Valero Texas Open Betting Angles

Brian Harman returns to defend his 2025 title at The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio via @ValeroTXOpen

Valero Texas Open

TPC San Antonio (The Oaks Course)

San Antonio, Texas

*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com

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Extra Players to watch for Top 10, Top 20, Top 30, and Top 40

You do you. Stick ‘em wherever. Not listed in my columns above.

Bronson Burgoon, Ryo Hisatsune, Thorbjorn Olesen, Rico Hoey, Carson Young

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseTPC San Antonio – The Oaks Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,438.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:Overseeded Poa Trivialis; 6,400 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at 3 inches (up from 2.25” in 2025).
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play64/3/3
Architect(s):Greg Norman (2010).
Defending Champion (event):Brian Harman (-9).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:62; Trey Mullinax, Round 3, 2018.
72 Hole Tournament Record:268; Akshay Bhatia & Denny McCarthy (2024); Corey Conners (2019).
Fact of the Week:The event has been the week before the Masters since 2019.
Fact of the Week II:The four Par-5 holes rank, as a group, one of the hardest quartets on TOUR.
Fact of the Week III:The last two winners have been left-handed wind specialists.

Notes:

  • Field of 132.
  • No significant course changes for 2026.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.8 million – $1.764 million – 500 FedExCup points.
  • For those not already qualified for Augusta National next week, the only way to book a tee time is to win.

Notables

  • The last three champions owned the outright lead after 18 holes.
  • The last six winners T4 or BETTER in Par-4 Scoring.
  • TPC San Antonio has played under par just twice in 16 previous events.
  • The ryegrass/fescue fairways average 25 to 30 yards in the landing area.
  • Poa Trivialis overseeded greens average 6,400 square feet and will not run more than 11.5 feet on the Stimpmeter (wind).
  • The course tips at 7,438 yards for the fifth consecutive season.
  • The Official World Golf Ranking is represented by 15 of the top 50 players, led by No. 4 Tommy Fleetwood, the highest-ranked player in the field this week.

Stat of the Week: Putting: Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage

The previous 10 champions have all ranked T10 or better in this category. Once GIR are found, it’s time to cash in! Birdies are NOT plentiful here; Take advantage of the opportunities presented.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick
Texas Children’s Houston OpenGary Woodland

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Valero Texas Open

Italics – not entered this week;

YearWinnerNotes
2025Brian Harman (-9)Shot 72-75 on the weekend and still defeated Ryan Gerard by THREE shots. Rough weather muted scoring.
2024Akshay Bhatia (-20)Knocked off Denny McCarthy in a playoff. Both matched the tournament scoring record and were NINE SHOTS CLEAR of third place.
2023Corey Conners (-15)Defeated Sam Stevens by one shot to become the first two-time winner at The Oaks Course.
2022J.J. Spaun (-13)Won by two shots to earn his first PGA TOUR victory.
2021Jordan Spieth (-18)Circled 24 birdies and won by two.
2019Corey Conners (-20)Monday Qualifier won for the first time on the PGA TOUR.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525
Houston OpenChris GotterupT6322,987

Last WEEK – Texas Children’s Houston Open

There’s no reason to save Chris Gotterup.

With two victories already, he won’t be playing many courses, if any, from this point forward, where he can black out and just pump driver all day.

He can this week!

THE CHOICE: Chris Gotterup – T6

Others to consider:

Any of the European ball-strikers who were in it last week at Valspar.

Nicolai Hojgaard (2nd), Jake Knapp (T6), Sam Burns (T21), Wyndham Clark (MC)

I guess MY SECOND GUESS was better than my first! Too bad Gotterup didn’t WD!

Sigh.

Congrats to the Woodland Mafia on their incredible win. Is it dusty in here???

THIS Week – Valero Texas Open

What a mess.

WHERE IS COREY CONNERS WHEN YOU NEED HIM?????

Imagine winning this event twice since 2019, yet not playing!

The last two winners are left-handed players, right?

Let’s make it three in a row!

THE CHOICE: Sudarshan Yellamaraju

He wasn’t bothered by Pete Dye’s mind games against the deepest field in golf at TPC Sawgrass (T5).

A bit of length, 7,475 yards, last week in Houston didn’t slow him down (T6).

I am not sure he cares about what’s at stake this week with a win.

Hot golf is hot golf, and I’m riding the hottest player in the field.

I will save the top players for rainier days.

Others to consider:

Michael Thorbjornsen, Sepp Straka, Johnny Keefer, Denny McCarthy

Horses for Courses

Elder statesmen Charley Hoffman and Matt Kuchar are the top money winners entered.

Jordan Spieth owns four top-10s from eight starts.

Andrew Novak has a pair of top-10 paydays from the last three.

Here are the top finishers from the last three years:

202520242023
Brian Harman (-9)Akshay Bhatia (-20)Corey Conners (-15)
wins by 3 (Gerard)wins PLAYOFF (McCarthy)wins by 1 (Stevens)
Par 72 – 7,438 ydsPar 72 – 7,438 ydsPar 72 – 7,438 yds
   
02 Ryan Gerard -6P2 Denny McCarthy -20 02 Sam Stevens -14
T3 Maverick McNealy -504 Russell Henley -10T3 Matt Kuchar -13
T3 Andrew NovakT5 Adam Schenk -9T3 Sam Ryder -13
T5 Bud Cauley -4T5 Brendon Todd05 Patrick Rodgers -11
T5 Patrick FishburnT7 Hideki Matsuyama -8T6 Lee Hodges -10
T5 Thorbjorn OlesenT7 Tommy Fleetwood09 Andrew Novak -9
T5 Ryo HisatsuneT10 Jordan Spieth -6T10 Chris Kirk -8
T5 Chad RameyT10 Mac MeissnerT10 Rickie Fowler
T5 Tom HogeT14 Ludvig Aberg -5T15 Hideki Matsuyama -7
T12 Jordan Spieth -3T14 Andrew PutnamT15 Nick Taylor
T12 Alejandro TostiT14 Sam StevensT15 Alex Noren
T12 Keith MitchellT14 Alex NorenT15 SH Kim
T12 Sami ValimakiT14 Keith MitchellT22 JJ Spaun -6
T18 Doug Ghim -2T14 SH KimT22 Sepp Straka
T18 Chandler PhillipsT14 T B OT22 Peter Malnati
T18 Matt KucharT14 Rico HoeyT22 Charley Hoffman
T18 Emiliano GrilloT25 Brian Harman -4 
T18 Corey ConnersT25 Max Homa 
T18 Denny McCarthyT25 Lucas Glover 
T26 Matt Wallace -1T25 Corey Conners 
T26 Eric ColeT25 Mark Hubbard 
T26 JT Poston T25 Justin Lower 
T26 Harry Hall  

Texas Children’s Houston Open Betting Angles

Texas Children’s Houston Open

Memorial Park Golf Course

Houston, Texas

*Rob Bolton joins me LIVE every Wednesday at 4 pm at TheZoneBloomington.com

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseMemorial Park
Yards (per official scorecard):7,475
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:Overseeded Poa Trivialis; 7,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at 1.25”
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play24/2/4
Architect(s):John Bredemus (1936); Tom Doak (2019).
Defending Champion (event):Min Woo Lee (-20).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:62 Gary Woodland Rd 4 2025 62 Sami Valimaki Rd 4 2025 62 Scottie Scheffler Rd 2 2025 62 Tony Finau Rd 2 2024 62 Tony Finau Rd 2 2022 62 Scottie Scheffler Rd 2 2021 63 Mackenzie Hughes 2020
72 Hole Tournament Record:260; Min Woo Lee.
Fact of the Week:The event moved back to March for the 2024 event.
Fact of the Week II:Torrey Pines and Rio Grande are the only two longer courses used on TOUR so far in 2026.

Notes:

  • Field of 135.
  • No significant course changes for 2026.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.9 million – $1.782 million – 500 FedExCup points.
  • Must be in the top 50 OWGR after this week to qualify for the Masters.
  • Must WIN this week or next at Valero to qualify for the Masters if the OWGR is out of reach.

Stat of the Week: SG: Putting

All five winners ranked in the top five on the Poa Trivialis overseeded greens.

