OAD — Travelers Championship

TPC River Highlands will play host as its done since 1991.

Tough one to handicap coming off a major championship but plenty of clues to use.

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf.

2018 Thermometer:

Event Golfer Place $$
       
Safeway Open Tony Finau 2nd 669,600
CIMB Classic Paul Casey T7 218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES Keegan Bradley T47 23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions Hideki Matsuyama T50 51,875
Sanderson Farms Chesson Hadley T2 464,400
Shriners Patrick Cantlay WIN 1,224,000
OHL Classic Kevin Chappell MC 0
The RSM Classic Charles Howell III MC 0
Sentry TOC Kevin Kisner T17 99,333
Sony Open Brian Harman T4 256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge Jason Dufner T36 27,189
Farmers Insurance Jon Rahm T29 43,872
WMPO Alex Noren T21 80,040
-AT&T Pebble Beach Phil Mickelson T2 488,400
Genesis Open Dustin Johnson T16 111,600
Honda Classic Graeme McDowell MC 0
WGC-Mexico Tommy Fleetwood T14 126,500
Valspar Championship Ryan Moore MC 0
Arnold Palmer Tyrell Hatton T69 18,067
WGC-Match Play Patrick Reed T9 163,000
Corales Puntacana Patrick Rodgers T22 27,850
Houston Open Luke List T24 54,162
Masters Jordan Spieth 3rd 748,000
RBC Heritage Cameron Smith T32 35,510
Valero Texas Open Billy Horschel T11 136,400
Zurich Classic Bud Cauley MC 0
Wells Fargo Championship Bryson DeChambeau 4th 369,600

 

THE PLAYERS Francesco Molinari MC 0
AT&T Byron Nelson Jimmy Walker T6 257,950
Fort Worth Invitational Adam Scott T52 16,472
Memorial Tiger Woods T23 76,985
FESJC Henrik Stenson T26 50,820
US Open Justin Rose T10 270,151
       
Total Events: 33

 

Top 10s: 11 MC: 6 $6,163,967

Last week:

Close, but no cigar, as my ice-cold spring thankfully ends in tatters after Justin Rose couldn’t fire on Sunday. Rose began the final round one shot off the lead and with a U.S. Open title under his belt, I was hoping he was the one that was going to shoot 63.

Those of you who saved Dustin Johnson for this grand occasion were probably feeling similar but you took home 3x the cash/points for your very smart decision. The last five weeks I’ve played Walker, Woods, Scott, Stenson and Rose and have exactly two top-10 finishes to show for it.

Chasers and Dreamers had some nice choices to pick from and the nose pickers were nice too. Maybe I’m going to have “12 Beers In” as a new category this week…

 

My Choice: Justin Rose — T10

Picks for Leaders: Dustin Johnson — 3rd, Rickie Fowler — T20, Rory McIlroy — MC, Jason Day — MC

Picks for Chasers: Phil Mickelson — T48, Hideki Matsuyama — T16, Brooks Koepka — WIN, Henrik Stenson — T6

Picks for Dreamers: Patrick Reed — 4th, Francesco Molinari — T25, Tommy Fleetwood — 2nd, Jason Dufner — T25

Picks for Noses: Jordan Spieth — MC, Tiger Woods — MC, Sergio Garcia — MC

Six Beers In: Jimmy Walker — T56, Kyle Stanley — MC

Drop-Dead Pick: Justin Rose — T10

 

This week:

It’s the third week in a row of Par-70 golf but this track is the shortest of the bunch by some distance. It’s the third week in four on Bent/Poa and those smallish greens will need to be painted to have plenty of chances to make birdie.

Since the 2016 renovation, the scores have been lower than usual. That’s hardly surprising considering tee boxes were added and greens were expanded. This is the third year since the renovation so I would expect scores to start inflating again, especially if the weather holds.

My Choice: Xander Schauffele

Picks for Leaders: Daniel Berger, Paul Casey, Webb Simpson

Picks for Chasers: Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth, Patrick Reed

Picks for Dreamers: Brendan Steele, Ryan Moore, Charley Hoffman, Patrick Rodgers

Picks for Noses: Jason Day, Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka

Six Beers In: Kevin Streelman, C.T. Pan

Drop-Dead Pick: Patrick Reed

 

My Life

Hitting a top 10 in the U.S. Open usually is pretty good. Playing from the third-to-last group with a premium player and finishing T10 isn’t. The ONLY positive thing that happened last week was DJ NOT winning. That would have buried me. Instead I lost only 600k to most rather than $1.9 million.

I’m not riding Berger this week again as I hope to avoid the glut of “general public” who’ll be all over him. Schauffele is just wonderfully inconsistent enough that I’m going rue this decision but that’s why we play the game. I’m currently 15th in my league and $2 million out of first.

Patrick Reed scares me to death this week but I’ve already burned him and I’m hoping plenty others have as well.

Here’s my tentative plan:

QLN: This is year two so I’ll lean heavily on form and the defending champ, Stanley.

The Greenbrier Classic: TBD

John Deere Classic: Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker or Berger (if playing), Kevin Tway.

Barbasol Championship: TBD (brand-new venue)

The Open Championship: Sergio Garcia, Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler

RBC Canadian Open: Matt Kuchar, John Vegas, Brandt Snedeker

Barracuda Championship: Martin Laird, TBD

WGC-Bridgestone Invitational: McIlroy, Schwartzel, Koepka

PGA Championship: First-time venue Bellerive Country Club will suggest a top 10 OWGR player. Jason Day and Thomas are obvious choices.

Wyndham Championship: Kevin Na, Ollie Schniederjans

NORTHERN TRUST OPEN: Matt Kuchar will be the only winner in the field at Ridgewood Country Club (2010). He was also T5 in 2014.

Dell Technologies TPC Boston: Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Chris Kirk

BMW Championship: Aronomink is the host and Rose (2010) and Nick Watney (2011) are the only two winners on TOUR here (Donald Ross course).

The TOUR Championship: There has never been a repeat champion or anyone who has won multiple FedExCups so whoever is left!

Good luck!

History Channeled:

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

  • Wins: 1
  • Seconds: 1
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 12
  • Top 25s: 20
  • MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

 

Thanks for reading!

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s