Jack’s place has presented some interesting finishes over the last few years.

The list of recent winners doesn’t reflect the depth of the field, which I find interesting.

Tiger Woods has won this event five times and should be addressed this week.

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf.

2018 Thermometer:

Event	Golfer	Place	$$
Safeway Open	Tony Finau	2nd	669,600
CIMB Classic	Paul Casey	T7	218,166
CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES	Keegan Bradley	T47	23,759
WGC-HSBC Champions	Hideki Matsuyama	T50	51,875
Sanderson Farms	Chesson Hadley	T2	464,400
Shriners	Patrick Cantlay	WIN	1,224,000
OHL Classic	Kevin Chappell	MC	0
The RSM Classic	Charles Howell III	MC	0
Sentry TOC	Kevin Kisner	T17	99,333
Sony Open	Brian Harman	T4	256,266
CareerBuilder Challenge	Jason Dufner	T36	27,189
Farmers Insurance	Jon Rahm	T29	43,872
WMPO	Alex Noren	T21	80,040
AT&T Pebble Beach	Phil Mickelson	T2	488,400
Genesis Open	Dustin Johnson	T16	111,600
Honda Classic	Graeme McDowell	MC	0
WGC-Mexico	Tommy Fleetwood	T14	126,500
Valspar Championship	Ryan Moore	MC	0
Arnold Palmer	Tyrell Hatton	T69	18,067
WGC-Match Play	Patrick Reed	T9	163,000
Corales Puntacana	Patrick Rodgers	T22	27,850
Houston Open	Luke List	T24	54,162
Masters	Jordan Spieth	3rd	748,000
RBC Heritage	Cameron Smith	T32	35,510
Valero Texas Open	Billy Horschel	T11	136,400
Zurich Classic	Bud Cauley	MC	0
Wells Fargo Championship	Bryson DeChambeau	4th	369,600
THE PLAYERS	Francesco Molinari	MC	0
AT&T Byron Nelson	Jimmy Walker	T6	257,950
Fort Worth Invitational	Adam Scott	T52	16,472
Total Events: 30	Top 10s: 10	MC: 6	$5,712,011

Last week:

Well, if you were chasing, I didn’t lead you down the wrong path!

Colonial played soft and the big boys ran it over.

Rahm was upset there wasn’t any wind because he thought hitting fairways was too easy. He probably wasn’t wrong.

Safety first was not the angle last week as OWGR top 10 players played like it.

Those who were forced to make an aggressive decision were rewarded.

Hope you weren’t left picking your nose!

My Choice: Adam Scott — T52

Picks for Leaders: Jimmy Walker — T20, Kevin Kisner — T52, Zach Johnson — MC

Picks for Chasers: Brooks Koepka — 2nd, Justin Rose — WIN, Jon Rahm — T5

Picks for Dreamers: Adam Hadwin — T52, Jason Dufner — MC, Matt Kuchar — T32, Danny Lee — T14

Picks for Noses: Webb Simpson — MC, Aaron Wise — MC, Ryan Palmer — MC

Six Beers In: Chesson Hadley — T20, Chez Reavie — MC

Drop-Dead Pick: Adam Scott

 

This week:

After providing the winner, second and T5 last week, I’m hoping to find one for ME!

Muirfield Village Golf Club has crowned some interesting winners over the last decade. Read all about it in The Confidence Factor.

With some of the fastest greens on TOUR and some of the smaller greens, there’s not much doubt in what it takes to be successful here.

There are 8 of the OWGR top 10 and 32 of the top 50 so there are PLENTY to choose from this week.

The Memorial Tournament and Arnold Palmer Invitational both have big boy payouts and big winner’s checks so don’t forget that. Justin Rose won 1.278 last week and this week’s winner will claim 1.602. $weet.

For those of you using FEC points it’s still the same 500 for the winner so choose accordingly.

My Choice: Tiger Woods

Picks for Leaders: Matt Kuchar, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas

Picks for Chasers: Justin Rose, Charl Schwartzel, Marc Leishman

Picks for Dreamers: Jason Day, Branden Grace, Emiliano Grillo

Picks for Noses: Hideki Matsuyama, Phil Mickelson, Henrik Stenson

Six Beers In: Jason Day, Kevin Tway

Drop-Dead Pick: Rory McIlroy

 

Key Questions this Week:

Fade or follow, I’m not worried either way!

Where are all the big players?

The recent winners dating back to Kuchar in 2013 have provided a confusing potpourri. First-time elite rookie. Elite player losing in a playoff. A couple of unheard-ofs in a playoff. Duff Daddy chasing down a guy with zero career wins. With too many crazy scenarios, I’m leaning on The Landlord this week.

Chasers and Dreamers

Those chasing the lead have a great opportunity this week because of the prize pool and winner’s check. With this many elite players, it’s never easy to peg the proper one. The biggest outsider that I like is Jason Day as he’s been really good all season long and it looks like he’s figured out the home game.

For those of you who need ANOTHER miracle or two to get back into the game, you have plenty of time to do so. I’m more apt to take a chance in a big field on a big name with a big payday on the line. Depending on the level of risk you’re comfortable with, go as big as you would like! The harder this track plays, the better it will be for the premium players.

My Life

I was in a no-win last week as I selected Adam Scott over Zach Johnson. I’m in the top 15 of my league and am grinding along.

I’m using Woods this week because this is his last GUARANTEED comfortable start. If he wins this week, he’s in WGC-BI for the last time at Firestone. You can wait. I am not.

Here’s my tentative plan:

• FESJC: Berger
• U.S. Open: Pool of Rose, Fowler, McIlroy and Thomas.
• Travelers: Leishman or Watson.
• QLN: This is year two so I’ll lean heavily on form and the defending champ, Stanley.
• The Greenbrier Classic: Xander Schauffele, TBD
• John Deere Classic: Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker (if playing), Kevin Tway.
• Barbasol Championship: TBD (brand-new venue)
• The Open Championship: Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson, plus whoever I didn’t use at the U.S. Open.
• RBC Canadian Open: Matt Kuchar, John Vegas, Brandt Snedeker
• Barracuda Championship: Martin Laird, TBD
• WGC-Bridgestone Invitational: McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama,
• PGA Championship: First-time venue Bellerive Country Club will suggest a top 10 OWGR player. Jason Day and Thomas are obvious choices.
• Wyndham Championship: Kevin Na, Ollie Schniederjans
• NORTHERN TRUST OPEN: Matt Kuchar will be the only winner in the field at Ridgewood Country Club (2010). He was also T5 in 2014.
• Dell Technologies TPC Boston: Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Chris Kirk
• BMW Championship: Aronomink is the host and Rose (2010) and Nick Watney (2011) have won TOUR events on that course. Donald Ross course.
• The TOUR Championship: There has never been a repeat champion or anyone who has won multiple FedExCups.

Good luck!

History Channeled:

2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

• Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
• Seconds: 0
• Thirds: 1
• Top 10s: 9
• Top 25s: 18
• MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events

• Wins: 1
• Seconds: 1
• Thirds: 1
• Top 10s: 12
• Top 25s: 20
• MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).

 

Thanks for reading!