Notables

  • For the second week in a row, the host course features five Par-3 holes and overseeded Poa Trivialis putting surfaces.
  • All five champions ranked T12 or better in Par-3 Scoring.
  • The Par-70 also features three Par-5 holes, one of the toughest trios on TOUR.
  • The historic Houston Open, established in 1946, has had many homes, but Memorial Park is the only data in use this week.
  • The overseeded fairways average 30 to 40 yards in the landing area, accounting for the winds that constantly blow in this part of the world.
  • Poa Trivialis overseeded greens average 7,000 square feet and will not run more than 11.5 feet on the Stimpmeter (wind). The nuanced greens are the defense of this Tom Doak (2019) restoration.
  • Hole No. 16 is using a new tee box for 2025 and has added 40 yards to the scorecard. There are no significant changes for 2026.
  • This is the third consecutive year with the overseeded rough cut to 1.25 inches.
  • The range of winners is 26 to 36 years old.
  • Lee became the third first-time winner in five events at Memorial Park.
  • The Official World Golf Ranking is represented by 20 of the top 50 players, highlighted by No. 10 Chris Gotterup, the only two-time winner on TOUR this season.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarría
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young
Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first-time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Texas Children’s Houston Open

Italics – not entered this week;

YearWinnerNotes
2025Min Woo Lee (-20)Held off Scottie Scheffler and Gary Woodland by one shot to win for the first time on the PGA TOUR.
2024Stephan Jaeger (-12)Held off five players, including Scheffler and Finau, to win by a shot for his first victory on TOUR.
2022Tony Finau (-16)Set the tournament scoring record and won by four shots, also a record. Final November event (2023 season).
2021Jason Korkak (-10)Won by two shots as Scheffler couldn’t close the 54-hole lead.
2020Carlos Ortiz (-13)Held off Hideki Matsuyama (not entered) and Dusitn Johnson (ineligible) to win for the first time on TOUR.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0
Valspar ChampionshipJacob BridgemanT14161,525

Last WEEK – Valspar Championship

MY CHOICE: Jacob Bridgeman – T14

Steady, yet unspectacular. Never raised to the level of contender. Congrats to Fitzy on his excellent bounce-back after a tough finish at THE PLAYERS. I didn’t see that coming.

THIS Week – Texas Children’s Houston Open

There’s no reason to save Chris Gotterup.

With two victories already, he won’t be playing many courses, if any, from this point forward where he can black out and just pump driver all day.

He can this week!

THE CHOICE: Chris Gotterup

Others to consider:

Any of the European ball-strikers who were in it last week at Valspar.

Nicolai Hojgaard, Jake Knapp, Sam Burns, Wyndham Clark

Course Horses at Memorial Park

2025 Birdies2024 Birdies
26 Min Woo Lee22 Scottie Schefffler
23 Taylor Pendrith22 Alejandro Tosti
23 Alejandro Tosti21 Nick Dunlap
23 Gary Woodland20 Matti Schmid
22 Davis Thompson20 Gary Woodland
22 Sami Valimaki19 Tony Fianu
21 Jake Knapp19 Tom Hoge
21 Scottie Scheffler19 Billy Horschel
 19 Stephan Jaeger
20252024
Min Woo Lee (-20)Stephan Jaeger (-12)
wins by 1 (Scheffler, Woodland)wins by 1 (Scheffler, 4 others)
Par 70 – 7,475 ydsPar 70 – 7,435 yds
154 players144 players
  
T2 Gary WoodlandT2 Tony Finau
04 Sami Valimaki -17T2 Taylor Moore
T5 Wyndham Clark –15T2 Alejandro Tosti
T5 Taylor PendrithT7 Billy Horschel -10
T5 Alejandro TostiT7 Aaron Rai
09 Ryan Gerard -14T7 Max Greyserman
10 Mackenzie Hughes -13T11 Nick Dunlap -9
T11 Lee Hodges -12T14 Mackenzie Hughes -8
T11 Rico HoeyT14 Tom Hoge
T11 Stephan JaegerT14 Davis Riley
T11 Isaiah SalindaT17 Chad Ramey -7
T15 Ryan Fox -11T21 Gary Woodland -6
T15 Eric ColeT21 Cam Davis
T18 Chris Gotterup -10T21 Davis Thompson
T18 Sam StevensT21 Matti Schmid
T18 Harry HallT21 Joe Highsmith
T18 Harris EnglishT28 Sahith Theegala -5
T18 Keith MitchellT28 Harry Hall
T18 Kevin Yu 
T18 Ben Griffin 

Valspar Championship Betting Angles

Valspar Championship

Innisbrook Resort

Copperhead Course

Palm Harbor, Florida

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Thoughts on Valspar

It’s difficult. Really difficult.

The flat tracks of PGA National, Bay Hill, and TPC Sawgrass have been replaced with oak-lined rolling hills and significant elevation changes.

The last four winners have all ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Putting and top 15 Greens in Regulation.

Par is a decent score again this week. Exactly five players have posted 10-under or better over the last three events.

Five.

This is not a hit-and-giggle or walk in the park after THE PLAYERS Championship. The cut during the last three editions was 2-over, even, and 1-over.

Survive and advance and enjoy the third-hardest three-hole closing stretch on TOUR, “The Snake Pit”.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseCopperhead Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,352.
Par:71 (35-36).
Greens:Poa Trivialis overseed; TifEagle Bermuda; 5,822 square feet.
Stimpmeter:12-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass 3.75 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play74/8/9.
Architect(s):Larry Packard (1971).
Defending Champion (event):Viktor Hovland (-11).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:61; Matt NeSmith (Round 2, 2022) & Padraig Harrington (Round 1, 2012). Neither player is in the field this week.
Tournament Scoring Record267 (-17); Sam Burns (not entered), 2022.
Fact of the Week:Since moving to March on the schedule in 2007, the winning margin has been two or fewer shots in every year save 2022.
Fact of the Week II:The course has five Par-3 holes and three Par-5 holes.

Notes:

  • Field of 135.
  • No significant course changes for 2026.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • $9.1 million – $1.638 million – 500 FedExCup points.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Valspar Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Viktor Hovland (-11)Broke a three-way tie on 7-under after 54 holes with a final round 67 to defeat Justin Thomas by a shot.
2024Peter Malnati (-12)Shot a final round 67 to win for the second time on TOUR.
2023Taylor Moore (-10)The first of three consecutive champions to post 67 in the final round. Defeated Adam Schenk by one shot.
2022Sam Burns (-17)Defeated Davis Riley in a playoff to successfully defend his title. His tournament scoring record was one of many broken in PERFECT, windless weather.
2021Sam Burns (-17)The event finished in May and Burns won on TOUR for the first time.
2019Paul Casey (-8)The Englishman became the last winner in single digits.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

LAST WEEK – THE PLAYERS Championship

MY CHOICE: Collin Morikawa – WD

I have no words.

Missing the cut is one thing. Quitting after one hole is another. Glad to see the online sportsbooks refund folks’ money. That was the right thing to do.

As for One and Done, if you tee it, you played. It sucks, but it’s the right call.

Nobody said you didn’t need a little luck in life, but I feel for the McIlroy/Morikawa contingent the last two weeks. Go buy a lottery ticket or two and see if Karma has returned.

Whatever.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaWD0

THIS WEEK – Valspar Championship

Xander Schauffele will be on my short list of TWO for the U.S. Open. Brooks Koepka is the defending champion at Shinnecock Hills.

Justin Thomas makes sense this week, but I am not taking my chances on a guy who has just returned from back surgery.

Corey Conners has two wins at Valero, so he stays in the stable.

The Hojgaards have never made a cut here.

Jordan Spieth – Colonial or Augusta.

MY CHOICE: Jacob Bridgeman

Proven in Florida, proven in California.

He played from the final group in 2025 and secured third.

His form is T18 or better in every event this year.

LFG.

