Jack’s place has presented some interesting finishes over the last few years.
The list of recent winners doesn’t reflect the depth of the field, which I find interesting.
Tiger Woods has won this event five times and should be addressed this week.
Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf.
|Safeway Open||Tony Finau||2nd||669,600|
|CIMB Classic||Paul Casey||T7||218,166|
|CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES||Keegan Bradley||T47||23,759|
|WGC-HSBC Champions||Hideki Matsuyama||T50||51,875|
|Sanderson Farms||Chesson Hadley||T2||464,400|
|OHL Classic||Kevin Chappell||MC||0|
|The RSM Classic||Charles Howell III||MC||0|
|Sentry TOC||Kevin Kisner||T17||99,333|
|Sony Open||Brian Harman||T4||256,266|
|CareerBuilder Challenge||Jason Dufner||T36||27,189|
|Farmers Insurance||Jon Rahm||T29||43,872|
|AT&T Pebble Beach||Phil Mickelson||T2||488,400|
|Genesis Open||Dustin Johnson||T16||111,600|
|Honda Classic||Graeme McDowell||MC||0|
|Valspar Championship||Ryan Moore||MC||0|
|Arnold Palmer||Tyrell Hatton||T69||18,067|
|WGC-Match Play||Patrick Reed||T9||163,000|
|Corales Puntacana||Patrick Rodgers||T22||27,850|
|Houston Open||Luke List||T24||54,162|
|RBC Heritage||Cameron Smith||T32||35,510|
|Valero Texas Open||Billy Horschel||T11||136,400|
|Zurich Classic||Bud Cauley||MC||0|
|Wells Fargo Championship||Bryson DeChambeau||4th||369,600
|THE PLAYERS||Francesco Molinari||MC||0|
|AT&T Byron Nelson||Jimmy Walker||T6||257,950|
|Fort Worth Invitational||Adam Scott||T52||16,472|
|Total Events: 30||Top 10s: 10||MC: 6||$5,712,011|
Well, if you were chasing, I didn’t lead you down the wrong path!
Colonial played soft and the big boys ran it over.
Rahm was upset there wasn’t any wind because he thought hitting fairways was too easy. He probably wasn’t wrong.
Safety first was not the angle last week as OWGR top 10 players played like it.
Those who were forced to make an aggressive decision were rewarded.
Hope you weren’t left picking your nose!
My Choice: Adam Scott — T52
Picks for Leaders: Jimmy Walker — T20, Kevin Kisner — T52, Zach Johnson — MC
Picks for Chasers: Brooks Koepka — 2nd, Justin Rose — WIN, Jon Rahm — T5
Picks for Dreamers: Adam Hadwin — T52, Jason Dufner — MC, Matt Kuchar — T32, Danny Lee — T14
Picks for Noses: Webb Simpson — MC, Aaron Wise — MC, Ryan Palmer — MC
Six Beers In: Chesson Hadley — T20, Chez Reavie — MC
Drop-Dead Pick: Adam Scott
After providing the winner, second and T5 last week, I’m hoping to find one for ME!
Muirfield Village Golf Club has crowned some interesting winners over the last decade. Read all about it in The Confidence Factor.
With some of the fastest greens on TOUR and some of the smaller greens, there’s not much doubt in what it takes to be successful here.
There are 8 of the OWGR top 10 and 32 of the top 50 so there are PLENTY to choose from this week.
The Memorial Tournament and Arnold Palmer Invitational both have big boy payouts and big winner’s checks so don’t forget that. Justin Rose won 1.278 last week and this week’s winner will claim 1.602. $weet.
For those of you using FEC points it’s still the same 500 for the winner so choose accordingly.
My Choice: Tiger Woods
Picks for Leaders: Matt Kuchar, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas
Picks for Chasers: Justin Rose, Charl Schwartzel, Marc Leishman
Picks for Dreamers: Jason Day, Branden Grace, Emiliano Grillo
Picks for Noses: Hideki Matsuyama, Phil Mickelson, Henrik Stenson
Six Beers In: Jason Day, Kevin Tway
Drop-Dead Pick: Rory McIlroy
Key Questions this Week:
Fade or follow, I’m not worried either way!
Where are all the big players?
The recent winners dating back to Kuchar in 2013 have provided a confusing potpourri. First-time elite rookie. Elite player losing in a playoff. A couple of unheard-ofs in a playoff. Duff Daddy chasing down a guy with zero career wins. With too many crazy scenarios, I’m leaning on The Landlord this week.
Chasers and Dreamers
Those chasing the lead have a great opportunity this week because of the prize pool and winner’s check. With this many elite players, it’s never easy to peg the proper one. The biggest outsider that I like is Jason Day as he’s been really good all season long and it looks like he’s figured out the home game.
For those of you who need ANOTHER miracle or two to get back into the game, you have plenty of time to do so. I’m more apt to take a chance in a big field on a big name with a big payday on the line. Depending on the level of risk you’re comfortable with, go as big as you would like! The harder this track plays, the better it will be for the premium players.
I was in a no-win last week as I selected Adam Scott over Zach Johnson. I’m in the top 15 of my league and am grinding along.
I’m using Woods this week because this is his last GUARANTEED comfortable start. If he wins this week, he’s in WGC-BI for the last time at Firestone. You can wait. I am not.
Here’s my tentative plan:
- FESJC: Berger
- U.S. Open: Pool of Rose, Fowler, McIlroy and Thomas.
- Travelers: Leishman or Watson.
- QLN: This is year two so I’ll lean heavily on form and the defending champ, Stanley.
- The Greenbrier Classic: Xander Schauffele, TBD
- John Deere Classic: Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker (if playing), Kevin Tway.
- Barbasol Championship: TBD (brand-new venue)
- The Open Championship: Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson, plus whoever I didn’t use at the U.S. Open.
- RBC Canadian Open: Matt Kuchar, John Vegas, Brandt Snedeker
- Barracuda Championship: Martin Laird, TBD
- WGC-Bridgestone Invitational: McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama,
- PGA Championship: First-time venue Bellerive Country Club will suggest a top 10 OWGR player. Jason Day and Thomas are obvious choices.
- Wyndham Championship: Kevin Na, Ollie Schniederjans
- NORTHERN TRUST OPEN: Matt Kuchar will be the only winner in the field at Ridgewood Country Club (2010). He was also T5 in 2014.
- Dell Technologies TPC Boston: Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Chris Kirk
- BMW Championship: Aronomink is the host and Rose (2010) and Nick Watney (2011) have won TOUR events on that course. Donald Ross course.
- The TOUR Championship: There has never been a repeat champion or anyone who has won multiple FedExCups.
2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events
- Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
- Seconds: 0
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 9
- Top 25s: 18
- MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)
2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events
- Wins: 1
- Seconds: 1
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 12
- Top 25s: 20
- MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).
Thanks for reading!