THE PLAYERS Championship Betting Angles

THE PLAYERS Championship

TPC Sawgrass

Stadium Course

Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida

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Thoughts on The Chalk:

Schefffler, fade at your own peril. He will figure it out. I am seriously considering changing my Expert’s Picks lineup and will make a last-minute decision about donning his as my Captain.

McIlroy arrived on Wednesday. In a field this deep and on a track this demanding, at BEST, he will be on my bench.

Fleetwood’s 70.63 scoring average here is top five.

Morikawa fits to a T. There’s a reason EVERYONE is on him this week. Sometimes EVERYONE is right.

Si Woo Kim is on fire and a previous winner. Leads the TOUR in Ball-Striking.

Ludvig Aberg is brewing.

Bhatia will attempt to join Scheffler as the only recent player to win at Bay Hill and follow up with a victory at TPC Sawgrass.

I can’t get away from Min Woo Lee and Rickie Fowler

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseTPC Sawgrass
Yards (per official scorecard):7,352
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; 5,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass was mowed Sunday at 4.5 inches. #THICC
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play94/18/17
Architect(s):Pete Dye (1980; 2016).
Defending Champion (event):Rory McIlroy (-12)
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:McIlroy (2019, 2025); Scheffler (2024, 2022).
Youngest Winner:Si Woo Kim, 17.
Oldest Winner:Fred Fuk, 48.
Course Record:62; Justin Thomas (Round 2, 2025); Tom Hoge (Round 3, 2023).
Tournament Scoring Record264; Greg Norman (-24, 1994).
72 Hole Tournament Record (post 2015 switch to TifEagle):268; Scottie Scheffler (-20, 2024).
Fact of the Week:7.4 is the average attempts for winners.
Fact of the Week II:Justin Thomas made 11 birdies to tie the course record last year.

Notes:

  • Field of 123.
  • The top 65 and ties play the weekend.
  • The deepest field in golf, no amateurs.
  • $25 million – $4.5 million – 750 FedExCup points.

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose
WM Phoenix OpenChris Gotterup (2)
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa
Cognizant ClassicNico Echavarria
Arnold Palmer InvitationalAkshay Bhatia

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – THE PLAYERS Championship

Italics – not entered this week; March winners only.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Rory McIlroy (-12)Defeated J.J. Spaun in a three-hole aggregate playoff to win for the second time.
2024Scottie Scheffler (-20)Becomes the first player EVER to defend the title.
2023Scottie Scheffler (-17)Won by five shots in his third attempt.
2022Cameron Smith (-14)Needed a Monay finish and closed with 66 to come back from two shots and win.
2021Justin Thomas (-14)Posted 64-68, tying the lowest 36-hole aggregate to win by a shot.
2019Rory McIlroy (-13)Chased down Jon Rahm on Sunday to win the first event in the return to March.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

LAST WEEK – Arnold Palmer Invitational

MY CHOICE: Scottie Scheffler – T24

Oh, Daniel Berger was THIS week, my bad.

Also, how f*cking stupid am I? Don’t answer that…

Why not wait for Scheffler to get hot, THEN play him?

I’m so bad at this.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3841,760
WM Phoenix OpenSahith TheegalaT18122,720
AT&T Pebble BeachPatrick CantlayT14342,500
The Genesis InvitationalTommy FleetwoodT7603,200
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT3254,816
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie SchefflerT24157,000

THIS WEEK – THE PLAYERS

It’s the biggest prize purse of the season.

Time to get it right.

The time for dad-to-be Collin Morikawa is now.