Others to consider

Viktor Hovland, Sahith Theegala, Lucas Glover, Billy Horschel, Ryo Hisatsune

Recent Form at Valspar

202520242023
Viktor Hovland (-11)Peter Malnati (-12)Taylor Moore (-10)
wins by 1 (JT)wins by 2 (Cam Young)wins by 1 (Schenk)
Par 71 – 7,352 ydsPar 71 – 7,340 ydsPar 71 – 7,340 yds
156 players156 players144 players
   
02 Justin Thomas -10T3 Chancler Phillips -902 Adam Schenk -9
03 Jacob Bridgeman -9T3 Mackenzie HughesT3 Jordan Spieth -8
T4 Bud Cauley -8T5 Adam Hadwin -8T7 Webb Simpson -4
T4 Ryo HisatsuneT5 Xander SchauffeleT7 Matt Wallace
T4 Billy HorschelT9 C Bezuidenhout -7T10 Justin Thomas -3
07 Davis Riley -711 Lucas Glover -6T10 Nick Taylor
T8 Seamus Power -6T12 Billy Horschel -5T10 Patton Kizzire
T8 Lucas GloverT12 Taylor MooreT10 Zac Blair
T8 Corey ConnersT12 Kevin RoyT19 Davis Riley -1
T12 Eric Cole -5T17 Matt Wallace -4T19 Denny McCarthy
T12 Xander SchauffeleT17 Akshay BhatiaT27 Chad Ramey E
T12 Ricky CastilloT17 Ben GriffinT27 Alex Smalley
T16 Matt McCarty -4T17 Keith MitchellT27 Kevin Streelman
T22 R N P -3T17 Matti SchmidT27 Stephan Jaeger
T22 Emiliano GrilloT17 Andrew NovakT27 Andrew Novak
T22 Joe HighsmithT26 Seamus Power -3 
T22 Jeremy PaulT26 Lee Hodges 
 T26 Kevin Streelman 

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Angles

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard

Bay Hill Club & Lodge

Orlando, Florida

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseBay Hill Club & Lodge
Yards (per official scorecard):7,466
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; 7,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at FOUR inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play84/8/9
Architect(s):Dick Wilson (1961); Arnold Palmer (2009; 2016).
Defending Champion (event):Russell Henley (-11).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Scheffler (2024, 2022).
Course Record:62; Adam Scott (2014, Bentgrass greens) is the only player to post this total since 1984.
72 Hole Tournament Record (post 2016 switch to TifEagle):270; Rory McIlroy (-18, 2018).
Fact of the Week:The last 10 winners have produced seven champions 30 or younger.
Fact of the Week II:The last five champions are from the USA.

Hot weather will make the ball go far this week, but Bay Hill has played over par for the last NINE seasons, regardless of the composition of the field.

The TifEagle Bermuda greens, which have not been overseeded, will be the best and fastest on TOUR yet. Big greens are surrounded by big penalty areas, so don’t be surprised to see balls, especially from the rough, finding the safest tiers on the putting surfaces. Lag putting will be a recipe for success this week.

Notes:

  • Field of 72.
  • The second of three Legacy Signature Events, the API cut will be made after 36 holes. The top 50 and ties play the weekend.
  • The OWGR is represented by 41 of the top 50, BUT 28 of the top 30.
  • $20 million – $4 million – 700 FedExCup points.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Arnold Palmer Invitational

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Russell Henley (-11)Followed T4 in 2024 with his fifth win on TOUR. Beat Morikawa by a shot in the final group.
2024Scottie Scheffler (-15)Second title in three years.  Won by five shots.
2023Kurt Kitayama (-9)First debut winner since 1990.
2022Scottie Scheffler (-5)One of four players broke par in the final round. Course played No. 1 most difficult on TOUR in 2022.
2021Bryson DeChambeau (-11)First of five straight USA-USA-USA winners.

Notables

  • Adam Scott is the only player since 1985 to post 62 (2014) and is one of four to share the course record.
  • Tiger Woods (not entered) has won this event eight times, the most in history. Scheffler is the only multiple winner in the 2026 field.
  • The fairways are 30 yards wide, two yards wider on average than last week at PGA National and overseeded.
  • None of the Par-5 holes plays longer than 590 yards.
  • Since 2016, only Scheffler in 2024 ranked OUTSIDE the top SIX in Par-3 scoring. All four Par-3 holes extend 199 yards or longer.
  • The last seven winners have ranked in the top 10 in Greens in Regulation.
  • After adding TifEagle greens for 2016, nine of 10 winners have ranked in the top 15 in SG: Putting, and all were T21 or better. No weaknesses allowed in the bag this week!

LAST WEEK – Cognizant Classic

MY CHOICE: Daniel Berger – T32

Opening with 67, I was encouraged. After two middle rounds of 71-71, I was DISCOURAGED.

After watching Lowry capitulate in the final three holes with a three-shot lead, T32 is easier to stomach than losing $1 million in 30 minutes.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816

THIS WEEK – Arnold Palmer Invitational

The third of eight Signature Events precedes the biggest payday in golf, THE PLAYERS Championship next week in Ponte Vedra Beach. This week and next will require a podium finish or victory to absorb the dog days of summer.

These are the events to release the hounds and shoot your shot with the biggest and the baddest available. Of the two events spread over the next two weeks, Bay Hill is the more “predictable” of the bunch. TPC Sawgrass, minus the recent McIlroy/Scheffler domination, has produced a cadre of winners, which appeared to be drawn out of a hat.

Also, there is a cut in both events, which SHOULD NOT bother the world’s best, but here we are.

Remember, LIV players, if that is your angle, return for the Masters, PGA Championship, and Open Championship.

MY CHOICE: Scottie Scheffler

Time to kick it into gear for the No. 1 player in the world.

No more farting around on Thursday.

No more Poa annua to piss him off.

The familiarity of Bermuda and two previous victories on a track he loves (nothing worse than T15 in five starts) is the recipe I am looking for this week.

I would not talk you out of playing McIlroy, but this comes down to preference, and I will ride the steadier of the two on a course where hazards do affect play.

I will also remind you that the Truist Championship returns to Quail Hollow Club in May. McIlroy has won that event, a Signature Event, approximately 49,390 times. See you in May, Rors!

Others to consider

Jake Knapp, Russell Henley, Tommy Fleetwood

Longshots

Sepp Straka, Shane Lowry, Ryan Fox

Horses for Courses

PlayersTopTopScrBay Hill HFC Finishes/Notes
(cuts made/starts)1025Avg 
     
Scottie Scheffler (5/5)3570.60T15 is his worst payday; Only 2x winner playing.
Rory McIlroy (11/11)61070.508 rounds of 66 or better; 2018 winner.
Tommy Fleetwood (7/9)3571.91T11 2025; T3 2019
Justin Rose (13/20)6971.70T8 2025 followed 4 -> MC
Collin Morikawa (3/5)2272.132nd 2025 after 2-> MC; T9 2020
     
Chris Gotterup   First Appearance
Russell Henley (6/9)2371.872025 winner followed T4; 5 –>
Robert MacIntyre (2/2)0171.75T11, T36 L2Y
Xander Schauffele (4/4)0272.63Best payday T24 2020
JJ Spaun (4/5)0073.11T31 2025 best
     
Ben Griffin (2/2)0172.13T45-T14 L2Y
Hideki Matsuyama (10/11)1671.86Only top 10 2016 (T6); T22-T12 L2Y
Sepp Straka (2/6)1173.69T5 2025 with 1st Rd  77!!!
Justin Thomas (4/4)0271.56T12 2024 best; T36 2025
Harris English (9/13)2572.306–> busted 2025; T2 2023, T9 2020
Alex Noren (4/5)0072.72T36 best; First visit since 2023 (T61)
Viktor Hovland (6/7)2272.356–> busted 2025; T10 2023, T2 2022
Keegan Bradley (13/14)5671.50T11 or better 4 of last 5; cashed 13 straight
Jacob Bridgeman (1/1)0171.25Closed 69-68 for T15 on debut 2025
Cameron Young (3/4)1272.50T10 2023; 82-71 MC 2025
Matt Fitzpatrick (8/11)4771.71T27 worst; 2nd 2019 first of 4 straight T10
Ludvig Aberg (3/3)0371.83T22-T25-T24 (a) L3Y
Maverick McNealy (3/5)0073.7573-80 MC 2025; T46 (a) 2016 best
Ryan Gerard   First Appearance
Si Woo Kim (6/10)0173.19T19 2025 best; 4–>
Sam Burns (6/8)1172.93T9 2022; T48, T30 L2Y
Kurt Kitayama (1/2)1171.67MC-WIN; Nobody defends well first time anywhere
Patrick Cantlay (3/3)1171.67T31, T36, and T4 L3Y
Shane Lowry (3/7)2272.207th 2025, 3rd 2024; AWFUL before!
Min Woo Lee (1/4)0075.3073 or WORSE in 9 of 10 rounds
Jason Day (10/12)3771.302016 winner; T8 2025, T10 2023
PlayersTopTopScrBay Hill HFC Finishes/Notes
(cuts made/starts)1025Avg 
Corey Conners (5/7)2571.463rd ’25, 3rd ’21; T21 > last 5
Akshay Bhatia (0/1)   79-73 MC
Matt McCarty   First Appearance
Ryan Fox (1/1)0171.0071-67 to close T14
Andrew Novak (1/1)0072.50T34 debut 2025 included 65 Saturday
Jake Knapp (1/1)0075.00T57 2025 debut
Sam Stevens (1/1)0073.00T40 2025 debut
Pierceson Coody (1/1)0171.00T14 2023 debut; 66 Saturday
Michael Kim (2/3)1271.204th 2025; T17 2017 (a)
Michael Thorbjornsen   First Appearance
Adam Scott (11/15)2471.813rd 2014; T36-MC last 2
Brian Harman  (6/12)0472.58T40-T12 L2Y; T12 best
Nicolai Hojgaard (0/2)0074.003 of 4 rounds > 71
Nick Taylor (5/8)0172.69T31-T12 last 2 best 2
Harry Hall   First Appearance
Daniel Berger (2/3)0271.20T15 2025; T13 2015
Taylor Pendrith (1/3)0074.75T42 2022 debut best
Ryo Hisatsune   First Appearance
JT Poston (3/5)0074.38T50-T55 last 2 best 2
Rickie Fowler (12/13)1472.12Only top 10 2013; T31 best in last 4
Sungjae Im (7/7)2771.46T21 or better in all 7; 2 podiums

