OAD: Waste Management Phoenix Open

I’m all for contrarian picks.

Just not this week.

One and Done

Each week I’ll throw in my thoughts on the field and those to back and avoid in this wonderful format.

This Year:

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Brendan Steele T53 14,610
CIMB Classic Ryan Moore T66 12,740
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Gary Woodland 2nd 1,026,000
WGC-HSBC Champions Ian Poulter 21st 93,500
Sanderson Farms Cameron Davis MC 0
Shriners Aaron Wise T15 101,675
Mayakoba Golf Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
The RSM Classic J.J. Spaun MC 0
Sentry TOC Jon Rahm T8 191,000
Sony Open Marc Leishman T3 307,200
60th Desert Classic Andrew Putnam T34 29,975
Farmers Insurance Patrick Cantlay MC 0
-AT&T Pebble Beach      
Genesis Open      
Honda Classic      
Valspar Championship      
Arnold Palmer      
WGC-Match Play      
Corales Puntacana      
Houston Open      
RBC Heritage      
Valero Texas Open      
Zurich Classic      
Wells Fargo Championship      
Ft. Worth Invitational      
AT&T Byron Nelson      
US Open      
Quicken Loans National      
A Military Tribute      
John Deere Classic      
British Open      
RBC Canadian Open      
WGC-Bridgestone Invite      
PGA Championship      
Dell Technologies      
BMW Championship      
TOUR Championship      
Total Events: 11


Top 10s: 3 MC: 3 $1,776,700



  • I hit the winner’s circle three times and the two late victories pushed me into the top 10 of Spotter’s game.
  • All four majors’ selections hit the top 10.
  • Seven MC were dire but the most punishing one was Francesco Molinari at THE PLAYERS. We know what happened to his season after that.


Last Time: FIO

When the No. 1 player in the world plays like that, everyone is lining up for second place. Adam Scott and Rory McIlroy, both first-timers in the event, also enjoyed the perfect weather to both cash in the top five. Jon Rahm and Jason Day reinforced their automatic-ness to this event as well.

My Choice: Patrick Cantlay – MC

Safety Dance: Jason Day – T5, Marc Leishman – T43, Charles Howell III – T20

Spicy: Tony Finau – T13, Rory McIlroy – T5, Keegan Bradley – T35

Picks for Dreamers: Kyle Stanley – MC and Gary Woodland – T9; Jimmy Walker – MC

Picks for Noses: Rickie Fowler (new ball in play) – T66, Jordan Spieth – T35 (Augusta), Justin Rose – WIN (week two with new sticks)

 Six Beers In: Luke List – T40 , Jason Kokrak – T20, J.J. Spaun – MC


This Week

Read about all the details in The Confidence Factor.

The Hideki Matsuyama Classic presented by Phil Mickelson bills itself as the greatest show on grass. Super Bowl weekend in the Scottsdale desert is always a party but the choices should considerably narrow this week.

The Weiskopf redo modernized the 80’s design and this has favored the power players and ball-strikers even more. Toss in some weekend weather to add some length and the results should be similar again this year.

My Choice: Hideki Matsuyama

Safety Dance: Phil Mickelson, Rickie Fowler

Spicy: Gary Woodland (only Matsuyama, Johnny Miller and The King have repeated at this event), Webb Simpson, Matt Kuchar

Picks for Dreamers: Daniel Berger, Ryan Palmer, Andrew Putnam

Picks for Noses: Justin Thomas (no need to force it), Tony Finau (record here is dire), Bubba Watson (wait for Riviera)

 Six Beers In: Martin Laird, Brendan Steele, Trey Mullinax


History Channeled:

2017-18 Thermometer: FINAL

Event Golfer Place $$
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600


THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
Ft. Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
British Open Rory McIlroy T2 694,250
RBC Canadian Open Charley Hoffman T29 37,743
Barracuda Martin Laird T15 51,000
WGC-Bridgestone Invite Rickie Fowler T17 104,250
PGA Championship Brooks Koepka WIN 1,980,000
Wyndham Brandt Snedeker WIN 1,080,000
THE NORTHERN TRUST Jason Day T20 101,160
Dell Technologies Marc Leishman T21 100,800
BMW Championship Gary Woodland T12 189,000
TOUR Championship Justin Thomas T7 279,900
Total Events: 47


Top 10s: 15 MC: 7 $10,967,909


2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).


Thanks for reading!







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