Fantasy Golf: OAD CIMB Long Form

10-19-16

For those of you who would like to dig a little deeper.

Same sh!t, different day as the new season started about as well as the previous one ended for me in OAD.

I trotted out Grayson Murray hoping to have a Emiliano Grillo-esque moment and pop a decent finish on his Tour membership debut.

Wrongo.

MC.

Looking back on last season, I’m getting out of the HOPE business in 2016-17.

No more hoping.

Here’s my point of reference:

2015-16 Season: Il Disastro

Season total: $5,978,929; 47 events

  • Wins: 2 (Matsuyama, Hoffman)
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 9
  • Top 25s: 18
  • MC: 8 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO; Chappell, Colonial; Casey, Memorial; Woodland, FESJC; Hearn, RBC Canadian; McGirt, Wyndham; Justin Thomas, DBC)

Not enough wins.

Nil seconds.

One third. ONE?

Three podiums?!?!

Not good enough.

 

Event Golfer Place Money
Frys.com Brooks Koepka T-41 $21,000
Shriners Scott Piercy T-25 $44,832
CIMB Anirban Lahiri T-21 $78,400
WGC-HSBC Champions Adam Scott T-70 $42,000
Sanderson Farms Patrick Rodgers T-20 $41,356
OHL Mayakoba Patton Kizzire T-58 $13,764
RSM Brendon de Jonge T-33 $27,049
HTOC Brandt Snedeker T-3 $381,000
Sony Kevin Kisner T-5 $220,400
CB Challenge Ryan Palmer T-17 $75,897
Farmers Phil Mickelson MC $0
Waste Management Hideki Matsuyama WIN $1,170,000
AT&T Pebble Beach Jimmy Walker T-11 $143,500
NTO Dustin Johnson 4th $326,400
Honda Luke Donald T-61 $13,115
WGC-Cadillac Champ Henrik Stenson T-28 $79,428
Valspar Danny Willett T-22 $52,959
Arnold Palmer Scott Brown T-27 $41,934
WGC-Dell Match Play Rickie Fowler T-53 $63,000
Puerto Rico Open Graham DeLaet T-11 $66,000
Shell Houston Open Louis Oosthuizen MC $0
Masters Bubba Watson T-37 $50,250
RBC Heritage Matt Kuchar T-9 $147,500
Valero Texas Open Charley Hoffman WIN $1,116,000
Zurich Classic Daniel Berger T-20 $64,909
Wells Fargo J.B. Holmes T-53 $16,589
THE PLAYERS Rory McIlroy T-12 212,625
AT&T Byron Nelson Jason Dufner T-24 54,020
Colonial Kevin Chappell MC $0
Memorial Paul Casey MC $0
FESJC Gary Woodland MC $0
U.S. Open Jason Day T-8 $247,806
Quicken Loans Patrick Reed T-39 $28,290
Barracuda Jon Rahm MDF $6,420
WGC-BI Shane Lowry T-36 $73,500
Barbasol Kyle Reifers T-35 $15,808
The Open Sergio Garcia T-5 $310,797
RBC Canadian Open David Hearn MC $0
PGA Championship Branden Grace T-4 $405,000
Travelers Ryan Moore T-17 $83,490
John Deere Classic Zach Johnson T-34 $24,240
Wyndham William McGirt MC $0
The Barclays Justin Rose T-31 $45,220
DBC Justin Thomas MC $0
BMW Emiliano Grillo T-32 $46,021
TOUR Championship Jordan Spieth T-17 $166,600

 

Fachts:

This is only the fourth CIMB Classic so course form is minimal but does exist.

Only major changes this year were the name of the course from KLG&CC to TPC Kuala Lumpur and 20 yards or so on the scorecard.

The event was previously played as an unofficial event and it was played on different courses so don’t cross the streams when you look back.

The winning score has improved each year  from -13 to -17 to a whopping -26 last year.

 

Brendan Steele sat on 20-under after 54 holes, shot 68 and lost by two shots.

Ryan Moore won the first two events.

Gary Woodland finished second or T-2 in the first two events.

Paspalum grass is on the fairways, rough and greens similar to Mayakoba, Kiawah Isalnd and Trump International in Puerto Rico.

Only 77 players to beat this week for a win prize of $1.2 million.

 

2016-17 season

Season total: $0; 1 event

  • Wins:
  • Seconds:
  • Thirds:
  • Top 10s:
  • Top 25s:
  • MC: Murray, Safeway Open

 

Thermometer:

Kelvin says absolute zero is within sight…

 

Keys this Week:

At just 7,000 yards there will be plenty that will overpower this place so I believe scoring will again be a major factor. A look at last year’s top 10 didn’t reveal many pretenders so I’m leaning on big-boy players to do the work again this year. On a resort course, keeping it out of the jungle and water is required and so is hitting it tight on the above-average sized greens.

 

My Weekly Finalists:

OWGR listed in (  )

 

Justin Thomas (34): Birdie machine kills par fives.

Paul Casey (12): Hotter than a most takes on sports talk radio but hasn’t won since 2009.

Hideki Matsuyama (18): Won last week in Japan.

Patrick Reed (7): Anytime, anywhere.

Ryan Moore (32): Twice champion on this layout.

 

My Choice: Matsuyama

Close Second: Reed

Outlier: Gary Woodland works for those of you looking to “save” some premium players for down the road. Woodland’s only victory on Tour is at Valspar.

Stratagem: With 15 of the top OWGR top 50 on the property this week, I don’t see a reason to stray too far from the chalk in a field this short. An easier scoring course will help the less fortunate but instead of their ONE good round springing them the leaderboard, they’ll need probably three or even four to crack the big bucks.

Premium players eat small fields for lunch and destroy, short, easy courses. Premium ball-strikers will create the most chances to make birdie. Premium putters will hole the most putts to circle them. This track played nearly 2.5 shots under-par last year and while it might not be completely bent over again this year, I don’t see 2 inches of rough and 11′ on the Stimpmeter causing many problems.

 

QUESTION(S) OF THE WEEK:

  • Why the change in strategy?
  • Where’s Adam Scott?

 

ANSWER(S) OF THE WEEK:

  • I’m changing my strategy one week in as FULL-ON PANIC, not Widespread, has infected me. I tried being sensible last week but no more. There are 46 more events. I’m using premium players from now on and taking my chances. It’s not like it can get any worse!
  • No more “smart” picks
  • No more “angle” picks
  • #Heavyweights
  • Scott gets left off this week as he’ll be one of my picks at the four majors or four FEC Playoff events.

Check out my preview for Golfweek.com below for even more player and course details.

Good luck!

 

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