The Genesis Invitational Betting Angles

Tiger’s tournament is the second of eight Signature Events in 2026. The Riviera Country Club returns to host an elite field of 72 players.

2024 champion at The Riviera Country Club: Hideki Matsuyama (TheGenesisInvitational on X)

The Genesis Invitational

The Riviera Country Club

Pacific Palisades, California

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseThe Riviera Country Club
Yards (per official scorecard):7,383.
Par:71 (35-36).
Greens:Poa annua; 7,500 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:13 feet plus.
Rough:Kikuyu grass at 2 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play58/0/0.
Architect(s):George C. Thomas (1926).
Defending Champion (event):Ludvig Aberg (Torrey Pines South)
Defending Champion (course):Hideki Matsuyama (2024).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Adam Scott (2020; 2005 unofficial – weather).
Course Record (last):61; Ted Tryba (1999).
72 Hole Tournament Record:264; Lanny Watkins (1985).
Fact of the Week:The Genesis Invitational was held at Torrey Pines South in 2025. Please be aware.
Fact of the Week II:Since 2008, only TWO players younger than 30 have won this event (Rahm, Niemann).

Notes:

  • Field of 72.
  • Second of eight Signature Events.
  • The OWGR is represented by 27 of the top 30.
  • $20 million – $4 million – 700 FedExCup points.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – The Genesis Invitational

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Ludvig Aberg (-12)Hosted at the venerable Torrey Pines South, the Swede held off California native Maverick McNealy by a shot to win for the second time on TOUR.
2024Hideki MatsuyamaClosed with 62, the lowest round for a winner, to overcome a six-shot deficit. Won by three strokes.
2023Jon Rahm (-17)Defeated 2021 winner Max Homa by two shots.
2022Joaquin Niemann     (-19)Became just the fourth wire-to-wire winner in event history.
2021Max Homa (-12)Defeated Tony Finau in a playoff.
2020Adam Scott (-11)Held off Matt Kuchar and two others by two shots.
2019J.B. Holmes (-14)Justin Thomas was 18-under with 17 holes to go. He finished second on 13-under.
2018Bubba Watson (-12)Won for the third time holding off Tony Finau by two shots.

Angles:

Masters champions have won this event 12 times since the turn of the century.

The last nine winners needed four or more starts before raising the trophy.

The last player to win on debut was Adam Scott in 2005. The victory was unofficial as the event, canceled due to weather, only could play 36 holes.

The trio of Par-5 holes ranked as some of the friendliest on TOUR.

The Par-4 holes are not, including the very famous No. 10.

With difficult fairways to find off the tee, using the 7,500 square feet to land approaches is critical.

Bunkers this week are penal. Getting it close is rare. Getting it up and down is a struggle.

The Riviera Country Club is nestled in the Santa Monica Canyon. The layout provides only 150 feet of elevation change. Without putting surfaces exposed to the coastline, the Stimpmeter will be pushing 13 or better, the fastest speed on TOUR yet in 2026.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

Sign up here

LAST WEEK – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

MY CHOICE: Patrick Cantlay

After opening with 66, I thought I was on my way! His 71-69 sandwich saw him fall off the pace before a Sunday 65 cashed T14.

I would guess he wins THIS week!

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500

THIS WEEK – The Genesis Invitational

The power players will be happy to have room to swing the driver early and often at the Par-71, 7,383-yard layout.

Experience is a huge factor this week, and with a loaded field there are plenty of choices.

I would start in Southern California if you are chasing. Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele have better records at other venues and events, but both have been close here. Max Homa and Tony Finau make excellent long-shot contenders, but I will remind you there is a cut this week (Top 50 and anyone 10 shots off the lead) after two rounds.

If you are going to play Scheffler or McIlroy, I won’t stop you. I will point out that there are six other Signature Events, four major championships, and a pair of FedExCup Playoff events to plan for accordingly.

I’m not a fan of playing guys of that magnitude on tracks where they have never won before. The list of winners here suggests those who have had results at Augusta National, and that covers both No. 1 and No. 2. The rumblings about Scheffler not enjoying his time on Poa annua have been noted. McIlroy and Quail Hollow are tough to separate. Both play Arnold Palmer and TPC Sawgrass well.

Good luck!

MY CHOICE: Tommy Fleetwood

The Englishman fits the mold of recent international winners who have lifted the trophy. Matsuyama, Rahm, and Niemann followed SoCal native Max Homa as the last four winners. Fleetwood opened his PGA TOUR schedule last week at Pebble Beach and finished T4. As usual, he bludgeoned GIR and finished the week second in Strokes-Gained: Tee to Green. Keeping the ball out of trouble off the tee and into the greens are keys this week.

Yes, The Open Championship is in his backyard at Royal Birkdale, in Southport, England, got it. Has McIlroy won at Royal Portrush yet?

Right.

You do you. I’ll do me.

