Farmers Insurance Open 2026 Betting Insights

Farmers Insurance Open

Torrey Pines Golf Club

South Course (host)

North Course

La Jolla, California

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NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseSouth Course
Yards (per official scorecard):7,765.
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:Poa annua; 5,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:13 feet plus.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at FOUR inches and growing.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play82/1/1. Pond in front of Par-5 No. 18.
Architect(s):William P. Bell (1957) & William F Bell (1957); Rees Jones (2001, 2019).
Defending Champion (event):Harris English (-8).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Jason Day (2018, 2015); Brandt Snedeker (2016, 2012).
Course Record (last):62; Tiger Woods (1999).
72 Hole Tournament Record:22-under; Tiger Woods (1999; last).
Fact of the Week:One round on each course before the top 65 and ties return to the South Course for the final 36 holes.
Fact of the Week II:Playoff hole is 18 on repeat.
Fact of the Week III:Cut was 1-OVER par in 2025, the first time in forever it was above par (weather issues).

Notes:

  • Field of 147.
  • Second of three multi-course events in four weeks.
  • The OWGR is represented by 27 of the top 50.
  • $9.6 million – $1.728 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.
  • Points available for the Aon Next 5 for Pebble Beach qualification.

Prop Bets

Top 5 (Including Ties)

Brooks Koepka (+970) makes his first PGA TOUR appearance, major championships notwithstanding, since 2022. While Koepka has not fared well in four visits to the Farmers Insurance Open, he did cash T4 at the 2021 U.S. Open on the South Course. His return to action should have his game ready to go as if it were a major championship. If this is too bold, sprinkle him for a Top 10 or Top 20 just in case.

Jake Knapp (+730) is a former UCLA player who grew up in Costa Mesa. After missing the cut as an amateur in 2015, he returned in 2023 to share fourth, and added T32 in 2025. He opened the season with a T11 payday at the Sony Open and can absolutely send it off the tee. Oh, he also ranked 17th in SG: Putting. Nice combo.

Winner Without Xander Schauffele, Si Woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Cameron Young, and Ludvig Aberg

Jason Day (+2600) has won this event twice, both times in a playoff, and owns five top-five paydays. Coming off a T2 last week, I do not have to wait for him to find form. The Australian’s short game was on point in the desert, and not many know this layout better.

Wyndham Clark (+3900) lit up the Stadium Course at La Quinta for 64, the second-lowest round of the week, before he stalled out with 72 on Sunday for T13. He took only three bogeys for the week, but two were doubles. Without any hazards to worry about this week, minus the pond fronting No. 18, he can whale away off the tee and continue to wield a hot putter. The U.S. Open winner at LACC, he should feel comfortable in the big ballpark this week.

Top 10 (Including Ties)

Red-Hot Ryan Gerard (+405) cashed T2, second, and P2 in his last three worldwide starts. On debut at Torrey Pines in 2025, he grinded out a T15 result in difficult scoring conditions. Already a winner on California grass at the Barracuda Championship last summer, he won’t be bothered by Poa annua on the putting surfaces. I can’t imagine he is short on confidence, either.

Andrew Novak (+730) was the only player to cash a check inside the top 15 in both events held at Torrey Pines in 2025. Playing from the final group with eventual champion Harris English at the Farmers Insurance Open, he posted 74 and finished third. Returning for The Genesis Invitational, he posted three of four rounds in the red and earned T13.

I felt Sahith Theegala (+690) was priced for pouncing last week at The American Express. Not even an opening round of 71 could keep him out of the top 10 (T8). Another week in his native California, he will attempt to build on his five-from-five record at Torrey Pines, which includes T4 in 2023, plus T17 from The Genesis Invitational in 2025, where he closed 69-68.

