The AT&T Oaks Course plays host for the ninth consecutive season as the Valero Texas Open lands in San Antonio.
We’re past the halfway point of the season and events are starting to slim down.
Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf.
|Safeway Open||Tony Finau||2nd||669,600|
|CIMB Classic||Paul Casey||T7||218,166|
|CJ CUP @ 9 BRIDGES||Keegan Bradley||T47||23,759|
|WGC-HSBC Champions||Hideki Matsuyama||T50||51,875|
|Sanderson Farms||Chesson Hadley||T2||464,400|
|OHL Classic||Kevin Chappell||MC||0|
|The RSM Classic||Charles Howell III||MC||0|
|Sentry TOC||Kevin Kisner||T17||99,333|
|Sony Open||Brian Harman||T4||256,266|
|CareerBuilder Challenge||Jason Dufner||T36||27,189|
|Farmers Insurance||Jon Rahm||T29||43,872|
|AT&T Pebble Beach||Phil Mickelson||T2||488,400|
|Genesis Open||Dustin Johnson||T16||111,600|
|Honda Classic||Graeme McDowell||MC||0|
|Valspar Championship||Ryan Moore||MC||0|
|Arnold Palmer||Tyrell Hatton||T69||18,067|
|WGC-Match Play||Patrick Reed||T9||163,000|
|Corales Puntacana||Patrick Rodgers||T22||27,850|
|Houston Open||Luke List||T24||54,162|
|RBC Heritage||Cameron Smith||T32||35,510|
|Total Events: 24||Top 10s: 8||MC: 4||$4,931,589|
Two weeks ago it was the grandstand finish from Spieth that brought a smile to my smug face.
This week, Cam Smith opened with a pair of 68’s and was right in the hunt heading into the weekend. There’s nothing worse than watching it all fall apart on the two most important days of the tournament! I’d rather have a guy MC than watch the wheels fall off but that’s not a choice I have to make.
The angle was the right one: take somebody off the radar that was playing decently and leave the usual suspects behind. As shown by this exercise, picking the right one is increasingly difficult.
You’ll also need some luck. I didn’t see Casey’s streak of 29 events coming to an end THIS week but it did.
Nice week for the Chasers and Team Webb Simpson (way to go Chadders!!).
My advice? Pick better golfers.
My Choice: Cameron Smith — T32
Picks for Leaders: Luke Donald — MC, Paul Casey — MC, Matt Kuchar — T23
Picks for Chasers: Brian Harman — T23, Kevin Kisner — T7, Patrick Cantlay — T7
Picks for Dreamers: Webb Simpson — T5, William McGirt — T70
Picks for Noses: Jim Furyk — T70, Jason Dufner — MC, Brandt Snedeker — T24
Six Beers In: Bud Cauley (duh!) — T23 or Russell Knox — T40
Drop-Dead Pick: Matt Kuchar — T23
If you need info on the course or deeper dives, head arrow down:
Check The Confidence Factor for all other details.
My Choice: Billy Horschel
Picks for Leaders: Charley Hoffman, Brendan Steele
Picks for Chasers: Luke List, Ryan Palmer, Pat Perez
Picks for Dreamers: Beau Hossler, Kevin Chappell, Kevin Streelman
Picks for Noses: Sergio Garcia, Satoshi Kodaira, Jimmy Walker
Six Beers In: Brian Gay or Trey Mullinax
Drop-Dead Pick: Charley Hoffman
Key Questions this Week:
Fade or follow, I’m not worried either way!
Those of you leading don’t have a very difficult choice this week. Those of you chasing do.
With the weather and difficulty of this course, I’m leaning on guys who know their way around and have no problems tee-to-green. Hoffman plays well at TPC Boston but not as well as he plays here.
But Sergio Garcia designed this course and Jimmy Walker LIVES HERE?!?!?!
He sure did as a player consultant with Greg Norman. Wonder why he hasn’t played here until he married a girl from Austin then? I’m saving Garcia for anywhere else he plays well and I’ll have plenty of choices.
Walker has done everything but put together four rounds in a row. The players above him on that list have had better form here and on TOUR. I like Walker this week as support staff but not as the lead dog.
2015-16 Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events
- Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
- Seconds: 0
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 9
- Top 25s: 18
- MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)
2016-17 Season total: $6,533,509 45 events
- Wins: 1
- Seconds: 1
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 12
- Top 25s: 20
- MCs (10): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).
Thanks for reading!