Others to consider

Hideki Matsuyama, Collin Morikawa, Cameron Young, Jake Knapp

Longshots

Rickie Fowler, Ryan Fox

Horses for Courses

Top Players OWGR (Cuts made/starts)Top 10Rds 60sTop 25Event Notes
Scottie Scheffler (5/6)29/224T30 or better in 5 straight
Rory McIlroy (7/8)318/306T29 or better
Justin Rose (11/13)215/444MC-T56
Tommy Fleetwood (4/4)15/161T10 2024; 1 of 16 rounds ABOVE par
Chris GotterupFirst Appearance
Russell Henley (6/9)012/302T17 best 2020
JJ Spaun (2/7)03/180T33 2023
Robert MacIntyre (1/1)02/41All four rounds 71 or better
Ben Griffin (1/1)02/40T37 2024
Xander Schauffele (7/7)213/28626 of 28 rounds 71 or better; T4 2024 best
Hideki Matsuyama (8/10)415/34662 to close to win 2024; 64; plays annually
Harris English (6/9)212/3037th-T12 last two events
Sepp Straka (3/5)03/141T15 2022; T43 next best
Viktor Hovland (4/4)28/144T19-T20-T4-T5 last 4
Alex Noren (4/5)04/182T12 2021
TopRdsTopNotes
 1060s25 
Keegan Bradley (8/14)2 4Last T50 or better was T34 in 2017
Collin Morikawa (5/5)211/203T19-T6-T2 last 3
Ludvig Aberg (1/1)0 1Event defending champion at Torrey Pines
Cameron Young (3/3)17/12362 on debut for T2 2022; T16-T20 L2Y
Maverick McNealy (1/2)14/61T7 2022; MC 2021
Matt Fitzpatrick (2/4)13/121T5 2021 after T30 2020; MC L2Y
Ryan Gerard   First Appearance
Si Woo Kim (5/9)110/2613rd 2019; MC 2 of last 4
Aaron Rai (3/3)03/120T37-T29-T61 3 of last 4
Sam Burns (3/6)25/183T10-MC-MC-3rd-T23-MC last 6
Shane Lowry (1/3)03/71T14 2023 last visit
Patrick Cantlay (7/9)315/326T4-3rd L2Y; 54 hole leader 2024
Marco Penge   First Appearance
Corey Conners (2/5)02/141T24-T61 L2Y
Jason Day (4/7)26/2229th 2024; T9 2023
Andrew Novak   First Appearance
Matt McCarty   First Appearance
Sam Stevens   First Appearance
Michael Kim (0-4) 0/8 Never broke par here
Kurt Kitayama (1/2)02/60T39-MC L2Y
Pierceson Coody   First Appearance
Sami Valimaki   First Appearance
Brian Harman (7/10)110/341T3 2014 only Top 40
Max Greyserman   First Appearance
Akshay Bhatia   First Appearance
Ryan Fox   First Appearance
Min Woo Lee (0-1)   77-70 MC 2022
Daniel Berger (0-2) 0/4 Last visit 2018
Jacob Bridgeman   First Appearance
Wyndham Clark (3/5)16/142MC-T33-DQ-T8-T17 last 5
Nick Taylor (7/9)011/321T39-T33-T20 last 3; T20 best
Harry Hall   First Appearance
Taylor Pendrith (0/1)   73-72 MC 2022
JT Poston (5/7)18/242T10 2024 best; 3 other T30 >
Jake Knapp   First Appearance
Nico Echavarria   First Appearance
Max McGreevy (0/1)   73-72 MC 2023
Garrick Higgo   First Appearance
Adam Scott (15/16)7 112020 Winner; T2 2016; 11 straight
Lucas Glover (4/12)0 1MC 8 straight before T35 2024
Rico Hoey   First Appearance
Rickie Fowler (6/8)08/2824 straight T20 best in run, career
Ryo Hisatsune   First Appearance
Bud Cauley (2/6)02/201Last visit 2020
Brian Campbell   First Appearance
Denny McCarthy (3/5)04/16164 in 2023 T14; L2B2
Patrick Rodgers (6/10)09/283MC last 3; T30> 5 straight before that
Jordan Spieth (9/12)215/375DQ-MC last 2; last top 10 2018
Sahith Theegala (4/4)17/121T37-T6-T48-T49 last 4
Aldrich  Potgieter   First Appearance
Jhonattan Vegas (6/10)08/322T56-T55 L2V
Tom Hoge (6/7)16/2428th 2024, T14 2023
Matti Schmid   First Appearance
Kevin Yu (0/1)   75-75 MC
Tom Kim (2/2)03/61T24-T45 L2Y
Max Homa (6/8)413/285T16-2nd-T10-WIN-T5 last 5 here
Tony Finau (8/10)212/3657 straight; 5 T20 or better; 2nd twice

WM Phoenix Open Betting Angles 2026

WM Phoenix Open

TPC Scottsdale

Stadium Course

Field

Scottsdale, Arizona

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NOW PLAYING:

Host Course (Since 1987)The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale
Yards (per official scorecard):7,261.
Par:71 (35-36).
Greens:Poa trivialis, creeping Bentgrass, perennial Ryegrass; 7,100 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:12 feet.
Rough:Overseeded Rye and Fine Fescue at 3.5 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play67/3/6.
Architect(s):Tom Weiskopf & Jay Morrish (1986); Tom Weiskopf (2014 renovation for 2015 event).
Defending Champion (event):Thomas Detry, -24 (tournament scoring record; no longer eligible for the PGA TOUR).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Scottie Scheffler (2022-23), Brooks Koepka (2015, 2021), and Hideki Matsuyama (2016-17).
Course Record:60; Nick Taylor, Round 1 (2024).
72 Hole Tournament Record (post-2014 renovation)24-under 261 (Thomas Detry, 2025).
Fact of the Week:Only five international players (six wins) have lifted the trophy this century, including the last two winners.
Fact of the Week II:Only two players have won on debut this century.

Notes:

  • Field of 123.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • The OWGR is represented by 32 of the top 50.
  • $9.6 million – $1.728 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry, PLAYERS, and Masters ticket punched.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – WM Phoenix Open

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Thomas Detry (-24)Smoked the field by seven shots to become the first champion to win by more than two strokes since the 2014 renovation. No longer eligible for the PGA TOUR.
2024Nick Taylor (-21)Held off Charley Hoffman to become the sixth winner in the last nine to need extra holes. The duo established the new tournament scoring record.
2023Scottie Scheffler (-19)Tied the tournament scoring record defending his title. Won by two shots over Nick Taylor. Third place was five back.
2022Scottie Scheffler (-16)Defeated Patrick Cantlay in a playoff to win for the first time on TOUR.
2021Brooks Koepka (-19)Matched the tournament scoring mark while holding off KH Lee and Xander Schauffele by a shot.
2020Webb Simpson (-17)Defeated Tony Finau in a playoff.
2019Rickie Fowler (-19)Sat 20-under after 54 holes before eventually winning by two shots in cool, rainy, conditions.
2018Gary Woodland (-18)Defeated Chez Reavie in a playoff; Circled 26 birdies.
2017Hideki Matsuyama    (-17)Successfully defended his title knocking out Webb Simpson in a playoff.
2016Hideki Matsuyama     (-14)Won in his third attempt, defeating Rickie Fowler in a playoff.
2015Brooks Koepka (-15)First win on TOUR on debut; defeated a trio of players, including Hideki Matsuyama, by a shot.

Notables

  • The highest winning total since 2015 is 14-under par, from 2016.
  • The last three champions have set the tournament scoring record.
  • Eight of the last nine winners have ranked eighth or better in Ball-Striking.
  • Detry, Taylor, and Matsuyama joined Aaron Baddeley (2007) and Vijay Singh (2003) as the only international winners this century.
  • Only two players won on debut this century, including 23-year-old J.B. Holmes (not entered) in 2006, and none since Koepka in 2015.
  • Holmes and Matsuyama are the youngest winners at 23.
  • Kenny Perry (not entered) is the oldest winner at 48 in 2009.
  • Tom Weiskopf designs features on TOUR at TPC Craig Ranch and Black Desert Golf Club, where Michael Brennan (2025) and Matt McCarty both broke their maidens.
  • Every winner in the last decade ranked T13 or better in Greens in Regulation.

Thoughts on WM Phoenix Open

Pay the “Winner without Scheffler” Tax.

Perfect weather = golf ball gonna go and conditions will be ideal for scoring.

Leave the kids at home. Only two players this century, as noted above, have won on debut here. Detry’s masterclass in 2025 is all it took to become a first-time TOUR winner at this event. His numbers were Scheffler-ian. Good luck finding a repeat of that.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

LAST WEEK – Farmers Insurance Open

My Choice: Jason Day (T38)

WE ARE GOING THE WRONG WAY.

I picked the wrong “old” one-time major champion with great course history.

Shit happens.

He played the weekend in four-under-par, but that’s of no consolation when the winner posted 22-under. He had a fantastic week with his approach play, but was in the bottom 10 in putting. That was NOT the combination I envisioned.

Sigh.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760

THIS WEEK – WM Phoenix Open

Although I’m disappointed with my last three weeks, this game will be won and lost at THE PLAYERS, the four major championships, and the first two events of the FedExCup Playoffs.

Getting it right for those events, plus the Signature Events, remains the main thing.

MY CHOICE: Sahith Theegala

The 54-hole leader, or co-leader, twice in four years, enters the week off back-to-back top-10 paydays and looks to have found his early-season groove.

I’m going to let Koepka get comfortable. Matsuyama was a tough lay-down here, but he also loves Riviera. Scheffler? No chance. Majors or THE PLAYERS. Remember when nobody won THE PLAYERS back-to-back? Yeah, no chance I’m writing him off for three straight.

Others to consider:

Cameron Young – big hitter, GREAT putter, hotter than a match.

Si Woo Kim – As long as his pal Scheffler is nowhere near him on Sunday, he has desert bonafides.

Maverick McNealy – Back-to-back Top 10s here.

Jake Knapp – Another who can overpower the angles and roll the rock.

Chris Gotterup – Free as a bird and should love this environment.

Pierceson Coody – Closed with 65 last week at Torrey Pines and led the TOUR in SG: Off the Tee in 2025.

Horses for Courses

PlayerTopScoringTopNotes
(cuts made/starts)10Avg25 
Scottie Scheffler (5/6)467.2552x winner; T3 2024.
Nick Taylor (7/11)269.833T25-WIN-T2 last 3 = best 3.
Hideki Matsuyama (11/12)368.249T29 or better in 10 of 11.
Rickie Fowler (11/17)569.097WD/MC 4 of last 5; 2019 WIN, 2016 2nd.
Brooks Koepka (5/5)368.153T3 last visit ’22.
Jordan Spieth (7/9)668.506T6 or better 4 of last 5; 3 straight T6>.
Gary Woodland (11/16)369.525Win 2018; T7 defense; T21 2025.
Xander Schauffele (6/6)467.9263 straight top 10; worst is T17; 1st start since 2023.
Daniel Berger (7/10)468.945T2 2025; T9 2020.
Sam Burns (4/7)269.053T49-T3-T6 last 3.
     