Top 20 (Including Ties)

Max Homa (+225) continues to knock on the door of a breakthrough. Over his last five starts on TOUR, he has five results of T40 or better, including three at T19 or better. He opened 2026 by posting T27 with four rounds in the 60s at The American Express. The 2023 Farmers Insurance Open winner cashed four T19 or better paydays in his last six starts at Torrey Pines.

Haotong Li (+315) squared only three bogeys at The American Express and cashed T8 in his second start of the season (T55 Sony Open). Ranking second in SG: Tee to Green, he was a beast off the tee, and into the greens. He gained the second most shots on the field on the South Course, the most difficult of the three courses in play. The recipe at Torrey Pines is not complicated. Smash it, find it, and smash it again.

S.H. Kim (+430) cashed in this category last week after closing with 66 for T18. In fact, this was his seventh consecutive payday where he earned T18 or better in his last seven worldwide events. This is a recording.

Par-4 Winner

History shows that eight of the last nine winners have finished the week T7 or better in this category. Three of those winners have led the field in this category, including 2025 champion Harris English, and one ended up second overall. Instead of plucking out one of the top Par-4 performers from the 2025 season-ending stats, I would marry this play to your champion and try to double-dip. The conservative play would be the former. I will ride with Jason Day (+4100), who ranked T27 in 2025.

Will there be a playoff?

Yes (+400)

No (-650)

There has been only one playoff required in the last seven events and just two since Jason Day won a four-man shootout in 2015. The 18th hole is a Par-5 with water proteccting the perched final green. A perfect drive means TIME TO GO for the green in regulation. There is plenty of room to bail out long, right, and left, but pressure does funny things to even the best players. With the forecast suggesting PERFECT scoring conditions, I am going to ride the drama angle. Let’s gamble!

Recent Winners

2026 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American ExpressScottie Scheffler
Farmers Insurance Open 

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Farmers Insurance Open

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Harris English (-8)Gusty conditions in three of the four rounds made for difficult scoring. English won for the fifth time on TOUR, holding off Sam Stevens by a shot.
2024Mattieu Pavon (-13)First TOUR victory in just his third start with a card; 11th TOUR start. First appearance.
2023Max Homa (-13)Defeated Keegan Bradley by two shots.
2022Luke List (-15)Shot 66 on Sunday and then defeated Will Zalatoris in a playoff. First TOUR win.
2021Patrick Reed (-14)Won by five shots.
2020Marc Leishman (-15)Won by a shot.
2019Justin Rose (-21)Missed tying the course record by a shot.
2018Jason Day (-10)Knocked out Ryan Palmer (not entered) and Alex Noren in a playoff for his second win and second in a playoff.
2017Jon Rahm (-13)Won by three shots on debut and secured his first TOUR win.
2016Brandt Snedeker (-6)Extreme weather turned the event upside down. Snedeker won for the second time without having to play the final day.

Angles

  • The South Course is annually one of the toughest tracks on TOUR.
  • The North Course scores almost 2.5 shots easier on average.
  • Power players, elite short game artists, and grinders thrive.
  • The last 11 winners ranked in the top 10 for Bogey Avoidance.
  • The cut has never been worse than EVEN over the last decade until 2025.
  • Gaining strokes tee to green and on the greens will go a long way.
  • Only Snedeker posted a round in the 70s on the North Course and went on to win.
  • South Course – take your medicine, attack when given the chance, try to get up-and-down on the Par-5 holes.
  • North Course – Time to score!

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

LAST WEEK – The American Express

MY CHOICE: Ben Griffin – T24

After opening with 63, I was #Excited.

After finishing bogey, bogey, I was #NotExcited and out an additional 80k.

We move on.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American ExpressBen GriffinT2481,420
Farmers Insurance   

THIS WEEK – Farmers Insurance Open

The script flips entirely as the TOUR moves from the resort courses of the California desert to a major championship venue on the La Jolla coast.

The contenders this week will not be able to spray it all over the property and still circle birdies.

