OAD: 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Slick greens, four Par-5 holes and lovely Florida sunshine should make for a nice shootout at Bay Hill.

No Tiger Woods means gamers will have to make alternate plans but the good news is there are PLENTY to choose from.

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
WMPO Hideki Matsuyama T15 113,600
AT&T Pebble Beach Jason Day T4 334,400
Genesis Open Justin Thomas 2nd 799,200
WGC-Mexico Champ Xander Schauffele T14 128,000
Puerto Rico Open Graeme McDowell T42 10,500
The Honda Classic Adam Scott MC 0
Total Events: 18


Top 10s: 5 MC: 5 $3,162,400

Last Time: The Honda Classic

After a monster board in Mexico City it wasn’t surprising to see the water level out. When two old dudes (Singh and Furyk), two rookies (KH Lee, Clark) populate the top 10, it was going to be tough to crack this nut.

I’m so over Adam Scott. I hope he uses a snow shovel to putt next time so he can forget again how to hit fairways and greens. The best part is I won’t have to consider him for the rest of the season so that pleases me.


My Choice: Adam Scott – MC

Safety Dance: Sergio Garcia – T9, Rickie Fowler – T2, Gary Woodland – T36

Spicy: Daniel Berger – MC, Billy Horschel – T16, Graeme McDowell – MC

Picks for Dreamers: Michael Thompson – T16, Scott Piercy – MC, Charl Schwartzel – T16

Picks for Noses: Alex Noren – MC, Justin Thomas – T30 (why use him in an event with a purse of this size if you can use him in four majors?),

Six Beers In: Webb Simpson – T36, Patton Kizzire – MC (and WD this week in Orlando)


This Week

Believe it or not, only two Euros have won here but many other have gone close. Of the 40 previous events at the Bay Hill Club and Lodge just seven internationals have won, including the last three to take home the trophy.

Rory McIlroy followed Aussies Marc Leishman and Jason Day after Martin Laird won in 2011. Rod Pampling, Ernie Els and Vijay Singh make up the rest of this limited list. I’d point out that Laird shot 76 and won by a shot but the course is different now and the wind isn’t going to blow like that this week.

With a big-boy field, I’m leaning on a big boy to do the work this week.

My Choice: Rickie Fowler

With a victory and T2 in his last three starts, I’m on board for him to complete his tributes to his buddy The King by getting in the winner’s circle. He’s sniffed here before but hasn’t gotten the cart into the barn. I learned all I needed to know at TPC Scottsdale as he held off his buddies to win that event for the first time. Yeah, I agree, you can use him any week he tees it up so I’m going this week with over $9 million on the line.

Safety Dance: Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, Bryson DeChambeau

Spicy: Ian Poulter, Kevin Kisner, Kiradech Aphibarnrat

Picks for Dreamers: Lucas Glover, Michael Thompson, Jason Kokrak

Picks for Noses: Henrik Stenson, Francesco Molinari, Phil Mickelson

 Six Beers In: Matt Every, Patrick Rodgers, Ben An


History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600


THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
Total Events: 47


Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909


2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).


Thanks for reading!








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