Sahith Theegala (4/4)268.562See above.
Cameron Young (4/4)169.192T12-T8 (-26) last 2 years; 4 straight paydays.
Maverick McNealy (2/3)268.442T9-T6 (-28) last 2 years.
Matt Fitzpatrick (3/4)168.932MC-T15-T29-T10 last 4.
Corey Conners (6/6)069.831T17 best; 7th straight year.

FedExCup Playoffs Event 2

BMW Championship

FedEx Cup Playoffs – Event No. 2

BMW Championship

Caves Valley Golf Club

Owings Mills, Maryland

Head to PGATOUR.COM for all our content each week.

Thoughts on Chalk (odds via Bet365.com)

Scottie Scheffler (+220): With 20 fewer golfers in the field, his odds drop to a season-low figure, and that’s with Rory McIlroy playing. The book has determined this to be a two-horse race. Saddle up correctly! The ONLY note of bother is Ted Scott WILL NOT be on the bag this week.

Rory McIlroy (+750): The rest is over. The roar is over about him missing the event last week. His Ryder Cup place is sealed, and he will NOT be a playing captain in the future. His problem lies just above. There is only one focus this week.

Xander Schauffele (+1800): He’s No. 43 in the standings. The top 30 qualify for East Lake. He will need T21 or better to advance. Sounds pretty straight forward!

Ludvig Aberg (+2500): Now, we’re talking! T23 or better in his last three includes a pair of top-10 paydays. Gaining strokes off the tee is a massive deal this week and next.

Patrick Cantlay (+2000): HE PLAYS WELL WHERE HE PLAYS WELL. Loading up on Top 20 and Top 10 plays too after T9 last week.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500): Too much golf course for me. Too much scar tissue as well. It would be one hell of a story, but it is an extra 300-plus yards he didn’t have to deal with last week.

Cameron Young (+2200): He is on a serious heater! After closing with 64, the round of the day Sunday in Memphis, he picked up solo fifth after winning for the first time at the Wyndham Championship. Bomber’s course and he qualifies.

Justin Thomas (+2500): Only Young put together a better round last Sunday in Memphis. He’s close.

J.J. Spaun (+2800): Only shows up in BIG EVENTS, apparently! What a story! Californian riding a SERIOUS wave!

Others for Top 5 and Top 10 action are mentioned in Prop Bets (Odds Outlook) at PGATOUR.com

Quick note, Hovland did NOT make a hole-in-one here in 2021. It was the following season in Delaware. My mistake (thanks Gator!).

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseCaves Valley Golf Club
Yards (per official scorecard):7,601. Longest Par-70 on TOUR in 2025 and third-longest overall.
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:Pure distinction Bentgrass; 5,200 square feet.
Stimpmeter:12 feet.
Rough:4 inches of Bluegrass and Tall Fescue.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-PlayN/A.
Architect(s):Tom Fazio (1990); Logan Fazio (2020). Tom Fazio (2023).
Tournament Record:261 (-27); Patrick Cantlay & Bryson DeChambeau (ineligible), 2021.
Course record (last):60; DeChambeau.
Defending Champion (course):Cantlay.
Defending Champion (event):Keegan Bradley (2).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Cantlay (2021, 2022); Bradley (2018, 2024).
Facts of the Week:Better watch the video below before falling in love with the results and history of 2021!

Recent Winners – BMW Championship

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2024Keegan Bradley (-12)Wins by two over Aberg and Burns at The International outside Denver.
2023Viktor Hovland (-17)Wins by two over Scheffler and Fitzpatrick at Olympia Fields (North Course).
2022Patrick Cantlay (-14)Knocked off Scott Stallings by one shot at the Wilmington CC.
2021Patrick Cantlay (-27)Needed a six-hole playoff to beat DeChambeau after trashing the field with 31 birdies.

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
89th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (3)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicAndrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
ONEFLIGHT Myrtle BeachRyan Fox
107th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
CS ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
125th U.S. OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
The Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose (oldest modern Euro)

2024 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryChris Kirk
Sony Open in HawaiiGrayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American ExpressNick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance OpenMatthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble BeachWyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix OpenNick Taylor
The Genesis InvitationalHideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at VidantaJake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant ClassicAustin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar ChampionshipPeter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston OpenStephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas OpenAkshay Bhatia
88th Masters TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC HeritageScottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich ClassicRory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonTaylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
106th PGA ChampionshipXander Schauffele
Charles Schwab ChallengeDavis Riley
RBC Canadian OpenRobert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (5)
124th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Travelers ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis
John Deere ClassicDavis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyre (2)
152nd Open ChampionshipXander Schauffele (2)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris OlympicsScottie Scheffler (7)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
Wyndham ChampionshipAaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
The TOUR ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (8)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipPatton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipKevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMatt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s OpenJT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPNico Echavarria
World Wide Technology ChampAustin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampRafa Campos (first time)
The RSM ClassicMaverick McNealy (first time)

Horses for Courses

The BMW Championship returns to Caves Valley Golf Club outside of Baltimore for the second time since 2021 and for the second time in the history of the event. Identifying the champion is the first order of business. The second is shaving the field of 49 down to the 30 players who will advance to the FedExCup Playoffs TOUR Championship next week in Atlanta. Patrick Cantlay (+2500), the course defending champion and two-time winner of the BMW Championship, highlights a field of 49 players. Sepp Straka withdrew from the event on Monday.

Cantlay put on a master class with the flatstick to produce 27-under 261 on the Par-72 in the 2021 championship. Gaining 3.644 strokes against the field on the greens, he still needed a six-hole playoff to close the deal. The 2025 edition will play and feel brand-new tee-to-green and on the putting surfaces. The Par-72 has been reduced to a Par-70 but has been expanded by almost 60 yards to 7,601 yards, an increase from 7,542 yards in 2021. Watch the changes here. The owner of four top-10 paydays at the BMW Championship, seven of eight registered T15 or better.

Keegan Bradley (+4500) joins Cantlay as the other two-time BMW Championship winner playing this week. The 2025 Ryder Cup captain is also the defending champion of the event, held outside Denver in 2024. Bradley also knocked off Justin Rose in a playoff in the 2018 edition at Aronimink Golf Club in Philadelphia, his first of two top-10 paychecks from 12 attempts.

Top Finishers – 2021 BMW Championship

Players listed below are competing this week; Odds presented by FanDuel Sportsbook

PositionPlayerOdds
1Patrick Cantlay+2500
3Sungjae Im+8000
4Rory McIlroy+750
8Sam Burns+3500
T17Viktor Hovland+3500
T22Scottie Scheffler+220
T22Corey Conners+4500
T22Justin Thomas+2500
T26Harris English+5000
T26Daniel Berger+125000
T26Shane Lowry+7000
T29Brian Harman+8000
T29Si Woo Kim+6000

Rory McIlroy (+750) is making his 15th career start and owns seven top-10 finishes, including a victory in 2012. Finishing fourth in 2021, he was one of six players who topped 20-under-par for the week in the first event at Caves Valley. The World No. 2 owns six FedExCup Playoffs victories, including three FedExCup championships at East Lake Golf Club, another demanding Par-70 layout measuring over 7,400 yards. The Northern Irishman feasts this time of year, owning finishes of T19 in 11 of 14 career events.

Sitting at No. 43 entering the week, Xander Schauffele (+1800) also enjoys the last two events of the FedExCup Playoffs. Searching for his first victory, he will enjoy the new-look layout at Caves Valley. In eight BMW Championships, he collected seven paydays of T20 or better, including top-10 paychecks over the last three editions. The only outlier? T49 in 2021 at Caves Valley.

Sungjae Im (+8000), conversely, wishes Caves Valley had produced a carbon-copy layout in 2025. The Korean posted four rounds of 67 or better to post 23-under and occupy solo third. Making his seventh trip to the BMW Championship, he owns five T15 or better finishes and a pair of results inside the top seven.

