Texas Children’s Houston Open

Texas Children’s Houston Open

Memorial Park Golf Course

Houston, Texas

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Top of the Board (odds via Bet365)

The top two players in the OWGR are in the field this week.

Scottie Scheffler (+400) has the course form (T2-T9-T2), but Rory McIlroy (+600) has won twice in four starts, including last time out at THE PLAYERS Championship.

There is no recourse for McIlroy to bomb and gouge this week. With barely any rough, only 1.25 inches of overseeded ryegrass, and barely any bunkers, just 21 on the property, he can wield his best weapon.

The greens, large and overseeded with Poa Trivialis, don’t allow many putts to drop. Only 17 players across four events reached double digits under par after 72 holes, including 10 last year.

Scheffler has not found top gear yet, but his familiarity with Memorial Park will be to his advantage.

Aaron Rai (+2800) posted T7-T7-T19 in three visits and should be in every lineup.

Tony Finau (+2800), off to a cool start in 2025, will break out this week. His last two victories on TOUR have been on two tracks, VidantaWorld and Memorial Park, where there is minimal trouble off the tee and into the greens. Finau finished 2nd-1st at VidantaWorld and T2-1st at Memorial Park in his last two attempts.

Min Woo Lee and Davis Thompson, both at (+3000) make sense this week. Another duo of power players who can get hot with the putter, those with less loft into the greens this week will benefit.

Jason Day (+3300) owns T7 and T16 here.

JJ Spaun (+3500) picked up his only win on TOUR at next week’s stop in San Antonio. I’d let him ease back in after his playoff loss to McIlroy two weeks ago.

Wyndham Clark (+3500) won’t be outdriven by many but does not have a top-10 payday this season or in three previous starts here.

Sungjae Im (+3500) will enjoy the massive greens to catch his irons. The putter is the saving grace.

Stephan Jaeger (+4000), like Finau, loves VidantaWorld and Memorial Park. I’ll remind you it is his first time as a defending champion on TOUR. Not many handle that situation well. Caution.

5 Players to consider for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action:

Jacob Bridgeman – A pair of podiums on the Florida Swing has cut his weekly odds in half.

Sahith Theegala – Home game for The Woodlands resident.  Time to get 2025 on track.

Sam Stevens – T14 and solo second in two previous visits, the Oklahoma native has plenty of ammo and confidence.

Mackenzie Hughes – Only the biggest names in the field have a better scoring average here.

Victor Perez – T18-back injury-T22 in his last three.

Bonus Ball: Gary Woodland owns back-to-back T8 or better but has not played since 2022.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseMemorial Park
Yards (per official scorecard):7,475
Par:70 (35-35).
Greens:Overseeded Poa Trivialis; 7,000 square feet on average.
Stimpmeter:11-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at 1.25”
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play21/2/4
Architect(s):John Bredemus (1936); Tom Doak (2019).
Defending Champion (event):Stephan Jaeger (-12).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:None.
Course Record:62; Tony Finau (2024, 2022); Scottie Scheffler (2021).
72 Hole Tournament Record:264; Tony Finau (2022).
Fact of the Week:The event moved back to March for the 2024 event.
Fact of the Week II:The course ranked 12th or harder in all four previous editions.

SG: Putting

All four winners ranked in the top five on the Poa Trivialis overseeded greens. Simply, putts do not go in here. The last three seasons the course ranked in the top 10 in Putting Average, and that includes the major championships. Those who find a way to will them in with the flat stick. Here’s how the top of the leaderboard looked in 2024 in SG: Putting:

Players listed below are competing this week.

SG: Putting RankPlayerFinish
1Tom HogeT14
2Erik BarnesT17
3Stephan JaegerWIN
4David SkinnsT7
5Chad RameyT17
6Chris GotterupT57
7Taylor MooreT2
8Max GreysermanT7
9Harry HallT28
10Nick DunlapT11
11Thomas DetryT2
12Alejandro TostiT2
13Joseph BramlettT36
14Alex NorenT11
15Nick HardyT57

Putting matters this week as 11 players from the top 15 in SG: Putting cashed T17 or better.