Nobody hits the fairways here, and not many more find GIR. The farther it goes with the driver, the more loft into the small greens. Then it’s time to putt on Poa annua in three of the four rounds (Bentgrass on the North).

I’m leaning on power players with excellent short game.

MY CHOICE: Jason Day

With six podium paydays, including two victories, the Australian knows the way home at Torrey Pines. Sharing second last week, I do not have to worry about him rounding into form or searching for confidence. His template is the model here. Smash it, chip it, and hole it. Both of his wins came in extra holes.

Day did not factor into my plans in the majors or Signature Events, so he takes the bullet this week. Ludvig Aberg does.

Others to consider

Max Homa, Taylor Pendrith, Akshay Bhatia, Sam Stevens, Tony Finau

Longshots– Andrew Novak, Beau Hossler, Patrick Rodgers, Pierceson Coody

Horses for Courses

Keegan Bradley – 8 straight weekends

Tony Finau – 5 of last 7 Top 10, including Genesis Invitational

Luke List – 9 straight weekends, former champion

Hideki Matsuyama – 9 straight weekends, only one top-10 payday

Taylor Pendrith – 3 of 4 T16 or better, never missed a cut in four

Adam Scott – T10 and 2nd in two visits

Andrew Novak – 3rd and T13 last year

The 67th American Express

Read more: The 67th American Express

The American Express

The Stadium Course at PGA West (Host)

Nicklaus Tournament Course

La Quinta Country Club

La Quinta, CA

Odds Outlook

DraftKings Markets

Expert Picks

Rob Bolton’s Power Rankings

Rob Bolton’s Fantasy Insider

Rob Bolton joins me each Wednesday at 4pm on TheZoneBloomington.com

Course rotation & tee times →

@theamexgolf

R1) Stadium; R2) La Quinta; R3) Nick Tourney

R1) La Quinta; R2) Nick Tourney; R3) Stadium

R1) Nick Tourney; R2) Stadium; R3) La Quinta

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseStadium Course at PGA West
Yards (per official scorecard):7,210
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:Overseeded Poa annua (TifEagle); 7,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11 feet.
Rough:Overseed at 1 inch. Dormant Tifgreen Bermuda at 2 inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-PlayOver 90 bunkers, seven holes with water in play.
Architect(s):Pete Dye (1986).
Defending Champion (event):Sepp Straka (-23).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record (last):61; Justin Thomas (Round 3, 2024), Patrick Cantlay (Round 4, 2021).
72 Hole Tournament Record (2016-current rotation):259; Nick Dunlap (-29).
Fact of the Week:Only seven international winners from the previous 66 events.
Fact of the Week II:Johnny Miller is the only player to defend the title (1975-76).

Notes:

  • Field of 156.
  • First multi-course event of 2026 and first pro-am.
  • The OWGR is represented by 27 of the top 50.
  • Top 65 and ties will make the cut and play the weekend after 54 holes (play each course once).
  • $9.2 million – $1.656 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.

Recent Winners

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryNo Event
Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup
The American Express 
Farmers Insurance Open 

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – The American Express

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Sepp Straka (-23)Bogeyed two of the last three holes to win by two. Cake walk.
2024Nick Dunlap (-29)First amateur to win on TOUR since 1991; First TOUR start (sponsor’s exemption); Tournament scoring record.
2023Jon Rahm (-27)Played in the final group with Davis Thompson and beat him by a shot to win for the second time.
2022Hudson Swafford      (-23)Defeated Tom Hoge by two shots to win for the second time.
2021Si Woo Kim (-23)Only made two bogeys for the week on the SC/NT rotation to win by one.
2020Andrew Landry (-26)Tied the tournament scoring record winning by two.
2019Adam Long (-26)Became the first rookie to win since Jhonattan Vegas (2011).
2018Jon Rahm (-22)Needed a playoff to knock off Andrew Landry.
2017Hudson Swafford      (-20)Wet, windy weekend produced the highest winning total to date in the new rota.
2016Jason Dufner (-25)Saw off David Lingmerth in a playoff in the first iteration of Stadium Course, Nicklaus Tournament Course and LQCC