SG: Off the Tee

Entered this week

RankPlayerOdds
1Scottie Scheffler+220
3Rory McIlroy+750
7Chris Gotterup+3500
8Taylor Pendrith+8000
10Ludvig Aberg+2200
11Kurt Kitayama+3500
12Collin Morikawa+3500
19Daniel Berger+12500
20Corey Conners+4500

Caves Valley has tightened up the fairways, pinched in bunkers, and increased the length of the rough upwards of four inches. Gaining shots on the field off the tee and attacking from the short grass will set the foundation for the week. The 2021 edition produced seven players in the top 11 spots on the final leaderboard from this category. Length and accuracy, now on a scorecard measuring 7,601 yards, will always play.

Oddsmaker’s Extras

Scottie Scheffler (+280): After podium paydays of T2 in 2023 and T3 in 2022, the favorite this week and every week, will look to improve on his T22 result in 2021.

Justin Rose (+4500): The 2011 winner and runner-up in 2017 and 2018, the Englishman looks to add to his four top-10 paydays. He did not qualify for the 2021 edition.

Justin Thomas (+3000): The winner in 2019 outside Chicago at Medinah No. 3, it is his only top-10 result.

Sam Burns (+4500): Cashing solo eighth place in 2021, the Louisiana native owns four T19 or better finishes.

Tommy Fleetwood (+3500): The Englishman shared fifth in 2024 and continued his streak of four consecutive results T25 or better.

Corey Conners (+4000): Half of his six starts have paid off in the top 10. The Canadian led the field in Fairways in 2021 and cashed T22.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy gets kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
The SentrySungjae Im3rd$1,360,000
Sony Open in HawaiiRussell HenleyT10195,025
The American ExpressAdam HadwinMC 
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3252,080
AT&T Pebble BeachLudvig AbergWD 
WM Phoenix OpenRasmus HojgaardT12195,500
Genesis InvitationalWill ZalatorisT24168,857
Mexico OpenPatrick RodgersT2559,350
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT2573,721
Arnold PalmerKeegan BradleyT5800,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaT10656,250
Valspar ChampionshipSepp StrakaT2855,844
Houston OpenAaron RaiMC 
Valero Texas OpenCorey ConnersT18113,050
89th MastersRory McIlroyWIN4,200,000
RBC HeritageScottie SchefflerT8540,000
Zurich ClassicKurt KitayamaMC 
Byron NelsonSi Woo KimT15136,719
Truist ChampionshipTommy FleetwoodT4826,667
107th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauT21,418,667
CS ChallengeJordan SpiethT3642,344
MemorialHideki Matsuyama38th94,000
RBC Canadian OpenTaylor PendrithT2764,353
United States OpenJon RahmT7615,786
TravelersBrian Harman8th620,000
Rocket ClassicCam YoungT4627,091
John Deere ClassicDenny McCarthyT11174,300
Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyreT6519,800
The Open ChampionshipShane LowryT4068,340
3M OpenWyndham ClarkT12186,900
Wyndham ChampBen GriffinT11198,850
FedEx St. Jude ChampXander SchauffeleT22186,666

LAST WEEK – FedEx St. Jude Championship

THE CHOICE: Xander Schauffele

As I wrote last week, you can’t have rounds in the 70s here and contend unless you have a super-special loop. Posting 65 on Saturday after 72 on Friday wasn’t the tonic. He found only 31 of 56 Fairways, good for T56 in a field of 69. T38 GIR didn’t inspire, either. Needing only 103 putts, he’s ready for East Lake Bermuda in two weeks.

Sigh.

THIS Week – BMW Championship

THE CHOICE: Justin Thomas

I could have used former event winners Viktor Hovland or Patrick Cantlay. Instead, I’m running out the biggest winner in the pile who won this event in Chicago in 2019. Chasing with Chris Gotterup or J.J. Spaun is desperate, but I like it.

For resources to overcome a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER today.

RBC Canadian Open

In search of his third RBC Canadian Open title, Rory McIlroy leads the field of 156 players to a brand-new venue in the historic rotation, TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley.

RBC Canadian Open

TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley

North Course

Caledon, Ontario

Head to PGATOUR.COM for all our content each week.

Thoughts on Chalk (odds via Bet365.com)

Rory McIlroy (+450): The only choices are to fade or follow. He plays this event annually while skipping others, so it’s an easy choice for me. No doubt, he’s paying attention to the Scheffler Steamroller and would like to regain the most wins on TOUR entering the U.S. Open next week.

Ludvig Aberg (+1200): Bombs away! Just like McIlroy, his strength is off the tee. The Swede will also enjoy the larger greens this week. Internationals have won eight of the last 10 RBC Canadian Opens.

Corey Conners (+2000): One of many bearing the maple leaf this week, he’s cashed T6-T20-T6 in his last three at his national open. There’s no longer the pressure of being the first Canadian to win since 1954. Eight of his last nine on TOUR are T24 or better.

Shane Lowry (+2000): The last time the TOUR went to a new venue, he finished T2 at the Wissahickon Course at the Philadelphia Cricket Club the week before the PGA Championship. He makes cuts for fun up here.

Taylor Pendrith (+2200): The only tariffs investors are paying this week are for Canadian stars! The Richmond Hill native won 13 months ago for the first and only time on TOUR and is playing great. He led the field last week in SG: Approach and finished T12 after T5 at the PGA Championship. HE WILL MELT THE ICE ON THE RINK HOLE.

Sam Burns (+2200): The Louisiana man is still waiting for NAPPY FACTOR to kick in! His record in Canada, T10 and T4 over the last three years, suggests this could be the week.

Robert MacIntyre (+2500): When form meets course history, good things usually happen. This week, it is EVENT history instead. Defending for the first time and reliving the moments of his father caddying for him can be an inspiration or distraction in preparation. It is his first of two title defenses in the next seven weeks.

Sungjae Im (+3000): I can’t wait for him to win again, so I can hear “I told you so” from the Internet Illuminati. His last win was in October 2021. Just bet him to hit the Top 20 and Top 10, and enjoy your winnings.

Nick Taylor (+4000): The Canadian with the most pedigree in the field only has one top 10 in 13 previous tries, his victory in 2023. Surely his solo fourth last week is a sign! Better stick a tenner on him for a top 10, just in case!

Others for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action

Read my DFS DISH column for more thoughts. Here are a few others, not mentioned before, that should/can/might fill out cards (Rickie Fowler was in here last week!)

Ryan Fox (+5000) and Cameron Young (+5000) will enjoy the expanse of TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley. … Matt Wallace and Erik van Rooyen (+6000 each) need sprinkling. … Doug Ghim (+9000) is a terrible number for a win, but I’d back him for Top 40 and Top 20 action. … Antoine Rozner is a cut-making machine. … Let’s see if Hayden Springer, one of the last players into the field, takes his chance. … Steven Fisk’s SG: Tee to Green numbers were surprising. Bet.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseTPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
Yards (per official scorecard):7,389 yards.
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:Bent/Poa mix; 6,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:11.5 feet.
Rough:Kentucky Bluegrass at 3.75 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play48/3/3.
Architect(s):Doug Carrick (2001); Ian Andrew (2023).
Defending Champion (event):Robert MacIntyre (first TOUR win).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Rory McIlroy (2022, 2019).
Course Record (latest):65; Brendon Doyle (2024 Fortinet Cup, Go Hoosiers!).
72 Hole Tournament Record:275; Will Chapman (2024 Fortinet Cup).
Fact of the Week:First time for TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course) used for the RBC Canadian Open.

Recent Winners

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
89th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (3)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicAndrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
107th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
CS ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)

2024 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryChris Kirk
Sony Open in HawaiiGrayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American ExpressNick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance OpenMatthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble BeachWyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix OpenNick Taylor
The Genesis InvitationalHideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at VidantaJake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant ClassicAustin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar ChampionshipPeter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston OpenStephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas OpenAkshay Bhatia
88th Masters TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC HeritageScottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich ClassicRory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonTaylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
106th PGA ChampionshipXander Schauffele
Charles Schwab ChallengeDavis Riley
RBC Canadian OpenRobert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (5)
124th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Travelers ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis
John Deere ClassicDavis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyre (2)
152nd Open ChampionshipXander Schauffele (2)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris OlympicsScottie Scheffler (7)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
Wyndham ChampionshipAaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
The TOUR ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (8)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipPatton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipKevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMatt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s OpenJT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPNico Echavarria
World Wide Technology ChampAustin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampRafa Campos (first time)
The RSM ClassicMaverick McNealy (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy gets kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
The SentrySungjae Im3rd$1,360,000
Sony Open in HawaiiRussell HenleyT10195,025
The American ExpressAdam HadwinMC 
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3252,080
AT&T Pebble BeachLudvig AbergWD 
WM Phoenix OpenRasmus HojgaardT12195,500
Genesis InvitationalWill ZalatorisT24168,857
Mexico OpenPatrick RodgersT2559,350
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT2573,721
Arnold PalmerKeegan BradleyT5800,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaT10656,250
Valspar ChampionshipSepp StrakaT2855,844
Houston OpenAaron RaiMC 
Valero Texas OpenCorey ConnersT18113,050
89th MastersRory McIlroyWIN4,200,000
RBC HeritageScottie SchefflerT8540,000
Zurich ClassicKurt KitayamaMC 
Byron NelsonSi Woo KimT15136,719
Truist ChampionshipTommy FleetwoodT4826,667
107th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauT21,418,667
CS ChallengeJordan SpiethT3642,344
MemorialHideki Matsuyama38th94,000

LAST WEEK – 50th Memorial Tournament

The seventh of eight Signature Events and the final Invitational, which means there is a cut!

