The final year as the final tune-up before the U.S. Open as the FEJSC will become the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational beginning with the 2018-19 PGA TOUR Season. I’ve gotten that wrong all week but I’ve gotten it right this time!
Berger has no problem getting it right around these parts!
Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf.
|Safeway Open||Tony Finau||2nd||669,600|
|CIMB Classic||Paul Casey||T7||218,166|
|CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES||Keegan Bradley||T47||23,759|
|WGC-HSBC Champions||Hideki Matsuyama||T50||51,875|
|Sanderson Farms||Chesson Hadley||T2||464,400|
|OHL Classic||Kevin Chappell||MC||0|
|The RSM Classic||Charles Howell III||MC||0|
|Sentry TOC||Kevin Kisner||T17||99,333|
|Sony Open||Brian Harman||T4||256,266|
|CareerBuilder Challenge||Jason Dufner||T36||27,189|
|Farmers Insurance||Jon Rahm||T29||43,872|
|AT&T Pebble Beach||Phil Mickelson||T2||488,400|
|Genesis Open||Dustin Johnson||T16||111,600|
|Honda Classic||Graeme McDowell||MC||0|
|Valspar Championship||Ryan Moore||MC||0|
|Arnold Palmer||Tyrell Hatton||T69||18,067|
|WGC-Match Play||Patrick Reed||T9||163,000|
|Corales Puntacana||Patrick Rodgers||T22||27,850|
|Houston Open||Luke List||T24||54,162|
|RBC Heritage||Cameron Smith||T32||35,510|
|Valero Texas Open||Billy Horschel||T11||136,400|
|Zurich Classic||Bud Cauley||MC||0|
|Wells Fargo Championship||Bryson DeChambeau||4th||369,600
|THE PLAYERS||Francesco Molinari||MC||0|
|AT&T Byron Nelson||Jimmy Walker||T6||257,950|
|Fort Worth Invitational||Adam Scott||T52||16,472|
|Total Events: 31||Top 10s: 10||MC: 6||$5,788,996|
As I wrote in my defense of using Woods last week, I thought the run of previous winners would not necessitate the use of a heavy hitter. With Bryson DeChambeau defeating Ben An and Kyle Stanley in a playoff with Patrick Cantlay and Peter Uihlein rounding out the top five, that was ONE thing I nailed last week.
Man, Tiger Woods. So close, yet so far.
The best news is that I don’t have to rack my brain on where to use him again but that’s of little consolation as he was tied for the lead at one point. The shocking part of all of this is that the more reps he’s getting on the weekends aren’t helping.
The leaders picks went according to Hoyle and only Justin Rose would have been an upgrade. Now, you can use him for Shinnecock like I probably will or keep him for East Lake. Or. Or. Or.
Jason Day continued his baffling run at this event while Grace and Grillo made the cut but didn’t cash. The dreamers needed one of the five listed above to make some noise. The Picks for Noses all sprung to life with lucky T13 for all! Matsuyama finally found something while Mickelson and Stenson flipped the script on playing MVGC.
My Choice: Tiger Woods — T23
Picks for Leaders: Matt Kuchar — T13, Rory McIlroy — T8, Justin Thomas –T8
Picks for Chasers: Justin Rose — T6, Charl Schwartzel — MC, Marc Leishman — T62
Picks for Dreamers: Jason Day — T44, Branden Grace — T52, Emiliano Grillo — T23
Picks for Noses: Hideki Matsuyama — T13, Phil Mickelson — T13, Henrik Stenson — T13
Six Beers In: Jason Day, Kevin Tway — T65
Drop-Dead Pick: Adam Scott — T35
Scott ended up qualifying Monday in Columbus to qualify for the U.S. Open. Let that be a lesson to gamers moving forward: Just because a guy is ineligible doesn’t make him play “harder” or “better”.