Notables

  • The host course features five Par-3 holes and overseeded Poa Trivialis putting surfaces, the second week in a row on TOUR featuring both.
  • Two of the four champions have led the field in Par-3 Scoring.
  • The Par-70 also features three Par-5 holes, one of the toughest trios on TOUR.
  • The historic Houston Open, established in 1946, has had many homes, but Memorial Park is the only data used this week.
  • The overseeded fairways average 30 to 40 yards in the landing area, accounting for the winds that constantly blow in this part of the world.
  • Poa Trivialis overseeded greens, the defense of this Tom Doak restoration, average 7,000 square feet and will not run more than 11.5 feet on the Stimpmeter (wind).
  • Hole No. 16 has a new tee box for 2025, and 40 yards have been added to the scorecard.
  • This is the second consecutive year with the overseeded rough cut to 1.25 inches.
  • The last three champions ranged from 33 to 36 years of age. Debut winner Carlos Ortiz (not eligible) was 29.
  • Jaeger joins Ortiz as the two champions to win for the first time on TOUR at the event.
  • The Official World Golf Ranking is represented by 20 of the top 50 players, including No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and No. 2 Rory McIlroy, who makes his debut at Memorial Park.

Recent Winners

  • 2025 Season Winners
EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
Valspar ChampionshipViktor Hovland

2024 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryChris Kirk
Sony Open in HawaiiGrayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American ExpressNick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance OpenMatthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble BeachWyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix OpenNick Taylor
The Genesis InvitationalHideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at VidantaJake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant ClassicAustin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar ChampionshipPeter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston OpenStephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas OpenAkshay Bhatia
88th Masters TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC HeritageScottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich ClassicRory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonTaylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
106th PGA ChampionshipXander Schauffele
Charles Schwab ChallengeDavis Riley
RBC Canadian OpenRobert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (5)
124th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Travelers ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis
John Deere ClassicDavis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyre (2)
152nd Open ChampionshipXander Schauffele (2)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris OlympicsScottie Scheffler (7)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
Wyndham ChampionshipAaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
The TOUR ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (8)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipPatton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipKevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMatt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s OpenJT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPNico Echavarria
World Wide Technology ChampAustin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampRafa Campos (first time)
The RSM ClassicMaverick McNealy (first time)

Recent Winners – Texas Children’s Houston Open

Italics – not entered this week;

YearWinnerNotes
2024Stephan Jaeger (-12)Held off five players to win by a shot for his first victory on TOUR.
2022Tony Finau (-16)Set the tournament scoring record and won by four shots, also a record. Final November event (2023 season).
2021Jason Korkak (-10)Won by two shots as Scheffler couldn’t close the 54-hole lead.
2020Carlos Ortiz (-13)Held off Hideki Matsuyama (not entered) and Dusitn Johnson (ineligible) to win for the first time on TOUR.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy get kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
The SentrySungjae Im3rd$1,360,000
Sony Open in HawaiiRussell HenleyT10195,025
The American ExpressAdam HadwinMC 
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3252,080
AT&T Pebble BeachLudvig AbergWD 
WM Phoenix OpenRasmus HojgaardT12195,500
Genesis InvitationalWill ZalatorisT24168,857
Mexico OpenPatrick RodgersT2559,350
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT2573,721
Arnold PalmerKeegan BradleyT5800,000
THE PLAYERSCollin MorikawaT10656,250
Valspar ChampionshipSepp StrakaT2855,844

LAST WEEK – Valspar Invitational

MY CHOICE: Sepp Straka

I didn’t have Hovland or Justin Thomas on my radar.

Straka didn’t fire, but am I surprised?

Of course not. 74 on Saturday was the killer.

Whatever.

THIS Week – Texas Children’s Houston Open

With the two heavyweights battling it out. I’m down to two players: Finau and Rai.

Rai gets the benefit of the doubt on current form, and he did run T4 at Vidanta.

THE CHOICE: Aaron Rai

Others to consider:

Tony Finau, Min Woo Lee, Davis Riley, Mackenzie Hughes

Valspar Championship

Back next week

Head to PGATOUR.COM for all of our great content.

