do it for the big hitter but winning $1.188 million, a “normal” TOUR first-place check doesn’t sting here. Unfinished business at Pebble Beach will provide us with another difficult decision.

Justin Rose – T29: Sitting at three-under after 36, Rose was poised to take the B Flight. His 73-75 weekend was his second disappointing finish at a major after MC at the Masters. I still have Rose in the bank and that’s not a bad thing as he’s not exactly firing on all cylinders currently.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Francesco Molinari – T48: 73-75 weekend knocked well off the pace and plants a seed of doubt. I’m not sure, as I wrote in my preview, if he’s “healed” after his Masters back nine.

Rory McIlroy – T8: Lovely back door performance and a flattering finish but he was never in the conversation all week. He needed a fantastic finish on Friday to make the cut, and he did, but his 69-69 weekend was done in the early groups. His investors this week won’t GAF.

Xander Schauffele – T16: Gotta play all 72 and his 76 on Sunday dropped him out of the top three. I’ve seen enough. He’s legit.

Rickie Fowler – T36: If you thought 76 from Schauffele was bad, and you’re right, how about 77 from Fowler then?

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Gary Woodland – T8: Shot the round of the day on Sunday with 68 to backdoor the top 10. Bravo.

Paul Casey – T29: His 69 in Round 4 was a slight consolation but that’s it. Two bad majors in a row, relatively speaking.

Hideki Matsuyama – T16: Playing in the penultimate group with DJ, this 77 was hard to take but easy to understand. He just hasn’t put together four rounds yet this season. He’s a former champ at Memorial if you’re getting the itch.

Patrick Cantlay – T3: I drafted him and Matsuyama (plus Erik Van Rooyen) in my weekly league. Roller coaster Sunday to say the least.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Phil Mickelson – T71: Spent his weekend hob-nobbing with the fans so they’re ready for his Ryder Cup squad in 2024.

Jordan Spieth – T3: Dead wrong. Made EVERYTHING he looked at on the greens as gained over 10 strokes for the week, a career-best total.

Six Beers In: 

Scott Piercy – T41, Jim Furyk – MC, Jhonattan Vegas – MC

 

This Week

If you like to read about trends, stats and the players I have rated, I have you covered in The Confidence Factor Preview.

Pretty easy one again this week.

Find a big-boy player who’s in some form and saddle up.

Colonial’s forecast suggests another week of birdies similar to last year and the best players tend to make the most birdies.

Experience or elite talent separates the folks here as youngsters are more exception than rules. There were three rookies inside the top 11 last year in these same conditions.

My Choice: Jordan Spieth

I had a tough decision, I thought, last week with Brooks or Tiger. This week feels similar. I’m not going to talk anybody out of Spieth but after setting a career-record in Strokes-Gained on the greens, I would think a regression would be natural. Casey’s boring, steady ball-striking will be easier on my soul.

Safety Dancing:

Jon Rahm: I’ve already burned him so yeah. He’s proven that this track fits his eye and is a no-brainer if you still have him laying around.

Justin Rose: The angle to save him for bigger events has backfired at the first two majors. Rose, for my money, has too much value for the late summer than he does trying to become the only player to defend other than Hogan.

Paul Casey: Er, yeah, I screwed that up but it’s obvious I like him this week as well. Premium veteran ball-striker. Sigh.

Spicy:

Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Kevin Kisner: Similar to Spieth, bashed it here for three straight before cooling off last year.

Scott Piercy: Keep it rollin’ in regular TOUR events, brah.

Brandt Snedeker: He’s never missed but he’s only gone close once.

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Ryan Palmer: Hardly automatic as his last six rounds here have NOT broken par.

Rory Sabbatini: 2007 champion has been playing great but his last win was 2011.

Danny Lee: Opened with 64 and Bethpage and is 6-for-6 here with T22 or better in his last four.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Zach Johnson: So easy to fall in love with tournament records and the two wins but the field is much lighter at John Deere if you must use him.

Six Beers In: 

Jason Dufner, Daniel Berger, Vaughn Taylor

 

History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
Total Events: 47

 

Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909

 

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!

 

 

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