With a purse bigger than the PGA Championship, and a field without Rory McIlroy, yeah, I’d fire Scheffler, but I don’t have to worry about that anymore! Scheffler did play well at Oakmont, albeit as an amateur in 2016, but winning back-to-back majors ain’t easy.

THE CHOICE: Hideki Matsuyama – 38th

Here we go! I gotta make sure I have a back-up selection ready to go, too!

Nothing inside the top 10 since his victory to open the year at Kapalua, the Japanese star ran T8 here last year and T16 in 2023 on a very demanding design. The 2014 winner makes his 12th start and should be comfortable in central Ohio.

Didn’t break 74 in the first three rounds, so there wasn’t any drama on the weekend.

Another wasted pick in a field, I was well off-base.

Others to consider: Patrick Cantlay (T12), Corey Conners (T25), Ludvig Aberg (T16), Denny McCarthy (55th)

THIS Week – RBC Canadian Open

THE CHOICE: Taylor Pendrith

As per usual at this event, I only select Canadian players in their national open.

You do you.

Others to consider: Corey Conners, Nick Taylor, Mackenzie Hughes, Ben Silverman, Wayne Gretzky, Mike Meyers, Dudley DooRight

50th Memorial Tournament

50th Memorial Tournament presented by Workday

Muirfield Village Golf Club

Dublin, Ohio

Head to PGATOUR.COM for all our content each week.

Thoughts on Chalk (odds via Bet365.com)

Scottie Scheffler (+280): This is his fourth event in four weeks. The song remains the same but unlike last week, he is the defending champion. No McIlroy again to bother.

Xander Schauffele (+1600): His final round has not been the issue. Finding form before the weekend is the next step to lifting a trophy.

Collin Morikawa (+1600): The new partnership should start delivering returns, especially at an event and course with excellent memories.

Justin Thomas (+1800): T18 is the best of his last five visits. Pass.

Patrick Cantlay (+2200): The only two-time winner playing. He runs well where he runs well.

Ludvig Aberg (+2500): Big ballpark is a perfect fit, again.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500): Returning for the first time since 2017, the Englishman cashed T20 in 2024. The fact he didn’t enter from 2018 through 2023 suggests he’s not in love with the place.

Corey Conners (+3000): No Canadian has won this event, but he’s hit the top 20 twice in his last three visits (T20-MC-T13).

Viktor Hovland (+3000): Put a coin in the machine and hold on with both hands! This is not the week to be fighting with swing thoughts.

Others for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action

Read my DFS DISH column for more thoughts. Here are a few others, not mentioned before, that should/can/might fill out cards (Matti Schmid was in here last week!)

Rickie Fowler for a top 20 is not the worst idea I’ve floated recently. … Christiaan Bezuidenhout should be hanging around the top of the board as well. … Byeong Hun An owns six T25 or better and has lost a playoff. … Andrew Novak keeps ticking along. … If Finau is dialed in, this week checks the boxes tee to green. … Max Greyserman is trending and has cashed in five straight.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseMuirfield Village Golf Club
Yards (per official scorecard):7,569 yards.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:L93-007 Bentgrass; 5,000 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13 feet and up.
Rough:Kentucky Bluegrass, Ryegrass, and fescue at 4 inches and growing.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play68/13/13
Architect(s):Jack Nicklaus and Desmond  Muirhead (1974); Jack Nicklaus (2020).
Defending Champion (event):Scottie Scheffler (-8)
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Patrick Cantlay (2021, 2019)
Course Record (latest):61; John Huston (1996, Round 2).
72 Hole Tournament Record:268; Tom Lehman (1994).
Fact of the Week:Billy Horschel (not entered; hip surgery) is the only player in the last three events to post 10-under or better (-13, 2022).

Recent Winners

  • 2025 Season Winners
EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
89th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (3)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicAndrew Novak/Ben Griffin (first time for both)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
107th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
CS ChallengeBen Griffin (2)

2024 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryChris Kirk
Sony Open in HawaiiGrayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American ExpressNick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance OpenMatthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble BeachWyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix OpenNick Taylor
The Genesis InvitationalHideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at VidantaJake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant ClassicAustin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar ChampionshipPeter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston OpenStephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas OpenAkshay Bhatia
88th Masters TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC HeritageScottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich ClassicRory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonTaylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
106th PGA ChampionshipXander Schauffele
Charles Schwab ChallengeDavis Riley
RBC Canadian OpenRobert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (5)
124th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Travelers ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis
John Deere ClassicDavis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyre (2)
152nd Open ChampionshipXander Schauffele (2)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris OlympicsScottie Scheffler (7)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
Wyndham ChampionshipAaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
The TOUR ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (8)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipPatton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipKevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMatt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s OpenJT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPNico Echavarria
World Wide Technology ChampAustin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampRafa Campos (first time)
The RSM ClassicMaverick McNealy (first time)

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy gets kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
The SentrySungjae Im3rd$1,360,000
Sony Open in HawaiiRussell HenleyT10195,025
The American ExpressAdam HadwinMC 
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3252,080
AT&T Pebble BeachLudvig AbergWD 
WM Phoenix OpenRasmus HojgaardT12195,500
Genesis InvitationalWill ZalatorisT24168,857
Mexico OpenPatrick RodgersT2559,350
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT2573,721
Arnold PalmerKeegan BradleyT5800,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaT10656,250
Valspar ChampionshipSepp StrakaT2855,844
Houston OpenAaron RaiMC 
Valero Texas OpenCorey ConnersT18113,050
89th MastersRory McIlroyWIN4,200,000
RBC HeritageScottie SchefflerT8540,000
Zurich ClassicKurt KitayamaMC 
Byron NelsonSi Woo KimT15136,719
Truist ChampionshipTommy FleetwoodT4826,667
107th PGA ChampionshipBryson DeChambeauT21,418,667
CS ChallengeJordan SpiethT3642,344

LAST WEEK – 79th Charles Schwab Challenge

The last three winners are Davis Riley, Emiliano Grillo, and Jason Kokrak.

Scheffler is in the field and is one of just 20 players from the top 50 OWGR playing.

The only downside is the $1.71 million winner’s share. Or, you could have burned him at RBC Heritage and earned 500k, like I did. (Editor’s note: Scheffler made 427,500 last week in Fort Worth).

Whatever.

THE CHOICE: Jordan Spieth – T36

I didn’t overthink DeChambeau, and I’m not overlooking Spieth.

I’d be pleased as punch for a top 5 and will settle for a top 10.

Hot garbage!

Others to consider: Daniel Berger – MC, Harry Hall – T6, JT Poston – T36, Brian Harman- T46

THIS Week – 50th Memorial Tournament

The seventh of eight Signature Events and the final Invitational, which means there is a cut!

With a purse bigger than the PGA Championship, and a field without Rory McIlroy, yeah, I’d fire Scheffler, but I don’t have to worry about that anymore! Scheffler did play well at Oakmont, albeit as an amateur in 2016, but winning back-to-back majors ain’t easy.

THE CHOICE: Hideki Matsuyama

Here we go! I gotta make sure I have a backup selection ready to go, too!

Since his victory to open the year at Kapalua, the Japanese star, who ran T8 here last year and T16 in 2023 on a very demanding design, has not produced another top-10 result. The 2014 winner makes his 12th start and should be comfortable in central Ohio.

Others to consider: Patrick Cantlay, Corey Conners, Ludvig Aberg, Denny McCarthy