It shouldn’t be an easy selection.
I hope you’re flopping and flipping back-and-forth like I have been.
I don’t think you’re WRONG this week regardless but for $2.16 million for first place and 600 FedExCup points, I’d sure like to nail it!
Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf.
|Safeway Open||Tony Finau||2nd||669,600|
|CIMB Classic||Paul Casey||T7||218,166|
|CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES||Keegan Bradley||T47||23,759|
|WGC-HSBC Champions||Hideki Matsuyama||T50||51,875|
|Sanderson Farms||Chesson Hadley||T2||464,400|
|OHL Classic||Kevin Chappell||MC||0|
|The RSM Classic||Charles Howell III||MC||0|
|Sentry TOC||Kevin Kisner||T17||99,333|
|Sony Open||Brian Harman||T4||256,266|
|CareerBuilder Challenge||Jason Dufner||T36||27,189|
|Farmers Insurance||Jon Rahm||T29||43,872|
|AT&T Pebble Beach||Phil Mickelson||T2||488,400|
|Genesis Open||Dustin Johnson||T16||111,600|
|Honda Classic||Graeme McDowell||MC||0|
|Valspar Championship||Ryan Moore||MC||0|
|Arnold Palmer||Tyrell Hatton||T69||18,067|
|WGC-Match Play||Patrick Reed||T9||163,000|
|Corales Puntacana||Patrick Rodgers||T22||27,850|
|Houston Open||Luke List||T24||54,162|
|RBC Heritage||Cameron Smith||T32||35,510|
|Valero Texas Open||Billy Horschel||T11||136,400|
|Zurich Classic||Bud Cauley||MC||0|
|Wells Fargo Championship||Bryson DeChambeau||4th||369,600
|THE PLAYERS||Francesco Molinari||MC||0|
|AT&T Byron Nelson||Jimmy Walker||T6||257,950|
|Fort Worth Invitational||Adam Scott||T52||16,472|
|Total Events: 32
|Top 10s: 10||MC: 6||$5,893,816|
Dustin Johnson rewarded his investors with a win and almost $1.2 million. There’s no doubt he’s a boss here and this event will have MORE VALUE starting next year with WGC-FESJC.
Daniel Berger put some folks in a tough spot last week by not seeing the weekend but I didn’t have many other options for you either. Mickelson did Mickelson things and his 65 on Sunday helped the conservatives put more money into their leads.
The last three weeks I’ve used Adam Scott, Tiger Woods and Henrik Stenson and haven’t collected $150k!
I’d point out this is my third “Six Beers In” Top 10 of since mid-April.
My Choice: Henrik Stenson — T26
Picks for Leaders: Daniel Berger — MC, Phil Mickelson — T12, Brooks Koepka — T30
Picks for Chasers: Billy Horschel — MC, Charl Schwartzel — 72nd, Tony Finau — MC
Picks for Dreamers: Peter Uihlein — T43, Ben An — MC, Luke List — T56
Picks for Noses: Joaquin Niemann — MC, Harris English — MC
Six Beers In: Kiradech Aphibarnrat — MC, Austin Cook — T6
Drop-Dead Pick: Brooks Koepka — T30
Shinnecock Hills is proper golf and this should be a proper test of all 14 clubs in the bag. All season long I’ve been juggling a few names to go in this spot and they are all heavy hitters. The prize pool is $12 million and the winner gets $2.16 million so even third place this week is dope.
The rough is gnarly but the fairways are a touch wider than 2004. The Poa annua greens will cause problems for average putters. The moment will cause problems for others. The last U.S. Open on a classic track was Oakmont in 2016 and Dustin Johnson won by three.
Sadly for me, I’ve burned him but I have a couple of tricks up my sleeve.
My Choice: Justin Rose
Picks for Leaders: Dustin Johnson, Rickie Fowler, Rory McIlroy, Jason Day
Picks for Chasers: Phil Mickelson, Hideki Matsuyama, Brooks Koepka, Henrik Stenson
Picks for Dreamers: Patrick Reed, Francesco Molinari, Tommy Fleetwood, Jason Dufner
Picks for Noses: Jordan Spieth, Tiger Woods, Sergio Garcia
Six Beers In: Jimmy Walker, Kyle Stanley
Drop-Dead Pick: Justin Rose
This is by far the hardest tournament to handicap as the elite players should step up, but which ones? Every major a handful of big names bite the dust and that’s what I’m trying to avoid.
If you’re stuck on Rose, Fowler, McIlroy, Johnson, etc, welcome to the club! The good/great news is if you’re picking from a group of this magnitude, you should have an excellent chance regardless. I’ve made my case of all of them in The Confidence Factor so read that for extra details.
For my money, this isn’t the week to “sneak” a guy in the back door. Best of luck if you decide on this route but this old classic course should separate the elite from the really good. The forecast is perfect and so is the course so this doesn’t help the outsider.
Here’s my tentative plan:
Travelers: Leishman, Berger, Watson.
QLN: This is year two so I’ll lean heavily on form and the defending champ, Stanley.
The Greenbrier Classic: TBD
John Deere Classic: Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker or Berger (if playing), Kevin Tway.
Barbasol Championship: TBD (brand-new venue)
The Open Championship: Sergio Garcia, plus whoever I didn’t use at the U.S. Open.
RBC Canadian Open: Matt Kuchar, John Vegas, Brandt Snedeker
Barracuda Championship: Martin Laird, TBD
WGC-Bridgestone Invitational: McIlroy, Schwartzel, Koepka
PGA Championship: First-time venue Bellerive Country Club will suggest a top 10 OWGR player. Jason Day and Thomas are obvious choices.
Wyndham Championship: Kevin Na, Ollie Schniederjans
NORTHERN TRUST OPEN: Matt Kuchar will be the only winner in the field at Ridgewood Country Club (2010). He was also T5 in 2014.
Dell Technologies TPC Boston: Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Chris Kirk
BMW Championship: Aronomink is the host and Rose (2010) and Nick Watney (2011) have won TOUR events on that course. Donald Ross course.
The TOUR Championship: There has never been a repeat champion or anyone who has won multiple FedExCups.
2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events
- Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
- Seconds: 0
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 9
- Top 25s: 18
- MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)
2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events
- Wins: 1
- Seconds: 1
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 12
- Top 25s: 20
- MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).
Thanks for reading!