Angles

  • The Nicklaus Tournament Course plays to Par-72 and 7,210 yards. Playing 7,000 square feet on average, the Overseeded Poa annua greens are the largest of the three courses. Dylan Wu (2023) and Will Zalatoris (2022) have posted 61 here.
  • La Quinta Country Club is known for premium putting surfaces and plays the easiest of the trio. All three courses have minimal rough and green speeds that won’t exceed 11 feet. Playing to Par-72 and 7,060 yards, it is one of the easiest tracks on TOUR annually. Adam Hadwin posted 59 in Round 3 in 2017.
  • All 10 winners have posted 20-under or better to win, and nine of 10 champions ranked in the top 10 in Par-4 and Par-5 scoring.
  • The HIGHEST cut in this rotation in the last three editions was 7-under. The LOWEST cut in this rotation was 13-UNDER-PAR in 2024.
  • First tournament with overseeded Poa annua greens.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event, plus a backup selection if your original choice does not tee off.

1 use per year.

Sign up here

LAST WEEK – The Sony Open in Hawaii

MY CHOICE: Robert MacIntyre – T4

The Scotsman

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
    
Sony Open in HawaiiRobert MacIntyreT4409,500
The American Express   
Farmers Insurance   

THIS WEEK – The American Express

Back to the mainland this week for the first Pro-Am and multi-course event of the year.

20-under is the worst winning score on this three-course rotation, which began in 2016.

I’m looking for guys who are hot and make a shit ton of birdies.

MY CHOICE: Ben Griffin

The last time there was a shootout on the PGA TOUR, Griffin posted 29-under to win the WorldWide Technology Championship at Los Cabos. He ranked in the top 15 in Birdies and Eagles in 2025 and painted the top 10 on his last two visits.

The last thing I need to do in the second event of the year is overthink it.

Others to consider

J.T. Poston, Si Woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Harry Hall, Max Greyserman

Longshot – Alex Smalley

Sony Open in Hawaii Scoop

First event of the year, let’s roll!

Read more: Sony Open in Hawaii Scoop

Sony Open in Hawaii

Waialae Country Club

Honolulu, Oahu, Hawaii

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseWaialae Country Club.
Yards (per official scorecard):7,044.
Par:70 (35-35)
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; 7,100 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:12 feet.
Rough:Celebration Bermuda; three inches and growing.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play83/4/5.
Architect(s):Seth Raynor (1927).
Defending Champion (event):Nick Taylor (-16; 264).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None. Only five multiple winners since 1965 (Last: Jimmy Walker).
Course Record (last):59; Justin Thomas (Round 1, 2017).
72 Hole Tournament Record (last):253 (-27); Justin Thomas (2017).
Fact of the Week:Waialae CC has been the only course to host this event. There was no event in 1970.
Fact of the Week II:The last player to win on debut was Russell Henley in 2013. Experience matters, gang.

Notes:

  • Field of 120.
  • The OWGR is represented by 20 of the top 50.
  • Top 65 and ties will make the cut and play the weekend.
  • $9.1 million – $1.638 million – 500 FedExCup points – Sentry and Masters ticket punched.