For you OAD sickos, I’m loading up Sepp Straka to continue his excellent run in the Sunshine State.

Tommy Fleetwood, Shane Lowry, and Sam Burns should be considered.

For those of you who do not keep your arms and legs inside the ride at all times, Cameron Young, Keith Mitchell, Alex Smalley, and Stephan Jaeger should keep you up all night.

I wouldn’t worry about a MC last week at TPC Sawgrass. This week, while difficult, is a more straight-forward test. Pete Dye returns at Harbour Town. Enjoy the break!

THE PLAYERS Championship

Welcome to the 51st edition.

THE PLAYERS Championship

THE PLAYERS Stadium Course – TPC Sawgrass

Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida

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Top of the Board (odds via Bet365)

Scheffler, no chance of 3 straight, right?

McIlroy, how many drivers is he gonna use this week?

Schauffele has played four rounds since the first week of January.

Russell Henley going back-to-back?

I’ll start with the second choice, Collin Morikawa. The winners here roll in on form and he qualifies. On a course where target golf is the recipe, I’ll lean on one of the best drivers of the golf ball with a sour taste in his mouth.

Justin Thomas has already proven his worth here and has been ready to pop for months. Matsuyama, also with a win, has been healthy and lurking. Shane Lowry has a fantastic SG: Florida.

Players to consider for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action:

Daniel Berger returns from T13-T9 from 2022-21.

Si Woo Kim loves Pete Dye. That works.

Keegan Bradley is going to crash at some point. Not this week.

Who is hotter, without a win, than Michael Kim?

Brian Harman loves this layout.

Karl Vilips won’t be afraid.

Chad Ramey had the first-round lead here a couple of years ago.

Joel Dahmen slides in.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseTPC Sawgrass
Yards (per official scorecard):7,352
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; 5,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at FOUR inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play78/18/18
Architect(s):Pete Dye (1980).
Defending Champion (event):Scottie Scheffler (-20).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Scheffler (2024, 2023).
Course Record:62; Tom Hoge (Round 3, 2023).
72 Hole Tournament Record (post 2016):264; Greg Norman (-24; 1994).
Fact of the Week:The event moved back to March for the 2019 edition.
Fact of the Week II:The average attempts before winning is 7.4

Scoring Average: The PLAYERS Stadium Course – TPC Sawgrass

Career scoring averages from top players entered this week (minimum eight rounds played).

RankPlayerRoundsScoring AvgOdds
1Scottie Scheffler1469.57+400
4Christiaan Bezuidenhout1270.33+12000
6Hideki Matsuyama3270.41+3300
8Xander Schauffele1870.44+2500
9Aaron Rai870.50+6500
10Si Woo Kim2970.52+6500
11Tommy Fleetwood2670.62+3000
12Joel Dahmen1870.67+20000
13Corey Conners1870.72+6000
T14Min Woo Lee870.75+10000
16Justin Thomas3370.79+2200
17Viktor Hovland1470.86+7500
18Jason Day4470.86+6500
20Sungjae Im1870.89+6000
21Tom Hoge2370.91+30000

Notables

  • Tom Hoge is the only player to ever shoot 62 (Rd 3 2023).
  • 2018 champion Webb Simpson and 2016 winner Day are two of nine players to post 63.
  • Greg Norman squared one bogey, the record, in setting the tournament scoring record (-24, 260) in 1994.
  • There are eight previous champions in the field, including Adam Scott, Rickie Fowler, and Matt Kuchar.
  • The overseeded fairways average 28 yards in the landing areas.
  • TifEagle Bermudagrass greens average 5,500 square feet and will run 13 feet and up on the Stimpmeter.
  • 92 bunkers, four inches of overseeded rough, and 18 water penalty areas are in play on all 18 holes.
  • The last five winners have registered seventh or better SG: Approach the Green.
  • Only one of the four Par-3 holes extends over 183 yards (No. 8, 236).
  • Three of the Par-5 holes play less than 575 yards.
  • Holes No. 15 and No. 18 are the only two on the card that were not adjusted for the 2025 tournament.
  • The last five champions were 30 years old or younger.
  • Since 2007, average amount of attempts required before winning for the first time is 7.4.
  • The oldest winner is Fred Funk (48 years in 2002). Funk is the only local resident to win the event.
  • Sam Ryder circled 27 birdies in 2024 and established the new tournament record.
  • The Official World Golf Ranking is represented by 48 of the top 50 players and 86 of the top 100.
  • There are no amateurs in the field.
  •  