A short field in Memphis has clear-cut choices that stand head-and-shoulders above the rest. TPC Southwind has christened more than its fair share of first-time winners in recent memory plus plenty without any previous course history.
This opens the door to more guys than I prefer but that won’t be the case next week at Shinnecock Hills.
This week’s Par-70 will play 7,244 not over 7,500 like next week. There have been 10 players post double-digit scores in the last five years and five of them have won.
It’s not a hard course to learn but it can be difficult course to play. With 94 bunkers, 10 water hazards plus reverse-canted doglegs, there are plenty of reasons why par is a solid score this week. Bogeys will be made so find guys who will wipe them out on the two Par-5 holes and who can scramble a bit. It’s clear to see why Mickelson plays here and plays here well annually.
My Choice: Henrik Stenson
Picks for Leaders: Daniel Berger, Phil Mickelson, Brooks Koepka
Picks for Chasers: Billy Horschel, Charl Schwartzel, Tony Finau
Picks for Dreamers: Peter Uihlein, Ben An, Luke List
Picks for Noses: Joaquin Niemann, Harris English
Six Beers In: Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Austin Cook
Drop-Dead Pick: Brooks Koepka
Key Questions this Week:
Fade or follow, I’m not worried either way!
Chasers and Dreamers and Noses
This is going to take something special again this week if you’re getting outside the box. Horschel has four straight top-10 finishes while Mickelson has five straight T11 or better. Koepka has two podiums in four trips and is in white-hot form. If Daniel Berger is your choice, he’s going to have to break out of a bit of funk. The good news he’s done this before, last year, to defend his title. Those who forget will need to remember, if you chose not to back the three-peat, Berger MC at Erin Hills then lost in a playoff to Spieth before T5 at JDC.
It’s too much to stick on the shoulders of a 19-year old for me and English hasn’t fired on a consistent enough basis for a OAD pick.
I’m done worrying about Woods so that’s a partial victory! Stenson won the call this week very narrowly beating out Koepka. If Koepka was NOT the defending U.S. Open champion, I might be singing a different song. He’s not so I’m not! Stenson also doesn’t play enough events to get in much of a rhythm so at least I’m getting him off a decent week in Columbus.
Psst: Koepka is good enough to play ANY week so I’m not using course history as a tie breaker. Stenson is a pro, will show up, and the course should fit his plan of attack (fairways and greens) perfectly.
Here’s my tentative plan:
U.S. Open: Pool of Rose, Fowler, McIlroy and Thomas.
Travelers: Leishman, Berger, Watson.
QLN: This is year two so I’ll lean heavily on form and the defending champ, Stanley.
The Greenbrier Classic: TBD
John Deere Classic: Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker or Berger (if playing), Kevin Tway .
Barbasol Championship: TBD (brand-new venue)
The Open Championship: Sergio Garcia, plus whoever I didn’t use at the U.S. Open.
RBC Canadian Open: Matt Kuchar, John Vegas, Brandt Snedeker
Barracuda Championship: Martin Laird, TBD
WGC-Bridgestone Invitational: McIlroy, Schwartzel, Koepka
PGA Championship: First-time venue Bellerive Country Club will suggest a top 10 OWGR player. Jason Day and Thomas are obvious choices.
Wyndham Championship: Kevin Na, Ollie Schniederjans
NORTHERN TRUST OPEN: Matt Kuchar will be the only winner in the field at Ridgewood Country Club (2010). He was also T5 in 2014.
Dell Technologies TPC Boston: Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Chris Kirk
BMW Championship: Aronomink is the host and Rose (2010) and Nick Watney (2011) have won TOUR events on that course. Donald Ross course.
The TOUR Championship: There has never been a repeat champion or anyone who has won multiple FedExCups.
2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events
- Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
- Seconds: 0
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 9
- Top 25s: 18
- MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)
2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events
- Wins: 1
- Seconds: 1
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 12
- Top 25s: 20
- MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).
Thanks for reading!