Recent Winners

2025 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (LIV)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
Puerto Rico OpenKarl Vilips (first time)
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland
Texas Children’s Houston OpenMin Woo Lee (first time)
Valero Texas OpenBrian Harman
88th Masters TournamentRory McIlroy (career grand slam)
RBC HeritageJustin Thomas
Zurich ClassicBen Griffin & Andrew Novak (first time winners)
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonScottie Scheffler
Truist ChampionshipSepp Straka (2)
Mrytle Beach One FlightRyan Fox
106th PGA ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Charles Schwab ChallengeBen Griffin (2)
The 50th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC Canadian OpenRyan Fox (2)
124th United States OpenJ.J. Spaun
Travelers ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
Rocket Mortgage ClassicAldrich Potgieter (first time)
John Deere ClassicBrian Campbell (2)
Genesis Scottish OpenChris Gotterup
ISCO ChampionshipWilliam Mouw (first time)
152nd Open ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (4)
Barracuda ChampionshipRyan Gerard (first time)
3M OpenKurt Kitayama
Wyndham ChampionshipCameron Young (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipJustin Rose
BMW ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (5)
The TOUR ChampionshipTommy Fleetwood (first time)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSteven Fisk (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMichael Brennan (first time)
Baycurrent ChampionshipXander Schauffele
World Wide Technology ChampBen Griffin (3)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampAdam Schenk (first time)
The RSM ClassicSami Valimaki (first time)

Recent Winners – Sony Open in Hawaii

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2025Nick Taylor (-16)Defeated Nico Echavarria on the first playoff hole for his fifth win on TOUR. 54-hole leader J.J. Spaun finished one shot out of a playoff.
2024Grayson Murray (-17)Knocked out Byeong Hun An and Keegan Bradley with a 48-foot birdie on the first playoff hole. May he rest in peace.
2023Si Woo Kim (-18)Shot 64 on Sunday to make up a three-shot deficit and knock out 54-hole leader Hayden Buckley by a shot.
2022Hideki Matsuyama     (-23)Won a playoff over 54-hole leader and 2013 winner Russell Henley.
2021Kevin Na (-21)Shot 61 in Round 3 and held on to beat Chris Kirk by one.
2020Cameron Smith (-11)Matched the second highest winning score since 2000. Rain and windy conditions all weekend.
2019Matt Kuchar (-22)Won comfortably by four over Andrew Putnam.
2018Patton Kizzire (-17)Needed a playoff to win in just his second visit.

Angles

  • Waialae Country Club stretches to just 7,044 yards, one of the shortest courses on TOUR, and plays to Par-70.
  • Par-70 was established for the 1999 edition, the only tournament to produce a single-digit winning score (-9). The two highest winning scores since are 11-under in 2005 and 2020.
  • Bermudagrass fairways, rough, and greens are in play again this week, just like The RSM Classic to end 2025.
  • With greens averaging 7,100 square feet, the putting surfaces at Waialae are well-above average for the PGA TOUR.
  • Experienced players flourished in this event from 1997 through 2019. All but three winners were under the age of 30. Over the last five years, four winners have been 30 or younger.
  • The course record, 59, was set in 2017 by Justin Thomas (not entered), in Round 1. He would go on to win and smash the tournament scoring record by three shots as he posted 253 (-27).
  • Five of the last six winners previously represented the International team in the Presidents Cup.
  • Six of the last seven champions needed four prior starts before cracking the code.     
  • 10 of the last 11 winners have registered in the top 10 in Par-4 Scoring.
  • Taylor is the only winner in 11 not to register in the top 20 in Proximity (25th). None were in the top 10 of Driving Accuracy.
  • Four of the last five and six of the previous 10 events have required a playoff to determine a champion.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

Sign up here

EventSelectionEarnings
Sony Open in Hawaii  
The American Express  
Farmers Insurance Open  

THIS WEEK – Sony Open in Hawaii

The Opening Drive in Hawaii takes the TOUR to a familiar stop. Waialae has hosted the event since 1965 and has not changed the par or yardage since 2007.

The first of 30-odd events in Spotter’s game, Sony gives us a chance to grind on our first at bat.

I will remind you that finishing on the podium in a signature event and/or major championship is about the same haul as winning a “normal” TOUR stop these days.

YOU WILL NOT win the war by winning the battle this week, but $1.6 million will not hurt the bottom line.

Saving guys for down the road also brings headaches into play. Injury, caddie firings, slumps, and babies being born are just some of the REAL-LIFE CHALLENGES we must navigate from January to August.