Recent Winners

  • 2025 Season Winners
EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalRussell Henley

2024 Season Winners

EventWinner
The SentryChris Kirk
Sony Open in HawaiiGrayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American ExpressNick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance OpenMatthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble BeachWyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix OpenNick Taylor
The Genesis InvitationalHideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at VidantaJake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant ClassicAustin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar ChampionshipPeter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston OpenStephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas OpenAkshay Bhatia
88th Masters TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC HeritageScottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich ClassicRory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonTaylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
106th PGA ChampionshipXander Schauffele
Charles Schwab ChallengeDavis Riley
RBC Canadian OpenRobert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (5)
124th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Travelers ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis
John Deere ClassicDavis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyre (2)
152nd Open ChampionshipXander Schauffele (2)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris OlympicsScottie Scheffler (7)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
Wyndham ChampionshipAaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
The TOUR ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (8)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipPatton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipKevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMatt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s OpenJT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPNico Echavarria
World Wide Technology ChampAustin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampRafa Campos (first time)
The RSM ClassicMaverick McNealy (first time)

Recent Winners – THE PLAYERS Championship

Italics – not entered this week; March winners only.

YearWinnerNotes
2024Scottie Scheffler (-20)Becomes the first player to defend the title.
2023Scottie Scheffler (-17)Won by five shots in his third attempt.
2022Cameron Smith (-14)Needed a Monay finish and closed with 66 to come back from two shots and win.
2021Justin Thomas (-14)Posted 64-68 to win by a shot.
2019Rory McIlroy (-13)Chased down Jon Rahm on Sunday to win the first event in the return to March.

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy get kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
The SentrySungjae Im3rd$1,360,000
Sony Open in HawaiiRussell HenleyT10195,025
The American ExpressAdam HadwinMC 
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3252,080
AT&T Pebble BeachLudvig AbergWD 
WM Phoenix OpenRasmus HojgaardT12195,500
Genesis InvitationalWill ZalatorisT24168,857
Mexico OpenPatrick RodgersT2559,350
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT2573,721
Arnold PalmerKeegan BradleyT5800,000

LAST WEEK – Arnold Palmer Invitational

MY CHOICE: Keegan Bradley

Course horse, check. Need to get on it before the Ryder Cup Captain needs to focus more on captaining than golf. Hope I haven’t missed my window.

Back nine 29. Record-setting performance. 64 on Sunday.

T5.

76 on Sunday was the doom.

Overall, pleased as punch. I did NOT have any of the four above him on my radar. BECAUSE I SUCK THAT’S WHY.

THIS Week – THE PLAYERS Championship

Biggest purse.

No need to hang on to a longshot.

THE CHOICE: Collin Morikawa

Others to consider:

Justin Thomas, Ludvig Aberg, Hideki Matsuyama,

Arnold Palmer Invitational

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard

Bay Hill Club & Lodge

Orlando, Florida

Head to Golfbet for all our weekly content, including EXPERT PICKS, where I’m off to a flying start.

Top of the Board (odds via Bet365)

The two top choices are perched here for a reason. If Bay Hill, as suggested in the golf media, is going to be a wrecking ball again this year, I can’t overlook the two best players on the planet. Now, Kurt Kitayama (not qualified) will remind us that tough conditions do not guarantee anything. I’ll point out the winners here since 2016 are proper players, grinders, and winners, with Kitayama being the exception. It might not be called a major championship, but it will play like one, again.

Justin Thomas and Ludvig Aberg fill in the next lines. Thomas’s run of form extends to late last fall and when Aberg has been healthy, he’s won and hit the top five.

Were we a week too early on Berger, Lowry, or Straka? J.J. Spaun has a pair of podium paydays this season.

