The run of famous names continues this week as the Memorial Tournament opens its doors for the 42nd consecutive year at Muirfield Village Golf Club.
Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow, it’s up to you.
Gamers who are new to OAD must remember that the most lucrative purses, the majors, WGC events, THE PLAYERS and FedExCup Playoffs, are down the road and you’ll need to save some big boys for these events, all 12 of them.
Last Season: Il Disastro
Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events
- Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
- Seconds: 0
- Thirds: 1
- Top 10s: 9
- Top 25s: 18
- MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)
2016-17 season: Brand New Day
Season total: $2,385,930; 29 events
- Seconds: 1
- Top 10s: 5
- Top 25s: 7
- MCs (9): Grayson Murray (Safeway Open); Patton Kizzire (SFC); Jamie Lovemark (CB Challenge); Jimmy Walker (FIO); Charl Schwartzel (Genesis); Russell Knox (Honda); Henrik Stenson (API); Thomas Pieters (Zurich); Kevin Kisner (WFC).
|Safeway Open||Grayson Murray||MC||$0|
|CIMB Classic||Hideki Matsuyama||T-2||$756,000|
|WGC-HSBC Champions||Martin Kaymer||T-40||$62,000|
|Sanderson Farms||Patton Kizzire||MC||$0|
|OHL Mayakoba||Emiliano Grillo||T-10||$175,000|
|RSM Classic||Russell Henley||T-10||$150,000|
|SBS TOC||Brandt Snedeker||T-14||$122,000|
|Sony Open||Charles Howell, III||T-8||$180,000|
|CB Challenge||Jamie Lovemark||MC||$0|
|Farmers Insurance||Jimmy Walker||MC||$0|
|AT&T Pebble Beach||Phil Mickelson||65th||$15,120|
|Genesis Open||Charl Schwartzel||MC||$0|
|Honda Classic||Russell Knox||MC||$0|
|Arnold Palmer||Henrik Stenson||MC||$0|
|Puerto Rico Open||Luke List||T-37||$12,900|
|WGC-Match Play||Rory McIlroy||T-30||$74,000|
|Shell Houston Open||Jon Rahm||T-10||$182,000|
|RBC Heritage||Matt Kuchar||T-11||$114,045|
|Valero Texas Open||Charley Hoffman||T-40||$21,727|
|Zurich Classic||Thomas Pieters||MC||$0|
|Wells Fargo||Kevin Kisner||MC||$0|
|THE PLAYERS||Sergio Garcia||T-30||$65,205|
|AT&T Byron Nelson||Brooks Koepka||T-50||$18,090|
|DEAN & DELUCA||Bud Cauley||T-41||$24,050|
Good to see I had Kisner a month ago when he MC at Eagle Point!
With nothing inside the top 30 over a six week stretch, I have seriously considered abandoning the format/game altogether.
I figured if I did that I would make some people angry as their AUTOMATIC FADE play would disappear.
Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?
Time to panic?
My Choice: Bud Cauley — T-41
Close Second: Jason Dufner — MC
Outlier: Chris Kirk — T-67
Gut Shot: Zach Johnson — T-63
Rank Outsiders: Nick Taylor — T-61, Kevin Tway — T-18, Ben Martin — T-57 and Kyle Reifers — MC
Keys this Week:
With the last three winners all breaking their maidens on Tour and all three doing so in a playoff, I would suggest this might be a week to reach outside the box.
Looking at the previous winners, most of the them tend to fair pretty well at Augusta so that means par five scoring, GIR and premium short gamers.
If you’re going to stretch this week, do so with the fact that this purse is a monster compared to “normal” weeks on Tour. I’m not sure if throwing all caution to the wind is the proper play this week but what the hell do I know?
My Weekly Finalists:
I explain in more details in my preview what I’m looking for on the course.
Dustin Johnson: Is it easier to beat a 120-man invitational field or a major championship field? Some will answer 29 guys at East Lake. You have options but I can’t ignore a guy who’s worst finish is T-13 THIS YEAR.
Jordan Spieth: Is it easier to beat a 120-man invitational field or a major championship field? Some will answer 29 guys at East Lake. Folks that are trailing who need to get back into business can’t afford to be patient.
Hideki Matsuyama: He rakes here and Augusta National because his ball-striking puts him into multiple par-breaking opportunities.
Matt Kuchar: He’s a billion under par here since 2009. He is the recent course horse.
Tony Finau: He’s played here twice and has collected on T-8 and T-11.
My Choice: Dustin Johnson
Close Second: Tony Finau
Outlier: Emiliano Grillo
Gut Shot: Sean O’Hair
Rank Outsiders: Patrick Cantlay, Morgan Hoffmann, Jamie Lovemark, Scott Piercy
QUESTION(S) OF THE WEEK:
You swung and missed on Jason Day at Byron Nelson as he finished second. No love on his home course?
He gave it a run for 54 holes last year before bottoming out to T-27. Remember, TPC Four Seasons was the site of his first win and a couple other top 10’s so something there fits his eye. Not even three wins at this stage last year could pop him so I’m abstaining. The law of averages says he can’t play this poorly forever but almost 10 years is a big enough sample to say otherwise.
Why have you left Rahm off the list?
Because I figure everyone has burned him by now. I’m going to be out of starts on him in everything shortly and frankly I don’t care. He’s killing it everywhere and this week shouldn’t be any different. 100 % on board.
Should I burn…
Throw a dart.
Drop a pen.
Have your dog pick.
48 weeks. 48 guys. Plenty to choose from!
Marc Leishman has an excellent record here while Brian Harman has three top 10’s in his last four starts.
Charl Schwartzel is another who plays well here but his wrist injury has given me pause.
Webb Simpson and Emiliano Grillo hit it awfully well tee-to-green and could factor.