OAD: Wells Fargo Championship 2019

WFC used to be the tune up for THE PLAYERS but with the new schedule comes a different field.

Bogeys will be made this week and it sounds like Mother Nature will be making an appearance.

And you thought it was long before the rain…

I am undeterred.

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Arnold Palmer Invitational Rickie Fowler T40 35,490
THE PLAYERS Championship Sergio Garcia T22 125,000
Valspar Championship Patrick Reed MC 0
Corales Punta Cana Trey Mullinax T61 6,450
WGC-Match Play Paul Casey T9 167,000
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel MC 0
Masters Rory McIlroy T21 107,956
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar 2nd 745,200
Zurich Classic Ryan Palmer WIN 1,051,200
Total Events: 27 Top 10s: 8 MC: 7 $5,400,696

Last Time: Zurich Classic of New Orleans

My Choice: Ryan Palmer


After going close with Kuchar last week it was nice to get one in the barn, FINALLY, in 2018-19.

Too bad it didn’t count in Spotter’s game but whatever! I hope it counted in yours!

Palmer is the Couples Whisperer as he’s now WON and grabbed a T5 with a top 15 player in the world. I wonder who he’ll recruit next year from his stable of studs!

As usual, some were disastrous but I gave you three long shots that made the cut, including a T5 plus the winner.


Safety Dancing: In Order

Patricks: I’m sure glad I was out of uses on both! Killer for those who weren’t as lucky as I was (MC).

Kyle Stanley: Finau-fatigue is settling in (MC).

Defending Champs: T13 as my order of “safety” was quite backwards. I really don’t care since I did find the winner.

J.B. Holmes: Looking good thru 54 holes, the old pairing from 2017 crashed and burned with 75 in the final round to drop to T34.


Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Scott Brown: If there is any squad that must be evaluated every year it’s Brown and Kisner. Add this year’s T5 to T13 and P2 and form be damned.

South Africa I: Not even a partnership among the oldest of friends could shake Schwartzel of the funk (MC).

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Knox/Stuard: Promising (-19) until Sunday when 75 killed everything. Stuard still hasn’t MC in three events here (T22).

Kokrak/Stroud: Steady but nothing spectacular (T22).

Hoffman/Watney: Every year. Every format (T9).

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Adam Scott/Jason Day: Too good to be true, right? Right. MC.

Six Beers In: 

Julian Etulain/Andres Romero (T32), Austin Cook/Andrew Landry (T22) and David Hearn/Seamus Power (T5).


This Week

If you like to read about trends, stats and the players I have rated, I have you covered in The Confidence Factor Preview.

If you like to read about big-time players in Charlotte, I have the main players at The Confidence Factor Horses for Courses.

My Choice: Phil Mickelson

His form isn’t singing but at his age he’s going to pick and choose his spots. Even though he hasn’t won here eight top-five paydays more than has my attention. After WIN and 2nd in the last two weeks, I’m not going to grind my gears too much on this selection.

Safety Dancing: In Order

Rory McIlroy: There’s nobody else who comes close to his domination on this track. He’s the only two-time winner and his bad finishes (T22, T16) aren’t even that bad. The CONTRARIAN argument this week is simple: He’s not hit the top 10 in his last two and he’s more valuable in a major or the FedExCup Playoffs. With one major, THE PLAYERS and three of four WGC events in the books, it won’t be difficult to map the rest.

Rickie Fowler: The site of his first TOUR win should bring good vibrations and pleasant memories. If you’re “saving” Fowler for a major, Bethpage Black might be the one. He led the FedExCup event there thru 36 and 54 holes in 2016. He’s also had success at TPC Southwind.

Paul Casey: Perfect fit where a big week ball-striking doesn’t have to be paired with a white-hot putter. My butt is still stinging from the 81 on Thursday at the Masters.


Picks that should click but have more element of risk

Webb Simpson: I know there’s somebody out there who knows exactly how many times a guy has won at a course where he’s a member. That pressure must be immense. Posting 64 at Augusta and 65 the following week at HTGL should command attention.

Lucas Glover: He’s already won here and his game fits perfectly on this layout.

Jason Kokrak: Hard for me to lead with a guy who’s never closed the deal before but his form is beyond excellent.

Picks for Dreamers:

Breakout performance from this group will get gamers back into contention

Kevin Streelman: Top six in his last two on his own ball plus three top 10s in his last six visits.

Jason Day: McIlroy is the only defending champion to finish inside the top 20 so history isn’t on his side. He has the class and the chops to break trends.

Keith Mitchell: He won’t have the burden of having a life-changing experience as he’s already won at Honda, another difficult venue.

J.B. Holmes: Hang on with both hands but he joins Hahn as Riviera/Quail winners.

Picks for Noses:

Save them for another time. Each week I usually have a couple of these hit the top 10 so BUYER BEWARE!

Hideki Matsuyama: I’m torn on him this week as I think he’ll be a better value at Memorial where there’s more room to swing driver.

Patrick Reed: He’s trending in the right direction on the property but his last top 10 was in October.

Six Beers In: 

J.T. Poston, Roberto Castro, Daniel Berger


History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600


THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
Total Events: 47


Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909


2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

Thanks for reading!


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