Players to consider for Top 10, Top 20, or Top 40 action:

I’ll remind folks Lowry has been playing TGL and hasn’t had many days off recently. At some point, it breaks, just like his driver on Monday.

Akshay Bhatia makes his debut and should embrace the difficulty tee to green.

Red-hot Ben Griffin needed back-to-back T4 paydays just to qualify this week. He was T13 on debut in 2023.

I can’t fathom why Harris English is over 100-1 to win. I’ll gladly buy that down across the top 10, top 20, and top 40 action. Super around here.

Viktor Hovland might be the loftiest of risk-reward plays at +5000. Anything is possible currently!

Michael Kim is also tepid.

NOW PLAYING:

Host CourseBay Hill Club & Lodge
Yards (per official scorecard):7,466
Par:72 (36-36).
Greens:TifEagle Bermuda; 7,500 square feet.
Stimpmeter:13-plus feet.
Rough:Overseeded ryegrass at FOUR inches.
Bunkers/Water Hazards/In-Play84/8/9
Architect(s):Dick Wilson (1961); Arnold Palmer (2009; 2016).
Defending Champion (event):Scottie Scheffler (-15).
Multiple Champion(s) Entered:Scheffler (2024, 2022).
Course Record:62; Adam Scott (2014) is the only player to post this total since 1984.
72 Hole Tournament Record (post 2016):270; Rory McIlroy (-18, 2018).
Fact of the Week:Only two of the last nine winners were older than 30.
Fact of the Week II:The last four champions are from the USA.

The wind is going to blow four different ways again this week. Unlike last week, the rough is four inches, and will be “pitch-out” in places, especially with water penalty areas protecting greens.

The last player to win back-to-back at Bay Hill was NOT Tiger Woods. It was Matt Every in 2014-15.

Notes:

  • Field of 72.
  • The cut will be made after 36 holes. The top 50 and ties play the weekend.
  • The OWGR is represented by 46 of the top 50.
  • $20 million – $4 million – 700 FedExCup points – Sentry, PLAYERS, and Masters ticket punched, plus THREE year exemption.

Recent Winners

  • 2025 Season Winners
EventWinner
The SentryHideki Matsuyama
Sony Open in HawaiiNick Taylor
The American ExpressSepp Straka
Farmers Insurance OpenHarris English
AT&T Pebble BeachRory McIlroy
WM Phoenix OpenThomas Detry (first time)
The Genesis InvitationalLudvig Aberg
Mexico Open at VidantaWorldBrian Campbell (first time)
Cognizant ClassicJoe Highsmith (first time)
  • 2024 Season Winners
EventWinner
The SentryChris Kirk
Sony Open in HawaiiGrayson Murray (Rest in Peace)
The American ExpressNick Dunlap (a)
Farmers Insurance OpenMatthieu Pavon (rookie)
AT&T Pebble BeachWyndham Clark (54 holes)
WM Phoenix OpenNick Taylor
The Genesis InvitationalHideki Matsuyama
Mexico Open at VidantaJake Knapp (rookie)
Cognizant ClassicAustin Eckroat (first time)
Arnold Palmer InvitationalScottie Scheffler
THE PLAYERS ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (2)
Valspar ChampionshipPeter Malnati
Texas Children’s Houston OpenStephan Jaeger (first time)
Valero Texas OpenAkshay Bhatia
88th Masters TournamentScottie Scheffler (3)
RBC HeritageScottie Scheffler (4)
Zurich ClassicRory McIlroy & Shane Lowry
THE CJ CUP Byron NelsonTaylor Pendrith (first time)
Wells Fargo ChampionshipRory McIlroy (2)
106th PGA ChampionshipXander Schauffele
Charles Schwab ChallengeDavis Riley
RBC Canadian OpenRobert MacIntyre (first time)
The 49th Memorial TournamentScottie Scheffler (5)
124th United States OpenBryson DeChambeau
Travelers ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (6)
Rocket Mortgage ClassicCam Davis
John Deere ClassicDavis Thompson (first time)
Genesis Scottish OpenRobert MacIntyre (2)
152nd Open ChampionshipXander Schauffele (2)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
2024 Paris OlympicsScottie Scheffler (7)
3M OpenJhonattan Vegas
Wyndham ChampionshipAaron Rai (first time)
FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipHideki Matsuyama (2)
BMW ChampionshipKeegan Bradley
The TOUR ChampionshipScottie Scheffler (8)
  