MY CHOICE: Collin Morikawa

Others to consider

Si Woo Kim, Ludvig Aberg, Sepp Straka, Shane Lowry

Longshots

Rickie Fowler, Min Woo Lee, Adam Scott, Corey Conners

Horses for Courses

PlayersTopScrNotes
(cuts made/starts)10Avg 
    
Scottie Scheffler (5/6)269.89T20-WIN-WIN last 3
Rory McIlroy (10/16)571.152 wins in last six visits
Tommy Fleetwood (8/9)270.63No top 10 in 6 years
Justin Rose (12/21)371.81MC-MC-T6 L3Y
Collin Morikawa (5/6)171.113 straight; T10 ’25 best w/ 77
    
Chris Gotterup (0/1)073.00MC 73-73
Russell Henley (7/13)071.67T30 in 3 of last 4; T13 best
Robert MacIntyre (1/3)172.13Solo 9th ’25; all 4 rds 72 >
Xander Schauffele (5/8)271.3272-T2-T19 L3Y
JJ Spaun (3/7)172.13P2 ’25 – T64 ’24
    
Ben Griffin (1/3)071.63T35 2023
Hideki Matsuyama (8/11)470.50MC-T6-5th L3Y; T23 worst
Sepp Straka (5/6)171.11T14-T16-T65-T9 last 4
Justin Thomas (10/11)270.862021 winner; T33 best since
Harris English (7/12)072.80T30-T19 L2Y; 7 –> MC before
Alex Noren (4/7)171.27T19-MC-T26; T10 debut best
Viktor Hovland (4/6)271.25MC-T62-T3-T9-MC
Keegan Bradley (10/15)271.65T20-MC-MC-5TH L4Y
Jacob Bridgeman  First Appearance
Cameron Young (3/4)072.43Only 2 rounds in the 60s; T51 best
Matt Fitzpatrick (5/10)271.38MC-5TH-MC-MC-T9 L5
Ludvig Aberg (1/2)170.00MC-8TH
Maverick McNealy (3/5)172.50MC-T9-T60-T46-MC; 3 of 16 60s
Ryan Gerard (1/1)072.00Sat T14 after 54 holes before 78 Sunday (T42)
Si Woo Kim (9/10)370.672017 winner at 21; T6 2024; never MC here
Sam Burns (4/6)072.132 of 16 rds in 60s; T26 best
Kurt Kitayama (2/3)071.40T33-T19-MC
Patrick Cantlay (6/9)071.73T12-T68-T19; 2 of his best L3Y
Shane Lowry (8/11)171.09T20-T19-T35-T13-8th last five
Min Woo Lee (3/3)170.83T20-T54-T6; Final Group 2023
Jason Day (10/14)470.862016 winner; T35-T19
PlayersTopScrTPC Sawgrass Notes/Best Performances
(cuts made/starts)10Avg 
Corey Conners (6/7)270.55T6-T13-mc-T26-7th
Akshay Bhatia (1/2)170.33T3-MC
Matt McCarty (1/1)071.003 rounds of 70 or better in tough conditions
Ryan Fox (2/3)071.20T20-mc-T27
Andrew Novak (0/3)074.836 of 7 rounds 74 or worse
Jake Knapp (2/2)070.75T12-T45; All 8 rounds 73 or better
Sam Stevens (0/2)073.7574-72; 73-76
Pierceson Coody  First Appearance
Michael Kim (1/5)074.42MC last four
Michael Thorbjornsen  First Appearance
Adam Scott (19/24)471.412004 winner; T45 best in last 5
Brian Harman  (10/14)471.68T2 2024; T3 2021
Nicolai Hojgaard (0/2) 73.7573-73; 73-76
Nick Taylor (6/9)072.04T26 best in last 5
Harry Hall (0/2)  75-70; 77-74
Daniel Berger (8/9)271.278 straight; T20 2025
Taylor Pendrith (3/4)072.21T13 2022 debut best
Ryo Hisatsune (0-2) 72.5072-74; 70-74
JT Poston (5/7)071.80T33-T45 L2Y; T22 2019 debut best
Rickie Fowler (9/15)272.092015 winner; T71-T68-T13 L3Y
Sungjae Im (6/7)171.36T61-T31-T6-T55-T17
    
