OAD: 147th Open Championship

Carnoustie is the host for the first time since Padraig Harrington’s playoff win against Sergio Garcia in 2007.

A few things have changed in the golfing landscape since then!

One thing that hasn’t is the course. It’s a beast.

2018 Thermometer:

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Fort Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
FESJC Xander Schauffele MC 0
Quicken Loans National Kyle Stanley T32 36,841
A Military Tribute Bubba Watson T13 121,632
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T16 81,366
Total Events: 36

 

Top 10s: 11 MC: 7 $6,403,806

Last week:

My Choice: Zach Johnson – T16

Picks for Leaders: Steve Stricker – T43, Ryan Moore – T55, Francesco Molinari – T2

Picks for Chasers: Joaquin Niemann – T23, Austin Cook – T34, Patrick Rodgers – T43

Picks for Dreamers: Wesley Bryan – MC , Kevin Tway – T50, Aaron Wise – MC

Picks for Noses: Bryson DeChambeau – WD

Six Beers In: Andrew Landry – T55, J.T. Poston – T65

#NappyFactor: Austin Cook, Wesley Bryan

Drop-Dead Pick: Zach Johnson – T16

 

This week:

After a wonderful swing-and-miss (minus Molinari and DeChambeau) last week, time to get right with the third major.

With a maximum haul of FedExCup Points (600 pts.) and $1.89 million to the winner, time dust off the big boys. Carnoustie is impossible by most accounts and that should help separate the men from the boys. At this point in the season, we can count the events on both hands so there’s no time for goofing around.

This week’s winner will not be higher than No. 350 in the world. Taking a look at the last decade of winners the only shock was Louis Oosthuizen in 2010 for my money. Darren Clarke was a Ryder Cup player so that’s not as surprising. Heck, nobody knew how to pronounce Oosty’s name until the trophy presentation on Sunday!

Anyhow, of the last eight winners half have resided in their 40’s. A couple of have been generationally great young players. Zach Johnson is the classic “prime” player while Kuchar and Mickelson have been runners up the last two years. While I’m not against running a guy out for his first major, I’m not going to give it a try this week. Sure, Fowler or Rahm or Noren could do the business but I’ll let someone else give that a go. I think Carnoustie takes a battle-hardened  stud who is going to be able to hold it together the final four holes on Sunday.

 

My Choice:Rory McIlroy

Picks for Leaders: Dustin Johnson, Justin Rose, Sergio Garcia, Tiger Woods

Picks for Chasers: Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, Patrick Reed, Rickie Fowler

Picks for Dreamers: Tommy Fleetwood, , Ian Poulter, Paul Casey, Francesco Molinari, Alex Noren

Picks for Noses: Phil Mickelson, Henrik Stenson, Jason Day

Six Beers In: Branden Grace, Lee Westwood, Russell Knox, Danny Willett

Drop-Dead Pick: Dustin Johnson

 

Barbasol Picks

Brand-new Keene Trace takes up the reigns outside Lexington, Kentucky, for the opposite-field event. As with all new courses not many will have an advantage so I’m looking for heat. Bentgrass on the greens and a wet start to the week should make for plenty of birdies again this week.

My Choice: Joel Dahmen

Picks for Leaders: Billy Horschel, Chris Kirk, Tyler Duncan

Picks for Chasers: Sebastian Munoz, John Peterson, Sam Ryder

Picks for Dreamers: Scott Brown, James Hahn, Andres Romero

Six Bourbons In: Parker McLachlin, Tom Lovelady, John Oda

 

My Life

I didn’t get the Masters correct (Spieth – 3rd) or the U.S. Open (Rose – T10) so I’m unleashing McIlroy. I’ll hope he follows his trend for the last three of these as he’s finished inside the top five in all of them. I can’t worry about the FedExCup Playoffs if I am millions behind. If this is a bigger deal in your game, I’ve listed plenty of “others” above for your perusal.

I go into plenty of detail in The Confidence Factor, so please read that!

Here’s my tentative plan:

RBC Canadian Open: Matt Kuchar, John Vegas, Brandt Snedeker

Barracuda Championship: Martin Laird, TBD – old pro/vet

WGC-Bridgestone Invitational: McIlroy, Schwartzel, Koepka

PGA Championship: First-time venue Bellerive Country Club will suggest a top 10 OWGR player. Jason Day, Koepka and Thomas are obvious choices.

Wyndham Championship: Kevin Na, Ollie Schniederjans

NORTHERN TRUST OPEN: Matt Kuchar will be the only winner in the field at Ridgewood Country Club (2010). He was also T5 in 2014.

Dell Technologies TPC Boston: Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Chris Kirk

BMW Championship: Aronomink is the host and Rose (2010) and Nick Watney (2011) are the only two winners on TOUR here (Donald Ross course).

The TOUR Championship: There has never been a repeat champion or anyone who has won multiple FedExCup titles so whoever is left! A rookie won for the first time last year (Schauffele) so it’s not impossible!

Good luck!

History Channeled:

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

 

Thanks for reading!

 

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