FedEx Cup Fall 
Procore ChampionshipPatton Kizzire
Sanderson Farms ChampionshipKevin Yu (first time)
Black Desert ChampionshipMatt McCarty (first time)
Shriners Children’s OpenJT Poston
ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIPNico Echavarria
World Wide Technology ChampAustin Eckroat (2)
Butterfield Bermuda ChampRafa Campos (first time)
The RSM ClassicMaverick McNealy (first time)

Recent Winners – Arnold Palmer Invitational

Italics – not entered this week.

YearWinnerNotes
2024Scottie Scheffler (-15)Second title in three years.  Won by five shots.
2023Kurt Kitayama (-9)Held off McIlroy, Scheffler and everyone else to win on debut.
2022Scottie Scheffler (-5)One of four players to break par in the final round. Course played No. 1 most difficult on TOUR in 2022.
2021Bryson DeChambeau (-11)First of four straight USA-USA-USA winners.

Notables

  • Adam Scott (+8000) is the only player since 1985 to post 62 (2014) and is one of four to share the course record.
  • Tiger Woods (not entered) has won this event eight times, the most in history. Scheffler is the only multiple champion in the field.
  • The fairways are 30 yards wide, two yards wider on average than last week at PGA National, and overseeded.
  • TifEagle Bermudagrass greens average 7,500 square feet and will run 13 feet and up on the Stimpmeter.
  • 84 bunkers, four inches of rough, and nine holes with water penalty areas.
  • None of the Par-5 holes play longer than 590 yards.
  • Since 2016, only Scheffler in 2024 ranked OUTSIDE the top SIX in Par-3 scoring. All four Par-3 holes extend 199 yards or longer.
  • The last six winners have ranked in the top 10 in Greens in Regulation.
  • After adding TifEagle greens for 2016, six of the last nine winners have ranked in the top six in SG: Putting and all were T21 or better. No weaknesses allowed in the bag this week!

One and Done – Spotter’s Game

1 player per event (plus a backup pick if your guy get kidnapped on Wednesday night and doesn’t make it to the first tee Thursday).

1 use per year.

EventSelectionPlaceEarnings
The SentrySungjae Im3rd$1,360,000
Sony Open in HawaiiRussell HenleyT10195,025
The American ExpressAdam HadwinMC 
Farmers InsuranceJason DayT3252,080
AT&T Pebble BeachLudvig AbergWD 
WM Phoenix OpenRasmus HojgaardT12195,500
Genesis InvitationalWill ZalatorisT24168,857
Mexico OpenPatrick RodgersT2559,350
Cognizant ClassicDaniel BergerT2573,721

LAST WEEK – Cognizant Classic at the Palm Beaches

MY CHOICE: Daniel Berger T25

No prizes, I’m told, for hitting T24 or T25 in three consecutive weeks!

Four shots off the 54-hole lead without many big names in front of him, it was disappointing to see the local lad post a round of 72, one of only four players on Sunday to sign for a total over par inside the top 25.

ARE WE HAVING FUN YET???

In my weekly local fantasy game, I drafted Joe Highsmith and Jacob Bridgeman last week in Mexico.

It never ends. At least I will have Lowry for Zurich!

Just Missed

Shane Lowry – T11, Russell Henley – T6, Cameron Young – MC, Luke Clanton – T18

THIS Week – Arnold Palmer Invitational

Last year, I said f#ck it, and stuck Scheffler in. I mean, nobody has ever gone back-to-back at THE PLAYERS, so this naturally made sense.

WRONG AGAIN.

I LOST money on picking Scheffler one week early, $500K to be exact.

I didn’t matter in the long run, but still.

THE CHOICE: Keegan Bradley

Course horse, check. Need to get on it before the Ryder Cup Captain needs to focus more on captaining than golf. Hope I haven’t missed my window.

Others to consider:

I’d lean on the elite of the elite this week. Outsiders include Fleetwood, English, and the red-hot Bhatia.