PlayersTopScr Notes/Best Performances
 10Avg 
Aaron Rai (3/3)070.58T14-T35-T19
C Bezuidenhout (3/4)070.79MC-T13-T13-T41
Brian Campbell (0/1)  74-71
Ricky Castillo (0/1)  70-74
Bud Cauley (2/5)172.14T6 2025 first visit since 2019
Wyndham Clark (2/6)171.15WD-T2-T27-MC-MC-DQ
Eric Cole (1/3)072.13MC-MC-T27
Lucas Glover (5/6)071.054 straight; T11 2024 best
Cam Davis (1/5)174.50T6 2023
Zecheng Dou  First Appearance
 TopScr 
Players10Avg 
Nico Echavarria (0/3) 73.8370 or worse in 6 rounds
AJ Ewart  First Appearance
Tony Finau (5/10)072.08T19 2023 best
Steven Fisk  First Appearance
Emiliano Grillo (5/9)072.3211th 2017
Garrick Higgo (1/3)072.29WD-T44-MC
Joe Highsmith (1/1)071.003 rounds of 72 or better
Lee Hodges (2/3)073.20T35-MC-T70 L3Y
Rico Hoey (1/1)071.50T33 debut
Tom Hoge (7/7)270.70T3-T54-T3; 7 straight
Rasmus Hojgaard (0/1)076.0072-80 MC
Max Homa (3/5)171.63MC-T64-T6-T13-MC
Mark Hubbard (3/5)072.36MC-T31-T35-MC-MC
Mackenzie Hughes (4/7)072.10MC 4 of the last 5 (T26)
Stephan Jaeger (2/4)072.08T20-MC-T44-MC
Takumi Kanaya  First Appearance
SH Kim (0/2) 74.5074-71; 77-76
Chris Kirk (10/14)071.66T12 2017 best; T42-T26 L2
Brooks Koepka (4/6)071.70First Appearance since 2022 MC
Haotong Li (0/2)  First Appearance since 2019 MC
Denny McCarthy (6/6)071.21T14-T35-T13 L3Y
Max McGreevey (1/2)073.67T20-MC; 69-89 debut
Mac Meissner (1/1)072.00T42 2025
Keith Mitchell (5/6)072.04T13 2022  
Taylor Moore (3/4)071.79T33-T31-T35-MC
William Mouw  First Appearance
Thorbjorn Olesen (1/2)072.17T41 2019 last, best
Matthieu Pavon (1/2)073.00T54-MC
Marco Penge  First Appearance
Chandler Philips (1/1)073.50T61 opened with 68
Aldrich Potgieter (0/1)  74-71
Andrew Putnam (1/6)073.2153rd 2024
Chad Ramey (1/3)072.38MC-MC-T27; FRL 2023
Kristoffer Reitan  First Appearance
Davis Riley (1/3)072.88T38-MC-MC
Patrick Rodgers (2/9)073.43MC last four
Kevin Roy (0/1) 73.5077-70 2025
Adam Schenk (1/5)072.33T19 2024
Matti Schmid (1/2)071.00MC-T26
Alex Smalley (2/3)071.90T14-MC-T65
Jordan Smith  First Appearance
Austin Smotherman (1/1)071.00T35 2023
Jordan Spieth (5/11)171.91T4 2014 debut; 59th-MC-T19 L3Y
Sahith Theegala (3/4)172.57T52-T9-74-MC
Davis Thompson (2/3)171.80T10-MC-T68
Sami Valimaki (2/2)072.88T69-T54
Erik van Rooyen (1/3)071.50T13 2022
Jhonattan Vegas (7/11)272.14T3 2019; T7 2012; 60th best last 4
Karl Vilips075.0072-78 MC 2025
Danny Walker (1/1)169.7570-66-70 last 54 for T6 debut
Vince Whaley (0/1) 72.5073-72
Gary Woodland (6/13)072.84T54 best in last 5 years
Sudarshan Yellamaraju  First Appearance
Keivn Yu (0/2) 73.7573 is best

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