My approach is more art than science.

There’s an old saying that guys peak for six to eight weeks per year, usually around the big events for the biggest of players.

Remember, Scottie Scheffler won just about everything last year. Just make sure you pick him during one of the weeks when he does win! By all accounts, you should have a handful of chances not to screw it up!

MY CHOICE: Robert MacIntyre

The red-hot Scot racked up a win and a pair of top-10 results in the DP World Tour portion of the fall. A world star who finished second at the U.S. Open and the BMW Championship, I will ride him in a breezy, coastal set-up.

Horses for Courses

All Time Money ListTopTopNotes
(cuts made/starts)1025 
    
Russell Henley (10/13)47Won on 2013 debut; T10, T4, T32, and 2nd last four years; T17 > 7x
Chris Kirk (10/15)56MC 2025; T18-3rd-T27-2nd before; 4 top 5 career
Nick Taylor (7/9)34Win-T7-T7-T11 last 4 years; 5 straight
Si Woo Kim (6/8)232023 winner; 4th on debut 2016; MC 2025
Hideki Matsuyama (9/12)142022 winner; 9 consecutive cuts made; 5 of last 6 T30 or better
Webb Simpson (14/15)49T16 2025; T4 2021, T3 2020 recent bests
Keegan Bradley (9/13)25T6-T2 last 2; T12 or better 4 of last 6
Nico Echavarria (3/3)12P2-T66-T12 Last 3 years
Gary Woodland (6/10)35T16 in 5 of 6 weekends
Brian Harman (12/14)166 straight;  11 of 12
Corey Conners (6/7)144x T12 or better; T3 best
    
JJ Spaun (3/8)12T3, MC 2024, T12 2023
Zac Blair (6/6)22NEVER missed in 6 tries
Keith Mitchell (6/8)14T30 or better in four of last 5.
Eric Cole (3/3)125th-T13-T61
202520242023
Nick Taylor (-16)Grayson Murray (-17)Si Woo Kim (-18)
wins by Playoff (Echavaarria)wins by 1 (Bradley, An)wins by 1 (Buckley)
Par 70 – 7,044 ydsPar 70 – 7,044 ydsPar 70 – 7,044 yds
   
P2 Nico EchavarrriaP2 Ben An03 Chris Kirk -15
T3 JJ Spaun -15P2 Keegan BradleyT4 David Lipsky
05 Eric Cole -14T4 Russell Henley -16T7 Maverick McNealy
T6 Adam Schenk -1306 JT Poston -15T7 Nick Taylor
T6 Keegan BradleyT7 Nick Taylor -14T12 Corey Conners -12
T10 Russell Henley -12T7 Emiliano GrilloT12 Nico Echavarria
T10 Nick DunlapT10 Harris English -13T12 Austin Eckroat
T10 Harry HallT10 Taylor PendrithT12 Ben Griffin
T10 Lee HodgesT10 Andrew PutnamT12 JJ Spaun

Sony Open in Hawaii 2026

via @SonyOpenHawaii

Welcome back, Golf Fans!

Read more: Sony Open in Hawaii 2026

It’s a bummer we missed Kapalua, but here we are on Oahu at Waialae.

Let’s get started!

Odds Outlook – My thoughts on the chalk at the top of the board for PGATOUR.COM.

DraftKings Markets – My thoughts on alternate angles outside of straight win tickets.

Shout out to my brother, Rob Bolton, and his fantastic Power Rankings.

Rob will join me most Wednesdays at TheZoneBloomington.com at 4pm ET to talk shit, set lineups, and fill out your betting cards. Listen live at the link or download the app (98.7 The Zone) from your store to listen along.

I am no longer writing Horses for Courses for the website, so I will list my heavy-hitters here.

I am not actively participating in One and Done this year, but I will provide hints in this column each Wednesday, when I do not forget.

Good luck in 2026, subscribe, and keep reading!

Thank you, as always,

Glass